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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Burnley 1–4 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.50 fair 2.99
Draw 3.80 fair 4.06
Away ✓ 1.73 fair 2.39
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Chelsea
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 3
11 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (71 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–2 8.9% 0–1 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
0.86scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:16
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:6
Burnley all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.00
2.29 Goals conceded 0.86
3.14 Total goals 1.86
10.71 Shots 14.57
2.86 Shots on target 4.57
16.57 Shots faced 11.57
5.57 Corners 5.71
5.29 Corners against 4.43
10.71 Fouls 11.43
2.14 Yellow cards 3.14
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.71
1.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
14% Draws 29%
71% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 57%
57% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 29%
0% Clean sheets 43%
43% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
0% Draws 71%
71% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 57%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Chelsea all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.75scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:12
Chelsea before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:3
Burnley at home away Chelsea

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.00
3.00 Goals conceded 1.00
3.75 Total goals 2.00
10.75 Shots 14.00
2.75 Shots on target 4.67
16.00 Shots faced 11.67
6.50 Corners 5.67
5.00 Corners against 4.00
11.00 Fouls 13.67
1.75 Yellow cards 4.00
0.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
100% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
75% Over 2.5 goals 33%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 67%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
0% Draws 67%
100% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
75% Over 1.5 goals 67%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
08.05.23E1 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20
29.04.23E1 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
25.04.23E1 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.23 Fulham – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.502.05 1.98 1.92
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.62 2.30
25.08.23 Chelsea – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
20.08.23 West Ham – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 1.96 1.94
13.08.23 Chelsea – Liverpool 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 1.73 2.10
25.05.23 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
21.05.23 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
08.05.23E1 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20
22.04.23E1 Burnley – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 1.364.759.50 1.80 2.00
10.04.23E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.05 1.80
31.03.23E1 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.337.50 1.80 2.00
11.03.23E1 Burnley – Wigan 3–0 (1–0) 1.335.258.50 2.00 1.85
25.02.23E1 Burnley – Huddersfield 4–0 (3–0) 1.364.5010.00 1.95 1.90

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.10.23 Fulham – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.502.05 1.98 1.92
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
20.08.23 West Ham – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 1.96 1.94
25.05.23 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
21.05.23 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63
06.05.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
08.04.23 Wolves – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
26.02.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.90 2.08 1.82

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsChelsea wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.22E0 Burnley – Chelsea 0–4 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 2.10 1.72
06.11.21E0 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Tottenham 8 6 2 0 18 8 +10 20 WWWDWW
2 Man City 7 6 0 1 17 5 +12 18 WWWWWL
3 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 15 6 +9 17 WDWWDW
4 Liverpool 7 5 1 1 16 7 +9 16 WWWWWL
5 Aston Villa 7 5 0 2 18 11 +7 15 WWLWWW
6 Brighton 7 5 0 2 19 14 +5 15 WLWWWL
7 West Ham 7 4 1 2 13 10 +3 13 WWWLLW
8 Newcastle 7 4 0 3 18 7 +11 12 LLLWWW
9 Crystal Palace 7 3 2 2 7 7 0 11 LDWLDW
10 Man United 7 3 0 4 7 11 -4 9 LWLLWL
11 Chelsea 7 2 2 3 7 6 +1 8 LWLDLW
12 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8 WLWDLD
13 Fulham 7 2 2 3 5 12 -7 8 LDLWDL
14 Brentford 7 1 4 2 10 10 0 7 WDDLLD
15 Wolves 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7 LWLLDW
16 Everton 7 1 1 5 6 12 -6 4 LLDLWL
17 Luton 8 1 1 6 6 15 -9 4 LLDWLL
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4 LLDLLW
19 Bournemouth 7 0 3 4 5 15 -10 3 LLDDLL
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 5 19 -14 1 LLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0 13 2 +11 9 WWW
2 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 9 2 +7 9 WWW
3 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9 WWW
4 Newcastle 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9 WLWW
5 Brighton 4 3 0 1 11 6 +5 9 WLWW
6 Tottenham 3 3 0 0 6 2 +4 9 WWW
7 Arsenal 4 2 2 0 9 6 +3 8 WDWD
8 West Ham 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6 WLW
9 Man United 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6 WWLL
10 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5 WDD
11 Chelsea 4 1 1 2 4 3 +1 4 DWLL
12 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4 LWD
13 Brentford 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3 DDDL
14 Wolves 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3 LLW
15 Fulham 3 1 0 2 1 5 -4 3 LWL
16 Bournemouth 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2 DLDL
17 Luton 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1 LDLL
18 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 3 13 -10 1 LLDL
19 Everton 4 0 0 4 1 5 -4 0 LLLL
20 Burnley 4 0 0 4 3 12 -9 0 LLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Tottenham 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11 DWWDW
2 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9 WWW
3 Man City 4 3 0 1 9 4 +5 9 WWWL
4 Liverpool 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7 DWWL
5 West Ham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7 DWWL
6 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7 WDLW
7 Brighton 3 2 0 1 8 8 0 6 WWL
8 Aston Villa 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6 LWLW
9 Fulham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5 WDLD
10 Brentford 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4 WLD
11 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4 LDW
12 Wolves 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4 LWLD
13 Burnley 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4 DLW
14 Everton 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4 LDW
15 Newcastle 3 1 0 2 9 4 +5 3 LLW
16 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3 LLWL
17 Man United 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3 LLW
18 Luton 4 1 0 3 3 9 -6 3 LLLW
19 Bournemouth 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1 LDL
20 Sheffield United 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0 LLL

Burnley   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Brighton 7 0 7 2.7 2.0 5 0 2 19 14 15 OOOOOO
2 4 Liverpool 7 1 6 2.3 1.0 5 1 1 16 7 16 OOOOOO
3 5 Aston Villa 7 1 6 2.6 1.6 5 0 2 18 11 15 OOOOUO
4 1 Tottenham 8 3 5 2.2 1.0 6 2 0 18 8 20 UOOOOU
5 2 Man City 7 2 5 2.4 0.7 6 0 1 17 5 18 UOOOUO
6 3 Arsenal 7 2 5 2.1 0.9 5 2 0 15 6 17 UOOUOO
7 7 West Ham 7 2 5 1.9 1.4 4 1 2 13 10 13 OOOOOU
8 17 Luton 8 3 5 0.8 1.9 1 1 6 6 15 4 OUUOOU
9 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.7 2.7 0 1 6 5 19 1 OOOOOU
10 8 Newcastle 7 3 4 2.6 1.0 4 0 3 18 7 12 UOOUOU
11 14 Brentford 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 1 4 2 10 10 7 OUOUOU
12 15 Wolves 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7 OUOOUO
13 16 Everton 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 1 1 5 6 12 4 OUOUOO
14 18 Burnley 7 3 4 0.9 2.3 1 1 5 6 16 4 OOUUUO
15 19 Bournemouth 7 3 4 0.7 2.1 0 3 4 5 15 3 OUOUOO
16 10 Man United 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 3 0 4 7 11 9 UOOOUU
17 12 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8 OOUUUU
18 13 Fulham 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 2 2 3 5 12 8 OOOUUU
19 9 Crystal Palace 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 3 2 2 7 7 11 UUOOUU
20 11 Chelsea 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 2 2 3 7 6 8 OOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Arsenal 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 2 2 0 9 6 8 OOOO
2 6 Brighton 4 0 4 2.8 1.5 3 0 1 11 6 9 OOOO
3 4 Liverpool 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 3 0 0 9 2 9 OOO
4 5 Aston Villa 3 0 3 4.3 0.7 3 0 0 13 2 9 OOO
5 14 Brentford 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3 OUOO
6 15 Wolves 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3 OOO
7 18 Burnley 4 1 3 0.8 3.0 0 0 4 3 12 0 OOOU
8 20 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 0 1 3 3 13 1 UOOO
9 1 Tottenham 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 3 0 0 6 2 9 UOO
10 7 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6 OOU
11 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9 OOUU
12 10 Man United 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6 UOOU
13 17 Luton 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1 OUOU
14 2 Man City 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9 UOU
15 9 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4 UOU
16 11 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 1 2 4 3 4 UOUU
17 12 Nott'm Forest 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5 OUU
18 13 Fulham 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 0 2 1 5 3 OUU
19 16 Everton 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 0 4 1 5 0 UUUO
20 19 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2 UUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Man City 4 0 4 2.2 1.0 3 0 1 9 4 9 OOOO
2 1 Tottenham 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11 OUOOU
3 4 Liverpool 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7 UOOO
4 5 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6 OOOU
5 6 Brighton 3 0 3 2.7 2.7 2 0 1 8 8 6 OOO
6 7 West Ham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7 UOOO
7 16 Everton 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 1 1 5 7 4 OOO
8 17 Luton 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 1 0 3 3 9 3 OOUO
9 19 Bournemouth 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1 OOO
10 8 Newcastle 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 1 0 2 9 4 3 UOO
11 12 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3 OOUU
12 13 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5 UOOU
13 20 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0 OOU
14 3 Arsenal 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9 UUO
15 9 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7 UUOU
16 10 Man United 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3 UOU
17 11 Chelsea 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4 OUU
18 14 Brentford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4 OUU
19 15 Wolves 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4 UUOU
20 18 Burnley 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4 UUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47