Luton 1–1 Burton – England League One, 21 Feb 2026 | BetGPS

Match facts

Luton Burton

5 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 1

1 Corners 6

15 Fouls 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (379 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.01

Home / Draw / Away

52% 25% 24%

LutonDrawBurton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 11.7% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.41points / match

1.28scored / match

1.22conceded / match

13 6 13

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 41:39

Burton before this match, all matches

1.13points / match

1.10scored / match

1.45conceded / match

9 8 14

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 34:45

Luton all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.10

1.22 Goals conceded 1.45

2.50 Total goals 2.55

12.25 Shots 11.81

3.72 Shots on target 3.48

9.66 Shots faced 13.06

6.09 Corners 5.48

4.19 Corners against 5.65

11.72 Fouls 11.06

1.53 Yellow cards 1.61

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.55

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

41% Wins 29%

19% Draws 26%

41% Losses 45%

97% Over 0.5 goals 90%

66% Over 1.5 goals 68%

50% Over 2.5 goals 58%

28% Over 3.5 goals 29%

9% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

41% Both teams scored 45%

34% Clean sheets 26%

28% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 29%

44% Draws 39%

31% Losses 32%

63% Over 0.5 goals 68%

28% Over 1.5 goals 35%

16% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

3

W

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

1

L

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

1

L

Burton all matches

2

L

2

L

3

L

3

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

1

2

L

2

D

1

W

Luton before this match, at home

1.94points / match

1.50scored / match

0.88conceded / match

9 4 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:14

Burton before this match, away

0.93points / match

1.07scored / match

1.53conceded / match

3 5 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 16:23

Luton at home away Burton

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.07

0.88 Goals conceded 1.53

2.38 Total goals 2.60

14.50 Shots 11.20

4.75 Shots on target 3.27

8.25 Shots faced 14.27

6.88 Corners 4.53

4.38 Corners against 6.53

10.75 Fouls 11.47

1.13 Yellow cards 1.67

0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

56% Wins 20%

25% Draws 33%

19% Losses 47%

94% Over 0.5 goals 93%

63% Over 1.5 goals 73%

50% Over 2.5 goals 60%

25% Over 3.5 goals 27%

6% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

44% Both teams scored 60%

44% Clean sheets 20%

19% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 27%

44% Draws 40%

19% Losses 33%

69% Over 0.5 goals 67%

31% Over 1.5 goals 33%

19% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

D

4

W

3

W

2

1

W

2

D

1

W

2

1

W

Burton away

1

W

2

D

2

1

W

1

L

2

D

2

L

3

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.26	Wigan – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.85	3.25	2.40	2.25	1.62
14.02.26	Cardiff – Luton	3–1 (3–1)	1.71	3.50	4.00	1.85	2.00
07.02.26	Luton – Bradford	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.20	4.00	2.15	1.67
31.01.26	Luton – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.95	1.90
27.01.26	Huddersfield – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.10	2.05	1.75
24.01.26	Plymouth – Luton	1–0 (1–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.95	1.85
17.01.26	Luton – Lincoln	2–2 (2–2)	2.35	3.00	2.75	2.15	1.67
10.01.26	Luton – Stevenage	2–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.20	4.50	2.40	1.53
01.01.26	Exeter – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	1.96	2.10	1.70
29.12.25	Luton – Leyton Orient	3–0 (3–0)	1.66	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.85

Burton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.26	Burton – Rotherham	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.20	3.20	2.08	1.73
07.02.26	Port Vale – Burton	2–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.85	2.15	1.67
03.02.26	Burton – Doncaster	1–2 (0–2)	3.00	3.25	2.30	1.98	1.88
31.01.26	Burton – Cardiff	2–2 (1–0)	4.33	3.70	1.71	1.85	2.00
27.01.26	Bolton – Burton	2–1 (0–0)	1.42	4.00	7.00	1.75	2.05
22.01.26	Lincoln – Burton	2–1 (1–1)	1.51	3.60	5.75	1.90	1.90
17.01.26	Burton – Huddersfield	3–1 (1–1)	4.00	3.40	1.86	1.98	1.88
04.01.26	Plymouth – Burton	3–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.25	1.90	1.90
01.01.26	Reading – Burton	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.30	3.80	1.95	1.85
29.12.25	Burton – Wigan	0–2 (0–0)	2.57	3.20	2.55	2.25	1.62

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Luton – Bradford	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.20	4.00	2.15	1.67
31.01.26	Luton – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.00	1.95	1.90
17.01.26	Luton – Lincoln	2–2 (2–2)	2.35	3.00	2.75	2.15	1.67
10.01.26	Luton – Stevenage	2–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.20	4.50	2.40	1.53
29.12.25	Luton – Leyton Orient	3–0 (3–0)	1.66	3.50	4.75	1.95	1.85
26.12.25	Luton – Wycombe	4–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.05	2.08	1.73
13.12.25	Luton – Port Vale	2–2 (1–1)	1.71	3.60	4.50	2.05	1.75
29.11.25	Luton – Bolton	1–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.40	2.65	1.98	1.88
25.11.25	Luton – Huddersfield	2–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.20	2.00	1.85
15.11.25	Luton – Rotherham	0–0 (0–0)	1.49	3.90	6.00	1.93	1.93

Burton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.02.26	Port Vale – Burton	2–2 (2–1)	2.30	3.40	2.85	2.15	1.67
27.01.26	Bolton – Burton	2–1 (0–0)	1.42	4.00	7.00	1.75	2.05
22.01.26	Lincoln – Burton	2–1 (1–1)	1.51	3.60	5.75	1.90	1.90
04.01.26	Plymouth – Burton	3–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.25	1.90	1.90
01.01.26	Reading – Burton	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.30	3.80	1.95	1.85
20.12.25	Stevenage – Burton	2–2 (0–1)	1.79	3.30	4.33	2.20	1.65
02.12.25	Wigan – Burton	1–0 (1–0)	1.71	3.50	4.50	2.05	1.75
08.11.25	Bradford – Burton	1–2 (0–2)	1.62	3.70	4.75	1.85	2.00
04.11.25	Rotherham – Burton	2–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	2.95	2.08	1.73
25.10.25	AFC Wimbledon – Burton	0–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.20	2.20	1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Luton winsDrawsBurton wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.08.25E2	Burton – Luton	0–3 (0–2)	4.50	3.90	1.66	2.00	1.85

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64	36	+28	69
2	Lincoln	32	19	8	5	57	31	+26	65
3	Bolton	33	15	12	6	43	31	+12	57
4	Bradford	31	16	7	8	40	33	+7	55
5	Stockport	31	15	8	8	42	36	+6	53
6	Huddersfield	33	14	7	12	53	44	+9	49
7	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35	34	+1	48
8	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46	36	+10	47
9	Reading	32	12	11	9	47	42	+5	47
10	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49	49	0	46
11	Luton	32	13	6	13	41	39	+2	45
12	Peterboro	33	14	2	17	46	45	+1	44
13	Barnsley	29	11	8	10	49	50	-1	41
14	Exeter	31	11	7	13	34	31	+3	40
15	Mansfield	30	10	9	11	37	33	+4	39
16	AFC Wimbledon	31	11	6	14	36	45	-9	39
17	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36	51	-15	39
18	Blackpool	32	10	6	16	38	48	-10	36
19	Burton	31	9	8	14	34	45	-11	35
20	Wigan	31	8	10	13	32	42	-10	34
21	Northampton	32	9	7	16	29	43	-14	34
22	Leyton Orient	31	9	6	16	41	52	-11	33
23	Rotherham	31	8	7	16	32	46	-14	31
24	Port Vale	29	5	7	17	23	42	-19	22

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	17	14	1	2	42	18	+24	43
2	Lincoln	17	12	4	1	36	15	+21	40
3	Bradford	16	12	2	2	25	12	+13	38
4	Bolton	16	11	4	1	29	11	+18	37
5	Wycombe	17	10	3	4	33	16	+17	33
6	Huddersfield	16	9	5	2	31	15	+16	32
7	Luton	16	9	4	3	24	14	+10	31
8	Stevenage	15	8	6	1	17	8	+9	30
9	Reading	17	8	6	3	24	19	+5	30
10	Stockport	16	8	4	4	22	19	+3	28
11	Barnsley	15	8	3	4	32	24	+8	27
12	Exeter	15	7	4	4	21	13	+8	25
13	Blackpool	17	7	4	6	25	25	0	25
14	Peterboro	16	7	2	7	27	19	+8	23
15	Leyton Orient	16	6	5	5	24	20	+4	23
16	Mansfield	15	6	4	5	22	14	+8	22
17	Doncaster	15	6	4	5	21	21	0	22
18	Northampton	15	6	3	6	17	15	+2	21
19	Wigan	15	6	3	6	14	12	+2	21
20	Plymouth	17	6	3	8	22	26	-4	21
21	Burton	16	6	3	7	18	22	-4	21
22	Rotherham	16	5	5	6	19	24	-5	20
23	AFC Wimbledon	14	5	3	6	13	12	+1	18
24	Port Vale	14	2	4	8	13	19	-6	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff	16	7	5	4	22	18	+4	26
2	Lincoln	15	7	4	4	21	16	+5	25
3	Plymouth	16	8	1	7	27	23	+4	25
4	Stockport	15	7	4	4	20	17	+3	25
5	Peterboro	17	7	0	10	19	26	-7	21
6	AFC Wimbledon	17	6	3	8	23	33	-10	21
7	Bolton	17	4	8	5	14	20	-6	20
8	Stevenage	17	5	3	9	18	26	-8	18
9	Reading	15	4	5	6	23	23	0	17
10	Mansfield	15	4	5	6	15	19	-4	17
11	Bradford	15	4	5	6	15	21	-6	17
12	Huddersfield	17	5	2	10	22	29	-7	17
13	Doncaster	17	5	2	10	15	30	-15	17
14	Exeter	16	4	3	9	13	18	-5	15
15	Burton	15	3	5	7	16	23	-7	14
16	Wycombe	16	2	8	6	13	20	-7	14
17	Luton	16	4	2	10	17	25	-8	14
18	Barnsley	14	3	5	6	17	26	-9	14
19	Wigan	16	2	7	7	18	30	-12	13
20	Northampton	17	3	4	10	12	28	-16	13
21	Port Vale	15	3	3	9	10	23	-13	12
22	Rotherham	15	3	2	10	13	22	-9	11
23	Blackpool	15	3	2	10	13	23	-10	11
24	Leyton Orient	15	3	1	11	17	32	-15	10

Luton Burton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Cardiff	33	13	20	1.9	1.1	21	6	6	64	36	69
2	13	Barnsley	29	9	20	1.7	1.7	11	8	10	49	50	41
3	6	Huddersfield	33	14	19	1.6	1.3	14	7	12	53	44	49
4	22	Leyton Orient	31	12	19	1.3	1.7	9	6	16	41	52	33
5	12	Peterboro	33	15	18	1.4	1.4	14	2	17	46	45	44
6	19	Burton	31	13	18	1.1	1.5	9	8	14	34	45	35
7	23	Rotherham	31	13	18	1.0	1.5	8	7	16	32	46	31
8	2	Lincoln	32	15	17	1.8	1.0	19	8	5	57	31	65
9	4	Bradford	31	14	17	1.3	1.1	16	7	8	40	33	55
10	10	Plymouth	33	16	17	1.5	1.5	14	4	15	49	49	46
11	17	Doncaster	32	15	17	1.1	1.6	11	6	15	36	51	39
12	5	Stockport	31	15	16	1.4	1.2	15	8	8	42	36	53
13	11	Luton	32	16	16	1.3	1.2	13	6	13	41	39	45
14	18	Blackpool	32	16	16	1.2	1.5	10	6	16	38	48	36
15	8	Wycombe	33	18	15	1.4	1.1	12	11	10	46	36	47
16	9	Reading	32	17	15	1.5	1.3	12	11	9	47	42	47
17	16	AFC Wimbledon	31	16	15	1.2	1.5	11	6	14	36	45	39
18	15	Mansfield	30	16	14	1.2	1.1	10	9	11	37	33	39
19	21	Northampton	32	18	14	0.9	1.3	9	7	16	29	43	34
20	3	Bolton	33	20	13	1.3	0.9	15	12	6	43	31	57
21	7	Stevenage	32	19	13	1.1	1.1	13	9	10	35	34	48
22	24	Port Vale	29	16	13	0.8	1.4	5	7	17	23	42	22
23	14	Exeter	31	19	12	1.1	1.0	11	7	13	34	31	40
24	20	Wigan	31	21	10	1.0	1.4	8	10	13	32	42	34

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Cardiff	17	4	13	2.5	1.1	14	1	2	42	18	43
2	13	Barnsley	15	4	11	2.1	1.6	8	3	4	32	24	27
3	2	Lincoln	17	7	10	2.1	0.9	12	4	1	36	15	40
4	18	Blackpool	17	7	10	1.5	1.5	7	4	6	25	25	25
5	23	Rotherham	16	6	10	1.2	1.5	5	5	6	19	24	20
6	3	Bolton	16	7	9	1.8	0.7	11	4	1	29	11	37
7	6	Huddersfield	16	7	9	1.9	0.9	9	5	2	31	15	32
8	8	Wycombe	17	8	9	1.9	0.9	10	3	4	33	16	33
9	12	Peterboro	16	7	9	1.7	1.2	7	2	7	27	19	23
10	19	Burton	16	7	9	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	18	22	21
11	4	Bradford	16	8	8	1.6	0.8	12	2	2	25	12	38
12	5	Stockport	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	8	4	4	22	19	28
13	10	Plymouth	17	9	8	1.3	1.5	6	3	8	22	26	21
14	11	Luton	16	8	8	1.5	0.9	9	4	3	24	14	31
15	15	Mansfield	15	7	8	1.5	0.9	6	4	5	22	14	22
16	17	Doncaster	15	7	8	1.4	1.4	6	4	5	21	21	22
17	22	Leyton Orient	16	8	8	1.5	1.2	6	5	5	24	20	23
18	9	Reading	17	10	7	1.4	1.1	8	6	3	24	19	30
19	24	Port Vale	14	7	7	0.9	1.4	2	4	8	13	19	10
20	14	Exeter	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	7	4	4	21	13	25
21	21	Northampton	15	9	6	1.1	1.0	6	3	6	17	15	21
22	16	AFC Wimbledon	14	10	4	0.9	0.9	5	3	6	13	12	18
23	7	Stevenage	15	12	3	1.1	0.5	8	6	1	17	8	30
24	20	Wigan	15	12	3	0.9	0.8	6	3	6	14	12	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	AFC Wimbledon	17	6	11	1.4	1.9	6	3	8	23	33	21
2	22	Leyton Orient	15	4	11	1.1	2.1	3	1	11	17	32	10
3	6	Huddersfield	17	7	10	1.3	1.7	5	2	10	22	29	17
4	7	Stevenage	17	7	10	1.1	1.5	5	3	9	18	26	18
5	4	Bradford	15	6	9	1.0	1.4	4	5	6	15	21	17
6	10	Plymouth	16	7	9	1.7	1.4	8	1	7	27	23	25
7	12	Peterboro	17	8	9	1.1	1.5	7	0	10	19	26	21
8	13	Barnsley	14	5	9	1.2	1.9	3	5	6	17	26	14
9	17	Doncaster	17	8	9	0.9	1.8	5	2	10	15	30	17
10	19	Burton	15	6	9	1.1	1.5	3	5	7	16	23	14
11	5	Stockport	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	7	4	4	20	17	25
12	9	Reading	15	7	8	1.5	1.5	4	5	6	23	23	17
13	11	Luton	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	4	2	10	17	25	14
14	21	Northampton	17	9	8	0.7	1.6	3	4	10	12	28	13
15	23	Rotherham	15	7	8	0.9	1.5	3	2	10	13	22	11
16	1	Cardiff	16	9	7	1.4	1.1	7	5	4	22	18	26
17	2	Lincoln	15	8	7	1.4	1.1	7	4	4	21	16	25
18	20	Wigan	16	9	7	1.1	1.9	2	7	7	18	30	13
19	8	Wycombe	16	10	6	0.8	1.2	2	8	6	13	20	14
20	14	Exeter	16	10	6	0.8	1.1	4	3	9	13	18	15
21	15	Mansfield	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	4	5	6	15	19	17
22	18	Blackpool	15	9	6	0.9	1.5	3	2	10	13	23	11
23	24	Port Vale	15	9	6	0.7	1.5	3	3	9	10	23	12
24	3	Bolton	17	13	4	0.8	1.2	4	8	5	14	20	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.