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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: G Scott

Leicester 1–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.55 fair 2.27
Draw 3.30 fair 4.07
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 3.20
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.99 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leicester Aston Villa
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 8
10 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (280 league matches this season so far).
Result Leicester to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
LeicesterDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Leicester before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.39scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 39:49
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.32scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 37:39
Leicester all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.32
1.75 Goals conceded 1.39
3.14 Total goals 2.71
10.82 Shots 11.25
3.75 Shots on target 4.14
14.36 Shots faced 12.50
3.54 Corners 3.96
6.21 Corners against 5.96
10.79 Fouls 11.29
1.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

25% Wins 43%
14% Draws 18%
61% Losses 39%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
79% Over 1.5 goals 82%
61% Over 2.5 goals 50%
36% Over 3.5 goals 29%
18% Over 4.5 goals 7%
14% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 50%
21% Clean sheets 32%
32% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 32%
36% Draws 36%
32% Losses 32%
75% Over 0.5 goals 79%
43% Over 1.5 goals 36%
29% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Leicester before this match, at home
0.92points / match
1.23scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:17
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.29points / match
1.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:20
Leicester at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.00
1.31 Goals conceded 1.43
2.54 Total goals 2.43
10.85 Shots 10.50
3.85 Shots on target 3.50
10.92 Shots faced 14.00
3.62 Corners 3.43
5.62 Corners against 6.50
11.00 Fouls 12.50
1.31 Yellow cards 2.36
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

23% Wins 36%
23% Draws 21%
54% Losses 43%
92% Over 0.5 goals 93%
62% Over 1.5 goals 86%
54% Over 2.5 goals 43%
38% Over 3.5 goals 21%
8% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 43%
23% Clean sheets 36%
46% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 7%
38% Draws 57%
31% Losses 36%
69% Over 0.5 goals 71%
46% Over 1.5 goals 36%
31% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leicester at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Crystal Palace – Leicester 2–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.73
18.03.23 Brentford – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.89 2.01
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
04.03.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.302.60 2.06 1.84
25.02.23 Leicester – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
19.02.23 Man United – Leicester 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.335.25 1.62 2.30
11.02.23 Leicester – Tottenham 4–1 (3–1) 3.403.602.10 1.73 2.10
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.502.05 1.86 2.04
14.01.23 Nott'm Forest – Leicester 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.87

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
18.03.23 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
04.03.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
18.02.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
04.02.23 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00

Leicester at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23 Leicester – Chelsea 1–3 (1–2) 3.753.501.95 2.02 1.91
25.02.23 Leicester – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
11.02.23 Leicester – Tottenham 4–1 (3–1) 3.403.602.10 1.73 2.10
21.01.23 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.502.05 1.86 2.04
03.01.23 Leicester – Fulham 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.73 2.10
26.12.22 Leicester – Newcastle 0–3 (0–3) 3.253.502.20 1.86 2.04
29.10.22 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.44 2.75
20.10.22 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10
15.10.22 Leicester – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.89 2.01
03.10.22 Leicester – Nott'm Forest 4–0 (3–0) 1.754.004.33 1.66 2.20

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.97 1.93
12.03.23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.85
25.02.23 Everton – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.30 1.62
12.02.23 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90
10.10.22 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leicester winsDrawsAston Villa wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23E0 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–4 (2–3) 1.953.603.80 1.94 1.96
23.04.22E0 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
05.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.90 2.00

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 29 23 3 3 70 27 +43 72
2 Man City 28 20 4 4 71 26 +45 64
3 Newcastle 27 13 11 3 41 19 +22 50
4 Tottenham 29 15 5 9 53 41 +12 50
5 Man United 27 15 5 7 41 37 +4 50
6 Brighton 26 12 7 7 49 34 +15 43
7 Brentford 28 10 13 5 46 37 +9 43
8 Liverpool 27 12 6 9 48 33 +15 42
9 Aston Villa 28 12 5 11 37 39 -2 41
10 Fulham 28 11 6 11 39 39 0 39
11 Chelsea 28 10 8 10 29 30 -1 38
12 Crystal Palace 29 7 9 13 24 39 -15 30
13 Wolves 29 7 7 15 23 42 -19 28
14 West Ham 27 7 6 14 25 34 -9 27
15 Everton 29 6 9 14 23 41 -18 27
16 Nott'm Forest 28 6 9 13 23 50 -27 27
17 Bournemouth 28 7 6 15 27 55 -28 27
18 Leeds 28 6 8 14 36 48 -12 26
19 Leicester 28 7 4 17 39 49 -10 25
20 Southampton 29 6 5 18 23 47 -24 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 12 2 1 42 18 +24 38
2 Man City 14 12 1 1 47 14 +33 37
3 Liverpool 13 9 3 1 34 9 +25 30
4 Man United 13 9 3 1 24 8 +16 30
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 16 +13 30
6 Newcastle 14 8 5 1 23 9 +14 29
7 Brentford 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
8 Brighton 14 7 3 4 25 14 +11 24
9 Aston Villa 14 7 2 5 23 19 +4 23
10 Chelsea 14 6 4 4 16 12 +4 22
11 Fulham 14 6 4 4 21 20 +1 22
12 West Ham 14 6 3 5 18 14 +4 21
13 Nott'm Forest 15 5 6 4 19 18 +1 21
14 Crystal Palace 15 5 5 5 14 19 -5 20
15 Bournemouth 14 5 4 5 15 17 -2 19
16 Everton 15 5 3 7 13 17 -4 18
17 Leeds 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17
18 Wolves 14 5 2 7 12 19 -7 17
19 Leicester 13 3 3 7 16 17 -1 12
20 Southampton 14 2 4 8 14 24 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 11 1 2 28 9 +19 34
2 Man City 14 8 3 3 24 12 +12 27
3 Newcastle 13 5 6 2 18 10 +8 21
4 Tottenham 15 5 5 5 24 25 -1 20
5 Man United 14 6 2 6 17 29 -12 20
6 Brighton 12 5 4 3 24 20 +4 19
7 Aston Villa 14 5 3 6 14 20 -6 18
8 Fulham 14 5 2 7 18 19 -1 17
9 Brentford 14 3 7 4 18 23 -5 16
10 Chelsea 14 4 4 6 13 18 -5 16
11 Leicester 15 4 1 10 23 32 -9 13
12 Southampton 15 4 1 10 9 23 -14 13
13 Liverpool 14 3 3 8 14 24 -10 12
14 Wolves 15 2 5 8 11 23 -12 11
15 Crystal Palace 14 2 4 8 10 20 -10 10
16 Leeds 15 2 3 10 18 30 -12 9
17 Everton 14 1 6 7 10 24 -14 9
18 Bournemouth 14 2 2 10 12 38 -26 8
19 West Ham 13 1 3 9 7 20 -13 6
20 Nott'm Forest 13 1 3 9 4 32 -28 6

Leicester   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 29 10 19 2.4 0.9 23 3 3 70 27 72
2 10 Fulham 28 9 19 1.4 1.4 11 6 11 39 39 39
3 2 Man City 28 10 18 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 71 26 64
4 19 Leicester 28 11 17 1.4 1.8 7 4 17 39 49 25
5 5 Man United 27 11 16 1.5 1.4 15 5 7 41 37 50
6 6 Brighton 26 10 16 1.9 1.3 12 7 7 49 34 43
7 8 Liverpool 27 11 16 1.8 1.2 12 6 9 48 33 42
8 18 Leeds 28 12 16 1.3 1.7 6 8 14 36 48 26
9 4 Tottenham 29 14 15 1.8 1.4 15 5 9 53 41 50
10 7 Brentford 28 14 14 1.6 1.3 10 13 5 46 37 43
11 9 Aston Villa 28 14 14 1.3 1.4 12 5 11 37 39 41
12 17 Bournemouth 28 14 14 1.0 2.0 7 6 15 27 55 27
13 20 Southampton 29 15 14 0.8 1.6 6 5 18 23 47 23
14 12 Crystal Palace 29 17 12 0.8 1.3 7 9 13 24 39 30
15 13 Wolves 29 17 12 0.8 1.4 7 7 15 23 42 28
16 11 Chelsea 28 17 11 1.0 1.1 10 8 10 29 30 38
17 15 Everton 29 18 11 0.8 1.4 6 9 14 23 41 27
18 16 Nott'm Forest 28 17 11 0.8 1.8 6 9 13 23 50 27
19 3 Newcastle 27 17 10 1.5 0.7 13 11 3 41 19 50
20 14 West Ham 27 20 7 0.9 1.3 7 6 14 25 34 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 15 2 13 2.8 1.2 12 2 1 42 18 38
2 2 Man City 14 2 12 3.4 1.0 12 1 1 47 14 37
3 10 Fulham 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 6 4 4 21 20 22
4 5 Man United 13 4 9 1.8 0.6 9 3 1 24 8 30
5 9 Aston Villa 14 6 8 1.6 1.4 7 2 5 23 19 23
6 4 Tottenham 14 7 7 2.1 1.1 10 0 4 29 16 30
7 6 Brighton 14 7 7 1.8 1.0 7 3 4 25 14 24
8 7 Brentford 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
9 8 Liverpool 13 6 7 2.6 0.7 9 3 1 34 9 30
10 12 Crystal Palace 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 5 5 5 14 19 20
11 18 Leeds 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17
12 19 Leicester 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 3 7 16 17 12
13 20 Southampton 14 7 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 8 14 24 10
14 17 Bournemouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 5 4 5 15 17 19
15 11 Chelsea 14 9 5 1.1 0.9 6 4 4 16 12 22
16 13 Wolves 14 9 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 7 12 19 17
17 15 Everton 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 7 13 17 18
18 16 Nott'm Forest 15 10 5 1.3 1.2 5 6 4 19 18 21
19 3 Newcastle 14 10 4 1.6 0.6 8 5 1 23 9 29
20 14 West Ham 14 11 3 1.3 1.0 6 3 5 18 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leicester 15 5 10 1.5 2.1 4 1 10 23 32 13
2 6 Brighton 12 3 9 2.0 1.7 5 4 3 24 20 19
3 8 Liverpool 14 5 9 1.0 1.7 3 3 8 14 24 12
4 10 Fulham 14 5 9 1.3 1.4 5 2 7 18 19 17
5 18 Leeds 15 6 9 1.2 2.0 2 3 10 18 30 9
6 4 Tottenham 15 7 8 1.6 1.7 5 5 5 24 25 20
7 17 Bournemouth 14 6 8 0.9 2.7 2 2 10 12 38 8
8 5 Man United 14 7 7 1.2 2.1 6 2 6 17 29 20
9 7 Brentford 14 7 7 1.3 1.6 3 7 4 18 23 16
10 13 Wolves 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 2 5 8 11 23 11
11 20 Southampton 15 8 7 0.6 1.5 4 1 10 9 23 13
12 1 Arsenal 14 8 6 2.0 0.6 11 1 2 28 9 34
13 2 Man City 14 8 6 1.7 0.9 8 3 3 24 12 27
14 3 Newcastle 13 7 6 1.4 0.8 5 6 2 18 10 21
15 9 Aston Villa 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 5 3 6 14 20 18
16 11 Chelsea 14 8 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 6 13 18 16
17 15 Everton 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 1 6 7 10 24 9
18 16 Nott'm Forest 13 7 6 0.3 2.5 1 3 9 4 32 6
19 12 Crystal Palace 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 2 4 8 10 20 10
20 14 West Ham 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 1 3 9 7 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44