Swindon 3–3 Cheltenham – England League Two, 15 Mar 2025

Match facts

Swindon Cheltenham

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 2

9 Fouls 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (430 league matches this season so far).

Result Swindon to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.67

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.33

Home / Draw / Away

46% 24% 30%

SwindonDrawCheltenham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

42% 58%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

19% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11% 2–1 9.3% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches

1.28points / match

1.44scored / match

1.44conceded / match

11 13 12

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 52:52

Cheltenham before this match, all matches

1.36points / match

1.33scored / match

1.42conceded / match

13 10 13

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 48:51

Swindon all matches all matches Cheltenham

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.33

1.44 Goals conceded 1.42

2.89 Total goals 2.75

12.17 Shots 10.44

3.33 Shots on target 3.72

11.47 Shots faced 13.00

5.03 Corners 4.03

5.31 Corners against 5.47

10.17 Fouls 11.33

1.86 Yellow cards 1.47

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

31% Wins 36%

36% Draws 28%

33% Losses 36%

92% Over 0.5 goals 94%

81% Over 1.5 goals 78%

56% Over 2.5 goals 53%

42% Over 3.5 goals 25%

14% Over 4.5 goals 17%

6% Over 5.5 goals 3%

64% Both teams scored 61%

19% Clean sheets 22%

25% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 25%

42% Draws 44%

39% Losses 31%

75% Over 0.5 goals 67%

44% Over 1.5 goals 22%

14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches

2

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

5

1

W

3

D

1

L

1

W

1

W

2

D

2

D

Cheltenham all matches

D

1

W

2

L

3

2

W

3

W

2

D

1

D

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

Swindon before this match, at home

1.53points / match

1.71scored / match

1.41conceded / match

7 5 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:24

Cheltenham before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.18scored / match

1.53conceded / match

4 5 8

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 20:26

Swindon at home away Cheltenham

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.18

1.41 Goals conceded 1.53

3.12 Total goals 2.71

13.06 Shots 8.82

3.59 Shots on target 3.00

9.24 Shots faced 14.00

5.82 Corners 4.41

4.82 Corners against 5.06

9.82 Fouls 11.41

1.35 Yellow cards 1.53

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.59

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

41% Wins 24%

29% Draws 29%

29% Losses 47%

88% Over 0.5 goals 88%

82% Over 1.5 goals 82%

65% Over 2.5 goals 65%

53% Over 3.5 goals 24%

18% Over 4.5 goals 12%

6% Over 5.5 goals 0%

59% Both teams scored 59%

29% Clean sheets 24%

24% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 35%

47% Draws 35%

29% Losses 29%

76% Over 0.5 goals 76%

53% Over 1.5 goals 24%

18% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home

2

3

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

3

2

W

D

2

W

3

1

W

3

D

1

W

2

D

Cheltenham away

2

3

L

2

D

2

D

2

L

D

2

L

3

W

3

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Doncaster – Swindon	2–2 (2–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.85	1.95
04.03.25	Swindon – Salford	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.25	3.80	2.20	1.65
01.03.25	Walsall – Swindon	0–1 (0–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	1.90	1.95
22.02.25	Swindon – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.20	2.50	1.88	1.98
15.02.25	Harrogate – Swindon	1–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.25	2.38	2.10	1.70
08.02.25	Swindon – Port Vale	3–3 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	3.00	2.05	1.80
01.02.25	Carlisle – Swindon	1–5 (0–1)	2.55	3.25	2.70	2.05	1.75
28.01.25	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.20	1.95	1.90
24.01.25	Newport County – Swindon	1–2 (1–1)	3.60	3.50	1.95	1.83	2.03
18.01.25	Swindon – Barrow	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.70

Cheltenham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–1)	1.70	3.50	5.00	2.20	1.65
08.03.25	Cheltenham – Colchester	0–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.35	1.57
04.03.25	Bradford – Cheltenham	3–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.75	2.05	1.75
01.03.25	Cheltenham – Grimsby	1–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.30	2.90	2.03	1.83
25.02.25	Cheltenham – Walsall	2–2 (0–1)	3.30	3.10	2.20	2.05	1.72
22.02.25	Newport County – Cheltenham	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.35	1.98	1.88
15.02.25	Cheltenham – Barrow	3–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.10	3.00	2.25	1.62
08.02.25	Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.70	2.08	1.73
01.02.25	Cheltenham – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.25	1.95	1.90
28.01.25	Accrington – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.67

Swindon at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Swindon – Salford	2–2 (1–1)	2.00	3.25	3.80	2.20	1.65
22.02.25	Swindon – Chesterfield	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.20	2.50	1.88	1.98
08.02.25	Swindon – Port Vale	3–3 (2–2)	2.25	3.30	3.00	2.05	1.80
28.01.25	Swindon – Tranmere	3–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.20	1.95	1.90
18.01.25	Swindon – Barrow	2–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.70
11.01.25	Swindon – Crewe	0–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.30	2.40	2.05	1.75
01.01.25	Swindon – Colchester	3–2 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.63	1.95	1.90
21.12.24	Swindon – Grimsby	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.60	2.90	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Swindon – Fleetwood Town	3–1 (2–0)	2.90	3.40	2.30	1.80	2.00
23.11.24	Swindon – Morecambe	2–3 (1–2)	1.80	3.50	4.33	1.85	2.00

Cheltenham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.25	AFC Wimbledon – Cheltenham	1–2 (1–1)	1.70	3.50	5.00	2.20	1.65
04.03.25	Bradford – Cheltenham	3–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.60	5.75	2.05	1.75
22.02.25	Newport County – Cheltenham	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.20	2.35	1.98	1.88
08.02.25	Fleetwood Town – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	3.70	2.08	1.73
28.01.25	Accrington – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.67
17.01.25	Harrogate – Cheltenham	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.05	1.75
01.01.25	Port Vale – Cheltenham	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.10	2.08	1.73
20.12.24	Gillingham – Cheltenham	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.30	3.10	2.25	1.62
07.12.24	Doncaster – Cheltenham	2–2 (0–1)	1.48	4.33	6.00	1.75	2.05
16.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons – Cheltenham	3–2 (1–2)	1.73	3.75	4.33	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Swindon winsDrawsCheltenham wins

1matches

5.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.10.24E3	Cheltenham – Swindon	2–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.25	2.60	1.95	1.90

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Walsall	37	20	9	8	67	43	+24	69
2	Bradford	36	19	9	8	48	30	+18	66
3	Doncaster	36	18	8	10	53	43	+10	62
4	Notts County	36	17	10	9	55	37	+18	61
5	AFC Wimbledon	36	17	9	10	47	25	+22	60
6	Port Vale	35	15	13	7	44	37	+7	58
7	Crewe	36	14	14	8	44	37	+7	56
8	Grimsby	36	17	5	14	51	53	-2	56
9	Colchester	36	13	16	7	42	33	+9	55
10	Bromley	37	13	13	11	48	45	+3	52
11	Salford	36	13	11	12	43	41	+2	50
12	Fleetwood Town	36	12	13	11	49	43	+6	49
13	Cheltenham	36	13	10	13	48	51	-3	49
14	Chesterfield	35	13	9	13	56	43	+13	48
15	Swindon	36	11	13	12	52	52	0	46
16	Barrow	35	12	7	16	38	41	-3	43
17	Newport County	36	12	7	17	45	61	-16	43
18	Milton Keynes Dons	35	12	6	17	46	50	-4	42
19	Gillingham	35	11	8	16	30	38	-8	41
20	Harrogate	36	11	7	18	29	45	-16	40
21	Accrington	36	10	9	17	44	54	-10	39
22	Tranmere	36	7	12	17	27	55	-28	33
23	Morecambe	36	8	5	23	31	54	-23	29
24	Carlisle	35	6	9	20	25	51	-26	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	18	14	3	1	31	10	+21	45
2	Walsall	19	12	4	3	41	25	+16	40
3	AFC Wimbledon	19	12	3	4	32	12	+20	39
4	Doncaster	18	9	5	4	27	19	+8	32
5	Cheltenham	19	9	5	5	28	25	+3	32
6	Notts County	17	9	4	4	24	12	+12	31
7	Barrow	18	9	4	5	28	17	+11	31
8	Colchester	18	8	6	4	23	13	+10	30
9	Port Vale	16	8	6	2	21	14	+7	30
10	Newport County	17	9	3	5	27	23	+4	30
11	Salford	19	9	3	7	24	22	+2	30
12	Crewe	17	8	5	4	25	20	+5	29
13	Chesterfield	17	7	7	3	28	21	+7	28
14	Milton Keynes Dons	19	8	4	7	23	18	+5	28
15	Fleetwood Town	19	6	10	3	22	17	+5	28
16	Grimsby	18	8	3	7	26	28	-2	27
17	Swindon	17	7	5	5	29	24	+5	26
18	Gillingham	18	8	2	8	20	18	+2	26
19	Harrogate	18	8	2	8	16	22	-6	26
20	Bromley	19	6	7	6	25	23	+2	25
21	Tranmere	19	5	9	5	16	19	-3	24
22	Accrington	17	5	7	5	23	21	+2	22
23	Morecambe	17	4	3	10	17	27	-10	15
24	Carlisle	17	2	6	9	12	24	-12	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Notts County	19	8	6	5	31	25	+6	30
2	Doncaster	18	9	3	6	26	24	+2	30
3	Walsall	18	8	5	5	26	18	+8	29
4	Grimsby	18	9	2	7	25	25	0	29
5	Port Vale	19	7	7	5	23	23	0	28
6	Crewe	19	6	9	4	19	17	+2	27
7	Bromley	18	7	6	5	23	22	+1	27
8	Colchester	18	5	10	3	19	20	-1	25
9	AFC Wimbledon	17	5	6	6	15	13	+2	21
10	Fleetwood Town	17	6	3	8	27	26	+1	21
11	Bradford	18	5	6	7	17	20	-3	21
12	Chesterfield	18	6	2	10	28	22	+6	20
13	Salford	17	4	8	5	19	19	0	20
14	Swindon	19	4	8	7	23	28	-5	20
15	Cheltenham	17	4	5	8	20	26	-6	17
16	Accrington	19	5	2	12	21	33	-12	17
17	Gillingham	17	3	6	8	10	20	-10	15
18	Carlisle	18	4	3	11	13	27	-14	15
19	Milton Keynes Dons	16	4	2	10	23	32	-9	14
20	Harrogate	18	3	5	10	13	23	-10	14
21	Morecambe	19	4	2	13	14	27	-13	14
22	Newport County	19	3	4	12	18	38	-20	13
23	Barrow	17	3	3	11	10	24	-14	12
24	Tranmere	17	2	3	12	11	36	-25	9

Swindon Cheltenham

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Newport County	36	13	23	1.2	1.7	12	7	17	45	61	43
2	8	Grimsby	36	14	22	1.4	1.5	17	5	14	51	53	56
3	1	Walsall	37	17	20	1.8	1.2	20	9	8	67	43	69
4	14	Chesterfield	35	15	20	1.6	1.2	13	9	13	56	43	48
5	15	Swindon	36	16	20	1.4	1.4	11	13	12	52	52	46
6	21	Accrington	36	16	20	1.2	1.5	10	9	17	44	54	39
7	3	Doncaster	36	17	19	1.5	1.2	18	8	10	53	43	62
8	13	Cheltenham	36	17	19	1.3	1.4	13	10	13	48	51	49
9	18	Milton Keynes Dons	35	17	18	1.3	1.4	12	6	17	46	50	42
10	2	Bradford	36	19	17	1.3	0.8	19	9	8	48	30	66
11	12	Fleetwood Town	36	20	16	1.4	1.2	12	13	11	49	43	49
12	4	Notts County	36	21	15	1.5	1.0	17	10	9	55	37	61
13	6	Port Vale	35	20	15	1.3	1.1	15	13	7	44	37	58
14	10	Bromley	37	22	15	1.3	1.2	13	13	11	48	45	52
15	11	Salford	36	21	15	1.2	1.1	13	11	12	43	41	50
16	22	Tranmere	36	21	15	0.8	1.5	7	12	17	27	55	33
17	7	Crewe	36	23	13	1.2	1.0	14	14	8	44	37	56
18	16	Barrow	35	22	13	1.1	1.2	12	7	16	38	41	43
19	23	Morecambe	36	23	13	0.9	1.5	8	5	23	31	54	29
20	24	Carlisle	35	22	13	0.7	1.5	6	9	20	25	51	27
21	5	AFC Wimbledon	36	24	12	1.3	0.7	17	9	10	47	25	60
22	19	Gillingham	35	23	12	0.9	1.1	11	8	16	30	38	41
23	20	Harrogate	36	24	12	0.8	1.2	11	7	18	29	45	40
24	9	Colchester	36	25	11	1.2	0.9	13	16	7	42	33	55

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Walsall	19	7	12	2.2	1.3	12	4	3	41	25	40
2	17	Newport County	17	5	12	1.6	1.4	9	3	5	27	23	30
3	8	Grimsby	18	7	11	1.4	1.6	8	3	7	26	28	27
4	15	Swindon	17	6	11	1.7	1.4	7	5	5	29	24	26
5	2	Bradford	18	8	10	1.7	0.6	14	3	1	31	10	45
6	3	Doncaster	18	8	10	1.5	1.1	9	5	4	27	19	32
7	14	Chesterfield	17	7	10	1.6	1.2	7	7	3	28	21	28
8	21	Accrington	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	5	7	5	23	21	22
9	5	AFC Wimbledon	19	11	8	1.7	0.6	12	3	4	32	12	39
10	7	Crewe	17	9	8	1.5	1.2	8	5	4	25	20	29
11	11	Salford	19	11	8	1.3	1.2	9	3	7	24	22	30
12	13	Cheltenham	19	11	8	1.5	1.3	9	5	5	28	25	32
13	16	Barrow	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	9	4	5	28	17	31
14	18	Milton Keynes Dons	19	11	8	1.2	0.9	8	4	7	23	18	28
15	19	Gillingham	18	10	8	1.1	1.0	8	2	8	20	18	26
16	6	Port Vale	16	9	7	1.3	0.9	8	6	2	21	14	30
17	10	Bromley	19	12	7	1.3	1.2	6	7	6	25	23	25
18	4	Notts County	17	11	6	1.4	0.7	9	4	4	24	12	31
19	9	Colchester	18	12	6	1.3	0.7	8	6	4	23	13	30
20	12	Fleetwood Town	19	13	6	1.2	0.9	6	10	3	22	17	28
21	20	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	8	2	8	16	22	26
22	22	Tranmere	19	14	5	0.8	1.0	5	9	5	16	19	24
23	23	Morecambe	17	12	5	1.0	1.6	4	3	10	17	27	15
24	24	Carlisle	17	12	5	0.7	1.4	2	6	9	12	24	12

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Grimsby	18	7	11	1.4	1.4	9	2	7	25	25	29
2	13	Cheltenham	17	6	11	1.2	1.5	4	5	8	20	26	17
3	17	Newport County	19	8	11	0.9	2.0	3	4	12	18	38	13
4	21	Accrington	19	8	11	1.1	1.7	5	2	12	21	33	17
5	12	Fleetwood Town	17	7	10	1.6	1.5	6	3	8	27	26	21
6	14	Chesterfield	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	6	2	10	28	22	20
7	18	Milton Keynes Dons	16	6	10	1.4	2.0	4	2	10	23	32	14
8	22	Tranmere	17	7	10	0.6	2.1	2	3	12	11	36	9
9	3	Doncaster	18	9	9	1.4	1.3	9	3	6	26	24	30
10	4	Notts County	19	10	9	1.6	1.3	8	6	5	31	25	30
11	15	Swindon	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	4	8	7	23	28	20
12	1	Walsall	18	10	8	1.4	1.0	8	5	5	26	18	29
13	6	Port Vale	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	7	7	5	23	23	28
14	10	Bromley	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	7	6	5	23	22	27
15	23	Morecambe	19	11	8	0.7	1.4	4	2	13	14	27	14
16	24	Carlisle	18	10	8	0.7	1.5	4	3	11	13	27	15
17	2	Bradford	18	11	7	0.9	1.1	5	6	7	17	20	21
18	11	Salford	17	10	7	1.1	1.1	4	8	5	19	19	20
19	20	Harrogate	18	12	6	0.7	1.3	3	5	10	13	23	14
20	7	Crewe	19	14	5	1.0	0.9	6	9	4	19	17	27
21	9	Colchester	18	13	5	1.1	1.1	5	10	3	19	20	25
22	16	Barrow	17	12	5	0.6	1.4	3	3	11	10	24	12
23	5	AFC Wimbledon	17	13	4	0.9	0.8	5	6	6	15	13	21
24	19	Gillingham	17	13	4	0.6	1.2	3	6	8	10	20	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.