Notts County 2–1 Swindon – England League Two, 27 Jan 2026

Match facts

Notts County Swindon

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 3

7 Fouls 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (317 league matches this season so far).

Result Notts County to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.29

Home / Draw / Away

42% 25% 33%

Notts CountyDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.1% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Notts County before this match, all matches

1.73points / match

1.50scored / match

1.04conceded / match

13 6 7

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 39:27

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.77points / match

1.62scored / match

1.19conceded / match

14 4 8

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:31

Notts County all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.62

1.04 Goals conceded 1.19

2.54 Total goals 2.81

10.73 Shots 12.42

4.08 Shots on target 4.73

9.65 Shots faced 11.73

4.46 Corners 5.12

4.69 Corners against 5.58

11.50 Fouls 10.92

2.15 Yellow cards 2.08

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.92

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

50% Wins 54%

23% Draws 15%

27% Losses 31%

96% Over 0.5 goals 96%

73% Over 1.5 goals 81%

50% Over 2.5 goals 62%

27% Over 3.5 goals 31%

8% Over 4.5 goals 12%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

58% Both teams scored 54%

31% Clean sheets 31%

15% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 35%

58% Draws 46%

15% Losses 19%

58% Over 0.5 goals 73%

31% Over 1.5 goals 50%

12% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Notts County all matches

1

3

L

1

W

3

2

W

2

W

D

2

L

1

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

W

Swindon all matches

2

D

2

1

W

1

L

3

W

1

W

1

L

2

W

2

W

2

3

L

1

2

L

Notts County before this match, at home

1.85points / match

1.77scored / match

1.00conceded / match

7 3 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:13

Swindon before this match, away

1.69points / match

1.62scored / match

1.23conceded / match

7 1 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:16

Notts County at home away Swindon

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.62

1.00 Goals conceded 1.23

2.77 Total goals 2.85

11.69 Shots 12.69

5.00 Shots on target 5.00

8.08 Shots faced 12.23

4.85 Corners 5.08

4.00 Corners against 5.38

10.54 Fouls 11.31

1.69 Yellow cards 2.15

0.85 1st-half goals scored 1.08

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

54% Wins 54%

23% Draws 8%

23% Losses 38%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 85%

54% Over 2.5 goals 69%

46% Over 3.5 goals 23%

15% Over 4.5 goals 8%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

54% Both teams scored 54%

38% Clean sheets 31%

15% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 46%

46% Draws 23%

15% Losses 31%

69% Over 0.5 goals 92%

38% Over 1.5 goals 54%

23% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Notts County at home

1

W

4

W

3

1

W

2

W

1

D

1

3

L

3

2

W

D

1

L

1

W

Swindon away

3

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

4

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

W

1

L

2

W

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Notts County all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Notts County – Crewe	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.85	1.95
17.01.26	Crawley Town – Notts County	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.20	1.88	1.98
01.01.26	Notts County – Accrington	0–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.50	4.10	1.95	1.90
29.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	3.90	1.90	1.90
26.12.25	Chesterfield – Notts County	2–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	2.82	1.75	2.05
20.12.25	Notts County – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.75	2.05	1.75
13.12.25	Grimsby – Notts County	0–2 (0–0)	1.91	3.70	3.60	1.75	2.05
09.12.25	Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons	3–2 (2–2)	2.75	3.20	2.40	2.05	1.75
29.11.25	Bristol Rvs – Notts County	0–1 (0–0)	2.95	3.20	2.35	1.95	1.85
22.11.25	Notts County – Colchester	1–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.20	1.93	1.93

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Bromley – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.01	3.50	3.40	1.85	1.95
17.01.26	Swindon – Salford	2–3 (1–2)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.80	2.00
01.01.26	Swindon – Gillingham	2–0 (0–0)	2.01	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.85
29.12.25	Cheltenham – Swindon	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.60	1.81	1.85	2.00
26.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.80	2.00
20.12.25	Swindon – Crawley Town	1–0 (0–0)	1.68	3.90	4.20	1.57	2.35
13.12.25	Bristol Rvs – Swindon	0–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.60	2.20	1.85	1.95
09.12.25	Swindon – Cheltenham	0–1 (0–0)	1.39	4.33	7.00	1.62	2.25
29.11.25	Chesterfield – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.73	2.08
22.11.25	Swindon – Grimsby	2–2 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	2.95	1.83	2.03

Notts County at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Notts County – Crewe	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.85	1.95
01.01.26	Notts County – Accrington	0–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.50	4.10	1.95	1.90
20.12.25	Notts County – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.25	2.75	2.05	1.75
09.12.25	Notts County – Milton Keynes Dons	3–2 (2–2)	2.75	3.20	2.40	2.05	1.75
22.11.25	Notts County – Colchester	1–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.20	1.93	1.93
15.11.25	Notts County – Harrogate	1–1 (0–1)	1.42	4.10	7.00	1.73	2.08
25.10.25	Notts County – Cambridge	2–0 (0–0)	2.32	3.25	2.85	2.25	1.62
04.10.25	Notts County – Oldham	3–1 (2–0)	2.10	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
20.09.25	Notts County – Crawley Town	4–0 (1–0)	1.86	3.80	3.50	1.70	2.10
06.09.25	Notts County – Fleetwood Town	1–0 (0–0)	1.86	3.50	3.75	1.93	1.93

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26	Bromley – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.01	3.50	3.40	1.85	1.95
29.12.25	Cheltenham – Swindon	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.60	1.81	1.85	2.00
26.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	3.60	1.80	2.00
13.12.25	Bristol Rvs – Swindon	0–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.60	2.20	1.85	1.95
29.11.25	Chesterfield – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.73	2.08
15.11.25	Fleetwood Town – Swindon	1–1 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	2.70	1.83	2.03
18.10.25	Accrington – Swindon	4–0 (1–0)	3.70	3.50	1.86	1.93	1.93
04.10.25	Newport County – Swindon	0–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.70	1.68	1.67	2.15
20.09.25	Salford – Swindon	3–2 (2–0)	2.20	3.60	2.82	1.73	2.08
06.09.25	Barrow – Swindon	1–3 (0–2)	2.65	3.40	2.40	2.05	1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 1 1

Notts County winsDrawsSwindon wins

5matches

3.20goals / match

80%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.25E3	Swindon – Notts County	2–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.60	3.20	1.85	2.00
04.01.25E3	Notts County – Swindon	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.90	4.50	1.65	2.20
31.08.24E3	Swindon – Notts County	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.60	2.25	1.53	2.40
29.03.24E3	Swindon – Notts County	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.40	2.88
03.10.23E3	Notts County – Swindon	3–1 (3–0)	1.83	4.20	3.75	1.40	2.88

England League Two table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bromley	27	16	7	4	46	28	+18	55
2	Salford	26	15	4	7	39	33	+6	49
3	Milton Keynes Dons	27	13	8	6	53	29	+24	47
4	Cambridge	26	13	8	5	34	22	+12	47
5	Walsall	26	14	5	7	35	24	+11	47
6	Swindon	26	14	4	8	42	31	+11	46
7	Notts County	26	13	6	7	39	27	+12	45
8	Colchester	26	11	9	6	41	29	+12	42
9	Chesterfield	27	10	11	6	43	37	+6	41
10	Grimsby	26	11	7	8	38	30	+8	40
11	Crewe	27	11	6	10	42	35	+7	39
12	Gillingham	26	9	11	6	37	30	+7	38
13	Barnet	26	10	8	8	35	29	+6	38
14	Accrington	27	10	7	10	31	29	+2	37
15	Oldham	26	8	11	7	28	23	+5	35
16	Fleetwood Town	26	9	7	10	34	34	0	34
17	Tranmere	27	8	8	11	42	46	-4	32
18	Cheltenham	27	9	3	15	26	45	-19	30
19	Barrow	26	6	6	14	27	39	-12	24
20	Crawley Town	27	5	7	15	30	47	-17	22
21	Shrewsbury	26	5	7	14	23	46	-23	22
22	Bristol Rvs	26	6	3	17	21	46	-25	21
23	Newport County	27	5	5	17	29	51	-22	20
24	Harrogate	27	4	6	17	19	44	-25	18

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bromley	13	9	4	0	28	14	+14	31
2	Cambridge	13	9	3	1	22	9	+13	30
3	Salford	13	8	3	2	21	16	+5	27
4	Milton Keynes Dons	14	7	4	3	28	15	+13	25
5	Crewe	14	7	4	3	26	19	+7	25
6	Notts County	13	7	3	3	23	13	+10	24
7	Swindon	13	7	3	3	21	15	+6	24
8	Chesterfield	13	6	5	2	23	13	+10	23
9	Walsall	13	7	2	4	17	13	+4	23
10	Colchester	13	6	4	3	22	14	+8	22
11	Fleetwood Town	13	6	4	3	22	19	+3	22
12	Gillingham	13	5	6	2	19	14	+5	21
13	Accrington	13	6	3	4	16	12	+4	21
14	Grimsby	13	6	2	5	18	11	+7	20
15	Cheltenham	14	6	1	7	14	16	-2	19
16	Oldham	13	4	6	3	15	11	+4	18
17	Barnet	13	5	3	5	21	18	+3	18
18	Shrewsbury	13	4	4	5	11	15	-4	16
19	Crawley Town	13	3	5	5	18	18	0	14
20	Tranmere	14	3	5	6	17	23	-6	14
21	Bristol Rvs	13	3	1	9	8	22	-14	10
22	Barrow	13	2	3	8	10	21	-11	9
23	Newport County	14	2	3	9	14	26	-12	9
24	Harrogate	13	2	1	10	8	25	-17	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	13	7	3	3	18	11	+7	24
2	Bromley	14	7	3	4	18	14	+4	24
3	Milton Keynes Dons	13	6	4	3	25	14	+11	22
4	Swindon	13	7	1	5	21	16	+5	22
5	Salford	13	7	1	5	18	17	+1	22
6	Notts County	13	6	3	4	16	14	+2	21
7	Colchester	13	5	5	3	19	15	+4	20
8	Barnet	13	5	5	3	14	11	+3	20
9	Grimsby	13	5	5	3	20	19	+1	20
10	Tranmere	13	5	3	5	25	23	+2	18
11	Chesterfield	14	4	6	4	20	24	-4	18
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	18	16	+2	17
13	Oldham	13	4	5	4	13	12	+1	17
14	Cambridge	13	4	5	4	12	13	-1	17
15	Accrington	14	4	4	6	15	17	-2	16
16	Barrow	13	4	3	6	17	18	-1	15
17	Crewe	13	4	2	7	16	16	0	14
18	Fleetwood Town	13	3	3	7	12	15	-3	12
19	Harrogate	14	2	5	7	11	19	-8	11
20	Newport County	13	3	2	8	15	25	-10	11
21	Bristol Rvs	13	3	2	8	13	24	-11	11
22	Cheltenham	13	3	2	8	12	29	-17	11
23	Crawley Town	14	2	2	10	12	29	-17	8
24	Shrewsbury	13	1	3	9	12	31	-19	6

Notts County Swindon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Milton Keynes Dons	27	11	16	2.0	1.1	13	8	6	53	29	47
2	6	Swindon	26	10	16	1.6	1.2	14	4	8	42	31	46
3	17	Tranmere	27	11	16	1.6	1.7	8	8	11	42	46	32
4	19	Barrow	26	10	16	1.0	1.5	6	6	14	27	39	24
5	20	Crawley Town	27	11	16	1.1	1.7	5	7	15	30	47	22
6	23	Newport County	27	11	16	1.1	1.9	5	5	17	29	51	20
7	1	Bromley	27	12	15	1.7	1.0	16	7	4	46	28	55
8	11	Crewe	27	12	15	1.6	1.3	11	6	10	42	35	39
9	22	Bristol Rvs	26	12	14	0.8	1.8	6	3	17	21	46	21
10	2	Salford	26	13	13	1.5	1.3	15	4	7	39	33	49
11	7	Notts County	26	13	13	1.5	1.0	13	6	7	39	27	45
12	9	Chesterfield	27	14	13	1.6	1.4	10	11	6	43	37	41
13	16	Fleetwood Town	26	13	13	1.3	1.3	9	7	10	34	34	34
14	21	Shrewsbury	26	13	13	0.9	1.8	5	7	14	23	46	22
15	10	Grimsby	26	15	11	1.5	1.2	11	7	8	38	30	40
16	12	Gillingham	26	15	11	1.4	1.2	9	11	6	37	30	38
17	13	Barnet	26	15	11	1.3	1.1	10	8	8	35	29	38
18	18	Cheltenham	27	16	11	1.0	1.7	9	3	15	26	45	30
19	5	Walsall	26	16	10	1.3	0.9	14	5	7	35	24	47
20	15	Oldham	26	16	10	1.1	0.9	8	11	7	28	23	35
21	8	Colchester	26	17	9	1.6	1.1	11	9	6	41	29	42
22	14	Accrington	27	18	9	1.1	1.1	10	7	10	31	29	37
23	24	Harrogate	27	18	9	0.7	1.6	4	6	17	19	44	18
24	4	Cambridge	26	18	8	1.3	0.8	13	8	5	34	22	47

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bromley	13	4	9	2.2	1.1	9	4	0	28	14	31
2	11	Crewe	14	5	9	1.9	1.4	7	4	3	26	19	25
3	3	Milton Keynes Dons	14	6	8	2.0	1.1	7	4	3	28	15	25
4	13	Barnet	13	5	8	1.6	1.4	5	3	5	21	18	18
5	16	Fleetwood Town	13	5	8	1.7	1.5	6	4	3	22	19	22
6	6	Swindon	13	6	7	1.6	1.2	7	3	3	21	15	24
7	7	Notts County	13	6	7	1.8	1.0	7	3	3	23	13	24
8	17	Tranmere	14	7	7	1.2	1.6	3	5	6	17	23	14
9	19	Barrow	13	6	7	0.8	1.6	2	3	8	10	21	9
10	20	Crawley Town	13	6	7	1.4	1.4	3	5	5	18	18	14
11	23	Newport County	14	7	7	1.0	1.9	2	3	9	14	26	9
12	2	Salford	13	7	6	1.6	1.2	8	3	2	21	16	27
13	5	Walsall	13	7	6	1.3	1.0	7	2	4	17	13	23
14	9	Chesterfield	13	7	6	1.8	1.0	6	5	2	23	13	23
15	22	Bristol Rvs	13	7	6	0.6	1.7	3	1	9	8	22	10
16	24	Harrogate	13	7	6	0.6	1.9	2	1	10	8	25	7
17	4	Cambridge	13	8	5	1.7	0.7	9	3	1	22	9	30
18	8	Colchester	13	8	5	1.7	1.1	6	4	3	22	14	22
19	10	Grimsby	13	8	5	1.4	0.8	6	2	5	18	11	20
20	12	Gillingham	13	8	5	1.5	1.1	5	6	2	19	14	21
21	15	Oldham	13	8	5	1.2	0.8	4	6	3	15	11	18
22	18	Cheltenham	14	9	5	1.0	1.1	6	1	7	14	16	19
23	14	Accrington	13	9	4	1.2	0.9	6	3	4	16	12	21
24	21	Shrewsbury	13	9	4	0.8	1.2	4	4	5	11	15	16

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Swindon	13	4	9	1.6	1.2	7	1	5	21	16	22
2	17	Tranmere	13	4	9	1.9	1.8	5	3	5	25	23	18
3	19	Barrow	13	4	9	1.3	1.4	4	3	6	17	18	15
4	20	Crawley Town	14	5	9	0.9	2.1	2	2	10	12	29	8
5	21	Shrewsbury	13	4	9	0.9	2.4	1	3	9	12	31	6
6	23	Newport County	13	4	9	1.2	1.9	3	2	8	15	25	11
7	3	Milton Keynes Dons	13	5	8	1.9	1.1	6	4	3	25	14	22
8	22	Bristol Rvs	13	5	8	1.0	1.8	3	2	8	13	24	11
9	2	Salford	13	6	7	1.4	1.3	7	1	5	18	17	22
10	9	Chesterfield	14	7	7	1.4	1.7	4	6	4	20	24	18
11	1	Bromley	14	8	6	1.3	1.0	7	3	4	18	14	24
12	7	Notts County	13	7	6	1.2	1.1	6	3	4	16	14	21
13	10	Grimsby	13	7	6	1.5	1.5	5	5	3	20	19	20
14	11	Crewe	13	7	6	1.2	1.2	4	2	7	16	16	14
15	12	Gillingham	13	7	6	1.4	1.2	4	5	4	18	16	17
16	18	Cheltenham	13	7	6	0.9	2.2	3	2	8	12	29	11
17	14	Accrington	14	9	5	1.1	1.2	4	4	6	15	17	16
18	15	Oldham	13	8	5	1.0	0.9	4	5	4	13	12	17
19	16	Fleetwood Town	13	8	5	0.9	1.2	3	3	7	12	15	12
20	5	Walsall	13	9	4	1.4	0.8	7	3	3	18	11	24
21	8	Colchester	13	9	4	1.5	1.2	5	5	3	19	15	20
22	4	Cambridge	13	10	3	0.9	1.0	4	5	4	12	13	17
23	13	Barnet	13	10	3	1.1	0.8	5	5	3	14	11	20
24	24	Harrogate	14	11	3	0.8	1.4	2	5	7	11	19	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.