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England League Two · ·Referee: O Yates

Swindon 3–2 AFC Wimbledon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.88 fair 2.51
Draw 3.60 fair 3.95
Away 2.38 fair 2.87
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swindon AFC Wimbledon
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 3
6 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (509 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
SwindonDrawAFC Wimbledon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 8.9% 2–1 8.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Swindon before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.67scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 70:74
AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.28scored / match
1.02conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 55:44
Swindon all matches all matches AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.28
1.76 Goals conceded 1.02
3.43 Total goals 2.30
13.57 Shots 13.58
4.81 Shots on target 4.37
14.07 Shots faced 10.67
5.76 Corners 5.47
4.95 Corners against 4.26
10.26 Fouls 13.56
2.00 Yellow cards 2.19
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

31% Wins 37%
26% Draws 33%
43% Losses 30%
95% Over 0.5 goals 86%
88% Over 1.5 goals 65%
71% Over 2.5 goals 33%
43% Over 3.5 goals 23%
17% Over 4.5 goals 12%
12% Over 5.5 goals 7%
71% Both teams scored 42%
17% Clean sheets 37%
17% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 33%
26% Draws 53%
29% Losses 14%
81% Over 0.5 goals 53%
33% Over 1.5 goals 26%
12% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon all matches
AFC Wimbledon all matches
Swindon before this match, at home
1.62points / match
1.86scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 39:29
AFC Wimbledon before this match, away
1.24points / match
0.90scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 19:20
Swindon at home away AFC Wimbledon

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 0.90
1.38 Goals conceded 0.95
3.24 Total goals 1.86
14.05 Shots 12.33
4.95 Shots on target 3.24
12.19 Shots faced 11.48
6.48 Corners 4.71
4.19 Corners against 4.71
9.24 Fouls 13.24
1.76 Yellow cards 2.10
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

48% Wins 29%
19% Draws 38%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 76%
90% Over 1.5 goals 57%
67% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 19%
14% Over 4.5 goals 5%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
19% Clean sheets 43%
14% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 19%
19% Draws 71%
24% Losses 10%
81% Over 0.5 goals 38%
29% Over 1.5 goals 24%
14% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swindon at home
AFC Wimbledon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Barrow – Swindon 0–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
01.04.24 Sutton – Swindon 3–1 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.70 2.10
29.03.24 Swindon – Notts County 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.40 2.88
16.03.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.753.10 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15
27.02.24 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Stockport – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 AFC Wimbledon – Salford 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.20 1.90 1.95
01.04.24 Stockport – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.806.00 1.98 1.88
29.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.03 1.83
23.03.24 Crewe – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.252.88 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 0–2 (0–1) 1.733.755.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.35 1.57
09.03.24 Notts County – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.603.20 1.62 2.25
05.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.90 1.95
02.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93
24.02.24 Doncaster – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80

Swindon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Swindon – Notts County 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.40 2.88
16.03.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.753.10 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15
27.02.24 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
10.02.24 Swindon – Salford 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.752.30 1.65 2.20
27.01.24 Swindon – Bradford 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.802.05 1.75 2.05
06.01.24 Swindon – Colchester 2–2 (2–1) 2.054.003.20 1.50 2.50
29.12.23 Swindon – Forest Green 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.40 1.60 2.30

AFC Wimbledon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Stockport – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.806.00 1.98 1.88
23.03.24 Crewe – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.252.88 2.08 1.73
09.03.24 Notts County – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.603.20 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Doncaster – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
13.02.24 Accrington – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.602.45 2.00 1.85
03.02.24 Bradford – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.502.88 2.08 1.73
23.01.24 Milton Keynes Dons – AFC Wimbledon 3–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 1.90 1.95
13.01.24 Wrexham – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Forest Green – AFC Wimbledon 1–1 (1–1) 4.003.601.91 1.83 2.03
22.12.23 Crawley Town – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (0–2) 4.203.501.91 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swindon winsDrawsAFC Wimbledon wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23E3 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
22.04.23E3 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–5 (1–3) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.70
10.12.22E3 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.98 1.88

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 42 24 11 7 84 42 +42 83
2 Wrexham 43 23 10 10 78 51 +27 79
3 Mansfield 42 21 13 8 81 43 +38 76
4 Milton Keynes Dons 43 22 8 13 73 57 +16 74
5 Crewe 43 19 13 11 68 58 +10 70
6 Barrow 41 18 13 10 57 45 +12 67
7 Crawley Town 42 20 5 17 66 61 +5 65
8 AFC Wimbledon 43 16 14 13 55 44 +11 62
9 Walsall 42 17 11 14 63 61 +2 62
10 Doncaster 42 18 7 17 59 63 -4 61
11 Harrogate 43 17 10 16 53 60 -7 61
12 Morecambe 43 17 9 17 63 74 -11 60
13 Gillingham 43 17 9 17 40 53 -13 60
14 Bradford 42 15 12 15 50 54 -4 57
15 Notts County 42 16 7 19 83 79 +4 55
16 Newport County 43 16 7 20 60 69 -9 55
17 Accrington 42 15 9 18 56 60 -4 54
18 Tranmere 43 15 6 22 61 63 -2 51
19 Swindon 42 13 11 18 70 74 -4 50
20 Salford 43 12 11 20 62 78 -16 47
21 Grimsby 42 9 16 17 52 70 -18 43
22 Sutton 43 9 12 22 51 76 -25 39
23 Colchester 41 9 11 21 52 72 -20 38
24 Forest Green 43 9 9 25 41 71 -30 36
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Wrexham 21 15 3 3 54 24 +30 48
2 Milton Keynes Dons 21 14 4 3 43 19 +24 46
3 Stockport 21 13 5 3 42 15 +27 44
4 Mansfield 21 11 7 3 39 20 +19 40
5 Barrow 21 11 7 3 26 16 +10 40
6 Walsall 20 11 6 3 30 18 +12 39
7 Crewe 21 11 5 5 35 29 +6 38
8 Doncaster 21 12 2 7 30 28 +2 38
9 AFC Wimbledon 22 10 6 6 36 24 +12 36
10 Tranmere 22 11 3 8 41 30 +11 36
11 Notts County 21 11 2 8 48 37 +11 35
12 Swindon 21 10 4 7 39 29 +10 34
13 Newport County 21 9 6 6 36 34 +2 33
14 Crawley Town 20 10 2 8 32 26 +6 32
15 Accrington 22 9 5 8 30 26 +4 32
16 Gillingham 21 8 8 5 20 21 -1 32
17 Bradford 22 8 8 6 25 27 -2 32
18 Morecambe 22 8 7 7 28 27 +1 31
19 Harrogate 21 9 2 10 30 30 0 29
20 Grimsby 22 8 5 9 32 41 -9 29
21 Sutton 22 5 8 9 31 32 -1 23
22 Salford 21 5 7 9 34 42 -8 22
23 Colchester 20 5 6 9 30 36 -6 21
24 Forest Green 22 4 4 14 18 38 -20 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 21 11 6 4 42 27 +15 39
2 Mansfield 21 10 6 5 42 23 +19 36
3 Crawley Town 22 10 3 9 34 35 -1 33
4 Crewe 22 8 8 6 33 29 +4 32
5 Harrogate 22 8 8 6 23 30 -7 32
6 Wrexham 22 8 7 7 24 27 -3 31
7 Morecambe 21 9 2 10 35 47 -12 29
8 Milton Keynes Dons 22 8 4 10 30 38 -8 28
9 Gillingham 22 9 1 12 20 32 -12 28
10 Barrow 20 7 6 7 31 29 +2 27
11 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 8 7 19 20 -1 26
12 Bradford 20 7 4 9 25 27 -2 25
13 Salford 22 7 4 11 28 36 -8 25
14 Doncaster 21 6 5 10 29 35 -6 23
15 Walsall 22 6 5 11 33 43 -10 23
16 Accrington 20 6 4 10 26 34 -8 22
17 Newport County 22 7 1 14 24 35 -11 22
18 Notts County 21 5 5 11 35 42 -7 20
19 Forest Green 21 5 5 11 23 33 -10 20
20 Colchester 21 4 5 12 22 36 -14 17
21 Swindon 21 3 7 11 31 45 -14 16
22 Sutton 21 4 4 13 20 44 -24 16
23 Tranmere 21 4 3 14 20 33 -13 15
24 Grimsby 20 1 11 8 20 29 -9 14

Swindon   AFC Wimbledon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Notts County 42 10 32 2.0 1.9 16 7 19 83 79 55
2 19 Swindon 42 12 30 1.7 1.8 13 11 18 70 74 50
3 12 Morecambe 43 14 29 1.5 1.7 17 9 17 63 74 60
4 20 Salford 43 15 28 1.4 1.8 12 11 20 62 78 47
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 43 16 27 1.7 1.3 22 8 13 73 57 74
6 10 Doncaster 42 16 26 1.4 1.5 18 7 17 59 63 61
7 16 Newport County 43 17 26 1.4 1.6 16 7 20 60 69 55
8 9 Walsall 42 17 25 1.5 1.5 17 11 14 63 61 62
9 17 Accrington 42 17 25 1.3 1.4 15 9 18 56 60 54
10 18 Tranmere 43 18 25 1.4 1.5 15 6 22 61 63 51
11 1 Stockport 42 18 24 2.0 1.0 24 11 7 84 42 83
12 7 Crawley Town 42 18 24 1.6 1.5 20 5 17 66 61 65
13 5 Crewe 43 20 23 1.6 1.3 19 13 11 68 58 70
14 3 Mansfield 42 20 22 1.9 1.0 21 13 8 81 43 76
15 23 Colchester 41 19 22 1.3 1.8 9 11 21 52 72 38
16 2 Wrexham 43 22 21 1.8 1.2 23 10 10 78 51 79
17 11 Harrogate 43 22 21 1.2 1.4 17 10 16 53 60 61
18 22 Sutton 43 22 21 1.2 1.8 9 12 22 51 76 39
19 21 Grimsby 42 22 20 1.2 1.7 9 16 17 52 70 43
20 24 Forest Green 43 23 20 1.0 1.7 9 9 25 41 71 36
21 14 Bradford 42 24 18 1.2 1.3 15 12 15 50 54 57
22 6 Barrow 41 24 17 1.4 1.1 18 13 10 57 45 67
23 8 AFC Wimbledon 43 29 14 1.3 1.0 16 14 13 55 44 62
24 13 Gillingham 43 29 14 0.9 1.2 17 9 17 40 53 60
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Notts County 21 3 18 2.3 1.8 11 2 8 48 37 35
2 18 Tranmere 22 5 17 1.9 1.4 11 3 8 41 30 36
3 20 Salford 21 5 16 1.6 2.0 5 7 9 34 42 22
4 16 Newport County 21 7 14 1.7 1.6 9 6 6 36 34 33
5 19 Swindon 21 7 14 1.9 1.4 10 4 7 39 29 34
6 2 Wrexham 21 8 13 2.6 1.1 15 3 3 54 24 48
7 4 Milton Keynes Dons 21 8 13 2.0 0.9 14 4 3 43 19 46
8 17 Accrington 22 9 13 1.4 1.2 9 5 8 30 26 32
9 5 Crewe 21 9 12 1.7 1.4 11 5 5 35 29 38
10 7 Crawley Town 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 10 2 8 32 26 32
11 10 Doncaster 21 9 12 1.4 1.3 12 2 7 30 28 38
12 21 Grimsby 22 10 12 1.5 1.9 8 5 9 32 41 29
13 23 Colchester 20 8 12 1.5 1.8 5 6 9 30 36 21
14 11 Harrogate 21 10 11 1.4 1.4 9 2 10 30 30 29
15 12 Morecambe 22 11 11 1.3 1.2 8 7 7 28 27 31
16 22 Sutton 22 11 11 1.4 1.5 5 8 9 31 32 23
17 24 Forest Green 22 11 11 0.8 1.7 4 4 14 18 38 16
18 9 Walsall 20 10 10 1.5 0.9 11 6 3 30 18 39
19 3 Mansfield 21 12 9 1.9 1.0 11 7 3 39 20 40
20 1 Stockport 21 13 8 2.0 0.7 13 5 3 42 15 44
21 8 AFC Wimbledon 22 14 8 1.6 1.1 10 6 6 36 24 36
22 14 Bradford 22 14 8 1.1 1.2 8 8 6 25 27 32
23 6 Barrow 21 15 6 1.2 0.8 11 7 3 26 16 40
24 13 Gillingham 21 15 6 1.0 1.0 8 8 5 20 21 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Morecambe 21 3 18 1.7 2.2 9 2 10 35 47 29
2 1 Stockport 21 5 16 2.0 1.3 11 6 4 42 27 39
3 19 Swindon 21 5 16 1.5 2.1 3 7 11 31 45 16
4 9 Walsall 22 7 15 1.5 2.0 6 5 11 33 43 23
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 22 8 14 1.4 1.7 8 4 10 30 38 28
6 10 Doncaster 21 7 14 1.4 1.7 6 5 10 29 35 23
7 15 Notts County 21 7 14 1.7 2.0 5 5 11 35 42 20
8 3 Mansfield 21 8 13 2.0 1.1 10 6 5 42 23 36
9 7 Crawley Town 22 10 12 1.5 1.6 10 3 9 34 35 33
10 16 Newport County 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 7 1 14 24 35 22
11 17 Accrington 20 8 12 1.3 1.7 6 4 10 26 34 22
12 20 Salford 22 10 12 1.3 1.6 7 4 11 28 36 25
13 5 Crewe 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 8 8 6 33 29 32
14 6 Barrow 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 6 7 31 29 27
15 11 Harrogate 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 8 8 6 23 30 32
16 14 Bradford 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 7 4 9 25 27 25
17 22 Sutton 21 11 10 1.0 2.1 4 4 13 20 44 16
18 23 Colchester 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 4 5 12 22 36 17
19 24 Forest Green 21 12 9 1.1 1.6 5 5 11 23 33 20
20 2 Wrexham 22 14 8 1.1 1.2 8 7 7 24 27 31
21 13 Gillingham 22 14 8 0.9 1.5 9 1 12 20 32 28
22 18 Tranmere 21 13 8 1.0 1.6 4 3 14 20 33 15
23 21 Grimsby 20 12 8 1.0 1.4 1 11 8 20 29 14
24 8 AFC Wimbledon 21 15 6 0.9 1.0 6 8 7 19 20 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38