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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Newcastle 1–0 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.73
Draw 3.30 fair 4.18
Away 2.62 fair 2.53
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Aston Villa
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 6
22 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (229 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.62
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.58
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
1.09scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 24:44
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.41scored / match
1.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 31:35
Newcastle all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 1.41
2.00 Goals conceded 1.59
3.09 Total goals 3.00
11.77 Shots 11.27
3.55 Shots on target 3.73
15.05 Shots faced 13.36
4.45 Corners 4.91
4.50 Corners against 6.32
10.27 Fouls 10.00
2.41 Yellow cards 2.05
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

14% Wins 36%
41% Draws 14%
45% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 82%
50% Over 2.5 goals 64%
41% Over 3.5 goals 32%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 5%
68% Both teams scored 59%
9% Clean sheets 27%
23% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 23%
50% Draws 41%
32% Losses 36%
68% Over 0.5 goals 77%
36% Over 1.5 goals 41%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.42scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:24
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.09points / match
1.00scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:16
Newcastle at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.45
3.42 Total goals 2.45
13.17 Shots 11.73
4.17 Shots on target 3.45
15.08 Shots faced 14.64
4.33 Corners 5.91
4.50 Corners against 6.36
10.75 Fouls 11.36
2.08 Yellow cards 2.36
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

17% Wins 36%
50% Draws 0%
33% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 64%
58% Over 2.5 goals 55%
50% Over 3.5 goals 18%
25% Over 4.5 goals 9%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 45%
8% Clean sheets 27%
17% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 27%
58% Draws 27%
17% Losses 45%
67% Over 0.5 goals 82%
50% Over 1.5 goals 27%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22 Newcastle – Everton 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.87 1.91 1.99
22.01.22 Leeds – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.66 2.20
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.21 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
19.12.21 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –
16.12.21 Liverpool – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 1.129.0019.00 1.33 3.40
12.12.21 Leicester – Newcastle 4–0 (1–0) 1.664.104.75 1.57 2.37
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Newcastle – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.85 2.05
27.11.21 Arsenal – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.61 2.30

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.22 Aston Villa – Leeds 3–3 (3–2) 1.803.804.20 1.72 2.10
22.01.22 Everton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.252.62 2.05 1.85
15.01.22 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
02.01.22 Brentford – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
26.12.21 Aston Villa – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.65 2.05 1.85
14.12.21 Norwich – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72
11.12.21 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
05.12.21 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.90 2.00
01.12.21 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30
27.11.21 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.07 1.86

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22 Newcastle – Everton 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.87 1.91 1.99
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.21 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
19.12.21 Newcastle – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 13.007.501.18 – –
04.12.21 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94
30.11.21 Newcastle – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.85 2.05
20.11.21 Newcastle – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 2.623.402.70 2.00 1.90
30.10.21 Newcastle – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.72 2.10
17.10.21 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–3 (1–3) 3.503.602.05 1.80 2.00
17.09.21 Newcastle – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.602.30 1.61 2.30

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.22 Everton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.252.62 2.05 1.85
02.01.22 Brentford – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
14.12.21 Norwich – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72
11.12.21 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
27.11.21 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 2.07 1.86
05.11.21 Southampton – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.72 2.10
22.10.21 Arsenal – Aston Villa 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.754.20 1.72 2.10
03.10.21 Tottenham – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.90
25.09.21 Man United – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.37
11.09.21 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.285.5011.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsAston Villa wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21E0 Aston Villa – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 25 20 3 2 61 14 +47 63
2 Liverpool 23 15 6 2 60 19 +41 51
3 Chelsea 24 13 8 3 48 18 +30 47
4 West Ham 24 12 4 8 42 31 +11 40
5 Man United 24 11 7 6 38 32 +6 40
6 Arsenal 22 12 3 7 34 25 +9 39
7 Tottenham 21 11 3 7 28 27 +1 36
8 Wolves 22 10 4 8 19 17 +2 34
9 Brighton 23 7 12 4 25 23 +2 33
10 Southampton 24 6 11 7 30 37 -7 29
11 Aston Villa 22 8 3 11 31 35 -4 27
12 Crystal Palace 24 5 11 8 32 35 -3 26
13 Leicester 21 7 5 9 34 39 -5 26
14 Brentford 25 6 6 13 26 40 -14 24
15 Leeds 23 5 8 10 27 46 -19 23
16 Everton 22 6 4 12 28 38 -10 22
17 Newcastle 22 3 9 10 24 44 -20 18
18 Norwich 24 4 5 15 14 50 -36 17
19 Watford 23 4 3 16 23 43 -20 15
20 Burnley 20 1 11 8 17 28 -11 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 10 1 1 34 6 +28 31
2 Liverpool 11 8 3 0 27 6 +21 27
3 Chelsea 12 6 5 1 27 10 +17 23
4 Arsenal 11 7 2 2 18 8 +10 23
5 Tottenham 11 7 1 3 18 13 +5 22
6 West Ham 12 6 2 4 23 18 +5 20
7 Man United 12 6 2 4 19 16 +3 20
8 Crystal Palace 12 4 5 3 21 15 +6 17
9 Leicester 11 5 2 4 19 16 +3 17
10 Southampton 11 3 7 1 14 10 +4 16
11 Everton 11 5 1 5 18 17 +1 16
12 Aston Villa 11 4 3 4 20 19 +1 15
13 Brighton 11 3 5 3 10 11 -1 14
14 Wolves 11 4 2 5 8 9 -1 14
15 Brentford 13 4 2 7 14 17 -3 14
16 Leeds 11 3 4 4 13 17 -4 13
17 Newcastle 12 2 6 4 17 24 -7 12
18 Burnley 9 1 6 2 9 9 0 9
19 Norwich 13 2 3 8 8 25 -17 9
20 Watford 12 2 1 9 11 27 -16 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 13 10 2 1 27 8 +19 32
2 Liverpool 12 7 3 2 33 13 +20 24
3 Chelsea 12 7 3 2 21 8 +13 24
4 West Ham 12 6 2 4 19 13 +6 20
5 Man United 12 5 5 2 19 16 +3 20
6 Wolves 11 6 2 3 11 8 +3 20
7 Brighton 12 4 7 1 15 12 +3 19
8 Arsenal 11 5 1 5 16 17 -1 16
9 Tottenham 10 4 2 4 10 14 -4 14
10 Southampton 13 3 4 6 16 27 -11 13
11 Aston Villa 11 4 0 7 11 16 -5 12
12 Brentford 12 2 4 6 12 23 -11 10
13 Leeds 12 2 4 6 14 29 -15 10
14 Leicester 10 2 3 5 15 23 -8 9
15 Crystal Palace 12 1 6 5 11 20 -9 9
16 Watford 11 2 2 7 12 16 -4 8
17 Norwich 11 2 2 7 6 25 -19 8
18 Everton 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6
19 Newcastle 10 1 3 6 7 20 -13 6
20 Burnley 11 0 5 6 8 19 -11 5

Newcastle   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 23 6 17 2.6 0.8 15 6 2 60 19 51
2 4 West Ham 24 10 14 1.8 1.3 12 4 8 42 31 40
3 11 Aston Villa 22 8 14 1.4 1.6 8 3 11 31 35 27
4 12 Crystal Palace 24 10 14 1.3 1.5 5 11 8 32 35 26
5 13 Leicester 21 7 14 1.6 1.9 7 5 9 34 39 26
6 15 Leeds 23 9 14 1.2 2.0 5 8 10 27 46 23
7 16 Everton 22 8 14 1.3 1.7 6 4 12 28 38 22
8 18 Norwich 24 10 14 0.6 2.1 4 5 15 14 50 17
9 1 Man City 25 12 13 2.4 0.6 20 3 2 61 14 63
10 10 Southampton 24 11 13 1.2 1.5 6 11 7 30 37 29
11 14 Brentford 25 12 13 1.0 1.6 6 6 13 26 40 24
12 3 Chelsea 24 12 12 2.0 0.8 13 8 3 48 18 47
13 7 Tottenham 21 9 12 1.3 1.3 11 3 7 28 27 36
14 5 Man United 24 13 11 1.6 1.3 11 7 6 38 32 40
15 6 Arsenal 22 11 11 1.5 1.1 12 3 7 34 25 39
16 17 Newcastle 22 11 11 1.1 2.0 3 9 10 24 44 18
17 19 Watford 23 12 11 1.0 1.9 4 3 16 23 43 15
18 20 Burnley 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 1 11 8 17 28 14
19 8 Wolves 22 17 5 0.9 0.8 10 4 8 19 17 34
20 9 Brighton 23 18 5 1.1 1.0 7 12 4 25 23 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 West Ham 12 4 8 1.9 1.5 6 2 4 23 18 20
2 7 Tottenham 11 3 8 1.6 1.2 7 1 3 18 13 22
3 11 Aston Villa 11 3 8 1.8 1.7 4 3 4 20 19 15
4 12 Crystal Palace 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 4 5 3 21 15 17
5 18 Norwich 13 5 8 0.6 1.9 2 3 8 8 25 9
6 2 Liverpool 11 4 7 2.5 0.5 8 3 0 27 6 27
7 14 Brentford 13 6 7 1.1 1.3 4 2 7 14 17 14
8 16 Everton 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 5 1 5 18 17 16
9 17 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.4 2.0 2 6 4 17 24 12
10 19 Watford 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 2 1 9 11 27 7
11 1 Man City 12 6 6 2.8 0.5 10 1 1 34 6 31
12 3 Chelsea 12 6 6 2.2 0.8 6 5 1 27 10 23
13 13 Leicester 11 5 6 1.7 1.5 5 2 4 19 16 17
14 15 Leeds 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 4 13 17 13
15 5 Man United 12 7 5 1.6 1.3 6 2 4 19 16 20
16 6 Arsenal 11 6 5 1.6 0.7 7 2 2 18 8 23
17 8 Wolves 11 8 3 0.7 0.8 4 2 5 8 9 14
18 10 Southampton 11 8 3 1.3 0.9 3 7 1 14 10 16
19 20 Burnley 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 1 6 2 9 9 9
20 9 Brighton 11 9 2 0.9 1.0 3 5 3 10 11 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 12 2 10 2.8 1.1 7 3 2 33 13 24
2 10 Southampton 13 3 10 1.2 2.1 3 4 6 16 27 13
3 13 Leicester 10 2 8 1.5 2.3 2 3 5 15 23 9
4 15 Leeds 12 4 8 1.2 2.4 2 4 6 14 29 10
5 1 Man City 13 6 7 2.1 0.6 10 2 1 27 8 32
6 16 Everton 11 4 7 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6
7 3 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 7 3 2 21 8 24
8 4 West Ham 12 6 6 1.6 1.1 6 2 4 19 13 20
9 5 Man United 12 6 6 1.6 1.3 5 5 2 19 16 20
10 6 Arsenal 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 5 1 5 16 17 16
11 11 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 4 0 7 11 16 12
12 12 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 0.9 1.7 1 6 5 11 20 9
13 14 Brentford 12 6 6 1.0 1.9 2 4 6 12 23 10
14 18 Norwich 11 5 6 0.5 2.3 2 2 7 6 25 8
15 20 Burnley 11 6 5 0.7 1.7 0 5 6 8 19 5
16 7 Tottenham 10 6 4 1.0 1.4 4 2 4 10 14 14
17 17 Newcastle 10 6 4 0.7 2.0 1 3 6 7 20 6
18 19 Watford 11 7 4 1.1 1.5 2 2 7 12 16 8
19 9 Brighton 12 9 3 1.2 1.0 4 7 1 15 12 19
20 8 Wolves 11 9 2 1.0 0.7 6 2 3 11 8 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51