Grimsby 2–0 Swindon – England League Two, 20 Apr 2024

Match facts

Grimsby Swindon

17 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 0

2 Corners 2

11 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (527 league matches this season so far).

Result Grimsby to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.47

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.70

Home / Draw / Away

41% 22% 37%

GrimsbyDrawSwindon

Under / Over 2.5 goals

32% 68%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

32% 68%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

27% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 9.3% 2–1 8.3% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Grimsby before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

1.25scored / match

1.64conceded / match

10 16 18

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 55:72

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.20points / match

1.68scored / match

1.77conceded / match

14 11 19

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 74:78

Grimsby all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.68

1.64 Goals conceded 1.77

2.89 Total goals 3.45

13.09 Shots 13.48

3.80 Shots on target 4.80

12.32 Shots faced 14.05

5.73 Corners 5.70

5.55 Corners against 4.91

11.50 Fouls 10.07

1.73 Yellow cards 1.93

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.73

0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

23% Wins 32%

36% Draws 25%

41% Losses 43%

93% Over 0.5 goals 95%

82% Over 1.5 goals 89%

48% Over 2.5 goals 73%

30% Over 3.5 goals 43%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

7% Over 5.5 goals 11%

64% Both teams scored 73%

23% Clean sheets 16%

20% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 43%

32% Draws 25%

32% Losses 32%

80% Over 0.5 goals 82%

43% Over 1.5 goals 32%

23% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby all matches

1

D

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

W

1

L

3

W

2

L

Swindon all matches

3

1

W

1

D

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

Grimsby before this match, at home

1.32points / match

1.45scored / match

1.86conceded / match

8 5 9

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:41

Swindon before this match, away

0.73points / match

1.45scored / match

2.14conceded / match

3 7 12

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:47

Grimsby at home away Swindon

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.45

1.86 Goals conceded 2.14

3.32 Total goals 3.59

12.82 Shots 13.14

3.95 Shots on target 4.64

11.64 Shots faced 15.91

6.05 Corners 5.14

4.82 Corners against 5.68

11.59 Fouls 11.05

1.45 Yellow cards 2.14

0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.91 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

36% Wins 14%

23% Draws 32%

41% Losses 55%

95% Over 0.5 goals 91%

82% Over 1.5 goals 86%

55% Over 2.5 goals 77%

36% Over 3.5 goals 55%

27% Over 4.5 goals 18%

14% Over 5.5 goals 9%

68% Both teams scored 77%

27% Clean sheets 14%

9% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 32%

32% Draws 32%

32% Losses 36%

86% Over 0.5 goals 82%

50% Over 1.5 goals 36%

32% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby at home

1

6

L

5

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

5

L

1

W

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

1

W

Swindon away

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

2

3

L

1

3

L

2

W

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Grimsby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.04.24	Colchester – Grimsby	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.98	1.88
13.04.24	Crewe – Grimsby	0–3 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	1.95	1.90
09.04.24	Harrogate – Grimsby	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.40	2.50	1.85	2.00
06.04.24	Grimsby – Newport County	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.90	1.95
01.04.24	Grimsby – Bradford	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
29.03.24	Barrow – Grimsby	3–1 (2–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.70
23.03.24	Grimsby – Wrexham	1–3 (0–3)	4.00	3.75	1.91	1.83	2.03
16.03.24	Gillingham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.25	4.00	2.10	1.70
12.03.24	Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.75	2.25	1.73	2.08
09.03.24	Sutton – Grimsby	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.60	3.00	1.85	2.00

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.04.24	Walsall – Swindon	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
13.04.24	Swindon – AFC Wimbledon	3–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.60	2.38	1.80	2.00
06.04.24	Barrow – Swindon	0–2 (0–2)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.73	2.08
01.04.24	Sutton – Swindon	3–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.70	2.10
29.03.24	Swindon – Notts County	2–1 (1–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.40	2.88
16.03.24	Swindon – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.75	3.10	1.67	2.15
12.03.24	Swindon – Accrington	1–2 (0–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.53	2.40
09.03.24	Mansfield – Swindon	3–2 (1–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Swindon – Harrogate	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.15
27.02.24	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (2–1)	2.38	3.50	2.88	1.75	2.05

Grimsby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.04.24	Grimsby – Newport County	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.90	1.95
01.04.24	Grimsby – Bradford	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.50	2.63	1.95	1.90
23.03.24	Grimsby – Wrexham	1–3 (0–3)	4.00	3.75	1.91	1.83	2.03
12.03.24	Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons	1–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.75	2.25	1.73	2.08
02.03.24	Grimsby – Forest Green	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.80	1.83	2.03
17.02.24	Grimsby – Doncaster	1–5 (1–2)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.85	2.00
10.02.24	Grimsby – Stockport	1–3 (0–3)	3.80	3.75	1.91	1.85	2.00
27.01.24	Grimsby – Tranmere	1–2 (1–1)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.85	2.00
13.01.24	Grimsby – Notts County	5–5 (2–2)	2.70	3.75	2.40	1.60	2.30
01.01.24	Grimsby – Walsall	1–6 (1–2)	2.38	3.25	3.10	1.98	1.88

Swindon away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.04.24	Walsall – Swindon	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
06.04.24	Barrow – Swindon	0–2 (0–2)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.73	2.08
01.04.24	Sutton – Swindon	3–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.70	2.10
09.03.24	Mansfield – Swindon	3–2 (1–0)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.53	2.40
24.02.24	Stockport – Swindon	0–0 (0–0)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.57	2.35
13.02.24	Gillingham – Swindon	2–2 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Newport County – Swindon	2–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.65	2.20
13.01.24	Crewe – Swindon	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.50	1.50	2.50
01.01.24	Crawley Town – Swindon	3–1 (2–0)	2.30	3.60	2.90	1.62	2.25
23.12.23	Tranmere – Swindon	2–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.67	2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Grimsby winsDrawsSwindon wins

3matches

3.67goals / match

100%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.09.23E3	Swindon – Grimsby	2–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	1.73	2.08
14.01.23E3	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
24.09.22E3	Grimsby – Swindon	1–2 (1–2)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.00	1.85

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	44	26	11	7	91	44	+47	89
2	Wrexham	45	25	10	10	87	51	+36	85
3	Mansfield	44	23	13	8	87	45	+42	82
4	Milton Keynes Dons	44	22	8	14	74	61	+13	74
5	Crewe	45	19	13	13	68	64	+4	70
6	Barrow	43	18	14	11	58	49	+9	68
7	Crawley Town	44	20	6	18	69	65	+4	66
8	Walsall	44	18	11	15	66	65	+1	65
9	Doncaster	43	19	7	17	63	63	0	64
10	Gillingham	44	18	9	17	43	53	-10	63
11	AFC Wimbledon	44	16	14	14	57	47	+10	62
12	Harrogate	44	17	11	16	55	62	-7	62
13	Bradford	43	16	12	15	52	55	-3	60
14	Morecambe	44	17	9	18	63	76	-13	60
15	Notts County	44	17	7	20	88	85	+3	58
16	Newport County	44	16	7	21	61	71	-10	55
17	Tranmere	44	16	6	22	63	64	-1	54
18	Accrington	44	15	9	20	57	66	-9	54
19	Swindon	44	14	11	19	74	78	-4	53
20	Salford	44	12	11	21	63	80	-17	47
21	Grimsby	44	10	16	18	55	72	-17	46
22	Colchester	43	11	11	21	57	74	-17	44
23	Sutton	44	9	13	22	53	78	-25	40
24	Forest Green	44	9	9	26	41	77	-36	36

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Wrexham	22	16	3	3	60	24	+36	51
2	Stockport	22	14	5	3	44	15	+29	47
3	Milton Keynes Dons	22	14	4	4	44	23	+21	46
4	Mansfield	22	12	7	3	41	21	+20	43
5	Walsall	22	12	6	4	33	22	+11	42
6	Doncaster	22	13	2	7	34	28	+6	41
7	Barrow	21	11	7	3	26	16	+10	40
8	Crewe	23	11	5	7	35	35	0	38
9	Swindon	22	11	4	7	42	31	+11	37
10	AFC Wimbledon	22	10	6	6	36	24	+12	36
11	Tranmere	22	11	3	8	41	30	+11	36
12	Notts County	22	11	2	9	50	42	+8	35
13	Gillingham	22	9	8	5	23	21	+2	35
14	Crawley Town	22	10	3	9	35	30	+5	33
15	Newport County	22	9	6	7	37	36	+1	33
16	Accrington	22	9	5	8	30	26	+4	32
17	Bradford	22	8	8	6	25	27	-2	32
18	Morecambe	22	8	7	7	28	27	+1	31
19	Harrogate	22	9	3	10	32	32	0	30
20	Grimsby	22	8	5	9	32	41	-9	29
21	Colchester	21	6	6	9	32	36	-4	24
22	Sutton	22	5	8	9	31	32	-1	23
23	Salford	22	5	7	10	35	44	-9	22
24	Forest Green	22	4	4	14	18	38	-20	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stockport	22	12	6	4	47	29	+18	42
2	Mansfield	22	11	6	5	46	24	+22	39
3	Wrexham	23	9	7	7	27	27	0	34
4	Crawley Town	22	10	3	9	34	35	-1	33
5	Crewe	22	8	8	6	33	29	+4	32
6	Harrogate	22	8	8	6	23	30	-7	32
7	Morecambe	22	9	2	11	35	49	-14	29
8	Barrow	22	7	7	8	32	33	-1	28
9	Bradford	21	8	4	9	27	28	-1	28
10	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	4	10	30	38	-8	28
11	Gillingham	22	9	1	12	20	32	-12	28
12	AFC Wimbledon	22	6	8	8	21	23	-2	26
13	Salford	22	7	4	11	28	36	-8	25
14	Notts County	22	6	5	11	38	43	-5	23
15	Doncaster	21	6	5	10	29	35	-6	23
16	Walsall	22	6	5	11	33	43	-10	23
17	Newport County	22	7	1	14	24	35	-11	22
18	Accrington	22	6	4	12	27	40	-13	22
19	Colchester	22	5	5	12	25	38	-13	20
20	Forest Green	22	5	5	12	23	39	-16	20
21	Tranmere	22	5	3	14	22	34	-12	18
22	Grimsby	22	2	11	9	23	31	-8	17
23	Sutton	22	4	5	13	22	46	-24	17
24	Swindon	22	3	7	12	32	47	-15	16

Grimsby Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Notts County	44	10	34	2.0	1.9	17	7	20	88	85	58
2	19	Swindon	44	12	32	1.7	1.8	14	11	19	74	78	53
3	14	Morecambe	44	15	29	1.4	1.7	17	9	18	63	76	60
4	20	Salford	44	15	29	1.4	1.8	12	11	21	63	80	47
5	4	Milton Keynes Dons	44	16	28	1.7	1.4	22	8	14	74	61	74
6	8	Walsall	44	17	27	1.5	1.5	18	11	15	66	65	65
7	9	Doncaster	43	16	27	1.5	1.5	19	7	17	63	63	64
8	16	Newport County	44	17	27	1.4	1.6	16	7	21	61	71	55
9	18	Accrington	44	17	27	1.3	1.5	15	9	20	57	66	54
10	17	Tranmere	44	18	26	1.4	1.5	16	6	22	63	64	54
11	1	Stockport	44	19	25	2.1	1.0	26	11	7	91	44	89
12	5	Crewe	45	20	25	1.5	1.4	19	13	13	68	64	70
13	7	Crawley Town	44	19	25	1.6	1.5	20	6	18	69	65	66
14	3	Mansfield	44	20	24	2.0	1.0	23	13	8	87	45	82
15	2	Wrexham	45	22	23	1.9	1.1	25	10	10	87	51	85
16	22	Colchester	43	20	23	1.3	1.7	11	11	21	57	74	44
17	12	Harrogate	44	22	22	1.2	1.4	17	11	16	55	62	62
18	23	Sutton	44	22	22	1.2	1.8	9	13	22	53	78	40
19	21	Grimsby	44	23	21	1.2	1.6	10	16	18	55	72	46
20	24	Forest Green	44	23	21	0.9	1.8	9	9	26	41	77	36
21	13	Bradford	43	24	19	1.2	1.3	16	12	15	52	55	60
22	6	Barrow	43	25	18	1.3	1.1	18	14	11	58	49	68
23	10	Gillingham	44	29	15	1.0	1.2	18	9	17	43	53	63
24	11	AFC Wimbledon	44	29	15	1.3	1.1	16	14	14	57	47	62

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Notts County	22	3	19	2.3	1.9	11	2	9	50	42	35
2	17	Tranmere	22	5	17	1.9	1.4	11	3	8	41	30	36
3	20	Salford	22	5	17	1.6	2.0	5	7	10	35	44	22
4	16	Newport County	22	7	15	1.7	1.6	9	6	7	37	36	33
5	19	Swindon	22	7	15	1.9	1.4	11	4	7	42	31	37
6	2	Wrexham	22	8	14	2.7	1.1	16	3	3	60	24	51
7	4	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	14	2.0	1.0	14	4	4	44	23	46
8	5	Crewe	23	9	14	1.5	1.5	11	5	7	35	35	38
9	7	Crawley Town	22	9	13	1.6	1.4	10	3	9	35	30	33
10	9	Doncaster	22	9	13	1.5	1.3	13	2	7	34	28	41
11	18	Accrington	22	9	13	1.4	1.2	9	5	8	30	26	32
12	8	Walsall	22	10	12	1.5	1.0	12	6	4	33	22	42
13	12	Harrogate	22	10	12	1.5	1.5	9	3	10	32	32	30
14	21	Grimsby	22	10	12	1.5	1.9	8	5	9	32	41	29
15	22	Colchester	21	9	12	1.5	1.7	6	6	9	32	36	24
16	14	Morecambe	22	11	11	1.3	1.2	8	7	7	28	27	31
17	23	Sutton	22	11	11	1.4	1.5	5	8	9	31	32	23
18	24	Forest Green	22	11	11	0.8	1.7	4	4	14	18	38	16
19	3	Mansfield	22	12	10	1.9	1.0	12	7	3	41	21	43
20	1	Stockport	22	14	8	2.0	0.7	14	5	3	44	15	47
21	11	AFC Wimbledon	22	14	8	1.6	1.1	10	6	6	36	24	36
22	13	Bradford	22	14	8	1.1	1.2	8	8	6	25	27	32
23	10	Gillingham	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	9	8	5	23	21	35
24	6	Barrow	21	15	6	1.2	0.8	11	7	3	26	16	40

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Morecambe	22	4	18	1.6	2.2	9	2	11	35	49	29
2	1	Stockport	22	5	17	2.1	1.3	12	6	4	47	29	42
3	19	Swindon	22	5	17	1.5	2.1	3	7	12	32	47	16
4	8	Walsall	22	7	15	1.5	2.0	6	5	11	33	43	23
5	15	Notts County	22	7	15	1.7	2.0	6	5	11	38	43	23
6	3	Mansfield	22	8	14	2.1	1.1	11	6	5	46	24	39
7	4	Milton Keynes Dons	22	8	14	1.4	1.7	8	4	10	30	38	28
8	9	Doncaster	21	7	14	1.4	1.7	6	5	10	29	35	23
9	18	Accrington	22	8	14	1.2	1.8	6	4	12	27	40	22
10	6	Barrow	22	10	12	1.5	1.5	7	7	8	32	33	28
11	7	Crawley Town	22	10	12	1.5	1.6	10	3	9	34	35	33
12	16	Newport County	22	10	12	1.1	1.6	7	1	14	24	35	22
13	20	Salford	22	10	12	1.3	1.6	7	4	11	28	36	25
14	5	Crewe	22	11	11	1.5	1.3	8	8	6	33	29	32
15	13	Bradford	21	10	11	1.3	1.3	8	4	9	27	28	28
16	22	Colchester	22	11	11	1.1	1.7	5	5	12	25	38	20
17	23	Sutton	22	11	11	1.0	2.1	4	5	13	22	46	17
18	12	Harrogate	22	12	10	1.0	1.4	8	8	6	23	30	32
19	24	Forest Green	22	12	10	1.0	1.8	5	5	12	23	39	20
20	2	Wrexham	23	14	9	1.2	1.2	9	7	7	27	27	34
21	17	Tranmere	22	13	9	1.0	1.5	5	3	14	22	34	18
22	21	Grimsby	22	13	9	1.0	1.4	2	11	9	23	31	17
23	10	Gillingham	22	14	8	0.9	1.5	9	1	12	20	32	28
24	11	AFC Wimbledon	22	15	7	1.0	1.0	6	8	8	21	23	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.