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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 2–0 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 5.75 fair 3.23
Draw 4.20 fair 4.64
Away 1.60 fair 2.10
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 3.26
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz RB Leipzig
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 7
13 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (82 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.99
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.8% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
0.33points / match
1.00scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:24
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
2.78scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:7
Mainz all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.78
2.67 Goals conceded 0.78
3.67 Total goals 3.56
12.11 Shots 13.78
4.00 Shots on target 6.89
11.33 Shots faced 10.44
3.89 Corners 5.33
4.22 Corners against 4.11
14.89 Fouls 10.44
2.78 Yellow cards 1.56
0.44 1st-half goals scored 1.33
1.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

0% Wins 67%
33% Draws 22%
67% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
100% Over 1.5 goals 78%
89% Over 2.5 goals 78%
67% Over 3.5 goals 56%
11% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 22%
78% Both teams scored 44%
0% Clean sheets 56%
22% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 44%
22% Draws 33%
67% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
22% Over 2.5 goals 44%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
0.25points / match
0.75scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:10
RB Leipzig before this match, away
2.25points / match
2.25scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 9:4
Mainz at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 2.25
2.50 Goals conceded 1.00
3.25 Total goals 3.25
13.00 Shots 11.50
4.00 Shots on target 6.25
10.50 Shots faced 11.00
4.00 Corners 4.50
4.00 Corners against 6.00
15.00 Fouls 9.50
2.75 Yellow cards 1.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

0% Wins 75%
25% Draws 0%
75% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.23 Bochum – Mainz 2–2 (1–0) 2.703.302.55 1.73 2.10
21.10.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–2) 9.006.001.29 1.30 3.50
06.10.23 M'gladbach – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.753.40 1.57 2.38
30.09.23 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–1) 5.754.501.53 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Augsburg – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.502.63 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–3 (0–0) 2.633.402.70 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Werder Bremen – Mainz 4–0 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.10
27.08.23 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.502.88 1.73 2.10
20.08.23 Union Berlin – Mainz 4–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.10 1.73
27.05.23 Dortmund – Mainz 2–2 (0–2) 1.148.5015.00 1.22 4.33

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 6–0 (4–0) 1.444.757.00 1.57 2.38
21.10.23 Darmstadt – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–2) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
07.10.23 RB Leipzig – Bochum 0–0 (0–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.36 3.20
30.09.23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 2–2 (2–0) 3.404.201.91 1.40 3.00
23.09.23 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.751.57 1.40 3.00
16.09.23 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 3–0 (3–0) 1.257.0010.00 1.36 3.20
03.09.23 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 0–3 (0–0) 3.403.252.20 1.97 1.93
25.08.23 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 5–1 (0–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
19.08.23 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.602.75 1.67 2.20
27.05.23 RB Leipzig – Schalke 04 4–2 (2–1) 1.604.504.75 1.36 3.20

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–2) 9.006.001.29 1.30 3.50
30.09.23 Mainz – Leverkusen 0–3 (0–1) 5.754.501.53 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–3 (0–0) 2.633.402.70 1.67 2.20
27.08.23 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.383.502.88 1.73 2.10
21.05.23 Mainz – Stuttgart 1–4 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.73 2.10
05.05.23 Mainz – Schalke 04 2–3 (0–1) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.57 1.50 2.63
08.04.23 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
19.03.23 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
04.03.23 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Darmstadt – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–2) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.751.57 1.40 3.00
03.09.23 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 0–3 (0–0) 3.403.252.20 1.97 1.93
19.08.23 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 3–2 (2–1) 2.453.602.75 1.67 2.20
20.05.23 Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–0) 1.505.005.50 1.36 3.20
06.05.23 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.97
23.04.23 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.602.63 1.73 2.10
08.04.23 Hertha – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
18.03.23 Bochum – RB Leipzig 1–0 (0–0) 5.504.331.55 1.73 2.10
03.03.23 Dortmund – RB Leipzig 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.503.20 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
4matches
2.75goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–3 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
08.10.22D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.30 1.72 2.10
08.01.22D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 4–1 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10
15.08.21D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–0 (1–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50

Germany Bundesliga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 9 8 1 0 27 8 +19 25
2 Bayern Munich 9 7 2 0 34 7 +27 23
3 Stuttgart 9 7 0 2 27 11 +16 21
4 Dortmund 9 6 3 0 20 11 +9 21
5 RB Leipzig 9 6 2 1 25 7 +18 20
6 Hoffenheim 9 6 0 3 20 16 +4 18
7 Ein Frankfurt 9 3 5 1 12 9 +3 14
8 Freiburg 9 4 1 4 10 16 -6 13
9 Wolfsburg 9 4 0 5 13 14 -1 12
10 Augsburg 9 3 2 4 18 21 -3 11
11 M'gladbach 9 2 3 4 16 20 -4 9
12 Werder Bremen 9 3 0 6 14 18 -4 9
13 Bochum 10 1 5 4 10 24 -14 8
14 Heidenheim 9 2 1 6 13 22 -9 7
15 Darmstadt 10 2 1 7 14 32 -18 7
16 Union Berlin 9 2 0 7 11 19 -8 6
17 FC Koln 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
18 Mainz 9 0 3 6 9 24 -15 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leverkusen 5 5 0 0 17 5 +12 15
2 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 23 3 +20 13
3 Dortmund 5 4 1 0 9 4 +5 13
4 Stuttgart 5 4 0 1 18 5 +13 12
5 RB Leipzig 5 3 2 0 16 3 +13 11
6 Wolfsburg 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
7 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
8 Werder Bremen 5 3 0 2 10 8 +2 9
9 Freiburg 4 3 0 1 7 5 +2 9
10 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 12 11 +1 8
11 Heidenheim 4 2 0 2 9 10 -1 6
12 Darmstadt 5 1 1 3 10 14 -4 4
13 M'gladbach 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
14 Bochum 4 0 3 1 5 7 -2 3
15 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
16 FC Koln 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
17 Union Berlin 4 1 0 3 4 9 -5 3
18 Mainz 4 0 1 3 3 10 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim 5 5 0 0 14 7 +7 15
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 11 4 +7 10
3 Leverkusen 4 3 1 0 10 3 +7 10
4 RB Leipzig 4 3 0 1 9 4 +5 9
5 Stuttgart 4 3 0 1 9 6 +3 9
6 Dortmund 4 2 2 0 11 7 +4 8
7 M'gladbach 4 1 2 1 11 11 0 5
8 Ein Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
9 Bochum 6 1 2 3 5 17 -12 5
10 Freiburg 5 1 1 3 3 11 -8 4
11 Union Berlin 5 1 0 4 7 10 -3 3
12 Augsburg 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3
13 Wolfsburg 5 1 0 4 6 11 -5 3
14 Darmstadt 5 1 0 4 4 18 -14 3
15 Mainz 5 0 2 3 6 14 -8 2
16 Heidenheim 5 0 1 4 4 12 -8 1
17 FC Koln 5 0 1 4 2 13 -11 1
18 Werder Bremen 4 0 0 4 4 10 -6 0

Mainz   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 9 0 9 3.0 0.9 8 1 0 27 8 25
2 2 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 3.8 0.8 7 2 0 34 7 23
3 15 Darmstadt 10 1 9 1.4 3.2 2 1 7 14 32 7
4 3 Stuttgart 9 1 8 3.0 1.2 7 0 2 27 11 21
5 6 Hoffenheim 9 1 8 2.2 1.8 6 0 3 20 16 18
6 10 Augsburg 9 1 8 2.0 2.3 3 2 4 18 21 11
7 11 M'gladbach 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 2 3 4 16 20 9
8 18 Mainz 9 1 8 1.0 2.7 0 3 6 9 24 3
9 5 RB Leipzig 9 2 7 2.8 0.8 6 2 1 25 7 20
10 13 Bochum 10 3 7 1.0 2.4 1 5 4 10 24 8
11 8 Freiburg 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 4 1 4 10 16 13
12 9 Wolfsburg 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 0 5 13 14 12
13 12 Werder Bremen 9 3 6 1.6 2.0 3 0 6 14 18 9
14 14 Heidenheim 9 3 6 1.4 2.4 2 1 6 13 22 7
15 16 Union Berlin 9 3 6 1.2 2.1 2 0 7 11 19 6
16 17 FC Koln 9 3 6 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
17 4 Dortmund 9 4 5 2.2 1.2 6 3 0 20 11 21
18 7 Ein Frankfurt 9 7 2 1.3 1.0 3 5 1 12 9 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leverkusen 5 0 5 3.4 1.0 5 0 0 17 5 15
2 2 Bayern Munich 5 0 5 4.6 0.6 4 1 0 23 3 13
3 3 Stuttgart 5 0 5 3.6 1.0 4 0 1 18 5 12
4 10 Augsburg 5 0 5 2.4 2.2 2 2 1 12 11 8
5 15 Darmstadt 5 0 5 2.0 2.8 1 1 3 10 14 4
6 5 RB Leipzig 5 1 4 3.2 0.6 3 2 0 16 3 11
7 6 Hoffenheim 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
8 11 M'gladbach 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
9 12 Werder Bremen 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 3 0 2 10 8 9
10 14 Heidenheim 4 1 3 2.2 2.5 2 0 2 9 10 6
11 16 Union Berlin 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 1 0 3 4 9 3
12 17 FC Koln 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
13 18 Mainz 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 1 3 3 10 1
14 4 Dortmund 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 4 1 0 9 4 13
15 8 Freiburg 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 3 0 1 7 5 9
16 9 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
17 13 Bochum 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 3 1 5 7 3
18 7 Ein Frankfurt 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bochum 6 1 5 0.8 2.8 1 2 3 5 17 5
2 18 Mainz 5 0 5 1.2 2.8 0 2 3 6 14 2
3 1 Leverkusen 4 0 4 2.5 0.8 3 1 0 10 3 10
4 2 Bayern Munich 4 0 4 2.8 1.0 3 1 0 11 4 10
5 6 Hoffenheim 5 1 4 2.8 1.4 5 0 0 14 7 15
6 8 Freiburg 5 1 4 0.6 2.2 1 1 3 3 11 4
7 9 Wolfsburg 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 1 0 4 6 11 3
8 11 M'gladbach 4 0 4 2.8 2.8 1 2 1 11 11 5
9 15 Darmstadt 5 1 4 0.8 3.6 1 0 4 4 18 3
10 3 Stuttgart 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 3 0 1 9 6 9
11 4 Dortmund 4 1 3 2.8 1.8 2 2 0 11 7 8
12 5 RB Leipzig 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 0 1 9 4 9
13 10 Augsburg 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3
14 14 Heidenheim 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 0 1 4 4 12 1
15 16 Union Berlin 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 0 4 7 10 3
16 17 FC Koln 5 2 3 0.4 2.6 0 1 4 2 13 1
17 12 Werder Bremen 4 2 2 1.0 2.5 0 0 4 4 10 0
18 7 Ein Frankfurt 4 3 1 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51