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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 3–0 Dortmund

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 3.24
Draw 3.60 fair 4.10
Away 3.10 fair 2.23
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Dortmund
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 2
14 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (293 league matches this season so far).
Result Dortmund to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.61
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawDortmund
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.03scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 33:50
Dortmund before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
2.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 64:40
Mainz all matches all matches Dortmund

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 2.00
1.56 Goals conceded 1.25
2.59 Total goals 3.25
13.88 Shots 14.50
4.34 Shots on target 5.63
12.31 Shots faced 13.53
5.41 Corners 5.22
4.34 Corners against 5.13
13.88 Fouls 9.38
2.94 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.09
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

16% Wins 53%
44% Draws 28%
41% Losses 19%
91% Over 0.5 goals 97%
75% Over 1.5 goals 84%
41% Over 2.5 goals 59%
31% Over 3.5 goals 44%
9% Over 4.5 goals 25%
3% Over 5.5 goals 16%
59% Both teams scored 66%
22% Clean sheets 28%
28% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 44%
38% Draws 38%
38% Losses 19%
78% Over 0.5 goals 81%
31% Over 1.5 goals 59%
9% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Dortmund all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:18
Dortmund before this match, away
1.88points / match
1.94scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 31:18
Mainz at home away Dortmund

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.94
1.13 Goals conceded 1.13
2.38 Total goals 3.06
15.94 Shots 12.19
4.94 Shots on target 4.94
10.63 Shots faced 15.50
7.00 Corners 4.50
3.94 Corners against 6.13
14.69 Fouls 9.63
2.81 Yellow cards 2.06
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.06
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

31% Wins 50%
31% Draws 38%
38% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 94%
31% Over 2.5 goals 56%
25% Over 3.5 goals 31%
6% Over 4.5 goals 19%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 69%
25% Clean sheets 31%
25% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 56%
25% Draws 19%
38% Losses 25%
81% Over 0.5 goals 94%
13% Over 1.5 goals 50%
6% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Dortmund away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Heidenheim – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
28.04.24 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.04.24 Freiburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.60 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
16.03.24 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Bayern Munich – Mainz 8–1 (3–1) 1.257.0010.00 1.40 3.00
02.03.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.80 2.00
23.02.24 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.57 2.38

Dortmund all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Dortmund – Augsburg 5–1 (4–1) 1.854.333.60 1.33 3.40
27.04.24 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 4–1 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.40 3.00
21.04.24 Dortmund – Leverkusen 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.802.55 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 M'gladbach – Dortmund 1–2 (1–2) 3.254.002.00 1.40 3.00
06.04.24 Dortmund – Stuttgart 0–1 (0–0) 2.254.002.80 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
17.03.24 Dortmund – Ein Frankfurt 3–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.50 2.63
09.03.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–2) 3.504.331.85 1.44 2.75
02.03.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.05 1.73 2.10
25.02.24 Dortmund – Hoffenheim 2–3 (2–1) 1.505.005.50 1.33 3.40

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.336.00 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Mainz – Hoffenheim 4–1 (0–1) 1.954.003.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Mainz – Darmstadt 4–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.67 2.20
16.03.24 Mainz – Bochum 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00
02.03.24 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Mainz – Augsburg 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.92
07.02.24 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
03.02.24 Mainz – Werder Bremen 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.90
13.01.24 Mainz – Wolfsburg 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.98 1.92
16.12.23 Mainz – Heidenheim 0–1 (0–1) 1.674.204.75 1.67 2.20

Dortmund away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 4–1 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.40 3.00
13.04.24 M'gladbach – Dortmund 1–2 (1–2) 3.254.002.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 1.405.756.00 1.25 4.00
09.03.24 Werder Bremen – Dortmund 1–2 (0–2) 3.504.331.85 1.44 2.75
02.03.24 Union Berlin – Dortmund 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.602.05 1.73 2.10
17.02.24 Wolfsburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.203.802.10 1.57 2.38
02.02.24 Heidenheim – Dortmund 0–0 (0–0) 3.754.501.80 1.44 2.75
20.01.24 FC Koln – Dortmund 0–4 (0–1) 4.504.001.73 1.53 2.50
13.01.24 Darmstadt – Dortmund 0–3 (0–1) 5.254.501.53 1.44 2.75
16.12.23 Augsburg – Dortmund 1–1 (1–1) 3.504.201.91 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsDortmund wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 1–1 (1–1) 1.554.755.25 1.44 2.75
27.05.23D1 Dortmund – Mainz 2–2 (0–2) 1.148.5015.00 1.22 4.33
25.01.23D1 Mainz – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
16.03.22D1 Mainz – Dortmund 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.61 2.30
16.10.21D1 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 32 26 6 0 82 23 +59 84
2 Stuttgart 33 22 4 7 74 39 +35 70
3 Bayern Munich 32 22 3 7 90 41 +49 69
4 RB Leipzig 33 19 7 7 75 37 +38 64
5 Dortmund 32 17 9 6 64 40 +24 60
6 Ein Frankfurt 33 11 13 9 49 48 +1 46
7 Freiburg 33 11 9 13 44 56 -12 42
8 Hoffenheim 32 11 7 14 56 64 -8 40
9 Heidenheim 33 9 12 12 46 54 -8 39
10 Augsburg 33 10 9 14 49 58 -9 39
11 Werder Bremen 33 10 9 14 44 53 -9 39
12 Wolfsburg 32 10 7 15 40 51 -11 37
13 M'gladbach 33 7 13 13 56 63 -7 34
14 Bochum 32 7 12 13 41 65 -24 33
15 Union Berlin 33 8 6 19 31 57 -26 30
16 Mainz 32 5 14 13 33 50 -17 29
17 FC Koln 33 5 12 16 27 56 -29 27
18 Darmstadt 32 3 8 21 30 76 -46 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 45 10 +35 42
2 Bayern Munich 16 13 1 2 51 12 +39 40
3 Stuttgart 16 12 3 1 46 15 +31 39
4 RB Leipzig 17 11 4 2 40 12 +28 37
5 Dortmund 16 9 3 4 33 22 +11 30
6 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 7 2 27 19 +8 28
7 Augsburg 17 6 6 5 26 26 0 24
8 Bochum 16 5 8 3 26 24 +2 23
9 Heidenheim 16 6 5 5 26 25 +1 23
10 Wolfsburg 16 6 4 6 24 22 +2 22
11 Werder Bremen 16 6 4 6 25 25 0 22
12 Freiburg 17 5 7 5 28 30 -2 22
13 M'gladbach 17 5 6 6 27 26 +1 21
14 Mainz 16 5 5 6 20 18 +2 20
15 Hoffenheim 16 5 5 6 27 29 -2 20
16 Union Berlin 16 6 2 8 20 29 -9 20
17 FC Koln 17 4 4 9 15 28 -13 16
18 Darmstadt 16 1 3 12 15 38 -23 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 16 13 3 0 37 13 +24 42
2 Stuttgart 17 10 1 6 28 24 +4 31
3 Dortmund 16 8 6 2 31 18 +13 30
4 Bayern Munich 16 9 2 5 39 29 +10 29
5 RB Leipzig 16 8 3 5 35 25 +10 27
6 Hoffenheim 16 6 2 8 29 35 -6 20
7 Freiburg 16 6 2 8 16 26 -10 20
8 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 6 7 22 29 -7 18
9 Werder Bremen 17 4 5 8 19 28 -9 17
10 Heidenheim 17 3 7 7 20 29 -9 16
11 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 23 32 -9 15
12 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 16 29 -13 15
13 M'gladbach 16 2 7 7 29 37 -8 13
14 FC Koln 16 1 8 7 12 28 -16 11
15 Darmstadt 16 2 5 9 15 38 -23 11
16 Union Berlin 17 2 4 11 11 28 -17 10
17 Bochum 16 2 4 10 15 41 -26 10
18 Mainz 16 0 9 7 13 32 -19 9

Mainz   Dortmund

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bayern Munich 32 5 27 2.8 1.3 22 3 7 90 41 69
2 8 Hoffenheim 32 7 25 1.8 2.0 11 7 14 56 64 40
3 13 M'gladbach 33 8 25 1.7 1.9 7 13 13 56 63 34
4 2 Stuttgart 33 9 24 2.2 1.2 22 4 7 74 39 70
5 1 Leverkusen 32 9 23 2.6 0.7 26 6 0 82 23 84
6 4 RB Leipzig 33 11 22 2.3 1.1 19 7 7 75 37 64
7 7 Freiburg 33 12 21 1.3 1.7 11 9 13 44 56 42
8 10 Augsburg 33 13 20 1.5 1.8 10 9 14 49 58 39
9 14 Bochum 32 12 20 1.3 2.0 7 12 13 41 65 33
10 5 Dortmund 32 13 19 2.0 1.2 17 9 6 64 40 60
11 6 Ein Frankfurt 33 14 19 1.5 1.5 11 13 9 49 48 46
12 11 Werder Bremen 33 14 19 1.3 1.6 10 9 14 44 53 39
13 12 Wolfsburg 32 13 19 1.2 1.6 10 7 15 40 51 37
14 18 Darmstadt 32 13 19 0.9 2.4 3 8 21 30 76 17
15 9 Heidenheim 33 16 17 1.4 1.6 9 12 12 46 54 39
16 15 Union Berlin 33 18 15 0.9 1.7 8 6 19 31 57 30
17 16 Mainz 32 19 13 1.0 1.6 5 14 13 33 50 29
18 17 FC Koln 33 22 11 0.8 1.7 5 12 16 27 56 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 16 3 13 2.8 0.6 13 3 0 45 10 42
2 13 M'gladbach 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 5 6 6 27 26 21
3 2 Stuttgart 16 4 12 2.9 0.9 12 3 1 46 15 39
4 3 Bayern Munich 16 4 12 3.2 0.8 13 1 2 51 12 40
5 8 Hoffenheim 16 5 11 1.7 1.8 5 5 6 27 29 20
6 11 Werder Bremen 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 25 25 22
7 4 RB Leipzig 17 7 10 2.4 0.7 11 4 2 40 12 37
8 5 Dortmund 16 6 10 2.1 1.4 9 3 4 33 22 30
9 7 Freiburg 17 7 10 1.6 1.8 5 7 5 28 30 22
10 10 Augsburg 17 7 10 1.5 1.5 6 6 5 26 26 24
11 12 Wolfsburg 16 6 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 6 24 22 22
12 18 Darmstadt 16 6 10 0.9 2.4 1 3 12 15 38 6
13 9 Heidenheim 16 7 9 1.6 1.6 6 5 5 26 25 23
14 14 Bochum 16 7 9 1.6 1.5 5 8 3 26 24 23
15 15 Union Berlin 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 6 2 8 20 29 20
16 6 Ein Frankfurt 16 8 8 1.7 1.2 7 7 2 27 19 28
17 17 FC Koln 17 10 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 15 28 16
18 16 Mainz 16 11 5 1.2 1.1 5 5 6 20 18 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bayern Munich 16 1 15 2.4 1.8 9 2 5 39 29 29
2 8 Hoffenheim 16 2 14 1.8 2.2 6 2 8 29 35 20
3 2 Stuttgart 17 5 12 1.6 1.4 10 1 6 28 24 31
4 4 RB Leipzig 16 4 12 2.2 1.6 8 3 5 35 25 27
5 13 M'gladbach 16 4 12 1.8 2.3 2 7 7 29 37 13
6 6 Ein Frankfurt 17 6 11 1.3 1.7 4 6 7 22 29 18
7 7 Freiburg 16 5 11 1.0 1.6 6 2 8 16 26 20
8 14 Bochum 16 5 11 0.9 2.6 2 4 10 15 41 10
9 1 Leverkusen 16 6 10 2.3 0.8 13 3 0 37 13 42
10 10 Augsburg 16 6 10 1.4 2.0 4 3 9 23 32 15
11 5 Dortmund 16 7 9 1.9 1.1 8 6 2 31 18 30
12 12 Wolfsburg 16 7 9 1.0 1.8 4 3 9 16 29 15
13 18 Darmstadt 16 7 9 0.9 2.4 2 5 9 15 38 11
14 9 Heidenheim 17 9 8 1.2 1.7 3 7 7 20 29 16
15 11 Werder Bremen 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 4 5 8 19 28 17
16 16 Mainz 16 8 8 0.8 2.0 0 9 7 13 32 9
17 15 Union Berlin 17 11 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 11 11 28 10
18 17 FC Koln 16 12 4 0.8 1.8 1 8 7 12 28 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51