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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Newcastle 2–3 Brentford

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.10 fair 2.24
Draw 3.50 fair 4.14
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 3.21
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Brentford
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 3
14 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (247 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawBrentford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 33:33
Brentford before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 36:32
Newcastle all matches all matches Brentford

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded 1.33
2.75 Total goals 2.83
12.79 Shots 10.29
4.54 Shots on target 4.04
11.08 Shots faced 12.67
6.67 Corners 4.96
5.29 Corners against 5.04
9.67 Fouls 10.42
1.42 Yellow cards 1.96
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

38% Wins 46%
25% Draws 13%
38% Losses 42%
83% Over 0.5 goals 96%
71% Over 1.5 goals 83%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
17% Over 4.5 goals 13%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
58% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 25%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 42%
38% Draws 21%
29% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 79%
29% Over 1.5 goals 25%
21% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Brentford all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
1.92points / match
1.83scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 22:17
Brentford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.08scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 13:20
Newcastle at home away Brentford

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.08
1.42 Goals conceded 1.67
3.25 Total goals 2.75
14.25 Shots 9.33
5.75 Shots on target 3.75
11.33 Shots faced 12.75
7.42 Corners 5.92
5.50 Corners against 5.17
10.42 Fouls 10.75
1.33 Yellow cards 2.25
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

58% Wins 33%
17% Draws 0%
25% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
67% Over 2.5 goals 42%
33% Over 3.5 goals 25%
17% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
67% Both teams scored 42%
25% Clean sheets 25%
8% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 33%
33% Draws 17%
25% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Brentford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.904.10 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
18.01.26 Wolves – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.504.10 1.98 1.88
17.01.26 Chelsea – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.30
07.01.26 Brentford – Sunderland 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.05 1.80
04.01.26 Everton – Brentford 2–4 (0–1) 2.353.253.10 2.20 1.67
01.01.26 Brentford – Tottenham 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.603.20 1.93 1.93
27.12.25 Brentford – Bournemouth 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Wolves – Brentford 0–2 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 2.00 1.85
14.12.25 Brentford – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
06.12.25 Tottenham – Brentford 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.83 2.03

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.703.70 1.67 2.20
07.01.26 Newcastle – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.673.805.00 1.83 2.03
04.01.26 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.25 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.205.50 1.73 2.10
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73

Brentford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Aston Villa – Brentford 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.80 2.00
17.01.26 Chelsea – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Everton – Brentford 2–4 (0–1) 2.353.253.10 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Wolves – Brentford 0–2 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 2.00 1.85
06.12.25 Tottenham – Brentford 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.83 2.03
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.90 1.73 2.10
20.10.25 West Ham – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 1.90 1.95
20.09.25 Fulham – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsBrentford wins
9matches
4.11goals / match
78%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25E0 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.04.25E0 Newcastle – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 1.734.504.00 1.44 2.75
07.12.24E0 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
19.05.24E0 Brentford – Newcastle 2–4 (0–3) 2.903.902.20 1.36 3.20
16.09.23E0 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
08.04.23E0 Brentford – Newcastle 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.03 1.87
08.10.22E0 Newcastle – Brentford 5–1 (2–0) 1.833.804.20 1.72 2.10
26.02.22E0 Brentford – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.61
20.11.21E0 Newcastle – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 2.623.402.70 2.00 1.90

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 25 17 5 3 49 17 +32 56
2 Man City 24 14 5 5 49 23 +26 47
3 Aston Villa 25 14 5 6 36 27 +9 47
4 Man United 25 12 8 5 46 36 +10 44
5 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 45 28 +17 43
6 Liverpool 24 11 6 7 39 33 +6 39
7 Everton 25 10 7 8 28 28 0 37
8 Brentford 24 11 3 10 36 32 +4 36
9 Sunderland 25 9 9 7 27 29 -2 36
10 Fulham 25 10 4 11 35 37 -2 34
11 Bournemouth 25 8 10 7 41 44 -3 34
12 Newcastle 24 9 6 9 33 33 0 33
13 Brighton 24 7 10 7 34 32 +2 31
14 Tottenham 25 7 8 10 35 35 0 29
15 Crystal Palace 24 7 8 9 25 29 -4 29
16 Leeds 25 7 8 10 34 43 -9 29
17 Nott'm Forest 25 7 5 13 25 38 -13 26
18 West Ham 25 6 5 14 31 48 -17 23
19 Burnley 25 3 6 16 25 49 -24 15
20 Wolves 25 1 5 19 16 48 -32 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 13 10 2 1 31 8 +23 32
2 Man City 12 9 2 1 29 8 +21 29
3 Man United 13 8 3 2 25 15 +10 27
4 Sunderland 12 7 5 0 21 9 +12 26
5 Aston Villa 12 8 1 3 18 10 +8 25
6 Brentford 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24
7 Liverpool 12 7 3 2 20 12 +8 24
8 Fulham 13 7 2 4 22 16 +6 23
9 Bournemouth 13 6 5 2 20 14 +6 23
10 Newcastle 12 7 2 3 22 17 +5 23
11 Leeds 13 6 4 3 22 18 +4 22
12 Brighton 12 5 6 1 20 13 +7 21
13 Chelsea 12 6 3 3 20 13 +7 21
14 Everton 12 4 4 4 15 16 -1 16
15 Crystal Palace 12 2 6 4 11 15 -4 12
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 18 -5 12
17 Tottenham 12 2 4 6 15 16 -1 10
18 Burnley 13 2 4 7 12 19 -7 10
19 West Ham 12 3 1 8 16 26 -10 10
20 Wolves 13 1 2 10 11 28 -17 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 7 3 2 18 9 +9 24
2 Chelsea 13 6 4 3 25 15 +10 22
3 Aston Villa 13 6 4 3 18 17 +1 22
4 Everton 13 6 3 4 13 12 +1 21
5 Tottenham 13 5 4 4 20 19 +1 19
6 Man City 12 5 3 4 20 15 +5 18
7 Man United 12 4 5 3 21 21 0 17
8 Crystal Palace 12 5 2 5 14 14 0 17
9 Liverpool 12 4 3 5 19 21 -2 15
10 Nott'm Forest 13 4 2 7 12 20 -8 14
11 West Ham 13 3 4 6 15 22 -7 13
12 Brentford 12 4 0 8 13 20 -7 12
13 Fulham 12 3 2 7 13 21 -8 11
14 Bournemouth 12 2 5 5 21 30 -9 11
15 Brighton 12 2 4 6 14 19 -5 10
16 Newcastle 12 2 4 6 11 16 -5 10
17 Sunderland 13 2 4 7 6 20 -14 10
18 Leeds 12 1 4 7 12 25 -13 7
19 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 30 -17 5
20 Wolves 12 0 3 9 5 20 -15 3

Newcastle   Brentford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 25 8 17 1.2 1.9 6 5 14 31 48 23
2 5 Chelsea 25 9 16 1.8 1.1 12 7 6 45 28 43
3 14 Tottenham 25 9 16 1.4 1.4 7 8 10 35 35 29
4 4 Man United 25 10 15 1.8 1.4 12 8 5 46 36 44
5 6 Liverpool 24 9 15 1.6 1.4 11 6 7 39 33 39
6 11 Bournemouth 25 10 15 1.6 1.8 8 10 7 41 44 34
7 16 Leeds 25 10 15 1.4 1.7 7 8 10 34 43 29
8 2 Man City 24 10 14 2.0 1.0 14 5 5 49 23 47
9 10 Fulham 25 11 14 1.4 1.5 10 4 11 35 37 34
10 12 Newcastle 24 10 14 1.4 1.4 9 6 9 33 33 33
11 1 Arsenal 25 12 13 2.0 0.7 17 5 3 49 17 56
12 3 Aston Villa 25 12 13 1.4 1.1 14 5 6 36 27 47
13 17 Nott'm Forest 25 12 13 1.0 1.5 7 5 13 25 38 26
14 19 Burnley 25 12 13 1.0 2.0 3 6 16 25 49 15
15 8 Brentford 24 12 12 1.5 1.3 11 3 10 36 32 36
16 13 Brighton 24 12 12 1.4 1.3 7 10 7 34 32 31
17 9 Sunderland 25 14 11 1.1 1.2 9 9 7 27 29 36
18 15 Crystal Palace 24 13 11 1.0 1.2 7 8 9 25 29 29
19 20 Wolves 25 14 11 0.6 1.9 1 5 19 16 48 8
20 7 Everton 25 17 8 1.1 1.1 10 7 8 28 28 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Leeds 13 4 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 3 22 18 22
2 18 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 1 8 16 26 10
3 1 Arsenal 13 5 8 2.4 0.6 10 2 1 31 8 32
4 10 Fulham 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 7 2 4 22 16 23
5 12 Newcastle 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 7 2 3 22 17 23
6 2 Man City 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 9 2 1 29 8 29
7 3 Aston Villa 12 5 7 1.5 0.8 8 1 3 18 10 25
8 5 Chelsea 12 5 7 1.7 1.1 6 3 3 20 13 21
9 8 Brentford 12 5 7 1.9 1.0 7 3 2 23 12 24
10 14 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 2 4 6 15 16 10
11 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.5 3 3 6 13 18 12
12 20 Wolves 13 6 7 0.8 2.2 1 2 10 11 28 5
13 6 Liverpool 12 6 6 1.7 1.0 7 3 2 20 12 24
14 9 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 5 0 21 9 26
15 11 Bournemouth 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 6 5 2 20 14 23
16 13 Brighton 12 6 6 1.7 1.1 5 6 1 20 13 21
17 4 Man United 13 8 5 1.9 1.2 8 3 2 25 15 27
18 7 Everton 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 4 4 4 15 16 16
19 15 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 0.9 1.2 2 6 4 11 15 12
20 19 Burnley 13 9 4 0.9 1.5 2 4 7 12 19 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man United 12 2 10 1.8 1.8 4 5 3 21 21 17
2 5 Chelsea 13 4 9 1.9 1.2 6 4 3 25 15 22
3 6 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 4 3 5 19 21 15
4 11 Bournemouth 12 3 9 1.8 2.5 2 5 5 21 30 11
5 14 Tottenham 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 4 20 19 19
6 19 Burnley 12 3 9 1.1 2.5 1 2 9 13 30 5
7 18 West Ham 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 3 4 6 15 22 13
8 2 Man City 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 5 3 4 20 15 18
9 3 Aston Villa 13 7 6 1.4 1.3 6 4 3 18 17 22
10 10 Fulham 12 6 6 1.1 1.8 3 2 7 13 21 11
11 12 Newcastle 12 6 6 0.9 1.3 2 4 6 11 16 10
12 13 Brighton 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 2 4 6 14 19 10
13 15 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 5 2 5 14 14 17
14 16 Leeds 12 6 6 1.0 2.1 1 4 7 12 25 7
15 17 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 4 2 7 12 20 14
16 1 Arsenal 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 7 3 2 18 9 24
17 8 Brentford 12 7 5 1.1 1.7 4 0 8 13 20 12
18 9 Sunderland 13 8 5 0.5 1.5 2 4 7 6 20 10
19 20 Wolves 12 8 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 9 5 20 3
20 7 Everton 13 10 3 1.0 0.9 6 3 4 13 12 21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44