Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 5.25 fair 3.00
Draw 4.50 fair 4.47
Away 1.57 fair 2.26
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Mainz Bayern Munich
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 7
14 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.84
Home / Draw / Away
MainzDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.5% 1–2 8.8% 2–1 7.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.64scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 46:39
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.11points / match
2.79scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 78:30
Mainz all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 2.79
1.39 Goals conceded 1.07
3.04 Total goals 3.86
12.75 Shots 19.07
4.89 Shots on target 7.96
11.96 Shots faced 9.00
4.68 Corners 6.39
4.00 Corners against 3.93
14.21 Fouls 9.21
1.89 Yellow cards 1.61
0.79 1st-half goals scored 1.86
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

39% Wins 61%
32% Draws 29%
29% Losses 11%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 93%
57% Over 2.5 goals 61%
29% Over 3.5 goals 46%
18% Over 4.5 goals 36%
7% Over 5.5 goals 25%
64% Both teams scored 64%
25% Clean sheets 32%
14% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 79%
32% Draws 14%
29% Losses 7%
82% Over 0.5 goals 93%
39% Over 1.5 goals 54%
21% Over 2.5 goals 36%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
Mainz before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.79scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:17
Bayern Munich before this match, away
1.93points / match
2.43scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 34:16
Mainz at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 2.43
1.21 Goals conceded 1.14
3.00 Total goals 3.57
13.79 Shots 16.50
5.50 Shots on target 6.29
9.93 Shots faced 10.86
4.36 Corners 4.86
3.79 Corners against 4.36
13.21 Fouls 9.43
1.36 Yellow cards 1.86
0.93 1st-half goals scored 1.71
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

36% Wins 57%
43% Draws 21%
21% Losses 21%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
36% Over 3.5 goals 43%
14% Over 4.5 goals 36%
7% Over 5.5 goals 21%
57% Both teams scored 64%
29% Clean sheets 29%
21% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 71%
29% Draws 29%
21% Losses 0%
79% Over 0.5 goals 86%
36% Over 1.5 goals 50%
29% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 FC Koln – Mainz 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.05 1.85
08.04.23 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
01.04.23 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–3 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
19.03.23 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
11.03.23 Hertha – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.402.45 1.93 2.00
04.03.23 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
24.02.23 Mainz – M'gladbach 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10
19.02.23 Leverkusen – Mainz 2–3 (1–2) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
11.02.23 Mainz – Augsburg 3–1 (2–1) 1.804.004.20 1.80 2.00
04.02.23 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.20 1.67

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 1–1 (1–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.25 4.00
08.04.23 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–0) 6.505.001.45 1.53 2.50
01.04.23 Bayern Munich – Dortmund 4–2 (3–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
19.03.23 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 2–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.55 1.40 3.00
11.03.23 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 5–3 (4–1) 1.139.0019.00 1.22 4.33
04.03.23 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.44 2.75
26.02.23 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.38
18.02.23 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 3–2 (1–1) 7.005.751.36 1.33 3.40
11.02.23 Bayern Munich – Bochum 3–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.25 4.00
05.02.23 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 2–4 (1–3) 5.254.501.57 1.44 2.75

Mainz at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Mainz – Werder Bremen 2–2 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.10
19.03.23 Mainz – Freiburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.30 2.00 1.90
04.03.23 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
24.02.23 Mainz – M'gladbach 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.10
11.02.23 Mainz – Augsburg 3–1 (2–1) 1.804.004.20 1.80 2.00
28.01.23 Mainz – Bochum 5–2 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00
25.01.23 Mainz – Dortmund 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Mainz – Ein Frankfurt 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.45 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Mainz – Wolfsburg 0–3 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.87 2.03
21.10.22 Mainz – FC Koln 5–0 (3–0) 2.153.503.25 1.72 2.10

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–0) 6.505.001.45 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 2–1 (0–1) 5.254.501.55 1.40 3.00
04.03.23 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.44 2.75
18.02.23 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 3–2 (1–1) 7.005.751.36 1.33 3.40
05.02.23 Wolfsburg – Bayern Munich 2–4 (1–3) 5.254.501.57 1.44 2.75
20.01.23 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–1 (0–1) 3.604.331.85 1.50 2.63
12.11.22 Schalke 04 – Bayern Munich 0–2 (0–1) 15.007.501.16 1.28 3.75
05.11.22 Hertha – Bayern Munich 2–3 (2–3) 10.006.501.25 1.30 3.50
22.10.22 Hoffenheim – Bayern Munich 0–2 (0–2) 5.505.001.50 1.33 3.40
08.10.22 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 2–2 (0–1) 4.334.751.65 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Mainz winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
3matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22D1 Bayern Munich – Mainz 6–2 (3–1) 1.256.5011.00 1.33 3.40
30.04.22D1 Mainz – Bayern Munich 3–1 (2–1) 5.754.501.53 1.44 2.75
11.12.21D1 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.33 3.40

Germany Bundesliga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 17 8 3 78 30 +48 59
2 Dortmund 28 18 3 7 62 39 +23 57
3 Union Berlin 28 15 7 6 43 31 +12 52
4 RB Leipzig 28 15 6 7 53 35 +18 51
5 Freiburg 28 14 8 6 41 37 +4 50
6 Leverkusen 28 13 5 10 51 41 +10 44
7 Ein Frankfurt 28 11 9 8 49 41 +8 42
8 Mainz 28 11 9 8 46 39 +7 42
9 Wolfsburg 28 10 10 8 46 36 +10 40
10 M'gladbach 28 9 9 10 43 45 -2 36
11 FC Koln 28 7 11 10 37 46 -9 32
12 Werder Bremen 28 9 5 14 43 54 -11 32
13 Augsburg 29 8 6 15 38 54 -16 30
14 Hoffenheim 28 8 5 15 38 47 -9 29
15 Bochum 28 8 3 17 31 61 -30 27
16 Stuttgart 29 5 10 14 36 51 -15 25
17 Schalke 04 28 5 9 14 26 52 -26 24
18 Hertha 28 5 7 16 33 55 -22 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dortmund 13 11 1 1 38 13 +25 34
2 Bayern Munich 14 9 5 0 44 14 +30 32
3 RB Leipzig 14 10 2 2 31 15 +16 32
4 Union Berlin 14 9 5 0 25 9 +16 32
5 Freiburg 14 8 4 2 22 12 +10 28
6 M'gladbach 14 8 3 3 29 17 +12 27
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 4 3 29 16 +13 25
8 Leverkusen 14 7 2 5 30 19 +11 23
9 Mainz 14 5 6 3 25 17 +8 21
10 FC Koln 14 5 5 4 22 15 +7 20
11 Wolfsburg 14 4 7 3 28 22 +6 19
12 Bochum 13 6 1 6 20 24 -4 19
13 Augsburg 15 5 4 6 15 21 -6 19
14 Hertha 14 4 5 5 19 21 -2 17
15 Hoffenheim 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17
16 Stuttgart 14 4 4 6 19 19 0 16
17 Werder Bremen 15 5 1 9 24 25 -1 16
18 Schalke 04 15 4 4 7 19 33 -14 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 8 3 3 34 16 +18 27
2 Dortmund 15 7 2 6 24 26 -2 23
3 Freiburg 14 6 4 4 19 25 -6 22
4 Wolfsburg 14 6 3 5 18 14 +4 21
5 Leverkusen 14 6 3 5 21 22 -1 21
6 Mainz 14 6 3 5 21 22 -1 21
7 Union Berlin 14 6 2 6 18 22 -4 20
8 RB Leipzig 14 5 4 5 22 20 +2 19
9 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 5 5 20 25 -5 17
10 Werder Bremen 13 4 4 5 19 29 -10 16
11 Hoffenheim 14 3 3 8 18 24 -6 12
12 FC Koln 14 2 6 6 15 31 -16 12
13 Augsburg 14 3 2 9 23 33 -10 11
14 M'gladbach 14 1 6 7 14 28 -14 9
15 Stuttgart 15 1 6 8 17 32 -15 9
16 Schalke 04 13 1 5 7 7 19 -12 8
17 Bochum 15 2 2 11 11 37 -26 8
18 Hertha 14 1 2 11 14 34 -20 5

Mainz   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 RB Leipzig 28 8 20 1.9 1.2 15 6 7 53 35 51
2 2 Dortmund 28 9 19 2.2 1.4 18 3 7 62 39 57
3 6 Leverkusen 28 9 19 1.8 1.5 13 5 10 51 41 44
4 12 Werder Bremen 28 9 19 1.5 1.9 9 5 14 43 54 32
5 10 M'gladbach 28 10 18 1.5 1.6 9 9 10 43 45 36
6 16 Stuttgart 29 11 18 1.2 1.8 5 10 14 36 51 25
7 1 Bayern Munich 28 11 17 2.8 1.1 17 8 3 78 30 59
8 13 Augsburg 29 12 17 1.3 1.9 8 6 15 38 54 30
9 14 Hoffenheim 28 11 17 1.4 1.7 8 5 15 38 47 29
10 15 Bochum 28 11 17 1.1 2.2 8 3 17 31 61 27
11 7 Ein Frankfurt 28 12 16 1.8 1.5 11 9 8 49 41 42
12 8 Mainz 28 12 16 1.6 1.4 11 9 8 46 39 42
13 3 Union Berlin 28 13 15 1.5 1.1 15 7 6 43 31 52
14 9 Wolfsburg 28 13 15 1.6 1.3 10 10 8 46 36 40
15 17 Schalke 04 28 13 15 0.9 1.9 5 9 14 26 52 24
16 18 Hertha 28 13 15 1.2 2.0 5 7 16 33 55 22
17 5 Freiburg 28 14 14 1.5 1.3 14 8 6 41 37 50
18 11 FC Koln 28 15 13 1.3 1.6 7 11 10 37 46 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 RB Leipzig 14 3 11 2.2 1.1 10 2 2 31 15 32
2 12 Werder Bremen 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 5 1 9 24 25 16
3 2 Dortmund 13 3 10 2.9 1.0 11 1 1 38 13 34
4 6 Leverkusen 14 4 10 2.1 1.4 7 2 5 30 19 23
5 9 Wolfsburg 14 4 10 2.0 1.6 4 7 3 28 22 19
6 17 Schalke 04 15 5 10 1.3 2.2 4 4 7 19 33 16
7 1 Bayern Munich 14 5 9 3.1 1.0 9 5 0 44 14 32
8 10 M'gladbach 14 5 9 2.1 1.2 8 3 3 29 17 27
9 14 Hoffenheim 14 5 9 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17
10 8 Mainz 14 6 8 1.8 1.2 5 6 3 25 17 21
11 15 Bochum 13 5 8 1.5 1.8 6 1 6 20 24 19
12 3 Union Berlin 14 7 7 1.8 0.6 9 5 0 25 9 32
13 7 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 7 2.1 1.1 7 4 3 29 16 25
14 16 Stuttgart 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 19 16
15 5 Freiburg 14 8 6 1.6 0.9 8 4 2 22 12 28
16 11 FC Koln 14 8 6 1.6 1.1 5 5 4 22 15 20
17 13 Augsburg 15 9 6 1.0 1.4 5 4 6 15 21 19
18 18 Hertha 14 8 6 1.4 1.5 4 5 5 19 21 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Augsburg 14 3 11 1.6 2.4 3 2 9 23 33 11
2 16 Stuttgart 15 4 11 1.1 2.1 1 6 8 17 32 9
3 2 Dortmund 15 6 9 1.6 1.7 7 2 6 24 26 23
4 4 RB Leipzig 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 5 4 5 22 20 19
5 6 Leverkusen 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 3 5 21 22 21
6 7 Ein Frankfurt 14 5 9 1.4 1.8 4 5 5 20 25 17
7 10 M'gladbach 14 5 9 1.0 2.0 1 6 7 14 28 9
8 15 Bochum 15 6 9 0.7 2.5 2 2 11 11 37 8
9 18 Hertha 14 5 9 1.0 2.4 1 2 11 14 34 5
10 1 Bayern Munich 14 6 8 2.4 1.1 8 3 3 34 16 27
11 3 Union Berlin 14 6 8 1.3 1.6 6 2 6 18 22 20
12 5 Freiburg 14 6 8 1.4 1.8 6 4 4 19 25 22
13 8 Mainz 14 6 8 1.5 1.6 6 3 5 21 22 21
14 12 Werder Bremen 13 5 8 1.5 2.2 4 4 5 19 29 16
15 14 Hoffenheim 14 6 8 1.3 1.7 3 3 8 18 24 12
16 11 FC Koln 14 7 7 1.1 2.2 2 6 6 15 31 12
17 9 Wolfsburg 14 9 5 1.3 1.0 6 3 5 18 14 21
18 17 Schalke 04 13 8 5 0.5 1.5 1 5 7 7 19 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44