Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Aston Villa 2–1 Man City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.25 fair 2.43
Draw 3.70 fair 4.25
Away 2.10 fair 2.84
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man City
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 4
14 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.50scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:25
Man City before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.75scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:23
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.75
1.56 Goals conceded 1.44
3.06 Total goals 3.19
13.06 Shots 17.63
4.31 Shots on target 5.94
11.50 Shots faced 9.19
6.44 Corners 8.69
3.88 Corners against 2.88
11.88 Fouls 7.81
2.25 Yellow cards 2.06
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.13
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

44% Wins 50%
25% Draws 19%
31% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 94%
69% Over 2.5 goals 75%
44% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 69%
13% Clean sheets 19%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 56%
38% Draws 19%
31% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man City all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.63scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:9
Man City before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:11
Aston Villa at home away Man City

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded 1.38
2.75 Total goals 2.88
15.13 Shots 15.63
5.50 Shots on target 5.25
9.00 Shots faced 10.75
8.13 Corners 8.00
3.13 Corners against 3.63
11.50 Fouls 7.63
2.38 Yellow cards 1.88
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 38%
38% Draws 25%
13% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
38% Draws 25%
38% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
38% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75
03.11.24 Tottenham – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
07.12.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.201.57 1.62 2.30
04.12.24 Man City – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Liverpool – Man City 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Man City – Tottenham 0–4 (0–2) 1.484.756.00 1.30 3.50
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
26.10.24 Man City – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.29 3.75
20.10.24 Wolves – Man City 1–2 (1–1) 8.006.001.33 1.44 2.75
05.10.24 Man City – Fulham 3–2 (1–1) 1.257.009.50 1.44 2.75

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
21.09.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 3–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.25 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Aston Villa – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
13.05.24 Aston Villa – Liverpool 3–3 (1–2) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.201.57 1.62 2.30
01.12.24 Liverpool – Man City 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
20.10.24 Wolves – Man City 1–2 (1–1) 8.006.001.33 1.44 2.75
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–2) 7.005.501.38 1.44 2.75
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
14.05.24 Tottenham – Man City 0–2 (0–0) 6.506.001.36 1.25 4.00
11.05.24 Fulham – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan City wins
6matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24E0 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
06.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.02.23E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
03.09.22E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
22.05.22E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
01.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 15 11 3 1 31 13 +18 36
2 Chelsea 16 10 4 2 37 19 +18 34
3 Arsenal 16 8 6 2 29 15 +14 30
4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 4 4 21 19 +2 28
5 Man City 16 8 3 5 28 23 +5 27
6 Bournemouth 16 7 4 5 24 21 +3 25
7 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 24 25 -1 25
8 Fulham 16 6 6 4 24 22 +2 24
9 Brighton 16 6 6 4 26 25 +1 24
10 Tottenham 16 7 2 7 36 19 +17 23
11 Brentford 16 7 2 7 32 30 +2 23
12 Newcastle 16 6 5 5 23 21 +2 23
13 Man United 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
14 West Ham 16 5 4 7 21 29 -8 19
15 Crystal Palace 16 3 7 6 17 21 -4 16
16 Everton 15 3 6 6 14 21 -7 15
17 Leicester 16 3 5 8 21 34 -13 14
18 Ipswich 16 2 6 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Wolves 16 2 3 11 24 40 -16 9
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 11 36 -25 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 8 7 1 0 26 14 +12 22
2 Liverpool 8 6 1 1 15 5 +10 19
3 Arsenal 8 5 3 0 17 6 +11 18
4 Man City 8 5 1 2 16 12 +4 16
5 Chelsea 8 4 3 1 14 9 +5 15
6 Aston Villa 8 4 3 1 13 9 +4 15
7 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 12 8 +4 14
8 Bournemouth 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
9 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14
10 Fulham 8 4 2 2 14 13 +1 14
11 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 20 11 +9 13
12 Man United 8 4 1 3 13 11 +2 13
13 Brighton 8 3 4 1 13 12 +1 13
14 West Ham 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
15 Everton 7 2 3 2 9 8 +1 9
16 Leicester 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
17 Crystal Palace 8 1 4 3 6 10 -4 7
18 Ipswich 8 0 4 4 6 12 -6 4
19 Wolves 8 1 1 6 12 20 -8 4
20 Southampton 8 1 1 6 7 21 -14 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 8 6 1 1 23 10 +13 19
2 Liverpool 7 5 2 0 16 8 +8 17
3 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 11 12 -1 14
4 Arsenal 8 3 3 2 12 9 +3 12
5 Man City 8 3 2 3 12 11 +1 11
6 Brighton 8 3 2 3 13 13 0 11
7 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11
8 Tottenham 8 3 1 4 16 8 +8 10
9 Fulham 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10
10 Aston Villa 8 3 1 4 11 16 -5 10
11 Crystal Palace 8 2 3 3 11 11 0 9
12 Man United 8 2 3 3 8 8 0 9
13 Newcastle 8 2 3 3 11 13 -2 9
14 West Ham 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
15 Ipswich 8 2 2 4 10 16 -6 8
16 Everton 8 1 3 4 5 13 -8 6
17 Wolves 8 1 2 5 12 20 -8 5
18 Leicester 8 1 2 5 10 22 -12 5
19 Brentford 8 0 1 7 6 16 -10 1
20 Southampton 8 0 1 7 4 15 -11 1

Aston Villa   Man City

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 16 3 13 2.0 1.9 7 2 7 32 30 23
2 19 Wolves 16 3 13 1.5 2.5 2 3 11 24 40 9
3 5 Man City 16 4 12 1.8 1.4 8 3 5 28 23 27
4 9 Brighton 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 6 6 4 26 25 24
5 17 Leicester 16 4 12 1.3 2.1 3 5 8 21 34 14
6 7 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.5 1.6 7 4 5 24 25 25
7 10 Tottenham 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 7 2 7 36 19 23
8 2 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.3 1.2 10 4 2 37 19 34
9 13 Man United 16 6 10 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22
10 14 West Ham 16 6 10 1.3 1.8 5 4 7 21 29 19
11 1 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.1 0.9 11 3 1 31 13 36
12 4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 8 4 4 21 19 28
13 6 Bournemouth 16 8 8 1.5 1.3 7 4 5 24 21 25
14 8 Fulham 16 8 8 1.5 1.4 6 6 4 24 22 24
15 12 Newcastle 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 5 23 21 23
16 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.7 2.2 1 2 13 11 36 5
17 15 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 3 7 6 17 21 16
18 16 Everton 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 3 6 6 14 21 15
19 18 Ipswich 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 2 6 8 16 28 12
20 3 Arsenal 16 10 6 1.8 0.9 8 6 2 29 15 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Man City 8 1 7 2.0 1.5 5 1 2 16 12 16
2 11 Brentford 8 1 7 3.2 1.8 7 1 0 26 14 22
3 14 West Ham 8 1 7 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
4 19 Wolves 8 1 7 1.5 2.5 1 1 6 12 20 4
5 8 Fulham 8 2 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 2 14 13 14
6 9 Brighton 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 3 4 1 13 12 13
7 10 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.5 1.4 4 1 3 20 11 13
8 13 Man United 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 4 1 3 13 11 13
9 17 Leicester 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
10 20 Southampton 8 3 5 0.9 2.6 1 1 6 7 21 4
11 1 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.9 0.6 6 1 1 15 5 19
12 2 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 1 14 9 15
13 3 Arsenal 8 4 4 2.1 0.8 5 3 0 17 6 18
14 7 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 3 1 13 9 15
15 16 Everton 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 2 3 2 9 8 9
16 4 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14
17 6 Bournemouth 8 5 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
18 12 Newcastle 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 4 2 2 12 8 14
19 15 Crystal Palace 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 1 4 3 6 10 7
20 18 Ipswich 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 0 4 4 6 12 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Aston Villa 8 1 7 1.4 2.0 3 1 4 11 16 10
2 17 Leicester 8 1 7 1.2 2.8 1 2 5 10 22 5
3 2 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.9 1.2 6 1 1 23 10 19
4 9 Brighton 8 2 6 1.6 1.6 3 2 3 13 13 11
5 11 Brentford 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 0 1 7 6 16 1
6 19 Wolves 8 2 6 1.5 2.5 1 2 5 12 20 5
7 1 Liverpool 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 5 2 0 16 8 17
8 4 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 4 2 2 11 12 14
9 5 Man City 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 3 12 11 11
10 6 Bournemouth 8 3 5 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11
11 10 Tottenham 8 3 5 2.0 1.0 3 1 4 16 8 10
12 12 Newcastle 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 2 3 3 11 13 9
13 15 Crystal Palace 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 2 3 3 11 11 9
14 18 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.2 2.0 2 2 4 10 16 8
15 13 Man United 8 4 4 1.0 1.0 2 3 3 8 8 9
16 14 West Ham 8 5 3 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
17 16 Everton 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 3 4 5 13 6
18 20 Southampton 8 5 3 0.5 1.9 0 1 7 4 15 1
19 3 Arsenal 8 6 2 1.5 1.1 3 3 2 12 9 12
20 8 Fulham 8 6 2 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06