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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 4–1 Mainz

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 1.93
Draw 3.75 fair 4.37
Away 4.33 fair 3.95
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Mainz
16 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 1
6 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (154 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.83 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.29points / match
1.76scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:22
Mainz before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.47scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:17
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.76 Goals scored 1.47
1.29 Goals conceded 1.00
3.06 Total goals 2.47
14.47 Shots 13.35
5.53 Shots on target 5.06
11.18 Shots faced 11.88
5.76 Corners 5.00
4.24 Corners against 4.94
11.24 Fouls 14.00
1.41 Yellow cards 2.00
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

35% Wins 41%
24% Draws 18%
41% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 76%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
35% Over 3.5 goals 18%
24% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 47%
18% Clean sheets 35%
24% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 53%
29% Draws 24%
29% Losses 24%
76% Over 0.5 goals 88%
24% Over 1.5 goals 35%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Mainz all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.78scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:12
Mainz before this match, away
0.75points / match
0.88scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:12
RB Leipzig at home away Mainz

Per match

2.78 Goals scored 0.88
1.33 Goals conceded 1.50
4.11 Total goals 2.38
16.11 Shots 12.50
7.11 Shots on target 4.25
9.67 Shots faced 13.13
4.78 Corners 4.63
2.78 Corners against 5.50
11.11 Fouls 13.00
1.22 Yellow cards 2.50
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

67% Wins 25%
0% Draws 0%
33% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
89% Over 2.5 goals 50%
67% Over 3.5 goals 13%
44% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 13%
11% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 25%
22% Draws 38%
33% Losses 38%
78% Over 0.5 goals 88%
33% Over 1.5 goals 25%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 9 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 RB Leipzig – Bielefeld 0–2 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.53 2.50
15.12.21 Augsburg – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 6.504.751.45 1.61 2.30
11.12.21 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 4–1 (2–0) 1.754.204.20 1.53 2.50
03.12.21 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 2–1 (1–1) 3.503.702.00 1.72 2.10
28.11.21 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.53 2.50
20.11.21 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 2–0 (1–0) 4.004.331.75 1.57 2.37
06.11.21 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.803.80 1.57 2.37
30.10.21 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.53 2.50
23.10.21 RB Leipzig – Greuther Furth 4–1 (0–1) 1.128.5021.00 1.33 3.40
16.10.21 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 4.004.001.85 1.66 2.20

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.503.00 1.80 2.00
14.12.21 Mainz – Hertha 4–0 (2–0) 1.903.504.20 2.04 1.89
11.12.21 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.33 3.40
04.12.21 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–0 (2–0) 2.503.302.87 2.10 1.72
26.11.21 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 2.08 1.85
21.11.21 Mainz – FC Koln 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.72 2.10
05.11.21 Mainz – M'gladbach 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.602.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.21 Bielefeld – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 2.10 1.72
22.10.21 Mainz – Augsburg 4–1 (3–0) 1.613.805.75 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 RB Leipzig – Bielefeld 0–2 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.53 2.50
11.12.21 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 4–1 (2–0) 1.754.204.20 1.53 2.50
28.11.21 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.53 2.50
06.11.21 RB Leipzig – Dortmund 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.803.80 1.57 2.37
23.10.21 RB Leipzig – Greuther Furth 4–1 (0–1) 1.128.5021.00 1.33 3.40
02.10.21 RB Leipzig – Bochum 3–0 (0–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.40 3.00
25.09.21 RB Leipzig – Hertha 6–0 (3–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.37
11.09.21 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–1) 3.003.802.20 1.44 2.75
20.08.21 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 4–0 (1–0) 1.365.257.00 1.53 2.50

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.12.21 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.503.00 1.80 2.00
11.12.21 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 1.207.5012.00 1.33 3.40
26.11.21 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 2.08 1.85
30.10.21 Bielefeld – Mainz 1–2 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Dortmund – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.44 2.75
25.09.21 Leverkusen – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.724.004.50 1.61 2.30
11.09.21 Hoffenheim – Mainz 0–2 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.57 2.37
21.08.21 Bochum – Mainz 2–0 (1–0) 2.623.502.62 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsMainz wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.21D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–0 (1–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50

Germany Bundesliga table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 18 14 1 3 57 18 +39 43
2 Dortmund 17 11 1 5 41 26 +15 34
3 Freiburg 17 8 5 4 28 16 +12 29
4 Leverkusen 17 8 4 5 40 28 +12 28
5 Hoffenheim 17 8 4 5 35 26 +9 28
6 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 6 4 27 24 +3 27
7 Union Berlin 17 7 6 4 23 21 +2 27
8 FC Koln 17 6 7 4 27 27 0 25
9 Mainz 17 7 3 7 25 17 +8 24
10 RB Leipzig 17 6 4 7 30 22 +8 22
11 M'gladbach 18 6 4 8 24 33 -9 22
12 Hertha 17 6 3 8 20 35 -15 21
13 Bochum 17 6 2 9 16 26 -10 20
14 Wolfsburg 17 6 2 9 17 29 -12 20
15 Augsburg 17 4 6 7 17 26 -9 18
16 Stuttgart 17 4 5 8 22 31 -9 17
17 Bielefeld 17 3 7 7 14 22 -8 16
18 Greuther Furth 17 1 2 14 13 49 -36 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 0 2 30 8 +22 24
2 Dortmund 9 8 0 1 26 12 +14 24
3 RB Leipzig 9 6 0 3 25 12 +13 18
4 Mainz 9 5 3 1 18 5 +13 18
5 FC Koln 9 5 3 1 18 11 +7 18
6 Union Berlin 9 5 3 1 12 8 +4 18
7 Hoffenheim 8 5 2 1 18 8 +10 17
8 Freiburg 8 4 2 2 13 9 +4 14
9 Bochum 8 4 2 2 10 6 +4 14
10 Hertha 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
11 M'gladbach 8 4 2 2 14 13 +1 14
12 Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 19 14 +5 13
13 Ein Frankfurt 8 3 4 1 12 8 +4 13
14 Stuttgart 9 3 2 4 16 18 -2 11
15 Augsburg 8 3 2 3 12 15 -3 11
16 Wolfsburg 9 3 1 5 8 14 -6 10
17 Bielefeld 9 1 5 3 8 13 -5 8
18 Greuther Furth 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 1 1 27 10 +17 19
2 Freiburg 9 4 3 2 15 7 +8 15
3 Leverkusen 9 4 3 2 21 14 +7 15
4 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 15 16 -1 14
5 Hoffenheim 9 3 2 4 17 18 -1 11
6 Dortmund 8 3 1 4 15 14 +1 10
7 Wolfsburg 8 3 1 4 9 15 -6 10
8 Union Berlin 8 2 3 3 11 13 -2 9
9 Bielefeld 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
10 M'gladbach 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8
11 Augsburg 9 1 4 4 5 11 -6 7
12 FC Koln 8 1 4 3 9 16 -7 7
13 Hertha 9 2 1 6 8 26 -18 7
14 Mainz 8 2 0 6 7 12 -5 6
15 Stuttgart 8 1 3 4 6 13 -7 6
16 Bochum 9 2 0 7 6 20 -14 6
17 RB Leipzig 8 0 4 4 5 10 -5 4
18 Greuther Furth 9 0 0 9 6 34 -28 0

RB Leipzig   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 18 2 16 3.2 1.0 14 1 3 57 18 43
2 2 Dortmund 17 3 14 2.4 1.5 11 1 5 41 26 34
3 4 Leverkusen 17 5 12 2.4 1.6 8 4 5 40 28 28
4 18 Greuther Furth 17 5 12 0.8 2.9 1 2 14 13 49 5
5 5 Hoffenheim 17 6 11 2.1 1.5 8 4 5 35 26 28
6 11 M'gladbach 18 7 11 1.3 1.8 6 4 8 24 33 22
7 12 Hertha 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 6 3 8 20 35 21
8 3 Freiburg 17 7 10 1.6 0.9 8 5 4 28 16 29
9 16 Stuttgart 17 7 10 1.3 1.8 4 5 8 22 31 17
10 8 FC Koln 17 8 9 1.6 1.6 6 7 4 27 27 25
11 9 Mainz 17 8 9 1.5 1.0 7 3 7 25 17 24
12 10 RB Leipzig 17 8 9 1.8 1.3 6 4 7 30 22 22
13 6 Ein Frankfurt 17 9 8 1.6 1.4 7 6 4 27 24 27
14 7 Union Berlin 17 9 8 1.4 1.2 7 6 4 23 21 27
15 14 Wolfsburg 17 9 8 1.0 1.7 6 2 9 17 29 20
16 15 Augsburg 17 9 8 1.0 1.5 4 6 7 17 26 18
17 13 Bochum 17 10 7 0.9 1.5 6 2 9 16 26 20
18 17 Bielefeld 17 12 5 0.8 1.3 3 7 7 14 22 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 10 1 9 3.0 0.8 8 0 2 30 8 24
2 2 Dortmund 9 1 8 2.9 1.3 8 0 1 26 12 24
3 10 RB Leipzig 9 1 8 2.8 1.3 6 0 3 25 12 18
4 16 Stuttgart 9 2 7 1.8 2.0 3 2 4 16 18 11
5 8 FC Koln 9 3 6 2.0 1.2 5 3 1 18 11 18
6 3 Freiburg 8 3 5 1.6 1.1 4 2 2 13 9 14
7 4 Leverkusen 8 3 5 2.4 1.8 4 1 3 19 14 13
8 9 Mainz 9 4 5 2.0 0.6 5 3 1 18 5 18
9 11 M'gladbach 8 3 5 1.8 1.6 4 2 2 14 13 14
10 15 Augsburg 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 3 2 3 12 15 11
11 5 Hoffenheim 8 4 4 2.2 1.0 5 2 1 18 8 17
12 12 Hertha 8 4 4 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
13 17 Bielefeld 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 5 3 8 13 8
14 6 Ein Frankfurt 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 3 4 1 12 8 13
15 7 Union Berlin 9 6 3 1.3 0.9 5 3 1 12 8 18
16 14 Wolfsburg 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 3 1 5 8 14 10
17 18 Greuther Furth 8 5 3 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
18 13 Bochum 8 6 2 1.2 0.8 4 2 2 10 6 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Greuther Furth 9 0 9 0.7 3.8 0 0 9 6 34 0
2 1 Bayern Munich 8 1 7 3.4 1.2 6 1 1 27 10 19
3 4 Leverkusen 9 2 7 2.3 1.6 4 3 2 21 14 15
4 5 Hoffenheim 9 2 7 1.9 2.0 3 2 4 17 18 11
5 12 Hertha 9 2 7 0.9 2.9 2 1 6 8 26 7
6 2 Dortmund 8 2 6 1.9 1.8 3 1 4 15 14 10
7 11 M'gladbach 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8
8 3 Freiburg 9 4 5 1.7 0.8 4 3 2 15 7 15
9 6 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 5 1.7 1.8 4 2 3 15 16 14
10 7 Union Berlin 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 2 3 3 11 13 9
11 13 Bochum 9 4 5 0.7 2.2 2 0 7 6 20 6
12 14 Wolfsburg 8 3 5 1.1 1.9 3 1 4 9 15 10
13 9 Mainz 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 0 6 7 12 6
14 8 FC Koln 8 5 3 1.1 2.0 1 4 3 9 16 7
15 15 Augsburg 9 6 3 0.6 1.2 1 4 4 5 11 7
16 16 Stuttgart 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 3 4 6 13 6
17 10 RB Leipzig 8 7 1 0.6 1.2 0 4 4 5 10 4
18 17 Bielefeld 8 7 1 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51