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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: T Kirk

Sutton 3–1 Swindon

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.47
Draw 3.50 fair 4.38
Away 3.10 fair 2.72
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sutton Swindon
19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 2
14 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (480 league matches this season so far).
Result Sutton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
SuttonDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Sutton before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.15scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 47:72
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.68scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 67:71
Sutton all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.68
1.76 Goals conceded 1.78
2.90 Total goals 3.45
10.71 Shots 13.60
3.37 Shots on target 4.73
13.41 Shots faced 13.78
4.51 Corners 5.93
5.34 Corners against 4.90
11.15 Fouls 10.08
1.93 Yellow cards 2.03
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 30%
29% Draws 28%
51% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
78% Over 1.5 goals 88%
46% Over 2.5 goals 73%
27% Over 3.5 goals 43%
17% Over 4.5 goals 18%
10% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 73%
7% Clean sheets 15%
29% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 45%
49% Draws 28%
32% Losses 28%
68% Over 0.5 goals 80%
29% Over 1.5 goals 33%
12% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sutton all matches
Swindon all matches
Sutton before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.35scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 27:28
Swindon before this match, away
0.68points / match
1.47scored / match
2.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:42
Sutton at home away Swindon

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.47
1.40 Goals conceded 2.21
2.75 Total goals 3.68
11.05 Shots 13.11
3.70 Shots on target 4.47
12.65 Shots faced 15.53
5.20 Corners 5.32
5.25 Corners against 5.68
11.00 Fouls 11.00
1.45 Yellow cards 2.32
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

20% Wins 11%
40% Draws 37%
40% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
90% Over 1.5 goals 84%
45% Over 2.5 goals 79%
25% Over 3.5 goals 58%
10% Over 4.5 goals 21%
5% Over 5.5 goals 11%
70% Both teams scored 79%
5% Clean sheets 11%
25% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 32%
45% Draws 37%
30% Losses 32%
70% Over 0.5 goals 79%
30% Over 1.5 goals 37%
10% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sutton at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sutton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Salford – Sutton 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.603.80 1.70 2.10
23.03.24 Sutton – Accrington 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
16.03.24 Forest Green – Sutton 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Crewe – Sutton 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Sutton – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.603.00 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Tranmere – Sutton 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.80 1.98 1.88
27.02.24 Notts County – Sutton 3–4 (2–2) 1.704.204.50 1.57 2.35
24.02.24 Sutton – Colchester 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 Bradford – Sutton 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 2.03 1.83
13.02.24 Sutton – Wrexham 1–2 (0–1) 3.803.601.91 1.80 2.00

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Swindon – Notts County 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.40 2.88
16.03.24 Swindon – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 2.153.753.10 1.67 2.15
12.03.24 Swindon – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Swindon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.904.00 1.67 2.15
27.02.24 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Stockport – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Swindon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Gillingham – Swindon 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.75 2.05
10.02.24 Swindon – Salford 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.752.30 1.65 2.20

Sutton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.03.24 Sutton – Accrington 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
09.03.24 Sutton – Grimsby 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.603.00 1.85 2.00
24.02.24 Sutton – Colchester 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.93 1.93
13.02.24 Sutton – Wrexham 1–2 (0–1) 3.803.601.91 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Sutton – Doncaster 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.85 2.00
30.01.24 Sutton – Harrogate 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.602.63 1.83 2.03
13.01.24 Sutton – Barrow 2–2 (1–1) 3.503.502.05 2.05 1.75
01.01.24 Sutton – Newport County 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.502.90 1.93 1.93
23.12.23 Sutton – Mansfield 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.201.65 1.73 2.08
28.11.23 Sutton – Crewe 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.70 2.10

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24 Mansfield – Swindon 3–2 (1–0) 1.534.206.00 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Stockport – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.35
13.02.24 Gillingham – Swindon 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Newport County – Swindon 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.753.50 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Crewe – Swindon 2–1 (1–1) 1.914.003.50 1.50 2.50
01.01.24 Crawley Town – Swindon 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.62 2.25
23.12.23 Tranmere – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.67 2.15
09.12.23 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 4–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.60 1.65 2.20
28.11.23 Accrington – Swindon 3–4 (0–2) 2.203.503.25 1.57 2.35
18.11.23 Harrogate – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.902.00 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sutton winsDrawsSwindon wins
5matches
4.40goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.09.23E3 Swindon – Sutton 5–3 (3–2) 1.753.604.50 1.80 2.00
14.02.23E3 Sutton – Swindon 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.50 2.08 1.73
13.09.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 3–2 (2–2) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.75
15.03.22E3 Swindon – Sutton 2–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.75
19.10.21E3 Sutton – Swindon 1–2 (1–2) 2.303.303.20 2.07 1.72

England League Two table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 39 21 11 7 78 40 +38 74
2 Mansfield 40 20 13 7 79 39 +40 73
3 Wrexham 40 21 10 9 72 48 +24 73
4 Milton Keynes Dons 41 21 7 13 68 54 +14 70
5 Barrow 39 18 13 8 56 41 +15 67
6 Crewe 40 18 12 10 67 55 +12 66
7 Gillingham 41 17 9 15 39 47 -8 60
8 AFC Wimbledon 41 15 14 12 54 43 +11 59
9 Crawley Town 39 18 5 16 57 56 +1 59
10 Morecambe 40 16 9 15 61 69 -8 57
11 Walsall 39 15 11 13 57 57 0 56
12 Newport County 40 16 7 17 59 61 -2 55
13 Harrogate 40 15 10 15 47 56 -9 55
14 Bradford 41 14 12 15 49 54 -5 54
15 Doncaster 39 15 7 17 53 62 -9 52
16 Notts County 40 15 6 19 77 76 +1 51
17 Tranmere 41 15 5 21 59 59 0 50
18 Accrington 40 14 8 18 53 59 -6 50
19 Swindon 40 12 11 17 67 71 -4 47
20 Salford 41 12 11 18 61 75 -14 47
21 Grimsby 40 8 16 16 51 69 -18 40
22 Colchester 38 9 10 19 49 67 -18 37
23 Sutton 41 8 12 21 47 72 -25 36
24 Forest Green 40 8 9 23 38 68 -30 33
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 21 14 4 3 43 19 +24 46
2 Wrexham 20 14 3 3 50 23 +27 45
3 Stockport 20 12 5 3 41 15 +26 41
4 Barrow 20 11 7 2 26 14 +12 40
5 Crewe 20 11 5 4 35 26 +9 38
6 Mansfield 19 10 7 2 37 16 +21 37
7 Walsall 19 10 6 3 28 17 +11 36
8 Tranmere 20 11 2 7 39 26 +13 35
9 Swindon 21 10 4 7 39 29 +10 34
10 AFC Wimbledon 21 9 6 6 35 24 +11 33
11 Newport County 19 9 6 4 35 27 +8 33
12 Crawley Town 20 10 2 8 32 26 +6 32
13 Doncaster 19 10 2 7 27 27 0 32
14 Gillingham 21 8 8 5 20 21 -1 32
15 Notts County 19 10 1 8 42 34 +8 31
16 Accrington 21 9 4 8 30 26 +4 31
17 Bradford 21 7 8 6 24 27 -3 29
18 Morecambe 19 7 7 5 26 22 +4 28
19 Grimsby 21 7 5 9 31 41 -10 26
20 Harrogate 19 7 2 10 24 29 -5 23
21 Salford 21 5 7 9 34 42 -8 22
22 Colchester 18 5 6 7 28 32 -4 21
23 Sutton 20 4 8 8 27 28 -1 20
24 Forest Green 21 4 4 13 18 36 -18 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Mansfield 21 10 6 5 42 23 +19 36
2 Stockport 19 9 6 4 37 25 +12 33
3 Harrogate 21 8 8 5 23 27 -4 32
4 Morecambe 21 9 2 10 35 47 -12 29
5 Crewe 20 7 7 6 32 29 +3 28
6 Wrexham 20 7 7 6 22 25 -3 28
7 Gillingham 20 9 1 10 19 26 -7 28
8 Barrow 19 7 6 6 30 27 +3 27
9 Crawley Town 19 8 3 8 25 30 -5 27
10 AFC Wimbledon 20 6 8 6 19 19 0 26
11 Bradford 20 7 4 9 25 27 -2 25
12 Salford 20 7 4 9 27 33 -6 25
13 Milton Keynes Dons 20 7 3 10 25 35 -10 24
14 Newport County 21 7 1 13 24 34 -10 22
15 Notts County 21 5 5 11 35 42 -7 20
16 Doncaster 20 5 5 10 26 35 -9 20
17 Walsall 20 5 5 10 29 40 -11 20
18 Accrington 19 5 4 10 23 33 -10 19
19 Forest Green 19 4 5 10 20 32 -12 17
20 Colchester 20 4 4 12 21 35 -14 16
21 Sutton 21 4 4 13 20 44 -24 16
22 Tranmere 21 4 3 14 20 33 -13 15
23 Grimsby 19 1 11 7 20 28 -8 14
24 Swindon 19 2 7 10 28 42 -14 13

Sutton   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Notts County 40 10 30 1.9 1.9 15 6 19 77 76 51
2 19 Swindon 40 11 29 1.7 1.8 12 11 17 67 71 47
3 10 Morecambe 40 13 27 1.5 1.7 16 9 15 61 69 57
4 20 Salford 41 14 27 1.5 1.8 12 11 18 61 75 47
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 41 15 26 1.7 1.3 21 7 13 68 54 70
6 12 Newport County 40 16 24 1.5 1.5 16 7 17 59 61 55
7 15 Doncaster 39 15 24 1.4 1.6 15 7 17 53 62 52
8 17 Tranmere 41 17 24 1.4 1.4 15 5 21 59 59 50
9 18 Accrington 40 16 24 1.3 1.5 14 8 18 53 59 50
10 1 Stockport 39 17 22 2.0 1.0 21 11 7 78 40 74
11 6 Crewe 40 18 22 1.7 1.4 18 12 10 67 55 66
12 11 Walsall 39 17 22 1.5 1.5 15 11 13 57 57 56
13 2 Mansfield 40 19 21 2.0 1.0 20 13 7 79 39 73
14 9 Crawley Town 39 18 21 1.5 1.4 18 5 16 57 56 59
15 21 Grimsby 40 20 20 1.3 1.7 8 16 16 51 69 40
16 22 Colchester 38 18 20 1.3 1.8 9 10 19 49 67 37
17 3 Wrexham 40 21 19 1.8 1.2 21 10 9 72 48 73
18 13 Harrogate 40 21 19 1.2 1.4 15 10 15 47 56 55
19 23 Sutton 41 22 19 1.1 1.8 8 12 21 47 72 36
20 24 Forest Green 40 21 19 0.9 1.7 8 9 23 38 68 33
21 14 Bradford 41 23 18 1.2 1.3 14 12 15 49 54 54
22 5 Barrow 39 23 16 1.4 1.1 18 13 8 56 41 67
23 8 AFC Wimbledon 41 27 14 1.3 1.0 15 14 12 54 43 59
24 7 Gillingham 41 28 13 1.0 1.1 17 9 15 39 47 60
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Notts County 19 3 16 2.2 1.8 10 1 8 42 34 31
2 17 Tranmere 20 4 16 1.9 1.3 11 2 7 39 26 35
3 20 Salford 21 5 16 1.6 2.0 5 7 9 34 42 22
4 19 Swindon 21 7 14 1.9 1.4 10 4 7 39 29 34
5 4 Milton Keynes Dons 21 8 13 2.0 0.9 14 4 3 43 19 46
6 18 Accrington 21 8 13 1.4 1.2 9 4 8 30 26 31
7 3 Wrexham 20 8 12 2.5 1.1 14 3 3 50 23 45
8 9 Crawley Town 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 10 2 8 32 26 32
9 12 Newport County 19 7 12 1.8 1.4 9 6 4 35 27 33
10 21 Grimsby 21 9 12 1.5 2.0 7 5 9 31 41 26
11 6 Crewe 20 9 11 1.8 1.3 11 5 4 35 26 38
12 15 Doncaster 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 10 2 7 27 27 32
13 24 Forest Green 21 10 11 0.9 1.7 4 4 13 18 36 16
14 13 Harrogate 19 9 10 1.3 1.5 7 2 10 24 29 23
15 22 Colchester 18 8 10 1.6 1.8 5 6 7 28 32 21
16 10 Morecambe 19 10 9 1.4 1.2 7 7 5 26 22 28
17 11 Walsall 19 10 9 1.5 0.9 10 6 3 28 17 36
18 23 Sutton 20 11 9 1.4 1.4 4 8 8 27 28 20
19 1 Stockport 20 12 8 2.0 0.8 12 5 3 41 15 41
20 2 Mansfield 19 11 8 1.9 0.8 10 7 2 37 16 37
21 8 AFC Wimbledon 21 13 8 1.7 1.1 9 6 6 35 24 33
22 14 Bradford 21 13 8 1.1 1.3 7 8 6 24 27 29
23 5 Barrow 20 14 6 1.3 0.7 11 7 2 26 14 40
24 7 Gillingham 21 15 6 1.0 1.0 8 8 5 20 21 32
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Morecambe 21 3 18 1.7 2.2 9 2 10 35 47 29
2 19 Swindon 19 4 15 1.5 2.2 2 7 10 28 42 13
3 1 Stockport 19 5 14 1.9 1.3 9 6 4 37 25 33
4 16 Notts County 21 7 14 1.7 2.0 5 5 11 35 42 20
5 2 Mansfield 21 8 13 2.0 1.1 10 6 5 42 23 36
6 4 Milton Keynes Dons 20 7 13 1.2 1.8 7 3 10 25 35 24
7 11 Walsall 20 7 13 1.4 2.0 5 5 10 29 40 20
8 15 Doncaster 20 7 13 1.3 1.8 5 5 10 26 35 20
9 12 Newport County 21 9 12 1.1 1.6 7 1 13 24 34 22
10 6 Crewe 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 7 7 6 32 29 28
11 18 Accrington 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 5 4 10 23 33 19
12 20 Salford 20 9 11 1.4 1.6 7 4 9 27 33 25
13 5 Barrow 19 9 10 1.6 1.4 7 6 6 30 27 27
14 14 Bradford 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 7 4 9 25 27 25
15 22 Colchester 20 10 10 1.1 1.8 4 4 12 21 35 16
16 23 Sutton 21 11 10 1.0 2.1 4 4 13 20 44 16
17 9 Crawley Town 19 10 9 1.3 1.6 8 3 8 25 30 27
18 13 Harrogate 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 8 8 5 23 27 32
19 17 Tranmere 21 13 8 1.0 1.6 4 3 14 20 33 15
20 21 Grimsby 19 11 8 1.1 1.5 1 11 7 20 28 14
21 24 Forest Green 19 11 8 1.1 1.7 4 5 10 20 32 17
22 3 Wrexham 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 7 7 6 22 25 28
23 7 Gillingham 20 13 7 0.9 1.3 9 1 10 19 26 28
24 8 AFC Wimbledon 20 14 6 0.9 0.9 6 8 6 19 19 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38