Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta – Italy Serie A, 30 Mar 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Fiorentina Atalanta

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 0

2 Corners 4

7 Fouls 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (295 league matches this season so far).

Result Atalanta to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.72

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.57

Home / Draw / Away

32% 25% 43%

FiorentinaDrawAtalanta

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

42% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 1–2 9% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches

1.66points / match

1.59scored / match

1.03conceded / match

14 6 9

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 46:30

Atalanta before this match, all matches

2.00points / match

2.17scored / match

0.97conceded / match

17 7 5

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 63:28

Fiorentina all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 2.17

1.03 Goals conceded 0.97

2.62 Total goals 3.14

11.38 Shots 14.97

4.34 Shots on target 5.62

11.79 Shots faced 10.17

3.97 Corners 4.72

4.10 Corners against 2.76

11.31 Fouls 11.48

2.10 Yellow cards 1.83

0.86 1st-half goals scored 1.07

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

48% Wins 59%

21% Draws 24%

31% Losses 17%

93% Over 0.5 goals 90%

72% Over 1.5 goals 86%

59% Over 2.5 goals 59%

21% Over 3.5 goals 41%

10% Over 4.5 goals 28%

7% Over 5.5 goals 7%

52% Both teams scored 52%

34% Clean sheets 41%

21% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 41%

31% Draws 41%

28% Losses 17%

79% Over 0.5 goals 69%

34% Over 1.5 goals 45%

14% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches

1

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

Atalanta all matches

1

D

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

D

5

W

D

5

W

D

4

W

2

L

Fiorentina before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.73scored / match

1.00conceded / match

9 3 3

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:15

Atalanta before this match, away

2.20points / match

2.27scored / match

0.67conceded / match

10 3 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 34:10

Fiorentina at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 2.27

1.00 Goals conceded 0.67

2.73 Total goals 2.93

12.13 Shots 14.27

4.80 Shots on target 5.20

10.60 Shots faced 11.73

4.60 Corners 4.67

4.00 Corners against 3.27

11.53 Fouls 12.00

2.00 Yellow cards 2.27

0.93 1st-half goals scored 1.07

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

60% Wins 67%

20% Draws 20%

20% Losses 13%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

80% Over 1.5 goals 87%

67% Over 2.5 goals 60%

20% Over 3.5 goals 40%

7% Over 4.5 goals 13%

7% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 33%

33% Clean sheets 60%

20% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 47%

20% Draws 33%

27% Losses 20%

87% Over 0.5 goals 73%

33% Over 1.5 goals 47%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home

3

1

W

1

W

1

2

L

3

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

L

1

W

3

W

Atalanta away

3

W

3

1

W

2

W

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

5

W

5

W

4

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.25	Fiorentina – Juventus	3–0 (2–0)	3.40	3.20	2.25	2.30	1.62
09.03.25	Napoli – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.25	2.05	1.68
28.02.25	Fiorentina – Lecce	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	2.30	1.62
23.02.25	Verona – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.40	1.90	2.03	1.87
16.02.25	Fiorentina – Como	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.97	1.93
10.02.25	Inter – Fiorentina	2–1 (1–1)	1.48	4.75	6.50	1.67	2.20
06.02.25	Fiorentina – Inter	3–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
02.02.25	Fiorentina – Genoa	2–1 (2–0)	1.65	3.90	5.25	2.00	1.80
26.01.25	Lazio – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.04	1.86
19.01.25	Fiorentina – Torino	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.40	5.50	2.20	1.67

Atalanta all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.25	Atalanta – Inter	0–2 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.80	1.95	1.95
09.03.25	Juventus – Atalanta	0–4 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.88	2.04	1.86
01.03.25	Atalanta – Venezia	0–0 (0–0)	1.20	6.50	15.00	1.53	2.50
23.02.25	Empoli – Atalanta	0–5 (0–3)	6.25	3.90	1.57	1.80	2.00
15.02.25	Atalanta – Cagliari	0–0 (0–0)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.62	2.30
08.02.25	Verona – Atalanta	0–5 (0–4)	6.25	4.10	1.53	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Atalanta – Torino	1–1 (1–1)	1.42	4.50	7.50	1.95	1.95
25.01.25	Como – Atalanta	1–2 (1–0)	4.20	3.60	1.85	1.80	2.00
18.01.25	Atalanta – Napoli	2–3 (1–2)	2.25	3.25	3.25	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Atalanta – Juventus	1–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.25	3.70	2.30	1.62

Fiorentina at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.25	Fiorentina – Juventus	3–0 (2–0)	3.40	3.20	2.25	2.30	1.62
28.02.25	Fiorentina – Lecce	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	2.30	1.62
16.02.25	Fiorentina – Como	0–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.97	1.93
06.02.25	Fiorentina – Inter	3–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.80	2.00
02.02.25	Fiorentina – Genoa	2–1 (2–0)	1.65	3.90	5.25	2.00	1.80
19.01.25	Fiorentina – Torino	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.40	5.50	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Fiorentina – Napoli	0–3 (0–1)	2.88	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
23.12.24	Fiorentina – Udinese	1–2 (1–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	1.91	1.99
08.12.24	Fiorentina – Cagliari	1–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.67	2.20
10.11.24	Fiorentina – Verona	3–1 (1–1)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.80	2.00

Atalanta away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.25	Juventus – Atalanta	0–4 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.88	2.04	1.86
23.02.25	Empoli – Atalanta	0–5 (0–3)	6.25	3.90	1.57	1.80	2.00
08.02.25	Verona – Atalanta	0–5 (0–4)	6.25	4.10	1.53	1.73	2.10
25.01.25	Como – Atalanta	1–2 (1–0)	4.20	3.60	1.85	1.80	2.00
11.01.25	Udinese – Atalanta	0–0 (0–0)	5.25	3.80	1.65	1.85	2.05
28.12.24	Lazio – Atalanta	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	1.80	2.00
14.12.24	Cagliari – Atalanta	0–1 (0–0)	5.50	4.33	1.55	1.62	2.30
02.12.24	Roma – Atalanta	0–2 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.87	2.03
23.11.24	Parma – Atalanta	1–3 (0–2)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.57	2.38
03.11.24	Napoli – Atalanta	0–3 (0–2)	2.05	3.40	3.70	1.92	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 1 2

Fiorentina winsDrawsAtalanta wins

7matches

3.14goals / match

57%over 2.5

71%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.09.24I1	Atalanta – Fiorentina	3–2 (3–2)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.73	2.10
02.06.24I1	Atalanta – Fiorentina	2–3 (2–3)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.53	2.50
17.09.23I1	Fiorentina – Atalanta	3–2 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.80	2.00
17.04.23I1	Fiorentina – Atalanta	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.40	2.90	1.89	2.01
02.10.22I1	Atalanta – Fiorentina	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.92	1.98
20.02.22I1	Fiorentina – Atalanta	1–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	1.72	2.10
11.09.21I1	Atalanta – Fiorentina	1–2 (0–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.53	2.50

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	29	19	7	3	65	27	+38	64
2	Napoli	29	18	7	4	45	23	+22	61
3	Atalanta	29	17	7	5	63	28	+35	58
4	Bologna	30	15	11	4	50	34	+16	56
5	Juventus	30	14	13	3	46	28	+18	55
6	Roma	30	15	7	8	45	30	+15	52
7	Lazio	29	15	6	8	50	41	+9	51
8	Fiorentina	29	14	6	9	46	30	+16	48
9	Milan	29	13	8	8	44	33	+11	47
10	Udinese	29	11	7	11	35	39	-4	40
11	Torino	29	9	11	9	34	34	0	38
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	28	38	-10	35
13	Como	30	7	9	14	36	47	-11	30
14	Cagliari	30	7	8	15	31	44	-13	29
15	Verona	29	9	2	18	29	58	-29	29
16	Parma	29	5	10	14	35	49	-14	25
17	Lecce	30	6	7	17	21	49	-28	25
18	Empoli	30	4	11	15	24	47	-23	23
19	Venezia	30	3	11	16	23	43	-20	20
20	Monza	30	2	9	19	24	52	-28	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	14	10	3	1	32	16	+16	33
2	Bologna	15	9	5	1	29	13	+16	32
3	Napoli	14	10	2	2	21	10	+11	32
4	Roma	15	10	1	4	31	13	+18	31
5	Juventus	16	8	7	1	25	14	+11	31
6	Fiorentina	15	9	3	3	26	15	+11	30
7	Milan	15	7	6	2	23	12	+11	27
8	Lazio	14	7	5	2	28	20	+8	26
9	Atalanta	14	7	4	3	29	18	+11	25
10	Udinese	15	7	2	6	19	18	+1	23
11	Torino	14	5	5	4	13	12	+1	20
12	Como	15	5	5	5	23	23	0	20
13	Genoa	15	4	7	4	17	18	-1	19
14	Cagliari	16	5	4	7	19	24	-5	19
15	Parma	15	4	4	7	22	25	-3	16
16	Venezia	15	3	5	7	12	16	-4	14
17	Lecce	15	3	5	7	11	26	-15	14
18	Verona	14	4	1	9	13	32	-19	13
19	Monza	15	1	5	9	11	20	-9	8
20	Empoli	14	1	5	8	5	20	-15	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	15	10	3	2	34	10	+24	33
2	Inter	15	9	4	2	33	11	+22	31
3	Napoli	15	8	5	2	24	13	+11	29
4	Lazio	15	8	1	6	22	21	+1	25
5	Juventus	14	6	6	2	21	14	+7	24
6	Bologna	15	6	6	3	21	21	0	24
7	Roma	15	5	6	4	14	17	-3	21
8	Milan	14	6	2	6	21	21	0	20
9	Fiorentina	14	5	3	6	20	15	+5	18
10	Torino	15	4	6	5	21	22	-1	18
11	Udinese	14	4	5	5	16	21	-5	17
12	Genoa	15	4	4	7	11	20	-9	16
13	Verona	15	5	1	9	16	26	-10	16
14	Empoli	16	3	6	7	19	27	-8	15
15	Lecce	15	3	2	10	10	23	-13	11
16	Cagliari	14	2	4	8	12	20	-8	10
17	Como	15	2	4	9	13	24	-11	10
18	Parma	14	1	6	7	13	24	-11	9
19	Monza	15	1	4	10	13	32	-19	7
20	Venezia	15	0	6	9	11	27	-16	6

Fiorentina Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Lazio	29	8	21	1.7	1.4	15	6	8	50	41	51
2	1	Inter	29	12	17	2.2	0.9	19	7	3	65	27	64
3	3	Atalanta	29	12	17	2.2	1.0	17	7	5	63	28	58
4	4	Bologna	30	13	17	1.7	1.1	15	11	4	50	34	56
5	8	Fiorentina	29	12	17	1.6	1.0	14	6	9	46	30	48
6	9	Milan	29	12	17	1.5	1.1	13	8	8	44	33	47
7	15	Verona	29	12	17	1.0	2.0	9	2	18	29	58	29
8	16	Parma	29	12	17	1.2	1.7	5	10	14	35	49	25
9	20	Monza	30	15	15	0.8	1.7	2	9	19	24	52	15
10	2	Napoli	29	15	14	1.6	0.8	18	7	4	45	23	61
11	5	Juventus	30	16	14	1.5	0.9	14	13	3	46	28	55
12	10	Udinese	29	15	14	1.2	1.3	11	7	11	35	39	40
13	13	Como	30	16	14	1.2	1.6	7	9	14	36	47	30
14	14	Cagliari	30	16	14	1.0	1.5	7	8	15	31	44	29
15	6	Roma	30	17	13	1.5	1.0	15	7	8	45	30	52
16	17	Lecce	30	17	13	0.7	1.6	6	7	17	21	49	25
17	18	Empoli	30	18	12	0.8	1.6	4	11	15	24	47	23
18	19	Venezia	30	18	12	0.8	1.4	3	11	16	23	43	20
19	12	Genoa	30	19	11	0.9	1.3	8	11	11	28	38	35
20	11	Torino	29	19	10	1.2	1.2	9	11	9	34	34	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Lazio	14	3	11	2.0	1.4	7	5	2	28	20	26
2	15	Verona	14	3	11	0.9	2.3	4	1	9	13	32	13
3	8	Fiorentina	15	5	10	1.7	1.0	9	3	3	26	15	30
4	1	Inter	14	5	9	2.3	1.1	10	3	1	32	16	33
5	6	Roma	15	6	9	2.1	0.9	10	1	4	31	13	31
6	16	Parma	15	6	9	1.5	1.7	4	4	7	22	25	16
7	3	Atalanta	14	6	8	2.1	1.3	7	4	3	29	18	25
8	4	Bologna	15	7	8	1.9	0.9	9	5	1	29	13	32
9	13	Como	15	7	8	1.5	1.5	5	5	5	23	23	20
10	14	Cagliari	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	4	7	19	24	19
11	5	Juventus	16	9	7	1.6	0.9	8	7	1	25	14	31
12	9	Milan	15	8	7	1.5	0.8	7	6	2	23	12	27
13	10	Udinese	15	8	7	1.3	1.2	7	2	6	19	18	23
14	17	Lecce	15	8	7	0.7	1.7	3	5	7	11	26	14
15	2	Napoli	14	8	6	1.5	0.7	10	2	2	21	10	32
16	12	Genoa	15	9	6	1.1	1.2	4	7	4	17	18	19
17	20	Monza	15	9	6	0.7	1.3	1	5	9	11	20	8
18	18	Empoli	14	10	4	0.4	1.4	1	5	8	5	20	8
19	19	Venezia	15	11	4	0.8	1.1	3	5	7	12	16	14
20	11	Torino	14	11	3	0.9	0.9	5	5	4	13	12	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Lazio	15	5	10	1.5	1.4	8	1	6	22	21	25
2	9	Milan	14	4	10	1.5	1.5	6	2	6	21	21	20
3	3	Atalanta	15	6	9	2.3	0.7	10	3	2	34	10	33
4	4	Bologna	15	6	9	1.4	1.4	6	6	3	21	21	24
5	20	Monza	15	6	9	0.9	2.1	1	4	10	13	32	7
6	1	Inter	15	7	8	2.2	0.7	9	4	2	33	11	31
7	2	Napoli	15	7	8	1.6	0.9	8	5	2	24	13	29
8	16	Parma	14	6	8	0.9	1.7	1	6	7	13	24	9
9	18	Empoli	16	8	8	1.2	1.7	3	6	7	19	27	15
10	19	Venezia	15	7	8	0.7	1.8	0	6	9	11	27	6
11	5	Juventus	14	7	7	1.5	1.0	6	6	2	21	14	24
12	8	Fiorentina	14	7	7	1.4	1.1	5	3	6	20	15	18
13	10	Udinese	14	7	7	1.1	1.5	4	5	5	16	21	17
14	11	Torino	15	8	7	1.4	1.5	4	6	5	21	22	18
15	13	Como	15	9	6	0.9	1.6	2	4	9	13	24	10
16	14	Cagliari	14	8	6	0.9	1.4	2	4	8	12	20	10
17	15	Verona	15	9	6	1.1	1.7	5	1	9	16	26	16
18	17	Lecce	15	9	6	0.7	1.5	3	2	10	10	23	11
19	12	Genoa	15	10	5	0.7	1.3	4	4	7	11	20	16
20	6	Roma	15	11	4	0.9	1.1	5	6	4	14	17	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.