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England League One · ·Referee: T Parsons

Bolton 2–1 Burton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.42 fair 1.82
Draw 4.00 fair 4.02
Away 7.00 fair 4.97
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 2.22

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Burton
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 4
7 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (316 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.61 – 0.87
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.5% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 10.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.25scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 35:26
Burton before this match, all matches
1.15points / match
1.04scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 27:37
Bolton all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.04
0.93 Goals conceded 1.42
2.18 Total goals 2.46
16.61 Shots 11.58
4.68 Shots on target 3.54
8.29 Shots faced 13.27
6.43 Corners 4.81
3.86 Corners against 5.81
10.36 Fouls 10.88
1.46 Yellow cards 1.62
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

43% Wins 31%
36% Draws 23%
21% Losses 46%
89% Over 0.5 goals 88%
75% Over 1.5 goals 65%
39% Over 2.5 goals 54%
11% Over 3.5 goals 27%
4% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
54% Both teams scored 38%
32% Clean sheets 27%
25% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 27%
39% Draws 42%
32% Losses 31%
61% Over 0.5 goals 65%
14% Over 1.5 goals 35%
11% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Burton all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.21points / match
1.71scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:8
Burton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 13:19
Bolton at home away Burton

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.00
0.57 Goals conceded 1.46
2.29 Total goals 2.46
18.79 Shots 11.08
5.36 Shots on target 3.23
7.29 Shots faced 14.38
7.36 Corners 4.46
3.21 Corners against 6.77
9.57 Fouls 11.46
1.43 Yellow cards 1.62
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

64% Wins 23%
29% Draws 31%
7% Losses 46%
86% Over 0.5 goals 92%
71% Over 1.5 goals 69%
50% Over 2.5 goals 54%
14% Over 3.5 goals 23%
7% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 54%
43% Clean sheets 23%
21% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 31%
36% Draws 38%
21% Losses 31%
64% Over 0.5 goals 69%
21% Over 1.5 goals 31%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Bolton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 1.494.205.75 1.65 2.20
20.01.26 Stevenage – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.05 2.15 1.67
17.01.26 Wigan – Bolton 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.15 2.10 1.70
10.01.26 Peterboro – Bolton 3–1 (1–0) 2.823.602.20 1.85 1.95
04.01.26 Bolton – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.354.508.00 1.62 2.25
01.01.26 Doncaster – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.601.81 1.80 2.00
29.12.25 Bolton – Mansfield 0–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.25 Bolton – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 1.354.507.50 1.70 2.10
20.12.25 Wycombe – Bolton 2–1 (2–1) 2.653.302.45 1.95 1.90
13.12.25 Bolton – Exeter 2–1 (0–1) 1.414.506.25 1.67 2.15

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.26 Lincoln – Burton 2–1 (1–1) 1.513.605.75 1.90 1.90
17.01.26 Burton – Huddersfield 3–1 (1–1) 4.003.401.86 1.98 1.88
04.01.26 Plymouth – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.25 1.90 1.90
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
29.12.25 Burton – Wigan 0–2 (0–0) 2.573.202.55 2.25 1.62
26.12.25 Burton – Northampton 5–1 (4–1) 2.203.053.25 2.25 1.62
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
13.12.25 Burton – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 2.00 1.80
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–4 (0–2) 2.653.302.45 1.75 2.05

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Bolton – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–0) 1.494.205.75 1.65 2.20
04.01.26 Bolton – Northampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.354.508.00 1.62 2.25
29.12.25 Bolton – Mansfield 0–1 (0–1) 1.424.207.00 1.67 2.15
26.12.25 Bolton – Rotherham 2–1 (1–0) 1.354.507.50 1.70 2.10
13.12.25 Bolton – Exeter 2–1 (0–1) 1.414.506.25 1.67 2.15
22.11.25 Bolton – Bradford 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.904.10 1.65 2.20
08.11.25 Bolton – Port Vale 4–0 (2–0) 1.663.754.75 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Bolton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.60 1.67 2.15
04.10.25 Bolton – Peterboro 2–1 (2–1) 1.414.506.00 1.62 2.25
20.09.25 Bolton – Wigan 4–1 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.03 1.83

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.26 Lincoln – Burton 2–1 (1–1) 1.513.605.75 1.90 1.90
04.01.26 Plymouth – Burton 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.25 1.90 1.90
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
08.11.25 Bradford – Burton 1–2 (0–2) 1.623.704.75 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.402.95 2.08 1.73
25.10.25 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.20 2.20 1.65
04.10.25 Doncaster – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.754.50 1.95 1.90
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bolton winsDrawsBurton wins
9matches
2.33goals / match
56%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.25E2 Burton – Bolton 3–0 (1–0) 4.333.901.66 1.75 2.05
08.03.25E2 Burton – Bolton 1–2 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.88 1.98
19.10.24E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.404.507.50 1.57 2.35
01.01.24E2 Bolton – Burton 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.70 2.10
26.08.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
18.04.23E2 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–1) 3.403.502.10 2.05 1.80
25.10.22E2 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.02.22E2 Burton – Bolton 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.502.60 1.98 1.88
06.09.21E2 Bolton – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.40 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 27 17 5 5 46 27 +19 56
2 Lincoln 27 15 7 5 44 29 +15 52
3 Bolton 28 12 10 6 35 26 +9 46
4 Bradford 26 13 7 6 35 28 +7 46
5 Stockport 27 13 7 7 38 33 +5 46
6 Huddersfield 28 12 6 10 47 38 +9 42
7 Luton 27 11 6 10 37 33 +4 39
8 Stevenage 26 10 9 7 28 24 +4 39
9 Peterboro 27 12 2 13 35 35 0 38
10 Exeter 26 11 3 12 31 24 +7 36
11 Mansfield 25 10 6 9 35 29 +6 36
12 Wycombe 27 9 9 9 34 31 +3 36
13 Reading 26 9 9 8 35 33 +2 36
14 Plymouth 27 11 3 13 34 39 -5 36
15 Barnsley 23 9 6 8 37 36 +1 33
16 Leyton Orient 27 9 5 13 40 45 -5 32
17 Blackpool 27 9 5 13 34 39 -5 32
18 AFC Wimbledon 26 9 5 12 28 35 -7 32
19 Wigan 26 7 10 9 29 31 -2 31
20 Burton 26 8 6 12 27 37 -10 30
21 Northampton 26 8 5 13 23 32 -9 29
22 Doncaster 26 7 6 13 28 44 -16 27
23 Rotherham 26 6 7 13 25 39 -14 25
24 Port Vale 25 4 6 15 19 37 -18 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 14 11 1 2 31 16 +15 34
2 Lincoln 14 10 3 1 28 14 +14 33
3 Bolton 14 9 4 1 24 8 +16 31
4 Bradford 13 9 2 2 21 12 +9 29
5 Huddersfield 14 8 4 2 28 13 +15 28
6 Luton 14 7 4 3 21 13 +8 25
7 Reading 14 7 4 3 18 14 +4 25
8 Wycombe 14 7 3 4 24 15 +9 24
9 Stockport 14 7 3 4 20 18 +2 24
10 Exeter 12 7 2 3 20 8 +12 23
11 Leyton Orient 14 6 5 3 23 16 +7 23
12 Blackpool 14 6 4 4 23 19 +4 22
13 Stevenage 12 5 6 1 13 7 +6 21
14 Mansfield 12 6 2 4 21 12 +9 20
15 Peterboro 14 6 2 6 19 15 +4 20
16 Barnsley 11 6 1 4 22 17 +5 19
17 Wigan 12 5 3 4 12 9 +3 18
18 Northampton 13 5 3 5 14 12 +2 18
19 Rotherham 13 4 5 4 16 18 -2 17
20 Plymouth 14 5 2 7 15 19 -4 17
21 Burton 13 5 2 6 14 18 -4 17
22 Doncaster 13 4 4 5 17 21 -4 16
23 AFC Wimbledon 12 4 3 5 10 9 +1 15
24 Port Vale 12 2 3 7 11 16 -5 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 13 6 4 3 15 11 +4 22
2 Stockport 13 6 4 3 18 15 +3 22
3 Lincoln 13 5 4 4 16 15 +1 19
4 Plymouth 13 6 1 6 19 20 -1 19
5 Stevenage 14 5 3 6 15 17 -2 18
6 Peterboro 13 6 0 7 16 20 -4 18
7 Bradford 13 4 5 4 14 16 -2 17
8 AFC Wimbledon 14 5 2 7 18 26 -8 17
9 Mansfield 13 4 4 5 14 17 -3 16
10 Bolton 14 3 6 5 11 18 -7 15
11 Luton 13 4 2 7 16 20 -4 14
12 Barnsley 12 3 5 4 15 19 -4 14
13 Huddersfield 14 4 2 8 19 25 -6 14
14 Wigan 14 2 7 5 17 22 -5 13
15 Exeter 14 4 1 9 11 16 -5 13
16 Burton 13 3 4 6 13 19 -6 13
17 Wycombe 13 2 6 5 10 16 -6 12
18 Reading 12 2 5 5 17 19 -2 11
19 Northampton 13 3 2 8 9 20 -11 11
20 Doncaster 13 3 2 8 11 23 -12 11
21 Blackpool 13 3 1 9 11 20 -9 10
22 Leyton Orient 13 3 0 10 17 29 -12 9
23 Port Vale 13 2 3 8 8 21 -13 9
24 Rotherham 13 2 2 9 9 21 -12 8

Bolton   Burton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Huddersfield 28 11 17 1.7 1.4 12 6 10 47 38 42
2 16 Leyton Orient 27 10 17 1.5 1.7 9 5 13 40 45 32
3 4 Bradford 26 11 15 1.3 1.1 13 7 6 35 28 46
4 1 Cardiff 27 13 14 1.7 1.0 17 5 5 46 27 56
5 2 Lincoln 27 13 14 1.6 1.1 15 7 5 44 29 52
6 5 Stockport 27 13 14 1.4 1.2 13 7 7 38 33 46
7 7 Luton 27 13 14 1.4 1.2 11 6 10 37 33 39
8 9 Peterboro 27 13 14 1.3 1.3 12 2 13 35 35 38
9 15 Barnsley 23 9 14 1.6 1.6 9 6 8 37 36 33
10 20 Burton 26 12 14 1.0 1.4 8 6 12 27 37 30
11 23 Rotherham 26 12 14 1.0 1.5 6 7 13 25 39 25
12 11 Mansfield 25 12 13 1.4 1.2 10 6 9 35 29 36
13 17 Blackpool 27 14 13 1.3 1.4 9 5 13 34 39 32
14 22 Doncaster 26 13 13 1.1 1.7 7 6 13 28 44 27
15 12 Wycombe 27 15 12 1.3 1.1 9 9 9 34 31 36
16 14 Plymouth 27 15 12 1.3 1.4 11 3 13 34 39 36
17 18 AFC Wimbledon 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 9 5 12 28 35 32
18 3 Bolton 28 17 11 1.2 0.9 12 10 6 35 26 46
19 13 Reading 26 15 11 1.3 1.3 9 9 8 35 33 36
20 24 Port Vale 25 14 11 0.8 1.5 4 6 15 19 37 18
21 10 Exeter 26 16 10 1.2 0.9 11 3 12 31 24 36
22 21 Northampton 26 16 10 0.9 1.2 8 5 13 23 32 29
23 8 Stevenage 26 17 9 1.1 0.9 10 9 7 28 24 39
24 19 Wigan 26 18 8 1.1 1.2 7 10 9 29 31 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 14 4 10 2.2 1.1 11 1 2 31 16 34
2 2 Lincoln 14 6 8 2.0 1.0 10 3 1 28 14 33
3 4 Bradford 13 5 8 1.6 0.9 9 2 2 21 12 29
4 6 Huddersfield 14 6 8 2.0 0.9 8 4 2 28 13 28
5 17 Blackpool 14 6 8 1.6 1.4 6 4 4 23 19 22
6 3 Bolton 14 7 7 1.7 0.6 9 4 1 24 8 31
7 5 Stockport 14 7 7 1.4 1.3 7 3 4 20 18 24
8 7 Luton 14 7 7 1.5 0.9 7 4 3 21 13 25
9 9 Peterboro 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 6 2 6 19 15 20
10 11 Mansfield 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 6 2 4 21 12 20
11 12 Wycombe 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 3 4 24 15 24
12 15 Barnsley 11 4 7 2.0 1.5 6 1 4 22 17 19
13 16 Leyton Orient 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 23 16 23
14 20 Burton 13 6 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 6 14 18 17
15 22 Doncaster 13 6 7 1.3 1.6 4 4 5 17 21 16
16 23 Rotherham 13 6 7 1.2 1.4 4 5 4 16 18 17
17 14 Plymouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 19 17
18 24 Port Vale 12 6 6 0.9 1.3 2 3 7 11 16 9
19 10 Exeter 12 7 5 1.7 0.7 7 2 3 20 8 23
20 13 Reading 14 9 5 1.3 1.0 7 4 3 18 14 25
21 21 Northampton 13 8 5 1.1 0.9 5 3 5 14 12 18
22 18 AFC Wimbledon 12 9 3 0.8 0.8 4 3 5 10 9 15
23 8 Stevenage 12 10 2 1.1 0.6 5 6 1 13 7 21
24 19 Wigan 12 10 2 1.0 0.8 5 3 4 12 9 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Leyton Orient 13 3 10 1.3 2.2 3 0 10 17 29 9
2 6 Huddersfield 14 5 9 1.4 1.8 4 2 8 19 25 14
3 18 AFC Wimbledon 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 5 2 7 18 26 17
4 4 Bradford 13 6 7 1.1 1.2 4 5 4 14 16 17
5 5 Stockport 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 3 18 15 22
6 7 Luton 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 2 7 16 20 14
7 8 Stevenage 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 5 3 6 15 17 18
8 9 Peterboro 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 6 0 7 16 20 18
9 15 Barnsley 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 3 5 4 15 19 14
10 20 Burton 13 6 7 1.0 1.5 3 4 6 13 19 13
11 23 Rotherham 13 6 7 0.7 1.6 2 2 9 9 21 8
12 2 Lincoln 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 4 4 16 15 19
13 11 Mansfield 13 7 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 5 14 17 16
14 13 Reading 12 6 6 1.4 1.6 2 5 5 17 19 11
15 14 Plymouth 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 6 1 6 19 20 19
16 19 Wigan 14 8 6 1.2 1.6 2 7 5 17 22 13
17 22 Doncaster 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 3 2 8 11 23 11
18 10 Exeter 14 9 5 0.8 1.1 4 1 9 11 16 13
19 12 Wycombe 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 2 6 5 10 16 12
20 17 Blackpool 13 8 5 0.8 1.5 3 1 9 11 20 10
21 21 Northampton 13 8 5 0.7 1.5 3 2 8 9 20 11
22 24 Port Vale 13 8 5 0.6 1.6 2 3 8 8 21 9
23 1 Cardiff 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 6 4 3 15 11 22
24 3 Bolton 14 10 4 0.8 1.3 3 6 5 11 18 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40