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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Aston Villa 2–1 Leicester

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.91
Draw 5.50 fair 4.65
Away 8.50 fair 3.84
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Leicester
13 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 2
10 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (190 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.4% 1–1 9.3% 2–0 6.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.47scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:31
Leicester before this match, all matches
0.74points / match
1.16scored / match
2.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 22:42
Aston Villa all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.16
1.63 Goals conceded 2.21
3.11 Total goals 3.37
12.84 Shots 8.95
4.21 Shots on target 3.21
12.16 Shots faced 17.74
6.63 Corners 3.47
4.11 Corners against 6.84
11.74 Fouls 11.16
2.21 Yellow cards 2.47
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 1.16

How often Full Time

42% Wins 16%
26% Draws 26%
32% Losses 58%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 95%
74% Over 2.5 goals 74%
42% Over 3.5 goals 47%
11% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
68% Both teams scored 74%
11% Clean sheets 5%
26% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 16%
37% Draws 21%
32% Losses 63%
79% Over 0.5 goals 95%
42% Over 1.5 goals 42%
21% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Leicester all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.70scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:12
Leicester before this match, away
0.56points / match
1.22scored / match
2.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:25
Aston Villa at home away Leicester

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.22
1.20 Goals conceded 2.78
2.90 Total goals 4.00
15.20 Shots 9.22
5.40 Shots on target 3.44
9.70 Shots faced 19.33
8.20 Corners 3.44
3.20 Corners against 7.56
11.50 Fouls 10.00
2.40 Yellow cards 2.33
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 11%
40% Draws 22%
10% Losses 67%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 89%
50% Over 3.5 goals 67%
10% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
70% Both teams scored 78%
20% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 11%
40% Draws 33%
30% Losses 56%
70% Over 0.5 goals 89%
40% Over 1.5 goals 67%
30% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75
03.11.24 Tottenham – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.75

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Leicester – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.501.36 1.36 3.20
26.12.24 Liverpool – Leicester 3–1 (1–1) 1.0812.0023.00 1.20 4.50
22.12.24 Leicester – Wolves 0–3 (0–3) 2.553.402.70 1.67 2.20
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
03.12.24 Leicester – West Ham 3–1 (1–0) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Brentford – Leicester 4–1 (3–1) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Leicester – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.50 2.63
10.11.24 Man United – Leicester 3–0 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.44 2.75
02.11.24 Ipswich – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
21.09.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 3–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.25 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Aston Villa – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Liverpool – Leicester 3–1 (1–1) 1.0812.0023.00 1.20 4.50
14.12.24 Newcastle – Leicester 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
30.11.24 Brentford – Leicester 4–1 (3–1) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Man United – Leicester 3–0 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.44 2.75
02.11.24 Ipswich – Leicester 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
19.10.24 Southampton – Leicester 2–3 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
28.09.24 Arsenal – Leicester 4–2 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Crystal Palace – Leicester 2–2 (0–1) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.24 Fulham – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 1.803.754.20 1.89 2.01
29.04.24E1 Preston – Leicester 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.501.45 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsLeicester wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24E0 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.67 2.20
04.04.23E0 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.75 1.99 1.91
04.02.23E0 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
23.04.22E0 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
05.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.90 2.00

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45 17 +28 45
2 Arsenal 19 11 6 2 38 17 +21 39
3 Nott'm Forest 19 11 4 4 26 19 +7 37
4 Chelsea 19 10 5 4 38 23 +15 35
5 Newcastle 20 10 5 5 34 22 +12 35
6 Man City 19 9 4 6 32 26 +6 31
7 Bournemouth 19 8 6 5 29 23 +6 30
8 Fulham 19 7 8 4 28 25 +3 29
9 Aston Villa 19 8 5 6 28 31 -3 29
10 Brighton 19 6 9 4 29 28 +1 27
11 Tottenham 20 7 3 10 42 30 +12 24
12 Brentford 19 7 3 9 33 35 -2 24
13 West Ham 19 6 5 8 23 35 -12 23
14 Man United 19 6 4 9 21 26 -5 22
15 Crystal Palace 19 4 8 7 20 27 -7 20
16 Everton 18 3 8 7 15 24 -9 17
17 Wolves 19 4 4 11 31 42 -11 16
18 Ipswich 19 3 6 10 18 33 -15 15
19 Leicester 19 3 5 11 22 42 -20 14
20 Southampton 19 1 3 15 12 39 -27 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 1 1 18 6 +12 22
2 Brentford 10 7 1 2 27 19 +8 22
3 Arsenal 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
4 Aston Villa 10 5 4 1 17 12 +5 19
5 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 15 8 +7 17
6 Man City 9 5 2 2 17 13 +4 17
7 Nott'm Forest 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
8 Fulham 10 4 4 2 16 15 +1 16
9 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 15 11 +4 15
10 Bournemouth 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
11 Tottenham 11 4 2 5 26 21 +5 14
12 Brighton 9 3 5 1 13 12 +1 14
13 Man United 10 4 1 5 13 16 -3 13
14 West Ham 10 3 2 5 13 22 -9 11
15 Everton 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
16 Crystal Palace 10 2 4 4 9 16 -7 10
17 Leicester 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
18 Wolves 9 2 1 6 14 20 -6 7
19 Ipswich 10 1 4 5 8 16 -8 7
20 Southampton 9 1 1 7 7 22 -15 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 27 11 +16 23
2 Chelsea 10 6 2 2 23 12 +11 20
3 Nott'm Forest 10 6 2 2 15 12 +3 20
4 Arsenal 10 5 3 2 20 11 +9 18
5 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 19 14 +5 18
6 Bournemouth 10 4 3 3 18 16 +2 15
7 Man City 10 4 2 4 15 13 +2 14
8 Fulham 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
9 Brighton 10 3 4 3 16 16 0 13
10 West Ham 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
11 Tottenham 9 3 1 5 16 9 +7 10
12 Crystal Palace 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
13 Aston Villa 9 3 1 5 11 19 -8 10
14 Man United 9 2 3 4 8 10 -2 9
15 Wolves 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
16 Ipswich 9 2 2 5 10 17 -7 8
17 Everton 9 1 4 4 6 14 -8 7
18 Leicester 9 1 2 6 11 25 -14 5
19 Brentford 9 0 2 7 6 16 -10 2
20 Southampton 10 0 2 8 5 17 -12 2

Aston Villa   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 19 4 15 1.6 2.2 4 4 11 31 42 16
2 9 Aston Villa 19 5 14 1.5 1.6 8 5 6 28 31 29
3 11 Tottenham 20 6 14 2.1 1.5 7 3 10 42 30 24
4 12 Brentford 19 5 14 1.7 1.8 7 3 9 33 35 24
5 19 Leicester 19 5 14 1.2 2.2 3 5 11 22 42 14
6 6 Man City 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 9 4 6 32 26 31
7 10 Brighton 19 6 13 1.5 1.5 6 9 4 29 28 27
8 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.5 0.9 14 3 1 45 17 45
9 4 Chelsea 19 8 11 2.0 1.2 10 5 4 38 23 35
10 5 Newcastle 20 9 11 1.7 1.1 10 5 5 34 22 35
11 13 West Ham 19 8 11 1.2 1.8 6 5 8 23 35 23
12 14 Man United 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 6 4 9 21 26 22
13 7 Bournemouth 19 9 10 1.5 1.2 8 6 5 29 23 30
14 8 Fulham 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 7 8 4 28 25 29
15 15 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 7 20 27 20
16 20 Southampton 19 10 9 0.6 2.1 1 3 15 12 39 6
17 2 Arsenal 19 11 8 2.0 0.9 11 6 2 38 17 39
18 3 Nott'm Forest 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 11 4 4 26 19 37
19 18 Ipswich 19 11 8 0.9 1.7 3 6 10 18 33 15
20 16 Everton 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 3 8 7 15 24 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.4 1.9 4 2 5 26 21 14
2 12 Brentford 10 2 8 2.7 1.9 7 1 2 27 19 22
3 13 West Ham 10 2 8 1.3 2.2 3 2 5 13 22 11
4 6 Man City 9 2 7 1.9 1.4 5 2 2 17 13 17
5 8 Fulham 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 2 16 15 16
6 14 Man United 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 4 1 5 13 16 13
7 17 Wolves 9 2 7 1.6 2.2 2 1 6 14 20 7
8 9 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.7 1.2 5 4 1 17 12 19
9 10 Brighton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 3 5 1 13 12 14
10 19 Leicester 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
11 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 7 1 1 18 6 22
12 4 Chelsea 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 4 3 2 15 11 15
13 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.8 2.4 1 1 7 7 22 4
14 2 Arsenal 9 5 4 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
15 5 Newcastle 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 2 2 15 8 17
16 15 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 4 9 16 10
17 16 Everton 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
18 3 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 7 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
20 18 Ipswich 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 1 4 5 8 16 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Aston Villa 9 1 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 5 11 19 10
2 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
3 19 Leicester 9 1 8 1.2 2.8 1 2 6 11 25 5
4 1 Liverpool 9 2 7 3.0 1.2 7 2 0 27 11 23
5 5 Newcastle 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 5 3 3 19 14 18
6 7 Bournemouth 10 3 7 1.8 1.6 4 3 3 18 16 15
7 10 Brighton 10 3 7 1.6 1.6 3 4 3 16 16 13
8 4 Chelsea 10 4 6 2.3 1.2 6 2 2 23 12 20
9 6 Man City 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 4 2 4 15 13 14
10 12 Brentford 9 3 6 0.7 1.8 0 2 7 6 16 2
11 3 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 6 2 2 15 12 20
12 11 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.8 1.0 3 1 5 16 9 10
13 15 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 18 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 5 10 17 8
15 2 Arsenal 10 6 4 2.0 1.1 5 3 2 20 11 18
16 14 Man United 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 2 3 4 8 10 9
17 20 Southampton 10 6 4 0.5 1.7 0 2 8 5 17 2
18 8 Fulham 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
19 13 West Ham 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
20 16 Everton 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 4 4 6 14 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44