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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: K Dowle

Burton 1–1 Barnsley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.10 fair 2.35
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.11
Away 3.20 fair 3.02
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Barnsley
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 0
10 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (468 league matches this season so far).
Result Burton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawBarnsley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.10scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 44:55
Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.59scored / match
1.62conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 59:60
Burton all matches all matches Barnsley

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.59
1.38 Goals conceded 1.62
2.48 Total goals 3.22
11.08 Shots 11.59
3.43 Shots on target 3.89
12.13 Shots faced 13.00
5.35 Corners 5.16
5.55 Corners against 5.65
10.98 Fouls 11.30
1.65 Yellow cards 1.95
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

30% Wins 35%
25% Draws 30%
45% Losses 35%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 86%
55% Over 2.5 goals 65%
23% Over 3.5 goals 49%
5% Over 4.5 goals 19%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
45% Both teams scored 70%
25% Clean sheets 5%
38% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 32%
40% Draws 38%
33% Losses 30%
68% Over 0.5 goals 84%
30% Over 1.5 goals 51%
5% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Barnsley all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.35points / match
1.20scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 24:26
Barnsley before this match, away
1.06points / match
1.35scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:31
Burton at home away Barnsley

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.35
1.30 Goals conceded 1.82
2.50 Total goals 3.18
11.90 Shots 10.35
3.75 Shots on target 3.82
11.40 Shots faced 15.00
5.95 Corners 5.00
4.80 Corners against 6.88
10.45 Fouls 10.71
1.45 Yellow cards 1.82
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

40% Wins 24%
15% Draws 35%
45% Losses 41%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
65% Over 1.5 goals 88%
60% Over 2.5 goals 71%
25% Over 3.5 goals 53%
5% Over 4.5 goals 6%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
35% Both teams scored 71%
30% Clean sheets 6%
45% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 35%
40% Draws 24%
30% Losses 41%
70% Over 0.5 goals 94%
35% Over 1.5 goals 41%
5% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Barnsley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.03.26 Blackpool – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.252.82 1.95 1.85
21.03.26 Burton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 2.823.302.32 2.20 1.65
17.03.26 Burton – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.98 1.88
14.03.26 Northampton – Burton 0–2 (0–1) 2.653.252.55 2.15 1.67
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
03.03.26 Exeter – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.75 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Wycombe – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 1.713.604.50 1.90 1.90
24.02.26 Burton – Stockport 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 2.05 1.75
21.02.26 Luton – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.763.604.33 1.90 1.90
17.02.26 Burton – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.20 2.08 1.73

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Barnsley – Doncaster 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.502.85 1.60 2.30
17.03.26 Barnsley – Wigan 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.203.10 1.85 1.95
14.03.26 Mansfield – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.703.10 1.70 2.10
10.03.26 Barnsley – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 3.503.801.86 1.57 2.35
07.03.26 Barnsley – Exeter 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.753.50 1.70 2.10
03.03.26 Barnsley – Wycombe 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.402.25 1.70 2.10
28.02.26 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–3 (1–1) 2.403.502.57 1.67 2.15
21.02.26 Huddersfield – Barnsley 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
17.02.26 Barnsley – Peterboro 2–1 (1–1) 1.793.903.70 1.53 2.40
14.02.26 Barnsley – AFC Wimbledon 3–3 (2–2) 1.963.403.50 1.93 1.93

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Burton – Bradford 2–1 (1–0) 2.823.302.32 2.20 1.65
17.03.26 Burton – Reading 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.98 1.88
07.03.26 Burton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.573.202.57 2.50 1.50
24.02.26 Burton – Stockport 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.402.10 2.05 1.75
17.02.26 Burton – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.20 2.08 1.73
03.02.26 Burton – Doncaster 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.252.30 1.98 1.88
31.01.26 Burton – Cardiff 2–2 (1–0) 4.333.701.71 1.85 2.00
17.01.26 Burton – Huddersfield 3–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.86 1.98 1.88
29.12.25 Burton – Wigan 0–2 (0–0) 2.573.202.55 2.25 1.62
26.12.25 Burton – Northampton 5–1 (4–1) 2.203.053.25 2.25 1.62

Barnsley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Mansfield – Barnsley 2–2 (0–1) 2.053.703.10 1.70 2.10
28.02.26 Leyton Orient – Barnsley 1–3 (1–1) 2.403.502.57 1.67 2.15
21.02.26 Huddersfield – Barnsley 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Bolton – Barnsley 3–2 (3–0) 1.623.804.75 1.67 2.15
27.01.26 Cardiff – Barnsley 4–0 (2–0) 1.613.804.75 1.62 2.25
24.01.26 Reading – Barnsley 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.602.82 1.73 2.08
01.01.26 Wigan – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 2.053.253.40 2.08 1.73
20.12.25 Exeter – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.10 1.83 2.03
09.12.25 Lincoln – Barnsley 3–1 (1–0) 1.863.503.90 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Stockport – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.503.60 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsBarnsley wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.08.25E2 Barnsley – Burton 3–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.85 2.00
01.02.25E2 Barnsley – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.334.75 1.70 2.10
21.09.24E2 Burton – Barnsley 1–2 (0–1) 3.903.501.91 1.67 2.15
01.04.24E2 Burton – Barnsley 1–3 (1–0) 4.333.751.80 1.88 1.98
16.09.23E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.75 2.05
07.04.23E2 Burton – Barnsley 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.95 1.90
17.12.22E2 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 39 25 9 5 74 34 +40 84
2 Cardiff 39 23 8 8 73 41 +32 77
3 Bolton 39 17 15 7 55 39 +16 66
4 Bradford 39 19 8 12 49 44 +5 65
5 Stockport 38 18 9 11 54 48 +6 63
6 Reading 40 16 13 11 60 51 +9 61
7 Stevenage 38 17 9 12 41 38 +3 60
8 Wycombe 40 16 11 13 59 43 +16 59
9 Plymouth 39 18 5 16 60 54 +6 59
10 Huddersfield 39 16 9 14 59 51 +8 57
11 Luton 39 15 10 14 52 49 +3 55
12 Mansfield 38 13 13 12 49 41 +8 52
13 Peterboro 38 15 5 18 57 52 +5 50
14 Barnsley 37 13 11 13 59 60 -1 50
15 Leyton Orient 40 14 8 18 55 62 -7 50
16 AFC Wimbledon 39 14 8 17 49 58 -9 50
17 Doncaster 40 14 8 18 42 61 -19 50
18 Burton 40 12 10 18 44 55 -11 46
19 Wigan 40 11 13 16 41 54 -13 46
20 Blackpool 40 12 9 19 47 63 -16 45
21 Exeter 40 11 10 19 42 52 -10 43
22 Rotherham 38 9 9 20 35 58 -23 36
23 Northampton 39 9 8 22 33 56 -23 35
24 Port Vale 38 7 10 21 29 54 -25 31
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 20 15 4 1 46 16 +30 49
2 Bradford 19 14 3 2 29 14 +15 45
3 Cardiff 20 14 2 4 42 22 +20 44
4 Bolton 19 12 6 1 34 15 +19 42
5 Wycombe 20 12 3 5 41 18 +23 39
6 Huddersfield 19 11 6 2 36 18 +18 39
7 Stevenage 19 11 6 2 22 11 +11 39
8 Reading 20 10 7 3 31 22 +9 37
9 Stockport 19 11 4 4 31 22 +9 37
10 Luton 20 10 6 4 31 21 +10 36
11 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 36 29 +7 32
12 Blackpool 20 9 5 6 30 28 +2 32
13 Wigan 20 9 4 7 19 15 +4 31
14 Mansfield 20 8 6 6 31 21 +10 30
15 Plymouth 20 9 3 8 28 28 0 30
16 Leyton Orient 19 8 5 6 29 24 +5 29
17 Doncaster 20 8 5 7 25 29 -4 29
18 AFC Wimbledon 19 8 4 7 24 19 +5 28
19 Peterboro 18 8 3 7 35 22 +13 27
20 Exeter 20 7 6 7 23 24 -1 27
21 Burton 20 8 3 9 24 26 -2 27
22 Rotherham 19 6 7 6 22 26 -4 25
23 Northampton 19 6 4 9 19 21 -2 22
24 Port Vale 19 3 7 9 16 23 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lincoln 19 10 5 4 28 18 +10 35
2 Cardiff 19 9 6 4 31 19 +12 33
3 Plymouth 19 9 2 8 32 26 +6 29
4 Stockport 19 7 5 7 23 26 -3 26
5 Reading 20 6 6 8 29 29 0 24
6 Bolton 20 5 9 6 21 24 -3 24
7 Peterboro 20 7 2 11 22 30 -8 23
8 Mansfield 18 5 7 6 18 20 -2 22
9 AFC Wimbledon 20 6 4 10 25 39 -14 22
10 Stevenage 19 6 3 10 19 27 -8 21
11 Leyton Orient 21 6 3 12 26 38 -12 21
12 Doncaster 20 6 3 11 17 32 -15 21
13 Wycombe 20 4 8 8 18 25 -7 20
14 Bradford 20 5 5 10 20 30 -10 20
15 Luton 19 5 4 10 21 28 -7 19
16 Burton 20 4 7 9 20 29 -9 19
17 Barnsley 17 4 6 7 23 31 -8 18
18 Huddersfield 20 5 3 12 23 33 -10 18
19 Exeter 20 4 4 12 19 28 -9 16
20 Wigan 20 2 9 9 22 39 -17 15
21 Port Vale 19 4 3 12 13 31 -18 15
22 Blackpool 20 3 4 13 17 35 -18 13
23 Northampton 20 3 4 13 14 35 -21 13
24 Rotherham 19 3 2 14 13 32 -19 11

Burton   Barnsley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leyton Orient 40 15 25 1.4 1.6 14 8 18 55 62 50
2 14 Barnsley 37 13 24 1.6 1.6 13 11 13 59 60 50
3 2 Cardiff 39 17 22 1.9 1.1 23 8 8 73 41 77
4 5 Stockport 38 16 22 1.4 1.3 18 9 11 54 48 63
5 10 Huddersfield 39 17 22 1.5 1.3 16 9 14 59 51 57
6 18 Burton 40 18 22 1.1 1.4 12 10 18 44 55 46
7 1 Lincoln 39 18 21 1.9 0.9 25 9 5 74 34 84
8 4 Bradford 39 18 21 1.3 1.1 19 8 12 49 44 65
9 9 Plymouth 39 18 21 1.5 1.4 18 5 16 60 54 59
10 13 Peterboro 38 17 21 1.5 1.4 15 5 18 57 52 50
11 20 Blackpool 40 19 21 1.2 1.6 12 9 19 47 63 45
12 22 Rotherham 38 17 21 0.9 1.5 9 9 20 35 58 36
13 6 Reading 40 20 20 1.5 1.3 16 13 11 60 51 61
14 16 AFC Wimbledon 39 19 20 1.3 1.5 14 8 17 49 58 50
15 17 Doncaster 40 20 20 1.1 1.5 14 8 18 42 61 50
16 8 Wycombe 40 21 19 1.5 1.1 16 11 13 59 43 59
17 11 Luton 39 20 19 1.3 1.3 15 10 14 52 49 55
18 3 Bolton 39 22 17 1.4 1.0 17 15 7 55 39 66
19 12 Mansfield 38 21 17 1.3 1.1 13 13 12 49 41 52
20 21 Exeter 40 23 17 1.1 1.3 11 10 19 42 52 43
21 23 Northampton 39 22 17 0.8 1.4 9 8 22 33 56 35
22 7 Stevenage 38 23 15 1.1 1.0 17 9 12 41 38 60
23 24 Port Vale 38 23 15 0.8 1.4 7 10 21 29 54 31
24 19 Wigan 40 27 13 1.0 1.4 11 13 16 41 54 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Lincoln 20 7 13 2.3 0.8 15 4 1 46 16 49
2 2 Cardiff 20 7 13 2.1 1.1 14 2 4 42 22 44
3 8 Wycombe 20 8 12 2.0 0.9 12 3 5 41 18 39
4 14 Barnsley 20 8 12 1.8 1.4 9 5 6 36 29 32
5 18 Burton 20 8 12 1.2 1.3 8 3 9 24 26 27
6 3 Bolton 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 12 6 1 34 15 42
7 5 Stockport 19 8 11 1.6 1.2 11 4 4 31 22 37
8 10 Huddersfield 19 8 11 1.9 0.9 11 6 2 36 18 39
9 12 Mansfield 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 8 6 6 31 21 30
10 13 Peterboro 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 8 3 7 35 22 27
11 20 Blackpool 20 9 11 1.5 1.4 9 5 6 30 28 32
12 22 Rotherham 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 7 6 22 26 25
13 6 Reading 20 10 10 1.6 1.1 10 7 3 31 22 37
14 9 Plymouth 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 9 3 8 28 28 30
15 11 Luton 20 10 10 1.6 1.1 10 6 4 31 21 36
16 15 Leyton Orient 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 8 5 6 29 24 29
17 17 Doncaster 20 10 10 1.2 1.4 8 5 7 25 29 29
18 4 Bradford 19 10 9 1.5 0.7 14 3 2 29 14 45
19 21 Exeter 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 7 23 24 27
20 16 AFC Wimbledon 19 12 7 1.3 1.0 8 4 7 24 19 28
21 23 Northampton 19 12 7 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 21 22
22 24 Port Vale 19 12 7 0.8 1.2 3 7 9 16 23 16
23 7 Stevenage 19 14 5 1.2 0.6 11 6 2 22 11 39
24 19 Wigan 20 16 4 0.9 0.8 9 4 7 19 15 31
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Leyton Orient 21 6 15 1.2 1.8 6 3 12 26 38 21
2 16 AFC Wimbledon 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 6 4 10 25 39 22
3 4 Bradford 20 8 12 1.0 1.5 5 5 10 20 30 20
4 14 Barnsley 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 4 6 7 23 31 18
5 5 Stockport 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 7 5 7 23 26 26
6 9 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.7 1.4 9 2 8 32 26 29
7 10 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.1 1.6 5 3 12 23 33 18
8 6 Reading 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 6 6 8 29 29 24
9 7 Stevenage 19 9 10 1.0 1.4 6 3 10 19 27 21
10 13 Peterboro 20 10 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 11 22 30 23
11 17 Doncaster 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 6 3 11 17 32 21
12 18 Burton 20 10 10 1.0 1.4 4 7 9 20 29 19
13 20 Blackpool 20 10 10 0.8 1.8 3 4 13 17 35 13
14 22 Rotherham 19 9 10 0.7 1.7 3 2 14 13 32 11
15 23 Northampton 20 10 10 0.7 1.8 3 4 13 14 35 13
16 2 Cardiff 19 10 9 1.6 1.0 9 6 4 31 19 33
17 11 Luton 19 10 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 10 21 28 19
18 19 Wigan 20 11 9 1.1 1.9 2 9 9 22 39 15
19 21 Exeter 20 11 9 0.9 1.4 4 4 12 19 28 16
20 1 Lincoln 19 11 8 1.5 0.9 10 5 4 28 18 35
21 24 Port Vale 19 11 8 0.7 1.6 4 3 12 13 31 15
22 8 Wycombe 20 13 7 0.9 1.2 4 8 8 18 25 20
23 3 Bolton 20 14 6 1.1 1.2 5 9 6 21 24 24
24 12 Mansfield 18 12 6 1.0 1.1 5 7 6 18 20 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40