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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Aston Villa 2–4 Leicester

Full time · half time 2–3 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.95 fair 2.06
Draw 3.60 fair 4.28
Away ✓ 3.80 fair 3.56
Under 2.5 1.96 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.94 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Leicester
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
11 Corners 3
10 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (201 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.15scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 23:27
Leicester before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.40scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:35
Aston Villa all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.40
1.35 Goals conceded 1.75
2.50 Total goals 3.15
11.45 Shots 10.70
4.20 Shots on target 4.00
11.60 Shots faced 13.55
3.90 Corners 3.90
5.30 Corners against 5.90
11.15 Fouls 10.35
2.25 Yellow cards 1.20
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

40% Wins 25%
20% Draws 15%
40% Losses 60%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
25% Over 3.5 goals 35%
0% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 15%
50% Both teams scored 45%
25% Clean sheets 30%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 35%
40% Draws 40%
35% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
30% Over 1.5 goals 45%
10% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Leicester all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.70points / match
1.50scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:11
Leicester before this match, away
0.90points / match
1.70scored / match
2.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:23
Aston Villa at home away Leicester

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.70
1.10 Goals conceded 2.30
2.60 Total goals 4.00
11.40 Shots 10.60
4.80 Shots on target 4.40
11.20 Shots faced 16.20
3.90 Corners 3.40
5.40 Corners against 6.30
9.60 Fouls 10.20
1.80 Yellow cards 1.30
0.80 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
20% Draws 0%
30% Losses 70%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 70%
30% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 30%
60% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 30%
20% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 40%
20% Draws 40%
30% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
30% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.10 1.73
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
01.01.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
13.11.22 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.754.20 1.96 1.94
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
29.10.22 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
20.10.22 Fulham – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.50 2.00 1.90

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.502.05 1.86 2.04
14.01.23 Nott'm Forest – Leicester 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.87
03.01.23 Leicester – Fulham 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.73 2.10
30.12.22 Liverpool – Leicester 2–1 (2–1) 1.296.009.50 1.44 2.75
26.12.22 Leicester – Newcastle 0–3 (0–3) 3.253.502.20 1.86 2.04
12.11.22 West Ham – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 1.99 1.91
05.11.22 Everton – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
29.10.22 Leicester – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 10.006.501.25 1.44 2.75
23.10.22 Wolves – Leicester 0–4 (0–2) 2.253.253.25 2.00 1.90
20.10.22 Leicester – Leeds 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.72 2.10

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
04.01.23 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.604.00 2.08 1.82
26.12.22 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
06.11.22 Aston Villa – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.303.802.10 1.94 1.96
23.10.22 Aston Villa – Brentford 4–0 (3–0) 2.103.503.50 1.94 1.96
16.10.22 Aston Villa – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 2.03 1.87
16.09.22 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.88 2.02
03.09.22 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
28.08.22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.91 1.99
13.08.22 Aston Villa – Everton 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.72

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Nott'm Forest – Leicester 2–0 (0–0) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.87
30.12.22 Liverpool – Leicester 2–1 (2–1) 1.296.009.50 1.44 2.75
12.11.22 West Ham – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 1.99 1.91
05.11.22 Everton – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.80
23.10.22 Wolves – Leicester 0–4 (0–2) 2.253.253.25 2.00 1.90
08.10.22 Bournemouth – Leicester 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.402.05 1.80 2.00
17.09.22 Tottenham – Leicester 6–2 (2–2) 1.454.507.00 1.57 2.37
04.09.22 Brighton – Leicester 5–2 (2–2) 1.833.504.50 2.01 1.89
27.08.22 Chelsea – Leicester 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.61 2.30
13.08.22 Arsenal – Leicester 4–2 (2–0) 1.534.335.75 1.66 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsLeicester wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.22E0 Leicester – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.05
05.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 2.373.403.00 1.90 2.00

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 16 2 2 45 17 +28 50
2 Man City 20 14 3 3 53 20 +33 45
3 Newcastle 20 10 9 1 33 11 +22 39
4 Man United 20 12 3 5 32 25 +7 39
5 Tottenham 21 11 3 7 40 31 +9 36
6 Fulham 22 9 5 8 32 30 +2 32
7 Brighton 19 9 4 6 37 27 +10 31
8 Brentford 20 7 9 4 32 28 +4 30
9 Chelsea 21 8 6 7 22 21 +1 30
10 Liverpool 19 8 5 6 34 25 +9 29
11 Aston Villa 20 8 4 8 23 27 -4 28
12 Crystal Palace 20 6 6 8 18 27 -9 24
13 Nott'm Forest 20 5 6 9 16 35 -19 21
14 Leicester 20 5 3 12 28 35 -7 18
15 Leeds 19 4 6 9 26 33 -7 18
16 West Ham 20 5 3 12 17 25 -8 18
17 Everton 21 4 6 11 16 28 -12 18
18 Wolves 20 4 5 11 12 30 -18 17
19 Bournemouth 20 4 5 11 19 42 -23 17
20 Southampton 20 4 3 13 17 35 -18 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 11 9 1 1 38 12 +26 28
2 Arsenal 9 8 1 0 25 10 +15 25
3 Newcastle 10 6 4 0 18 5 +13 22
4 Man United 9 7 1 1 17 5 +12 22
5 Liverpool 10 6 3 1 23 9 +14 21
6 Brentford 10 5 4 1 20 10 +10 19
7 Tottenham 10 6 0 4 21 15 +6 18
8 Chelsea 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
9 Fulham 11 5 3 3 18 16 +2 18
10 Aston Villa 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
11 Nott'm Forest 10 4 3 3 13 12 +1 15
12 Crystal Palace 11 4 3 4 11 16 -5 15
13 Brighton 9 4 2 3 16 10 +6 14
14 Leeds 10 3 4 3 15 14 +1 13
15 West Ham 10 4 1 5 11 12 -1 13
16 Bournemouth 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
17 Everton 11 3 2 6 10 14 -4 11
18 Wolves 10 3 2 5 6 14 -8 11
19 Leicester 10 2 3 5 11 12 -1 9
20 Southampton 10 1 3 6 9 17 -8 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 1 2 20 7 +13 25
2 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 16 +3 18
3 Newcastle 10 4 5 1 15 6 +9 17
4 Man City 9 5 2 2 15 8 +7 17
5 Brighton 10 5 2 3 21 17 +4 17
6 Man United 11 5 2 4 15 20 -5 17
7 Fulham 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
8 Chelsea 11 3 3 5 9 14 -5 12
9 Brentford 10 2 5 3 12 18 -6 11
10 Aston Villa 10 3 2 5 8 16 -8 11
11 Crystal Palace 9 2 3 4 7 11 -4 9
12 Leicester 10 3 0 7 17 23 -6 9
13 Southampton 10 3 0 7 8 18 -10 9
14 Liverpool 9 2 2 5 11 16 -5 8
15 Everton 10 1 4 5 6 14 -8 7
16 Wolves 10 1 3 6 6 16 -10 6
17 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 3 23 -20 6
18 West Ham 10 1 2 7 6 13 -7 5
19 Leeds 9 1 2 6 11 19 -8 5
20 Bournemouth 10 1 2 7 9 31 -22 5

Aston Villa   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Fulham 22 6 16 1.5 1.4 9 5 8 32 30 32
2 2 Man City 20 6 14 2.6 1.0 14 3 3 53 20 45
3 7 Brighton 19 6 13 1.9 1.4 9 4 6 37 27 31
4 10 Liverpool 19 6 13 1.8 1.3 8 5 6 34 25 29
5 1 Arsenal 20 8 12 2.2 0.8 16 2 2 45 17 50
6 4 Man United 20 8 12 1.6 1.2 12 3 5 32 25 39
7 5 Tottenham 21 9 12 1.9 1.5 11 3 7 40 31 36
8 14 Leicester 20 8 12 1.4 1.8 5 3 12 28 35 18
9 15 Leeds 19 7 12 1.4 1.7 4 6 9 26 33 18
10 8 Brentford 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 9 4 32 28 30
11 20 Southampton 20 9 11 0.8 1.8 4 3 13 17 35 15
12 11 Aston Villa 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 8 4 8 23 27 28
13 19 Bournemouth 20 10 10 0.9 2.1 4 5 11 19 42 17
14 9 Chelsea 21 12 9 1.0 1.0 8 6 7 22 21 30
15 12 Crystal Palace 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 6 6 8 18 27 24
16 3 Newcastle 20 12 8 1.6 0.6 10 9 1 33 11 39
17 17 Everton 21 13 8 0.8 1.3 4 6 11 16 28 18
18 18 Wolves 20 12 8 0.6 1.5 4 5 11 12 30 17
19 13 Nott'm Forest 20 13 7 0.8 1.8 5 6 9 16 35 21
20 16 West Ham 20 15 5 0.8 1.2 5 3 12 17 25 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 11 1 10 3.5 1.1 9 1 1 38 12 28
2 6 Fulham 11 2 9 1.6 1.5 5 3 3 18 16 18
3 1 Arsenal 9 1 8 2.8 1.1 8 1 0 25 10 25
4 4 Man United 9 3 6 1.9 0.6 7 1 1 17 5 22
5 5 Tottenham 10 4 6 2.1 1.5 6 0 4 21 15 18
6 10 Liverpool 10 4 6 2.3 0.9 6 3 1 23 9 21
7 12 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.0 1.5 4 3 4 11 16 15
8 15 Leeds 10 4 6 1.5 1.4 3 4 3 15 14 13
9 7 Brighton 9 4 5 1.8 1.1 4 2 3 16 10 14
10 8 Brentford 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 5 4 1 20 10 19
11 11 Aston Villa 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
12 14 Leicester 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 2 3 5 11 12 9
13 17 Everton 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 2 6 10 14 11
14 20 Southampton 10 5 5 0.9 1.7 1 3 6 9 17 6
15 9 Chelsea 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
16 19 Bournemouth 10 6 4 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12
17 3 Newcastle 10 7 3 1.8 0.5 6 4 0 18 5 22
18 13 Nott'm Forest 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 3 3 13 12 15
19 18 Wolves 10 7 3 0.6 1.4 3 2 5 6 14 11
20 16 West Ham 10 8 2 1.1 1.2 4 1 5 11 12 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 10 2 8 2.1 1.7 5 2 3 21 17 17
2 6 Fulham 11 4 7 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
3 10 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.2 1.8 2 2 5 11 16 8
4 14 Leicester 10 3 7 1.7 2.3 3 0 7 17 23 9
5 4 Man United 11 5 6 1.4 1.8 5 2 4 15 20 17
6 5 Tottenham 11 5 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 3 19 16 18
7 8 Brentford 10 4 6 1.2 1.8 2 5 3 12 18 11
8 15 Leeds 9 3 6 1.2 2.1 1 2 6 11 19 5
9 19 Bournemouth 10 4 6 0.9 3.1 1 2 7 9 31 5
10 20 Southampton 10 4 6 0.8 1.8 3 0 7 8 18 9
11 3 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.5 0.6 4 5 1 15 6 17
12 9 Chelsea 11 6 5 0.8 1.3 3 3 5 9 14 12
13 11 Aston Villa 10 5 5 0.8 1.6 3 2 5 8 16 11
14 18 Wolves 10 5 5 0.6 1.6 1 3 6 6 16 6
15 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.6 8 1 2 20 7 25
16 2 Man City 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 2 2 15 8 17
17 13 Nott'm Forest 10 6 4 0.3 2.3 1 3 6 3 23 6
18 12 Crystal Palace 9 6 3 0.8 1.2 2 3 4 7 11 9
19 16 West Ham 10 7 3 0.6 1.3 1 2 7 6 13 5
20 17 Everton 10 7 3 0.6 1.4 1 4 5 6 14 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44