Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa – England Premier League, 17 Oct 2026

Match facts

Newcastle Aston Villa

16 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 3

0.99 Expected goals (xG) 1.57

4 Corners 5

14 Fouls 11

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (64 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.61

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.38

Home / Draw / Away

47% 23% 30%

NewcastleDrawAston Villa

Under / Over 2.5 goals

39% 61%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.4% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 7.6%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.67scored / match

2.17conceded / match

2 2 2

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:13

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

0.83points / match

1.00scored / match

1.83conceded / match

1 2 3

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:11

Newcastle all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00

2.17 Goals conceded 1.83

3.83 Total goals 2.83

1.19 xG created 1.13

1.72 xG allowed 1.72

11.67 Shots 11.33

4.00 Shots on target 3.17

17.83 Shots faced 15.83

4.67 Corners 2.83

5.33 Corners against 4.33

11.83 Fouls 10.67

2.17 Yellow cards 2.00

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.33

1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%

33% Draws 33%

33% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 83%

100% Over 1.5 goals 67%

83% Over 2.5 goals 67%

67% Over 3.5 goals 50%

33% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

83% Both teams scored 50%

17% Clean sheets 17%

0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%

17% Draws 67%

50% Losses 17%

83% Over 0.5 goals 50%

50% Over 1.5 goals 33%

33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches

3

1

W

1

D

3

1

W

2

L

2

D

2

W

2

D

1

4

L

2

1

W

1

4

L

Aston Villa all matches

1

2

L

2

D

4

2

W

2

1

W

4

L

1

L

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

D

Newcastle before this match, at home

1.67points / match

2.00scored / match

1.67conceded / match

1 2

WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:5

Aston Villa before this match, away

1.33points / match

1.00scored / match

2.00conceded / match

1 1 1

WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:6

Newcastle at home away Aston Villa

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00

1.67 Goals conceded 2.00

3.67 Total goals 3.00

1.24 xG created 1.12

1.98 xG allowed 1.97

11.00 Shots 11.33

3.67 Shots on target 2.33

22.00 Shots faced 17.33

3.33 Corners 2.33

5.33 Corners against 6.33

13.00 Fouls 9.67

2.67 Yellow cards 1.67

1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%

67% Draws 33%

0% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 67%

100% Over 1.5 goals 67%

100% Over 2.5 goals 67%

67% Over 3.5 goals 67%

0% Over 4.5 goals 33%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

100% Both teams scored 33%

0% Clean sheets 33%

0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%

0% Draws 33%

33% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 67%

67% Over 1.5 goals 33%

33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home

2

3

L

2

3

L

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

2

D

2

D

2

1

W

Aston Villa away

1

D

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

4

L

D

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.10.26	Coventry – Newcastle	4–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.70	2.10	1.67	2.20
19.09.26	Newcastle – Hull	2–1 (2–0)	1.60	4.33	5.00	1.62	2.30
14.09.26	Leeds – Newcastle	4–1 (3–0)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.80	2.00
05.09.26	Newcastle – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–2)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.57	2.38
29.08.26	Tottenham – Newcastle	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.75	2.90	1.62	2.30
23.08.26	Newcastle – Liverpool	2–2 (1–0)	4.00	3.80	1.90	1.50	2.63
24.05.26	Fulham – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	2.88	3.80	2.25	1.62	2.30
17.05.26	Newcastle – West Ham	3–1 (2–0)	2.10	3.80	3.20	1.50	2.63
10.05.26	Nott'm Forest – Newcastle	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.60	2.60	1.73	2.10
02.05.26	Newcastle – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	2.50	3.75	2.60	1.73	2.10

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.10.26	Aston Villa – Brentford	2–2 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.73	2.10
19.09.26	Tottenham – Aston Villa	2–3 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.70	1.83	2.03
12.09.26	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	1–2 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.98	1.88
05.09.26	Hull – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.85	1.88	1.98
31.08.26	Aston Villa – Arsenal	0–1 (0–0)	6.00	4.10	1.53	1.83	2.03
23.08.26	Brighton – Aston Villa	4–0 (4–0)	2.15	3.60	3.00	1.73	2.10
24.05.26	Man City – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.30	3.50
15.05.26	Aston Villa – Liverpool	4–2 (1–0)	2.75	3.50	2.40	1.73	2.10
10.05.26	Burnley – Aston Villa	2–2 (1–1)	5.00	4.33	1.60	1.73	2.10
03.05.26	Aston Villa – Tottenham	1–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.73	2.10

Newcastle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	Newcastle – Hull	2–1 (2–0)	1.60	4.33	5.00	1.62	2.30
05.09.26	Newcastle – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–2)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.57	2.38
23.08.26	Newcastle – Liverpool	2–2 (1–0)	4.00	3.80	1.90	1.50	2.63
17.05.26	Newcastle – West Ham	3–1 (2–0)	2.10	3.80	3.20	1.50	2.63
02.05.26	Newcastle – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	2.50	3.75	2.60	1.73	2.10
18.04.26	Newcastle – Bournemouth	1–2 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.50	2.63
22.03.26	Newcastle – Sunderland	1–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.88	1.98
04.03.26	Newcastle – Man United	2–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.50	2.60	1.57	2.38
28.02.26	Newcastle – Everton	2–3 (1–2)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.73	2.10
07.02.26	Newcastle – Brentford	2–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.50	3.50	1.73	2.10

Aston Villa away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.09.26	Tottenham – Aston Villa	2–3 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.70	1.83	2.03
05.09.26	Hull – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.60	1.85	1.88	1.98
23.08.26	Brighton – Aston Villa	4–0 (4–0)	2.15	3.60	3.00	1.73	2.10
24.05.26	Man City – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.30	3.50
10.05.26	Burnley – Aston Villa	2–2 (1–1)	5.00	4.33	1.60	1.73	2.10
25.04.26	Fulham – Aston Villa	1–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.73	2.10
12.04.26	Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.30	2.70	2.00	1.85
15.03.26	Man United – Aston Villa	3–1 (0–0)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.67	2.20
27.02.26	Wolves – Aston Villa	2–0 (0–0)	4.10	3.70	1.85	1.85	2.00
07.02.26	Bournemouth – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.50	2.50	1.67	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

5 1 4

Newcastle winsDrawsAston Villa wins

10matches

3.00goals / match

60%over 2.5

30%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.01.26E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	0–2 (0–1)	1.95	3.70	3.70	1.67	2.20
16.08.25E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.50	2.90	1.62	2.30
19.04.25E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	4–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
26.12.24E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	3–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.80	3.75	1.62	2.30
30.01.24E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	1–3 (0–2)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.50	2.50
12.08.23E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	5–1 (2–1)	1.75	3.75	4.60	1.73	2.10
15.04.23E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	3–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.07	1.83
29.10.22E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	4–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.94	1.96
13.02.22E0	Newcastle – Aston Villa	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.62	1.85	2.05
21.08.21E0	Aston Villa – Newcastle	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	7	7	0	0	19	7	+12	21
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10	5	+5	15
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18	5	+13	13
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	17	13	+4	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	9	8	+1	12
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	13	8	+5	10
7	Everton	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
8	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8	5	+3	9
9	Hull	7	2	3	2	8	7	+1	9
10	Ipswich	7	3	0	4	11	15	-4	9
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	10	13	-3	8
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9	12	-3	7
13	Man United	6	1	3	2	9	9	0	6
14	Coventry	6	2	0	4	5	11	-6	6
15	Fulham	7	1	2	4	7	10	-3	5
16	Nott'm Forest	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
17	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5
18	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
19	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7	13	-6	3
20	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3	9	-6	3

Champions League – league phase
Europa League – league phase
Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	4	4	0	0	11	6	+5	12
2	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	7	2	+5	9
3	Brighton	3	2	1	0	8	1	+7	7
4	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	11	6	+5	7
5	Brentford	4	2	1	1	8	3	+5	7
6	Everton	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7
7	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	4	4	0	6
8	Leeds	3	1	2	0	5	2	+3	5
9	Hull	3	1	2	0	4	2	+2	5
10	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	6	5	+1	5
11	Man United	3	1	1	1	6	4	+2	4
12	Fulham	4	1	1	2	6	7	-1	4
13	Crystal Palace	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3
14	Coventry	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	3
15	Sunderland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
16	Bournemouth	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2
17	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	2	5	-3	2
18	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2	1
19	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	0	2	-2	1
20	Tottenham	3	0	1	2	2	5	-3	1

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	7	3	+4	10
2	Man City	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
3	Brighton	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
4	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	3	3	0	6
5	Chelsea	4	2	0	2	6	7	-1	6
6	Leeds	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
7	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
8	Hull	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4
9	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4
10	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4
11	Brentford	3	0	3	0	5	5	0	3
12	Everton	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
13	Coventry	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
14	Ipswich	4	1	0	3	7	11	-4	3
15	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	4	8	-4	3
16	Man United	3	0	2	1	3	5	-2	2
17	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3	2
18	Fulham	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1
19	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	5	8	-3	1
20	Bournemouth	3	0	1	2	4	9	-5	1

Newcastle Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Chelsea	7	1	6	2.4	1.9	4	1	2	17	13	13
2	1	Man City	7	2	5	2.7	1.0	7	0	0	19	7	21
3	6	Brentford	7	2	5	1.9	1.1	2	4	1	13	8	10
4	10	Ipswich	7	2	5	1.6	2.1	3	0	4	11	15	9
5	11	Newcastle	6	1	5	1.7	2.2	2	2	2	10	13	8
6	2	Arsenal	6	2	4	1.7	0.8	5	0	1	10	5	15
7	3	Brighton	6	2	4	3.0	0.8	4	1	1	18	5	13
8	5	Liverpool	7	3	4	1.3	1.1	3	3	1	9	8	12
9	12	Crystal Palace	6	2	4	1.5	2.0	2	1	3	9	12	7
10	17	Aston Villa	6	2	4	1.0	1.8	1	2	3	6	11	5
11	19	Bournemouth	6	2	4	1.2	2.2	0	3	3	7	13	3
12	9	Hull	7	4	3	1.1	1.0	2	3	2	8	7	9
13	14	Coventry	6	3	3	0.8	1.8	2	0	4	5	11	6
14	15	Fulham	7	4	3	1.0	1.4	1	2	4	7	10	5
15	16	Nott'm Forest	6	3	3	0.8	1.3	1	2	3	5	8	5
16	7	Everton	7	5	2	1.1	1.0	2	4	1	8	7	10
17	8	Leeds	6	4	2	1.3	0.8	2	3	1	8	5	9
18	13	Man United	6	4	2	1.5	1.5	1	3	2	9	9	6
19	18	Sunderland	6	4	2	1.0	2.0	1	1	4	6	12	4
20	20	Tottenham	6	4	2	0.5	1.5	0	3	3	3	9	3

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Man City	4	1	3	2.8	1.5	4	0	0	11	6	12
2	2	Arsenal	3	0	3	2.3	0.7	3	0	0	7	2	9
3	4	Chelsea	3	0	3	3.7	2.0	2	1	0	11	6	7
4	6	Brentford	4	1	3	2.0	0.8	2	1	1	8	3	7
5	11	Newcastle	3	0	3	2.0	1.7	1	2	0	6	5	5
6	12	Crystal Palace	3	0	3	2.0	2.7	1	0	2	6	8	3
7	3	Brighton	3	1	2	2.7	0.3	2	1	0	8	1	7
8	5	Liverpool	3	1	2	0.7	1.7	0	2	1	2	5	2
9	10	Ipswich	3	1	2	1.3	1.3	2	0	1	4	4	6
10	14	Coventry	3	1	2	1.3	2.3	1	0	2	4	7	3
11	15	Fulham	4	2	2	1.5	1.8	1	1	2	6	7	4
12	17	Aston Villa	3	1	2	1.0	1.7	0	1	2	3	5	1
13	7	Everton	4	3	1	1.2	1.0	2	1	1	5	4	7
14	8	Leeds	3	2	1	1.7	0.7	1	2	0	5	2	5
15	9	Hull	3	2	1	1.3	0.7	1	2	0	4	2	5
16	13	Man United	3	2	1	2.0	1.3	1	1	1	6	4	4
17	19	Bournemouth	3	2	1	1.0	1.3	0	2	1	3	4	2
18	20	Tottenham	3	2	1	0.7	1.7	0	1	2	2	5	1
19	16	Nott'm Forest	3	3	0	0.0	0.7	0	1	2	0	2	1
20	18	Sunderland	3	3	0	0.3	1.3	1	0	2	1	4	3

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Chelsea	4	1	3	1.5	1.8	2	0	2	6	7	6
2	10	Ipswich	4	1	3	1.8	2.8	1	0	3	7	11	3
3	16	Nott'm Forest	3	0	3	1.7	2.0	1	1	1	5	6	4
4	19	Bournemouth	3	0	3	1.3	3.0	0	1	2	4	9	1
5	1	Man City	3	1	2	2.7	0.3	3	0	0	8	1	9
6	3	Brighton	3	1	2	3.3	1.3	2	0	1	10	4	6
7	5	Liverpool	4	2	2	1.8	0.8	3	1	0	7	3	10
8	6	Brentford	3	1	2	1.7	1.7	0	3	0	5	5	3
9	9	Hull	4	2	2	1.0	1.2	1	1	2	4	5	4
10	11	Newcastle	3	1	2	1.3	2.7	1	0	2	4	8	3
11	17	Aston Villa	3	1	2	1.0	2.0	1	1	1	3	6	4
12	18	Sunderland	3	1	2	1.7	2.7	0	1	2	5	8	1
13	2	Arsenal	3	2	1	1.0	1.0	2	0	1	3	3	6
14	7	Everton	3	2	1	1.0	1.0	0	3	0	3	3	3
15	8	Leeds	3	2	1	1.0	1.0	1	1	1	3	3	4
16	12	Crystal Palace	3	2	1	1.0	1.3	1	1	1	3	4	4
17	13	Man United	3	2	1	1.0	1.7	0	2	1	3	5	2
18	14	Coventry	3	2	1	0.3	1.3	1	0	2	1	4	3
19	15	Fulham	3	2	1	0.3	1.0	0	1	2	1	3	1
20	20	Tottenham	3	2	1	0.3	1.3	0	2	1	1	4	2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.