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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: C Brook

Grimsby 4–0 Swindon

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.68 fair 2.31
Draw 3.80 fair 4.03
Away 4.33 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Grimsby Swindon
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 5
7 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (529 league matches this season so far).
Result Grimsby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
GrimsbyDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Grimsby before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.57scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 69:49
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.57scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 69:53
Grimsby all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.57
1.11 Goals conceded 1.20
2.68 Total goals 2.77
13.84 Shots 11.52
4.75 Shots on target 4.55
10.11 Shots faced 12.82
6.07 Corners 5.27
4.43 Corners against 5.91
10.70 Fouls 10.20
1.48 Yellow cards 1.75
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

48% Wins 50%
25% Draws 20%
27% Losses 30%
95% Over 0.5 goals 98%
68% Over 1.5 goals 84%
48% Over 2.5 goals 61%
32% Over 3.5 goals 27%
16% Over 4.5 goals 7%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 59%
36% Clean sheets 30%
18% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 27%
45% Draws 50%
23% Losses 23%
68% Over 0.5 goals 68%
41% Over 1.5 goals 39%
20% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby all matches
Swindon all matches
Grimsby before this match, at home
1.73points / match
1.68scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 37:22
Swindon before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.45scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:28
Grimsby at home away Swindon

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.45
1.00 Goals conceded 1.27
2.68 Total goals 2.73
15.95 Shots 11.14
5.64 Shots on target 4.64
8.41 Shots faced 14.41
7.32 Corners 4.73
3.82 Corners against 6.23
10.41 Fouls 10.41
1.23 Yellow cards 1.77
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
23% Draws 14%
27% Losses 36%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 82%
50% Over 2.5 goals 64%
32% Over 3.5 goals 23%
14% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 55%
36% Clean sheets 32%
18% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
45% Draws 45%
27% Losses 27%
64% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 41%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Grimsby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26 Cambridge – Grimsby 1–2 (1–1) 1.813.504.00 2.08 1.73
18.04.26 Gillingham – Grimsby 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.301.86 2.05 1.75
14.04.26 Chesterfield – Grimsby 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.65 1.93 1.93
11.04.26 Grimsby – Crewe 3–2 (1–0) 1.663.804.50 1.75 2.05
06.04.26 Crawley Town – Grimsby 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.402.15 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Grimsby – Harrogate 1–3 (1–2) 1.514.005.75 1.73 2.08
21.03.26 Grimsby – Barrow 5–0 (2–0) 1.494.005.75 1.83 2.03
17.03.26 Grimsby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.60 1.95 1.85
14.03.26 Oldham – Grimsby 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.65 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Grimsby – Bromley 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.403.30 1.95 1.85

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Swindon – Accrington 2–2 (2–1) 1.623.754.75 1.93 1.93
10.04.26 Colchester – Swindon 3–0 (0–0) 2.203.702.75 1.73 2.08
06.04.26 Swindon – Walsall 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.05 1.75
02.04.26 Cambridge – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.405.00 2.03 1.83
28.03.26 Swindon – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–0) 1.963.503.40 1.95 1.90
21.03.26 Tranmere – Swindon 0–1 (0–0) 3.903.501.81 1.80 2.00
17.03.26 Gillingham – Swindon 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.98 1.88
14.03.26 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.25 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Crawley Town – Swindon 2–2 (0–0) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.08
28.02.26 Swindon – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (0–1) 1.863.503.70 1.85 1.95

Grimsby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Grimsby – Crewe 3–2 (1–0) 1.663.804.50 1.75 2.05
03.04.26 Grimsby – Harrogate 1–3 (1–2) 1.514.005.75 1.73 2.08
21.03.26 Grimsby – Barrow 5–0 (2–0) 1.494.005.75 1.83 2.03
17.03.26 Grimsby – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.60 1.95 1.85
07.03.26 Grimsby – Bromley 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.403.30 1.95 1.85
03.03.26 Grimsby – Salford 3–1 (3–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
18.02.26 Grimsby – Walsall 2–2 (0–1) 1.863.304.00 2.10 1.70
11.02.26 Grimsby – Accrington 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.603.90 1.98 1.88
31.01.26 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 (0–2) 2.553.502.45 1.90 1.90
17.01.26 Grimsby – Barnet 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.55 1.85 2.00

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.26 Colchester – Swindon 3–0 (0–0) 2.203.702.75 1.73 2.08
02.04.26 Cambridge – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.405.00 2.03 1.83
21.03.26 Tranmere – Swindon 0–1 (0–0) 3.903.501.81 1.80 2.00
17.03.26 Gillingham – Swindon 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.302.25 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Crawley Town – Swindon 2–2 (0–0) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.08
17.02.26 Barnet – Swindon 1–2 (1–0) 1.683.904.33 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Shrewsbury – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 2.753.252.25 1.90 1.90
03.02.26 Harrogate – Swindon 0–1 (0–0) 4.103.601.76 1.70 2.10
27.01.26 Notts County – Swindon 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.40 2.05 1.75
24.01.26 Bromley – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.013.503.40 1.85 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Grimsby winsDrawsSwindon wins
7matches
3.57goals / match
86%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25E3 Swindon – Grimsby 2–2 (2–2) 2.253.302.95 1.83 2.03
18.04.25E3 Grimsby – Swindon 0–4 (0–2) 1.803.404.50 1.85 2.00
21.12.24E3 Swindon – Grimsby 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.602.90 1.93 1.93
20.04.24E3 Grimsby – Swindon 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.65 2.20
30.09.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.73 2.08
14.01.23E3 Swindon – Grimsby 5–0 (1–0) 2.553.103.00 2.08 1.73
24.09.22E3 Grimsby – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.253.403.20 2.00 1.85

England League Two table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bromley 45 23 15 7 68 45 +23 84
2 Milton Keynes Dons 44 23 13 8 82 44 +38 82
3 Salford 45 25 5 15 61 51 +10 80
4 Cambridge 44 21 15 8 63 33 +30 78
5 Notts County 44 23 7 14 72 51 +21 76
6 Swindon 44 22 9 13 69 53 +16 75
7 Grimsby 44 21 11 12 69 49 +20 74
8 Chesterfield 44 19 16 9 67 55 +12 73
9 Barnet 44 19 13 12 62 50 +12 70
10 Crewe 44 19 9 16 64 56 +8 66
11 Oldham 44 17 14 13 55 41 +14 65
12 Walsall 44 18 11 15 55 51 +4 65
13 Colchester 44 17 12 15 58 47 +11 63
14 Fleetwood Town 44 15 14 15 54 55 -1 59
15 Bristol Rvs 44 18 4 22 51 64 -13 58
16 Accrington 44 14 10 20 44 52 -8 52
17 Cheltenham 44 14 10 20 52 71 -19 52
18 Gillingham 44 12 14 18 50 66 -16 50
19 Shrewsbury 44 13 9 22 40 66 -26 48
20 Tranmere 44 10 10 24 53 75 -22 40
21 Crawley Town 44 8 14 22 41 65 -24 38
22 Newport County 44 10 7 27 43 74 -31 37
23 Barrow 44 9 9 26 44 73 -29 36
24 Harrogate 44 9 9 26 36 66 -30 36
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cambridge 22 14 6 2 40 15 +25 48
2 Bromley 22 13 9 0 38 20 +18 48
3 Salford 23 14 4 5 34 24 +10 46
4 Notts County 22 13 3 6 44 24 +20 42
5 Milton Keynes Dons 22 12 6 4 38 20 +18 42
6 Crewe 22 12 4 6 34 28 +6 40
7 Swindon 22 11 6 5 37 25 +12 39
8 Grimsby 22 11 5 6 37 22 +15 38
9 Chesterfield 22 10 8 4 36 24 +12 38
10 Colchester 22 10 6 6 35 22 +13 36
11 Oldham 22 9 8 5 27 18 +9 35
12 Bristol Rvs 22 11 1 10 27 28 -1 34
13 Barnet 22 9 6 7 32 27 +5 33
14 Fleetwood Town 22 8 8 6 33 33 0 32
15 Shrewsbury 22 9 5 8 20 25 -5 32
16 Accrington 22 9 4 9 24 24 0 31
17 Cheltenham 22 9 4 9 27 29 -2 31
18 Walsall 22 8 5 9 23 28 -5 29
19 Gillingham 22 7 7 8 28 36 -8 28
20 Crawley Town 22 5 9 8 26 28 -2 24
21 Newport County 22 5 4 13 21 35 -14 19
22 Barrow 22 5 4 13 17 32 -15 19
23 Tranmere 22 4 5 13 21 36 -15 17
24 Harrogate 22 4 3 15 15 36 -21 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 22 11 7 4 44 24 +20 40
2 Barnet 22 10 7 5 30 23 +7 37
3 Walsall 22 10 6 6 32 23 +9 36
4 Grimsby 22 10 6 6 32 27 +5 36
5 Bromley 23 10 6 7 30 25 +5 36
6 Swindon 22 11 3 8 32 28 +4 36
7 Chesterfield 22 9 8 5 31 31 0 35
8 Notts County 22 10 4 8 28 27 +1 34
9 Salford 22 11 1 10 27 27 0 34
10 Oldham 22 8 6 8 28 23 +5 30
11 Cambridge 22 7 9 6 23 18 +5 30
12 Fleetwood Town 22 7 6 9 21 22 -1 27
13 Colchester 22 7 6 9 23 25 -2 27
14 Crewe 22 7 5 10 30 28 +2 26
15 Bristol Rvs 22 7 3 12 24 36 -12 24
16 Tranmere 22 6 5 11 32 39 -7 23
17 Gillingham 22 5 7 10 22 30 -8 22
18 Accrington 22 5 6 11 20 28 -8 21
19 Harrogate 22 5 6 11 21 30 -9 21
20 Cheltenham 22 5 6 11 25 42 -17 21
21 Newport County 22 5 3 14 22 39 -17 18
22 Barrow 22 4 5 13 27 41 -14 17
23 Shrewsbury 22 4 4 14 20 41 -21 16
24 Crawley Town 22 3 5 14 15 37 -22 14

Grimsby   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Swindon 44 17 27 1.6 1.2 22 9 13 69 53 75
2 23 Barrow 44 17 27 1.0 1.7 9 9 26 44 73 36
3 5 Notts County 44 18 26 1.6 1.2 23 7 14 72 51 76
4 2 Milton Keynes Dons 44 20 24 1.9 1.0 23 13 8 82 44 82
5 10 Crewe 44 20 24 1.5 1.3 19 9 16 64 56 66
6 20 Tranmere 44 20 24 1.2 1.7 10 10 24 53 75 40
7 22 Newport County 44 20 24 1.0 1.7 10 7 27 43 74 37
8 1 Bromley 45 22 23 1.5 1.0 23 15 7 68 45 84
9 15 Bristol Rvs 44 21 23 1.2 1.5 18 4 22 51 64 58
10 7 Grimsby 44 23 21 1.6 1.1 21 11 12 69 49 74
11 12 Walsall 44 23 21 1.2 1.2 18 11 15 55 51 65
12 3 Salford 45 25 20 1.4 1.1 25 5 15 61 51 80
13 8 Chesterfield 44 24 20 1.5 1.2 19 16 9 67 55 73
14 9 Barnet 44 24 20 1.4 1.1 19 13 12 62 50 70
15 11 Oldham 44 24 20 1.2 0.9 17 14 13 55 41 65
16 14 Fleetwood Town 44 24 20 1.2 1.2 15 14 15 54 55 59
17 17 Cheltenham 44 24 20 1.2 1.6 14 10 20 52 71 52
18 18 Gillingham 44 24 20 1.1 1.5 12 14 18 50 66 50
19 19 Shrewsbury 44 24 20 0.9 1.5 13 9 22 40 66 48
20 21 Crawley Town 44 25 19 0.9 1.5 8 14 22 41 65 38
21 24 Harrogate 44 28 16 0.8 1.5 9 9 26 36 66 36
22 4 Cambridge 44 29 15 1.4 0.8 21 15 8 63 33 78
23 13 Colchester 44 29 15 1.3 1.1 17 12 15 58 47 63
24 16 Accrington 44 29 15 1.0 1.2 14 10 20 44 52 52
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Notts County 22 8 14 2.0 1.1 13 3 6 44 24 42
2 6 Swindon 22 9 13 1.7 1.1 11 6 5 37 25 39
3 10 Crewe 22 9 13 1.5 1.3 12 4 6 34 28 40
4 14 Fleetwood Town 22 9 13 1.5 1.5 8 8 6 33 33 32
5 1 Bromley 22 10 12 1.7 0.9 13 9 0 38 20 48
6 9 Barnet 22 10 12 1.5 1.2 9 6 7 32 27 33
7 2 Milton Keynes Dons 22 11 11 1.7 0.9 12 6 4 38 20 42
8 7 Grimsby 22 11 11 1.7 1.0 11 5 6 37 22 38
9 8 Chesterfield 22 11 11 1.6 1.1 10 8 4 36 24 38
10 12 Walsall 22 11 11 1.0 1.3 8 5 9 23 28 29
11 15 Bristol Rvs 22 11 11 1.2 1.3 11 1 10 27 28 34
12 18 Gillingham 22 11 11 1.3 1.6 7 7 8 28 36 28
13 3 Salford 23 13 10 1.5 1.0 14 4 5 34 24 46
14 17 Cheltenham 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 9 4 9 27 29 31
15 20 Tranmere 22 12 10 1.0 1.6 4 5 13 21 36 17
16 22 Newport County 22 12 10 1.0 1.6 5 4 13 21 35 19
17 23 Barrow 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 13 17 32 19
18 4 Cambridge 22 13 9 1.8 0.7 14 6 2 40 15 48
19 13 Colchester 22 13 9 1.6 1.0 10 6 6 35 22 36
20 21 Crawley Town 22 13 9 1.2 1.3 5 9 8 26 28 24
21 24 Harrogate 22 13 9 0.7 1.6 4 3 15 15 36 15
22 11 Oldham 22 14 8 1.2 0.8 9 8 5 27 18 35
23 19 Shrewsbury 22 14 8 0.9 1.1 9 5 8 20 25 32
24 16 Accrington 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 9 4 9 24 24 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Barrow 22 5 17 1.2 1.9 4 5 13 27 41 17
2 6 Swindon 22 8 14 1.5 1.3 11 3 8 32 28 36
3 20 Tranmere 22 8 14 1.5 1.8 6 5 11 32 39 23
4 22 Newport County 22 8 14 1.0 1.8 5 3 14 22 39 18
5 2 Milton Keynes Dons 22 9 13 2.0 1.1 11 7 4 44 24 40
6 5 Notts County 22 10 12 1.3 1.2 10 4 8 28 27 34
7 11 Oldham 22 10 12 1.3 1.0 8 6 8 28 23 30
8 15 Bristol Rvs 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 7 3 12 24 36 24
9 19 Shrewsbury 22 10 12 0.9 1.9 4 4 14 20 41 16
10 1 Bromley 23 12 11 1.3 1.1 10 6 7 30 25 36
11 10 Crewe 22 11 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 10 30 28 26
12 3 Salford 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 11 1 10 27 27 34
13 7 Grimsby 22 12 10 1.5 1.2 10 6 6 32 27 36
14 12 Walsall 22 12 10 1.5 1.0 10 6 6 32 23 36
15 17 Cheltenham 22 12 10 1.1 1.9 5 6 11 25 42 21
16 21 Crawley Town 22 12 10 0.7 1.7 3 5 14 15 37 14
17 8 Chesterfield 22 13 9 1.4 1.4 9 8 5 31 31 35
18 18 Gillingham 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 5 7 10 22 30 22
19 9 Barnet 22 14 8 1.4 1.0 10 7 5 30 23 37
20 16 Accrington 22 14 8 0.9 1.3 5 6 11 20 28 21
21 14 Fleetwood Town 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 7 6 9 21 22 27
22 24 Harrogate 22 15 7 1.0 1.4 5 6 11 21 30 21
23 4 Cambridge 22 16 6 1.0 0.8 7 9 6 23 18 30
24 13 Colchester 22 16 6 1.0 1.1 7 6 9 23 25 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51