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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Aston Villa 3–1 Man United

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.30 fair 2.20
Draw 3.80 fair 4.00
Away 2.10 fair 3.39
Under 2.5 1.96 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.94 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man United
6 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 5
6 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (132 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan United
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
0.85scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:20
Man United before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
1.42scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:16
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man United

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 1.42
1.54 Goals conceded 1.33
2.38 Total goals 2.75
11.54 Shots 14.17
4.15 Shots on target 5.00
12.38 Shots faced 13.17
4.54 Corners 4.00
4.46 Corners against 5.17
12.46 Fouls 11.58
2.08 Yellow cards 2.75
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

23% Wins 58%
23% Draws 17%
54% Losses 25%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 67%
46% Over 2.5 goals 50%
23% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
38% Both teams scored 50%
23% Clean sheets 42%
46% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 42%
38% Draws 33%
38% Losses 25%
77% Over 0.5 goals 67%
23% Over 1.5 goals 33%
8% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man United all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:5
Man United before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:12
Aston Villa at home away Man United

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
0.83 Goals conceded 2.00
2.17 Total goals 3.33
12.00 Shots 12.00
4.83 Shots on target 5.00
10.33 Shots faced 13.17
4.83 Corners 2.83
4.00 Corners against 5.00
10.83 Fouls 12.67
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 1.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
17% Draws 17%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
33% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
17% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man United away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87
02.10.22 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
31.08.22 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
28.08.22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.91 1.99

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.10.22 Man United – West Ham 1–0 (1–0) 1.664.004.80 1.86 2.04
22.10.22 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
19.10.22 Man United – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 2.453.502.75 1.72 2.10
16.10.22 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
09.10.22 Everton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 3.603.502.05 1.88 2.02
02.10.22 Man City – Man United 6–3 (4–0) 1.335.757.50 1.44 2.75
04.09.22 Man United – Arsenal 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.66 2.20
01.09.22 Leicester – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.752.05 1.66 2.20
27.08.22 Southampton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.80 1.57 2.37
22.08.22 Man United – Liverpool 2–1 (1–0) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.62

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
28.08.22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.91 1.99
13.08.22 Aston Villa – Everton 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.72
19.05.22 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.93 1.97
10.05.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30
30.04.22 Aston Villa – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.509.00 1.66 2.20

Man United away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.22 Chelsea – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.91 1.99
09.10.22 Everton – Man United 1–2 (1–2) 3.603.502.05 1.88 2.02
02.10.22 Man City – Man United 6–3 (4–0) 1.335.757.50 1.44 2.75
01.09.22 Leicester – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 3.403.752.05 1.66 2.20
27.08.22 Southampton – Man United 0–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.80 1.57 2.37
13.08.22 Brentford – Man United 4–0 (4–0) 3.753.502.00 1.80 2.00
22.05.22 Crystal Palace – Man United 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.25 1.72 2.10
07.05.22 Brighton – Man United 4–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.95 1.95
23.04.22 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.503.50 1.81 2.09
19.04.22 Liverpool – Man United 4–0 (2–0) 1.405.007.00 1.50 2.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan United wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.22E0 Aston Villa – Man United 2–2 (0–1) 2.873.502.40 1.89 2.01
25.09.21E0 Man United – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 13 11 1 1 31 11 +20 34 WWWDWW
2 Man City 13 10 2 1 39 12 +27 32 WWLWWW
3 Tottenham 13 8 2 3 26 16 +10 26 LWWLLW
4 Newcastle 13 6 6 1 24 10 +14 24 WWDWWW
5 Man United 12 7 2 3 17 16 +1 23 LWDWDW
6 Brighton 13 6 3 4 22 17 +5 21 LLDLWW
7 Chelsea 13 6 3 4 17 16 +1 21 WWDDLL
8 Fulham 14 5 4 5 23 24 -1 19 LDWWDL
9 Liverpool 12 4 4 4 23 15 +8 16 DLWWLL
10 Brentford 14 3 7 4 21 24 -3 16 LWDLDD
11 Crystal Palace 12 4 4 4 13 16 -3 16 LWDWLW
12 Leeds 13 4 3 6 19 22 -3 15 LLLLWW
13 Leicester 14 4 2 8 23 25 -2 14 LDWWLW
14 West Ham 13 4 2 7 11 13 -2 14 WWDLWL
15 Everton 14 3 5 6 11 14 -3 14 LLLWDL
16 Bournemouth 14 3 4 7 15 32 -17 13 WDLLLL
17 Aston Villa 13 3 3 7 11 20 -9 12 DDLLWL
18 Southampton 13 3 3 7 11 20 -9 12 LLDWDL
19 Wolves 14 2 4 8 8 22 -14 10 LWLLDL
20 Nott'm Forest 14 2 4 8 10 30 -20 10 DLDWLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Man City 7 7 0 0 29 7 +22 21 WWWWWW
2 Arsenal 6 6 0 0 19 7 +12 18 WWWWWW
3 Newcastle 7 4 3 0 16 5 +11 15 DDDWWW
4 Tottenham 6 5 0 1 16 6 +10 15 WWWWWL
5 Liverpool 7 4 2 1 18 7 +11 14 WWDWWL
6 Man United 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13 LWWDWW
7 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13 WDLWWW
8 Brentford 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12 DWLWDD
9 Fulham 7 3 3 1 13 11 +2 12 WWLDWD
10 Brighton 6 3 2 1 10 4 +6 11 DWWLDW
11 Chelsea 6 3 2 1 10 6 +4 11 DWWWDL
12 Leeds 7 3 2 2 12 9 +3 11 WDDLLW
13 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 8 5 +3 10 WLDWLW
14 West Ham 6 3 1 2 8 6 +2 10 LLDWWW
15 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 6 +3 8 LLWDWL
16 Everton 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8 DDWLWL
17 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8 LLLDWD
18 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 6 8 -2 8 LDDWLL
19 Wolves 7 2 2 3 5 11 -6 8 DWLWLL
20 Southampton 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6 DLWLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 12 4 +8 16 WLWWDW
2 Man City 6 3 2 1 10 5 +5 11 WDDWLW
3 Tottenham 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11 WDLWLW
4 Brighton 7 3 1 3 12 13 -1 10 WLDLLW
5 Chelsea 7 3 1 3 7 10 -3 10 LLWWDL
6 Man United 6 3 1 2 8 12 -4 10 LWWLWD
7 Newcastle 6 2 3 1 8 5 +3 9 DDLWDW
8 Fulham 7 2 1 4 10 13 -3 7 LLWLWL
9 Everton 7 1 3 3 5 8 -3 6 DDWLLD
10 Leicester 7 2 0 5 14 19 -5 6 LLLLWW
11 Southampton 7 2 0 5 4 12 -8 6 WLLLWL
12 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 9 24 -15 5 LWDDLL
13 West Ham 7 1 1 5 3 7 -4 4 WLLDLL
14 Leeds 6 1 1 4 7 13 -6 4 DLLLLW
15 Brentford 7 0 4 3 8 17 -9 4 LDDLLD
16 Crystal Palace 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3 DLDDL
17 Liverpool 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2 DLDLL
18 Wolves 7 0 2 5 3 11 -8 2 LDLLLD
19 Aston Villa 7 0 2 5 3 15 -12 2 LLDDLL
20 Nott'm Forest 7 0 2 5 1 19 -18 2 DLLLDL

Aston Villa   Man United

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Fulham 14 2 12 1.6 1.7 5 4 5 23 24 19 OOOOUO
2 1 Arsenal 13 4 9 2.4 0.8 11 1 1 31 11 34 OOUUOU
3 2 Man City 13 4 9 3.0 0.9 10 2 1 39 12 32 OOUOUO
4 13 Leicester 14 5 9 1.6 1.8 4 2 8 23 25 14 OUUOUU
5 7 Chelsea 13 5 8 1.3 1.2 6 3 4 17 16 21 OUUUOU
6 10 Brentford 14 6 8 1.5 1.7 3 7 4 21 24 16 OUUOUO
7 12 Leeds 13 5 8 1.5 1.7 4 3 6 19 22 15 OUUOOO
8 16 Bournemouth 14 6 8 1.1 2.3 3 4 7 15 32 13 OOUUOO
9 3 Tottenham 13 6 7 2.0 1.2 8 2 3 26 16 26 OUUUOO
10 6 Brighton 13 6 7 1.7 1.3 6 3 4 22 17 21 UUUOOO
11 9 Liverpool 12 5 7 1.9 1.2 4 4 4 23 15 16 OOUUUO
12 4 Newcastle 13 7 6 1.8 0.8 6 6 1 24 10 24 OOUUOO
13 5 Man United 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 7 2 3 17 16 23 OOUUUU
14 11 Crystal Palace 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 4 13 16 16 OOUOOU
15 17 Aston Villa 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 3 7 11 20 12 UUUOOO
16 18 Southampton 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 3 7 11 20 12 OOUUUU
17 19 Wolves 14 8 6 0.6 1.6 2 4 8 8 22 10 OUOOUO
18 20 Nott'm Forest 14 8 6 0.7 2.1 2 4 8 10 30 10 UUUUOO
19 15 Everton 14 10 4 0.8 1.0 3 5 6 11 14 14 OUUOUU
20 14 West Ham 13 11 2 0.8 1.0 4 2 7 11 13 14 UOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Man City 7 0 7 4.1 1.0 7 0 0 29 7 21 OOOOOO
2 1 Arsenal 6 0 6 3.2 1.2 6 0 0 19 7 18 OOOOOO
3 8 Fulham 7 1 6 1.9 1.6 3 3 1 13 11 12 OOOOOU
4 3 Tottenham 6 2 4 2.7 1.0 5 0 1 16 6 15 OUOOUO
5 7 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 3 2 1 10 6 11 OOOOUU
6 9 Liverpool 7 3 4 2.6 1.0 4 2 1 18 7 14 OOOUUO
7 11 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13 OUOOOU
8 12 Leeds 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 2 2 12 9 11 OUUUOO
9 4 Newcastle 7 4 3 2.3 0.7 4 3 0 16 5 15 OUUOUO
10 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13 OOOUUU
11 10 Brentford 7 4 3 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12 UOOUUU
12 13 Leicester 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 2 2 3 9 6 8 OUOUUU
13 16 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.1 2 2 3 6 8 8 OUUOUO
14 18 Southampton 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6 OUOOUU
15 19 Wolves 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 2 2 3 5 11 8 UUOUOO
16 20 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.3 1.6 2 2 3 9 11 8 UOOUUO
17 6 Brighton 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 3 2 1 10 4 11 UUOUUO
18 15 Everton 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8 UUUOOU
19 17 Aston Villa 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 3 1 2 8 5 10 OUUUUO
20 14 West Ham 6 5 1 1.3 1.0 3 1 2 8 6 10 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Fulham 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 1 4 10 13 7 OOOOOO
2 13 Leicester 7 1 6 2.0 2.7 2 0 5 14 19 6 OOOOOU
3 6 Brighton 7 2 5 1.7 1.9 3 1 3 12 13 10 UOOUOO
4 10 Brentford 7 2 5 1.1 2.4 0 4 3 8 17 4 OUUOOO
5 16 Bournemouth 7 2 5 1.3 3.4 1 2 4 9 24 5 OOUOUO
6 7 Chelsea 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 1 3 7 10 10 OOOUUO
7 12 Leeds 6 2 4 1.2 2.2 1 1 4 7 13 4 OUOOUO
8 17 Aston Villa 7 3 4 0.4 2.1 0 2 5 3 15 2 OOUUOO
9 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 1.7 0.6 5 1 1 12 4 16 OOOUUU
10 3 Tottenham 7 4 3 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11 UUOUUO
11 4 Newcastle 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 2 3 1 8 5 9 UUOOUO
12 5 Man United 6 3 3 1.3 2.0 3 1 2 8 12 10 OUUOOU
13 9 Liverpool 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2 OOUOU
14 18 Southampton 7 4 3 0.6 1.7 2 0 5 4 12 6 OUUOUU
15 19 Wolves 7 4 3 0.4 1.6 0 2 5 3 11 2 UUUOOU
16 20 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 0.1 2.7 0 2 5 1 19 2 UOOUUO
17 2 Man City 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 3 2 1 10 5 11 UOUOUU
18 11 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3 UOUUO
19 15 Everton 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 1 3 3 5 8 6 UUOUUU
20 14 West Ham 7 6 1 0.4 1.0 1 1 5 3 7 4 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10