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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 2–1 Napoli

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.45 fair 2.48
Draw 3.20 fair 3.65
Away 3.00 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Napoli
10 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 1
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (255 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawNapoli
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 11.5% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.36scored / match
0.84conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 34:21
Napoli before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.52scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 38:25
Atalanta all matches all matches Napoli

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.52
0.84 Goals conceded 1.00
2.20 Total goals 2.52
14.64 Shots 13.16
4.60 Shots on target 4.68
12.00 Shots faced 10.96
5.64 Corners 5.16
4.72 Corners against 2.68
11.64 Fouls 12.20
1.60 Yellow cards 1.40
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

44% Wins 60%
36% Draws 20%
20% Losses 20%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
76% Over 1.5 goals 68%
32% Over 2.5 goals 52%
16% Over 3.5 goals 32%
4% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 48%
40% Clean sheets 36%
20% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 48%
36% Draws 32%
20% Losses 20%
72% Over 0.5 goals 76%
28% Over 1.5 goals 36%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Napoli all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.92points / match
1.54scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:10
Napoli before this match, away
1.69points / match
1.31scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 17:14
Atalanta at home away Napoli

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 1.31
0.77 Goals conceded 1.08
2.31 Total goals 2.38
17.62 Shots 12.85
5.46 Shots on target 4.15
10.62 Shots faced 10.46
6.92 Corners 4.69
3.92 Corners against 3.00
11.54 Fouls 11.77
1.31 Yellow cards 1.54
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

54% Wins 54%
31% Draws 8%
15% Losses 38%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 69%
38% Over 2.5 goals 38%
15% Over 3.5 goals 23%
8% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 31%
38% Clean sheets 38%
23% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 46%
31% Draws 31%
15% Losses 23%
85% Over 0.5 goals 77%
31% Over 1.5 goals 46%
0% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Napoli away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
09.02.26 Atalanta – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Como – Atalanta 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.253.20 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Atalanta – Parma 4–0 (2–0) 1.424.507.50 1.73 2.10
16.01.26 Pisa – Atalanta 1–1 (0–0) 6.503.901.55 1.85 2.00
10.01.26 Atalanta – Torino 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
07.01.26 Bologna – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.60 2.00 1.85
03.01.26 Atalanta – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
21.12.25 Genoa – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.73

Napoli all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Napoli – Roma 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
07.02.26 Genoa – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 4.503.201.95 2.63 1.50
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
25.01.26 Juventus – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
17.01.26 Napoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.50 2.03 1.83
14.01.26 Napoli – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.50 1.88 1.98
11.01.26 Inter – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.505.25 2.10 1.73
07.01.26 Napoli – Verona 2–2 (0–2) 1.365.507.50 2.00 1.80
04.01.26 Lazio – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 3.403.102.30 2.63 1.50
28.12.25 Cremonese – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 6.253.901.55 2.10 1.73

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.26 Atalanta – Cremonese 2–1 (2–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
25.01.26 Atalanta – Parma 4–0 (2–0) 1.424.507.50 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Atalanta – Torino 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
03.01.26 Atalanta – Roma 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
28.12.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.502.00 1.73 2.10
13.12.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 2–1 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Atalanta – Sassuolo 0–3 (0–1) 1.444.507.00 1.67 2.20
28.10.25 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.00 1.85
19.10.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 1.734.004.50 1.80 2.00

Napoli away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.02.26 Genoa – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 4.503.201.95 2.63 1.50
25.01.26 Juventus – Napoli 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
11.01.26 Inter – Napoli 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.505.25 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Lazio – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 3.403.102.30 2.63 1.50
28.12.25 Cremonese – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 6.253.901.55 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Udinese – Napoli 1–0 (0–0) 4.503.401.85 2.30 1.62
30.11.25 Roma – Napoli 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.883.10 2.50 1.53
09.11.25 Bologna – Napoli 2–0 (0–0) 3.003.102.55 2.50 1.53
28.10.25 Lecce – Napoli 0–1 (0–0) 6.503.751.55 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Torino – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 5.253.301.80 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsNapoli wins
9matches
3.56goals / match
89%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25I1 Napoli – Atalanta 3–1 (3–0) 2.253.253.40 2.10 1.73
18.01.25I1 Atalanta – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
03.11.24I1 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.053.403.70 1.92 1.98
30.03.24I1 Napoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 2.103.603.40 1.80 2.00
25.11.23I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.63 1.88 2.02
11.03.23I1 Napoli – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
05.11.22I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–2 (1–2) 3.303.602.15 1.66 2.20
03.04.22I1 Atalanta – Napoli 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.303.00 1.94 1.96
04.12.21I1 Napoli – Atalanta 2–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 21 1 4 62 21 +41 64
2 Milan 25 15 9 1 41 19 +22 54
3 Napoli 25 15 5 5 38 25 +13 50
4 Roma 25 15 2 8 31 16 +15 47
5 Juventus 26 13 7 6 43 25 +18 46
6 Como 26 12 9 5 41 19 +22 45
7 Atalanta 25 11 9 5 34 21 +13 42
8 Sassuolo 26 10 5 11 32 35 -3 35
9 Lazio 26 8 10 8 26 25 +1 34
10 Bologna 25 9 6 10 34 32 +2 33
11 Udinese 25 9 5 11 28 38 -10 32
12 Cagliari 26 7 8 11 28 35 -7 29
13 Parma 25 7 8 10 18 31 -13 29
14 Genoa 26 6 9 11 32 37 -5 27
15 Torino 26 7 6 13 25 47 -22 27
16 Cremonese 25 5 9 11 21 33 -12 24
17 Lecce 26 6 6 14 17 33 -16 24
18 Fiorentina 25 4 9 12 29 39 -10 21
19 Pisa 25 1 12 12 20 42 -22 15
20 Verona 26 2 9 15 19 46 -27 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 10 1 2 36 12 +24 31
2 Napoli 12 8 4 0 21 11 +10 28
3 Juventus 13 7 5 1 25 12 +13 26
4 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 20 10 +10 25
5 Roma 12 8 1 3 16 6 +10 25
6 Milan 12 7 4 1 18 10 +8 25
7 Como 13 6 5 2 21 9 +12 23
8 Lazio 13 5 4 4 18 16 +2 19
9 Sassuolo 13 5 2 6 15 19 -4 17
10 Cagliari 13 4 4 5 15 15 0 16
11 Genoa 14 4 4 6 17 18 -1 16
12 Udinese 13 4 4 5 13 18 -5 16
13 Bologna 12 4 2 6 12 14 -2 14
14 Torino 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
15 Parma 13 3 4 6 10 18 -8 13
16 Lecce 14 3 4 7 9 18 -9 13
17 Cremonese 12 2 6 4 11 15 -4 12
18 Fiorentina 12 2 4 6 17 19 -2 10
19 Verona 12 1 4 7 11 19 -8 7
20 Pisa 13 1 4 8 4 16 -12 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 11 0 2 26 9 +17 33
2 Milan 13 8 5 0 23 9 +14 29
3 Como 13 6 4 3 20 10 +10 22
4 Roma 13 7 1 5 15 10 +5 22
5 Napoli 13 7 1 5 17 14 +3 22
6 Juventus 13 6 2 5 18 13 +5 20
7 Bologna 13 5 4 4 22 18 +4 19
8 Sassuolo 13 5 3 5 17 16 +1 18
9 Atalanta 12 4 5 3 14 11 +3 17
10 Udinese 12 5 1 6 15 20 -5 16
11 Parma 12 4 4 4 8 13 -5 16
12 Lazio 13 3 6 4 8 9 -1 15
13 Cagliari 13 3 4 6 13 20 -7 13
14 Torino 13 3 4 6 12 25 -13 13
15 Cremonese 13 3 3 7 10 18 -8 12
16 Genoa 12 2 5 5 15 19 -4 11
17 Lecce 12 3 2 7 8 15 -7 11
18 Fiorentina 13 2 5 6 12 20 -8 11
19 Pisa 12 0 8 4 16 26 -10 8
20 Verona 14 1 5 8 8 27 -19 8

Atalanta   Napoli

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Genoa 26 10 16 1.2 1.4 6 9 11 32 37 27
2 15 Torino 26 10 16 1.0 1.8 7 6 13 25 47 27
3 18 Fiorentina 25 9 16 1.2 1.6 4 9 12 29 39 21
4 20 Verona 26 10 16 0.7 1.8 2 9 15 19 46 15
5 1 Inter 26 11 15 2.4 0.8 21 1 4 62 21 64
6 8 Sassuolo 26 12 14 1.2 1.3 10 5 11 32 35 35
7 3 Napoli 25 12 13 1.5 1.0 15 5 5 38 25 50
8 10 Bologna 25 12 13 1.4 1.3 9 6 10 34 32 33
9 11 Udinese 25 12 13 1.1 1.5 9 5 11 28 38 32
10 2 Milan 25 13 12 1.6 0.8 15 9 1 41 19 54
11 5 Juventus 26 14 12 1.7 1.0 13 7 6 43 25 46
12 12 Cagliari 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 7 8 11 28 35 29
13 19 Pisa 25 14 11 0.8 1.7 1 12 12 20 42 15
14 6 Como 26 16 10 1.6 0.7 12 9 5 41 19 45
15 13 Parma 25 16 9 0.7 1.2 7 8 10 18 31 29
16 16 Cremonese 25 16 9 0.8 1.3 5 9 11 21 33 24
17 7 Atalanta 25 17 8 1.4 0.8 11 9 5 34 21 42
18 17 Lecce 26 18 8 0.7 1.3 6 6 14 17 33 24
19 9 Lazio 26 19 7 1.0 1.0 8 10 8 26 25 34
20 4 Roma 25 19 6 1.2 0.6 15 2 8 31 16 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 13 3 10 2.8 0.9 10 1 2 36 12 31
2 3 Napoli 12 4 8 1.8 0.9 8 4 0 21 11 28
3 14 Genoa 14 6 8 1.2 1.3 4 4 6 17 18 16
4 15 Torino 13 5 8 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
5 18 Fiorentina 12 4 8 1.4 1.6 2 4 6 17 19 10
6 5 Juventus 13 6 7 1.9 0.9 7 5 1 25 12 26
7 8 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 5 2 6 15 19 17
8 20 Verona 12 5 7 0.9 1.6 1 4 7 11 19 7
9 2 Milan 12 6 6 1.5 0.8 7 4 1 18 10 25
10 11 Udinese 13 7 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 5 13 18 16
11 17 Lecce 14 8 6 0.6 1.3 3 4 7 9 18 13
12 7 Atalanta 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 7 4 2 20 10 25
13 9 Lazio 13 8 5 1.4 1.2 5 4 4 18 16 19
14 10 Bologna 12 7 5 1.0 1.2 4 2 6 12 14 14
15 13 Parma 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 4 6 10 18 13
16 6 Como 13 9 4 1.6 0.7 6 5 2 21 9 23
17 12 Cagliari 13 9 4 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 15 15 16
18 16 Cremonese 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 2 6 4 11 15 12
19 19 Pisa 13 10 3 0.3 1.2 1 4 8 4 16 7
20 4 Roma 12 10 2 1.3 0.5 8 1 3 16 6 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Verona 14 5 9 0.6 1.9 1 5 8 8 27 8
2 10 Bologna 13 5 8 1.7 1.4 5 4 4 22 18 19
3 12 Cagliari 13 5 8 1.0 1.5 3 4 6 13 20 13
4 14 Genoa 12 4 8 1.2 1.6 2 5 5 15 19 11
5 15 Torino 13 5 8 0.9 1.9 3 4 6 12 25 13
6 18 Fiorentina 13 5 8 0.9 1.5 2 5 6 12 20 11
7 19 Pisa 12 4 8 1.3 2.2 0 8 4 16 26 8
8 8 Sassuolo 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 5 3 5 17 16 18
9 11 Udinese 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 5 1 6 15 20 16
10 2 Milan 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 8 5 0 23 9 29
11 6 Como 13 7 6 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 20 10 22
12 1 Inter 13 8 5 2.0 0.7 11 0 2 26 9 33
13 3 Napoli 13 8 5 1.3 1.1 7 1 5 17 14 22
14 5 Juventus 13 8 5 1.4 1.0 6 2 5 18 13 20
15 16 Cremonese 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 7 10 18 12
16 4 Roma 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 7 1 5 15 10 22
17 13 Parma 12 8 4 0.7 1.1 4 4 4 8 13 16
18 7 Atalanta 12 9 3 1.2 0.9 4 5 3 14 11 17
19 9 Lazio 13 11 2 0.6 0.7 3 6 4 8 9 15
20 17 Lecce 12 10 2 0.7 1.2 3 2 7 8 15 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40