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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Newcastle 4–0 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 1.69
Draw 3.75 fair 4.43
Away 4.50 fair 5.47
Under 2.5 1.96 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.94 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Aston Villa
20 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
3 Corners 0
11 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.83 – 0.91
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.8% 2–0 10.8% 1–1 10.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.67scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 20:10
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.92scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:16
Newcastle all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.92
0.83 Goals conceded 1.33
2.50 Total goals 2.25
15.08 Shots 12.25
5.42 Shots on target 4.50
11.92 Shots faced 11.75
7.42 Corners 4.92
4.50 Corners against 4.58
10.75 Fouls 12.58
1.58 Yellow cards 2.17
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

42% Wins 25%
50% Draws 25%
8% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 75%
42% Over 2.5 goals 42%
25% Over 3.5 goals 17%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 42%
42% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
42% Draws 42%
8% Losses 33%
58% Over 0.5 goals 75%
33% Over 1.5 goals 25%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:5
Aston Villa before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.50scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:11
Newcastle at home away Aston Villa

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.50
0.83 Goals conceded 1.83
2.83 Total goals 2.33
18.33 Shots 12.50
6.50 Shots on target 4.17
10.33 Shots faced 13.17
9.00 Corners 5.00
3.17 Corners against 5.17
12.50 Fouls 14.33
1.67 Yellow cards 2.33
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.22 Tottenham – Newcastle 1–2 (0–2) 2.053.503.50 1.92 1.98
19.10.22 Newcastle – Everton 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.805.75 1.92 1.98
16.10.22 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
08.10.22 Newcastle – Brentford 5–1 (2–0) 1.833.804.20 1.72 2.10
01.10.22 Fulham – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.003.402.37 1.91 1.99
17.09.22 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03
03.09.22 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
31.08.22 Liverpool – Newcastle 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.259.00 1.50 2.62
28.08.22 Wolves – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.10 1.72
21.08.22 Newcastle – Man City 3–3 (2–1) 7.505.001.36 1.66 2.20

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
31.08.22 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
28.08.22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.91 1.99
20.08.22 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.22 Newcastle – Everton 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.805.75 1.92 1.98
08.10.22 Newcastle – Brentford 5–1 (2–0) 1.833.804.20 1.72 2.10
17.09.22 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.407.50 1.87 2.03
03.09.22 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.80
21.08.22 Newcastle – Man City 3–3 (2–1) 7.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
06.08.22 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.663.805.25 2.05 1.85
16.05.22 Newcastle – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 4.333.601.83 1.90 2.00
30.04.22 Newcastle – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.36 1.66 2.20
20.04.22 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.20 1.66
17.04.22 Newcastle – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 1.99 1.91

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
31.08.22 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
20.08.22 Crystal Palace – Aston Villa 3–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80
22.05.22 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
07.05.22 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
23.04.22 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
02.04.22 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.102.55 2.37 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsAston Villa wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.22E0 Newcastle – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.62 1.85 2.05
21.08.21E0 Aston Villa – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 12 9 2 1 37 11 +26 29
2 Arsenal 11 9 1 1 25 11 +14 28
3 Tottenham 12 7 2 3 23 14 +9 23
4 Newcastle 12 5 6 1 20 10 +10 21
5 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 16 11 +5 21
6 Man United 11 6 2 3 16 16 0 20
7 Fulham 12 5 3 4 22 22 0 18
8 Liverpool 11 4 4 3 22 13 +9 16
9 Brighton 11 4 3 4 15 14 +1 15
10 West Ham 12 4 2 6 11 12 -1 14
11 Brentford 12 3 5 4 18 21 -3 14
12 Everton 12 3 4 5 11 12 -1 13
13 Crystal Palace 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
14 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 10 25 -15 13
15 Aston Villa 12 3 3 6 11 16 -5 12
16 Southampton 12 3 3 6 11 19 -8 12
17 Leicester 13 3 2 8 21 25 -4 11
18 Leeds 11 2 3 6 13 18 -5 9
19 Wolves 12 2 3 7 5 18 -13 9
20 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 8 23 -15 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 6 6 0 0 27 6 +21 18
2 Tottenham 6 5 0 1 16 6 +10 15
3 Arsenal 5 5 0 0 14 7 +7 15
4 Liverpool 6 4 2 0 17 5 +12 14
5 Newcastle 6 3 3 0 12 5 +7 12
6 Brentford 6 3 2 1 12 6 +6 11
7 Chelsea 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11
8 Fulham 6 3 2 1 13 11 +2 11
9 Man United 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
10 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10
11 West Ham 6 3 1 2 8 6 +2 10
12 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
13 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 6 +3 8
14 Brighton 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
15 Leeds 6 2 2 2 8 6 +2 8
16 Everton 6 2 2 2 6 4 +2 8
17 Bournemouth 6 2 2 2 4 5 -1 8
18 Wolves 6 2 2 2 3 8 -5 8
19 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 7
20 Southampton 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
2 Man City 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11
3 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 6 6 0 10
4 Man United 6 3 1 2 8 12 -4 10
5 Newcastle 6 2 3 1 8 5 +3 9
6 Tottenham 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
7 Brighton 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
8 Fulham 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
9 Southampton 6 2 0 4 4 11 -7 6
10 Everton 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5
11 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 6 20 -14 5
12 West Ham 6 1 1 4 3 6 -3 4
13 Crystal Palace 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
14 Leicester 6 1 0 5 12 19 -7 3
15 Brentford 6 0 3 3 6 15 -9 3
16 Liverpool 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
17 Aston Villa 6 0 2 4 3 11 -8 2
18 Nott'm Forest 6 0 2 4 1 14 -13 2
19 Leeds 5 0 1 4 5 12 -7 1
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 2 10 -8 1

Newcastle   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Fulham 12 1 11 1.8 1.8 5 3 4 22 22 18
2 17 Leicester 13 4 9 1.6 1.9 3 2 8 21 25 11
3 1 Man City 12 4 8 3.1 0.9 9 2 1 37 11 29
4 2 Arsenal 11 3 8 2.3 1.0 9 1 1 25 11 28
5 5 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 6 3 2 16 11 21
6 11 Brentford 12 5 7 1.5 1.8 3 5 4 18 21 14
7 3 Tottenham 12 6 6 1.9 1.2 7 2 3 23 14 23
8 6 Man United 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 6 2 3 16 16 20
9 8 Liverpool 11 5 6 2.0 1.2 4 4 3 22 13 16
10 13 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
11 14 Bournemouth 12 6 6 0.8 2.1 3 4 5 10 25 13
12 16 Southampton 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 3 3 6 11 19 12
13 18 Leeds 11 5 6 1.2 1.6 2 3 6 13 18 9
14 4 Newcastle 12 7 5 1.7 0.8 5 6 1 20 10 21
15 9 Brighton 11 6 5 1.4 1.3 4 3 4 15 14 15
16 15 Aston Villa 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 3 3 6 11 16 12
17 19 Wolves 12 7 5 0.4 1.5 2 3 7 5 18 9
18 12 Everton 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 3 4 5 11 12 13
19 20 Nott'm Forest 12 8 4 0.7 1.9 2 3 7 8 23 9
20 10 West Ham 12 10 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 6 11 12 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 6 0 6 4.5 1.0 6 0 0 27 6 18
2 7 Fulham 6 0 6 2.2 1.8 3 2 1 13 11 11
3 2 Arsenal 5 0 5 2.8 1.4 5 0 0 14 7 15
4 3 Tottenham 6 2 4 2.7 1.0 5 0 1 16 6 15
5 5 Chelsea 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11
6 13 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
7 6 Man United 5 2 3 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
8 8 Liverpool 6 3 3 2.8 0.8 4 2 0 17 5 14
9 11 Brentford 6 3 3 2.0 1.0 3 2 1 12 6 11
10 16 Southampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
11 17 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 2 2 3 9 6 8
12 18 Leeds 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 2 2 2 8 6 8
13 4 Newcastle 6 4 2 2.0 0.8 3 3 0 12 5 12
14 12 Everton 6 4 2 1.0 0.7 2 2 2 6 4 8
15 14 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0.7 0.8 2 2 2 4 5 8
16 15 Aston Villa 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10
17 19 Wolves 6 4 2 0.5 1.3 2 2 2 3 8 8
18 20 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 1 3 7 9 7
19 9 Brighton 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
20 10 West Ham 6 5 1 1.3 1.0 3 1 2 8 6 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Leicester 6 0 6 2.0 3.2 1 0 5 12 19 3
2 7 Fulham 6 1 5 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7
3 9 Brighton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 2 1 3 9 11 7
4 11 Brentford 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 0 3 3 6 15 3
5 14 Bournemouth 6 2 4 1.0 3.3 1 2 3 6 20 5
6 2 Arsenal 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
7 4 Newcastle 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 2 3 1 8 5 9
8 5 Chelsea 6 3 3 1.0 1.0 3 1 2 6 6 10
9 6 Man United 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 3 1 2 8 12 10
10 8 Liverpool 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
11 15 Aston Villa 6 3 3 0.5 1.8 0 2 4 3 11 2
12 16 Southampton 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 2 0 4 4 11 6
13 18 Leeds 5 2 3 1.0 2.4 0 1 4 5 12 1
14 19 Wolves 6 3 3 0.3 1.7 0 1 5 2 10 1
15 1 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11
16 3 Tottenham 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
17 12 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5
18 13 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
19 20 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 0.2 2.3 0 2 4 1 14 2
20 10 West Ham 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 4 3 6 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06