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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: O Yates

Plymouth 3–0 Burton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.44
Draw 3.30 fair 3.83
Away 3.25 fair 3.04
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.05

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Plymouth Burton
20 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
9 Corners 4
7 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (281 league matches this season so far).
Result Plymouth to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
PlymouthDrawBurton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.1% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Plymouth before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.21scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 29:39
Burton before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.00scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 23:31
Plymouth all matches all matches Burton

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded 1.35
2.83 Total goals 2.35
10.75 Shots 11.83
3.29 Shots on target 3.57
12.75 Shots faced 13.13
5.00 Corners 4.91
6.54 Corners against 5.74
10.58 Fouls 11.04
2.29 Yellow cards 1.70
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

33% Wins 30%
13% Draws 26%
54% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 87%
71% Over 1.5 goals 61%
46% Over 2.5 goals 48%
38% Over 3.5 goals 26%
21% Over 4.5 goals 9%
8% Over 5.5 goals 4%
46% Both teams scored 35%
21% Clean sheets 30%
33% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 30%
38% Draws 39%
42% Losses 30%
67% Over 0.5 goals 61%
33% Over 1.5 goals 30%
17% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth all matches
Burton all matches
Plymouth before this match, at home
0.92points / match
0.92scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:19
Burton before this match, away
1.18points / match
1.09scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 12:14
Plymouth at home away Burton

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.09
1.58 Goals conceded 1.27
2.50 Total goals 2.36
12.25 Shots 11.45
3.08 Shots on target 3.45
11.08 Shots faced 14.27
6.17 Corners 4.45
5.08 Corners against 7.00
9.92 Fouls 12.09
1.75 Yellow cards 1.73
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

25% Wins 27%
17% Draws 36%
58% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
58% Over 1.5 goals 64%
42% Over 2.5 goals 45%
25% Over 3.5 goals 27%
17% Over 4.5 goals 9%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 55%
17% Clean sheets 27%
33% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 36%
50% Draws 36%
33% Losses 27%
58% Over 0.5 goals 64%
33% Over 1.5 goals 27%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Plymouth at home
Burton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Stevenage – Plymouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.303.90 2.20 1.65
29.12.25 Plymouth – Wycombe 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.05 1.95 1.85
26.12.25 Plymouth – Reading 1–4 (0–3) 2.353.502.57 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Doncaster – Plymouth 1–5 (1–3) 1.863.603.75 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Plymouth – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.40 1.93 1.93
09.12.25 Wycombe – Plymouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.563.905.25 1.80 2.00
06.12.25 Plymouth – Bradford 0–1 (0–0) 2.953.502.10 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Plymouth – Northampton 0–3 (0–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
22.11.25 Port Vale – Plymouth 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.00 2.00 1.85
08.11.25 Huddersfield – Plymouth 3–1 (1–0) 1.793.604.00 1.73 2.08

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
29.12.25 Burton – Wigan 0–2 (0–0) 2.573.202.55 2.25 1.62
26.12.25 Burton – Northampton 5–1 (4–1) 2.203.053.25 2.25 1.62
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
13.12.25 Burton – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.401.96 2.00 1.80
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
29.11.25 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–4 (0–2) 2.653.302.45 1.75 2.05
15.11.25 Burton – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.502.95 1.85 2.00
08.11.25 Bradford – Burton 1–2 (0–2) 1.623.704.75 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.402.95 2.08 1.73

Plymouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.25 Plymouth – Wycombe 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.05 1.95 1.85
26.12.25 Plymouth – Reading 1–4 (0–3) 2.353.502.57 1.95 1.85
13.12.25 Plymouth – Rotherham 1–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.40 1.93 1.93
06.12.25 Plymouth – Bradford 0–1 (0–0) 2.953.502.10 1.83 2.03
29.11.25 Plymouth – Northampton 0–3 (0–0) 2.013.253.60 2.08 1.73
18.10.25 Plymouth – AFC Wimbledon 1–2 (1–1) 2.013.253.60 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Plymouth – Wigan 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.252.70 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Plymouth – Peterboro 0–1 (0–1) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.08
06.09.25 Plymouth – Stockport 4–2 (2–1) 3.303.501.93 1.88 1.98
23.08.25 Plymouth – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.302.60 1.95 1.90

Burton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.26 Reading – Burton 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.303.80 1.95 1.85
20.12.25 Stevenage – Burton 2–2 (0–1) 1.793.304.33 2.20 1.65
02.12.25 Wigan – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.713.504.50 2.05 1.75
08.11.25 Bradford – Burton 1–2 (0–2) 1.623.704.75 1.85 2.00
04.11.25 Rotherham – Burton 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.402.95 2.08 1.73
25.10.25 AFC Wimbledon – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.20 2.20 1.65
04.10.25 Doncaster – Burton 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.754.50 1.95 1.90
30.09.25 Cardiff – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.374.337.00 1.70 2.10
20.09.25 Huddersfield – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.00 1.85 2.00
23.08.25 Stockport – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 1.534.105.75 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Plymouth winsDrawsBurton wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25E2 Burton – Plymouth 0–4 (0–2) 2.503.302.55 1.88 1.98
29.04.23E2 Plymouth – Burton 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.508.00 1.62 2.25
19.11.22E2 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
09.04.22E2 Burton – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 2.02 1.83
09.10.21E2 Plymouth – Burton 2–1 (2–0) 2.253.403.20 1.95 1.85

England League One table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 23 15 3 5 41 24 +17 48
2 Lincoln 25 14 6 5 40 26 +14 48
3 Bradford 23 12 7 4 32 24 +8 43
4 Bolton 24 10 9 5 31 22 +9 39
5 Stockport 23 11 6 6 33 29 +4 39
6 Huddersfield 24 11 5 8 43 32 +11 38
7 Stevenage 22 10 7 5 26 18 +8 37
8 Luton 24 10 5 9 33 29 +4 35
9 Mansfield 23 9 5 9 31 28 +3 32
10 Reading 23 8 8 7 31 28 +3 32
11 Peterboro 24 10 2 12 30 33 -3 32
12 AFC Wimbledon 23 9 4 10 27 31 -4 31
13 Wycombe 24 7 9 8 30 28 +2 30
14 Wigan 23 7 9 7 26 26 0 30
15 Exeter 23 9 2 12 23 21 +2 29
16 Barnsley 21 8 5 8 33 33 0 29
17 Blackpool 24 8 5 11 30 35 -5 29
18 Northampton 24 8 5 11 22 28 -6 29
19 Leyton Orient 24 8 4 12 35 41 -6 28
20 Burton 23 7 6 10 23 31 -8 27
21 Plymouth 24 8 3 13 29 39 -10 27
22 Rotherham 24 6 6 12 22 35 -13 24
23 Doncaster 24 6 5 13 24 41 -17 23
24 Port Vale 23 4 6 13 18 31 -13 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Cardiff 12 10 0 2 29 15 +14 30
2 Lincoln 13 9 3 1 26 13 +13 30
3 Bradford 12 9 2 1 20 10 +10 29
4 Bolton 13 8 4 1 22 7 +15 28
5 Huddersfield 12 7 3 2 25 11 +14 24
6 Wycombe 12 6 3 3 22 13 +9 21
7 Luton 12 6 3 3 17 10 +7 21
8 Reading 12 6 3 3 15 12 +3 21
9 Exeter 11 6 2 3 17 8 +9 20
10 Stevenage 10 5 4 1 12 6 +6 19
11 Leyton Orient 12 5 4 3 19 14 +5 19
12 Blackpool 12 5 4 3 20 17 +3 19
13 Wigan 11 5 3 3 12 8 +4 18
14 Northampton 12 5 3 4 13 10 +3 18
15 Stockport 12 5 3 4 16 16 0 18
16 Mansfield 11 5 2 4 18 12 +6 17
17 Peterboro 12 5 2 5 16 13 +3 17
18 Barnsley 10 5 1 4 20 16 +4 16
19 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 15 17 -2 16
20 AFC Wimbledon 11 4 3 4 10 8 +2 15
21 Doncaster 12 4 3 5 14 18 -4 15
22 Burton 12 4 2 6 11 17 -6 14
23 Plymouth 12 3 2 7 11 19 -8 11
24 Port Vale 11 2 3 6 10 13 -3 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stockport 11 6 3 2 17 13 +4 21
2 Cardiff 11 5 3 3 12 9 +3 18
3 Stevenage 12 5 3 4 14 12 +2 18
4 Lincoln 12 5 3 4 14 13 +1 18
5 Plymouth 12 5 1 6 18 20 -2 16
6 AFC Wimbledon 12 5 1 6 17 23 -6 16
7 Mansfield 12 4 3 5 13 16 -3 15
8 Peterboro 12 5 0 7 14 20 -6 15
9 Bradford 11 3 5 3 12 14 -2 14
10 Huddersfield 12 4 2 6 18 21 -3 14
11 Luton 12 4 2 6 16 19 -3 14
12 Burton 11 3 4 4 12 14 -2 13
13 Barnsley 11 3 4 4 13 17 -4 13
14 Wigan 12 2 6 4 14 18 -4 12
15 Reading 11 2 5 4 16 16 0 11
16 Bolton 11 2 5 4 9 15 -6 11
17 Northampton 12 3 2 7 9 18 -9 11
18 Blackpool 12 3 1 8 10 18 -8 10
19 Wycombe 12 1 6 5 8 15 -7 9
20 Exeter 12 3 0 9 6 13 -7 9
21 Port Vale 12 2 3 7 8 18 -10 9
22 Leyton Orient 12 3 0 9 16 27 -11 9
23 Rotherham 12 2 2 8 7 18 -11 8
24 Doncaster 12 2 2 8 10 23 -13 8

Plymouth   Burton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Huddersfield 24 9 15 1.8 1.3 11 5 8 43 32 38
2 19 Leyton Orient 24 9 15 1.5 1.7 8 4 12 35 41 28
3 1 Cardiff 23 10 13 1.8 1.0 15 3 5 41 24 48
4 3 Bradford 23 10 13 1.4 1.0 12 7 4 32 24 43
5 5 Stockport 23 10 13 1.4 1.3 11 6 6 33 29 39
6 11 Peterboro 24 11 13 1.2 1.4 10 2 12 30 33 32
7 22 Rotherham 24 11 13 0.9 1.5 6 6 12 22 35 24
8 2 Lincoln 25 13 12 1.6 1.0 14 6 5 40 26 48
9 8 Luton 24 12 12 1.4 1.2 10 5 9 33 29 35
10 9 Mansfield 23 11 12 1.3 1.2 9 5 9 31 28 32
11 12 AFC Wimbledon 23 11 12 1.2 1.3 9 4 10 27 31 31
12 16 Barnsley 21 9 12 1.6 1.6 8 5 8 33 33 29
13 23 Doncaster 24 12 12 1.0 1.7 6 5 13 24 41 23
14 13 Wycombe 24 13 11 1.2 1.2 7 9 8 30 28 30
15 17 Blackpool 24 13 11 1.2 1.5 8 5 11 30 35 29
16 20 Burton 23 12 11 1.0 1.3 7 6 10 23 31 27
17 21 Plymouth 24 13 11 1.2 1.6 8 3 13 29 39 27
18 4 Bolton 24 15 9 1.3 0.9 10 9 5 31 22 39
19 10 Reading 23 14 9 1.3 1.2 8 8 7 31 28 32
20 18 Northampton 24 15 9 0.9 1.2 8 5 11 22 28 29
21 24 Port Vale 23 14 9 0.8 1.3 4 6 13 18 31 18
22 7 Stevenage 22 15 7 1.2 0.8 10 7 5 26 18 37
23 14 Wigan 23 16 7 1.1 1.1 7 9 7 26 26 30
24 15 Exeter 23 16 7 1.0 0.9 9 2 12 23 21 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Cardiff 12 2 10 2.4 1.2 10 0 2 29 15 30
2 2 Lincoln 13 6 7 2.0 1.0 9 3 1 26 13 30
3 3 Bradford 12 5 7 1.7 0.8 9 2 1 20 10 29
4 6 Huddersfield 12 5 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 2 25 11 24
5 13 Wycombe 12 5 7 1.8 1.1 6 3 3 22 13 21
6 17 Blackpool 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 5 4 3 20 17 19
7 22 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 4 4 15 17 16
8 4 Bolton 13 7 6 1.7 0.5 8 4 1 22 7 28
9 5 Stockport 12 6 6 1.3 1.3 5 3 4 16 16 18
10 9 Mansfield 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 5 2 4 18 12 17
11 11 Peterboro 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 5 2 5 16 13 17
12 16 Barnsley 10 4 6 2.0 1.6 5 1 4 20 16 16
13 19 Leyton Orient 12 6 6 1.6 1.2 5 4 3 19 14 19
14 20 Burton 12 6 6 0.9 1.4 4 2 6 11 17 14
15 23 Doncaster 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 14 18 15
16 8 Luton 12 7 5 1.4 0.8 6 3 3 17 10 21
17 21 Plymouth 12 7 5 0.9 1.6 3 2 7 11 19 11
18 24 Port Vale 11 6 5 0.9 1.2 2 3 6 10 13 9
19 10 Reading 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 6 3 3 15 12 21
20 15 Exeter 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 6 2 3 17 8 20
21 18 Northampton 12 8 4 1.1 0.8 5 3 4 13 10 18
22 12 AFC Wimbledon 11 8 3 0.9 0.7 4 3 4 10 8 15
23 7 Stevenage 10 8 2 1.2 0.6 5 4 1 12 6 19
24 14 Wigan 11 9 2 1.1 0.7 5 3 3 12 8 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 AFC Wimbledon 12 3 9 1.4 1.9 5 1 6 17 23 16
2 19 Leyton Orient 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 3 0 9 16 27 9
3 6 Huddersfield 12 4 8 1.5 1.8 4 2 6 18 21 14
4 5 Stockport 11 4 7 1.5 1.2 6 3 2 17 13 21
5 8 Luton 12 5 7 1.3 1.6 4 2 6 16 19 14
6 11 Peterboro 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 5 0 7 14 20 15
7 3 Bradford 11 5 6 1.1 1.3 3 5 3 12 14 14
8 9 Mansfield 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 4 3 5 13 16 15
9 16 Barnsley 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 4 13 17 13
10 21 Plymouth 12 6 6 1.5 1.7 5 1 6 18 20 16
11 22 Rotherham 12 6 6 0.6 1.5 2 2 8 7 18 8
12 23 Doncaster 12 6 6 0.8 1.9 2 2 8 10 23 8
13 2 Lincoln 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 5 3 4 14 13 18
14 7 Stevenage 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 4 14 12 18
15 10 Reading 11 6 5 1.5 1.5 2 5 4 16 16 11
16 14 Wigan 12 7 5 1.2 1.5 2 6 4 14 18 12
17 18 Northampton 12 7 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 7 9 18 11
18 20 Burton 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 4 4 12 14 13
19 13 Wycombe 12 8 4 0.7 1.2 1 6 5 8 15 9
20 17 Blackpool 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 3 1 8 10 18 10
21 24 Port Vale 12 8 4 0.7 1.5 2 3 7 8 18 9
22 1 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.1 0.8 5 3 3 12 9 18
23 4 Bolton 11 8 3 0.8 1.4 2 5 4 9 15 11
24 15 Exeter 12 9 3 0.5 1.1 3 0 9 6 13 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06