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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: D Middleton

Carlisle 2–2 Stevenage

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.75 fair 3.97
Draw ✓ 3.80 fair 3.95
Away 1.73 fair 2.02
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Stevenage
8 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 14
13 Fouls 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (462 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.04 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawStevenage
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 0–1 11.6% 1–2 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.61points / match
0.87scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 33:67
Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.29scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 49:38
Carlisle all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

0.87 Goals scored 1.29
1.76 Goals conceded 1.00
2.63 Total goals 2.29
11.05 Shots 11.76
3.21 Shots on target 4.05
13.47 Shots faced 9.79
4.89 Corners 5.45
5.03 Corners against 4.26
9.05 Fouls 12.00
1.74 Yellow cards 1.95
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

13% Wins 45%
21% Draws 26%
66% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
74% Over 1.5 goals 61%
45% Over 2.5 goals 47%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
13% Over 4.5 goals 8%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 42%
5% Clean sheets 45%
39% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 39%
47% Draws 39%
45% Losses 21%
71% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Stevenage all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.74points / match
0.89scored / match
1.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 17:33
Stevenage before this match, away
1.58points / match
1.42scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:23
Carlisle at home away Stevenage

Per match

0.89 Goals scored 1.42
1.74 Goals conceded 1.21
2.63 Total goals 2.63
12.26 Shots 10.95
3.47 Shots on target 3.79
12.05 Shots faced 11.21
6.05 Corners 4.11
4.05 Corners against 4.42
8.00 Fouls 13.21
1.53 Yellow cards 2.37
0.11 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

16% Wins 47%
26% Draws 16%
58% Losses 37%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
79% Over 1.5 goals 74%
42% Over 2.5 goals 63%
32% Over 3.5 goals 21%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 47%
5% Clean sheets 37%
37% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 32%
42% Draws 37%
58% Losses 32%
68% Over 0.5 goals 79%
21% Over 1.5 goals 32%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Stevenage away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Shrewsbury – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.20 1.65
12.03.24 Carlisle – Barnsley 2–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.70 1.73 2.08
09.03.24 Charlton – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.554.205.75 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Carlisle – Reading 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 2.00 1.85
27.02.24 Burton – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Carlisle 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Carlisle – Cambridge 0–4 (0–1) 2.903.102.55 2.25 1.62
10.02.24 Carlisle – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.62 1.93 1.93
03.02.24 Leyton Orient – Carlisle 3–2 (2–1) 1.703.605.50 2.08 1.73
27.01.24 Carlisle – Bolton 1–4 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.98 1.88

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.80 2.35 1.57
13.03.24 Peterboro – Stevenage 3–1 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
09.03.24 Stevenage – Fleetwood Town 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.93 1.93
02.03.24 Lincoln – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.40 1.53
27.02.24 Stevenage – Cambridge 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.805.50 2.15 1.67
24.02.24 Stevenage – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.404.20 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Stevenage – Bristol Rvs 2–3 (2–1) 1.733.804.75 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Port Vale – Stevenage 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.602.15 2.05 1.80
06.02.24 Stevenage – Reading 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.93 1.93

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24 Carlisle – Barnsley 2–3 (1–1) 5.253.801.70 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Carlisle – Reading 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 2.00 1.85
17.02.24 Carlisle – Cambridge 0–4 (0–1) 2.903.102.55 2.25 1.62
10.02.24 Carlisle – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.751.62 1.93 1.93
27.01.24 Carlisle – Bolton 1–4 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.98 1.88
13.01.24 Carlisle – Oxford 1–3 (0–1) 3.603.402.05 2.00 1.85
01.01.24 Carlisle – Port Vale 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.60 2.15 1.67
16.12.23 Carlisle – Northampton 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.63 2.15 1.67
25.11.23 Carlisle – Charlton 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.88 1.98

Stevenage away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.24 Peterboro – Stevenage 3–1 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
02.03.24 Lincoln – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.40 1.53
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Port Vale – Stevenage 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.602.15 2.05 1.80
27.01.24 Wigan – Stevenage 2–3 (2–1) 3.103.602.20 2.08 1.73
13.01.24 Shrewsbury – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.15 1.67
01.01.24 Portsmouth – Stevenage 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Barnsley – Stevenage 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Burton – Stevenage 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.03 1.83
25.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.30 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Carlisle winsDrawsStevenage wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.09.23E2 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.05 1.80
18.03.23E3 Carlisle – Stevenage 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.10 2.25 1.62
20.08.22E3 Stevenage – Carlisle 2–1 (2–1) 1.833.754.20 2.10 1.70
30.04.22E3 Carlisle – Stevenage 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 2.15 1.66
11.12.21E3 Stevenage – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.303.00 2.25 1.61

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 39 24 11 4 63 32 +31 83
2 Derby 39 24 6 9 69 34 +35 78
3 Bolton 39 22 8 9 71 43 +28 74
4 Peterboro 38 21 8 9 74 46 +28 71
5 Barnsley 38 20 11 7 70 48 +22 71
6 Oxford 39 18 9 12 62 52 +10 63
7 Lincoln 39 16 13 10 56 33 +23 61
8 Stevenage 38 17 10 11 49 38 +11 61
9 Blackpool 39 17 9 13 57 42 +15 60
10 Wigan 39 17 7 15 53 48 +5 58
11 Leyton Orient 39 16 10 13 44 44 0 58
12 Wycombe 38 13 11 14 50 49 +1 50
13 Bristol Rvs 38 14 8 16 48 57 -9 50
14 Northampton 39 14 8 17 50 60 -10 50
15 Reading 39 13 9 17 55 57 -2 48
16 Exeter 39 13 8 18 33 52 -19 47
17 Charlton 39 10 15 14 57 58 -1 45
18 Shrewsbury 39 13 5 21 29 55 -26 44
19 Burton 38 10 9 19 31 50 -19 39
20 Cambridge 38 10 9 19 32 55 -23 39
21 Cheltenham 37 9 8 20 30 50 -20 35
22 Fleetwood Town 39 7 13 19 41 61 -20 34
23 Port Vale 37 8 9 20 35 61 -26 33
24 Carlisle 38 5 8 25 33 67 -34 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 19 13 4 2 34 20 +14 43
2 Bolton 19 13 3 3 42 22 +20 42
3 Derby 20 12 4 4 35 18 +17 40
4 Blackpool 19 11 5 3 38 17 +21 38
5 Wigan 20 12 2 6 27 17 +10 38
6 Peterboro 19 11 4 4 44 21 +23 37
7 Lincoln 20 9 7 4 34 13 +21 34
8 Reading 20 10 4 6 34 21 +13 34
9 Oxford 19 9 6 4 34 22 +12 33
10 Barnsley 20 9 5 6 35 28 +7 32
11 Stevenage 19 8 7 4 22 15 +7 31
12 Wycombe 20 8 6 6 29 25 +4 30
13 Northampton 19 8 5 6 25 21 +4 29
14 Leyton Orient 19 8 4 7 20 25 -5 28
15 Charlton 19 7 5 7 32 27 +5 26
16 Bristol Rvs 18 7 5 6 26 23 +3 26
17 Cambridge 19 7 5 7 17 20 -3 26
18 Shrewsbury 20 8 2 10 17 25 -8 26
19 Exeter 20 6 7 7 14 19 -5 25
20 Burton 18 6 4 8 17 21 -4 22
21 Cheltenham 18 6 4 8 19 26 -7 22
22 Port Vale 19 5 3 11 22 28 -6 18
23 Fleetwood Town 20 4 5 11 20 31 -11 17
24 Carlisle 19 3 5 11 17 33 -16 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 20 11 7 2 29 12 +17 40
2 Barnsley 18 11 6 1 35 20 +15 39
3 Derby 19 12 2 5 34 16 +18 38
4 Peterboro 19 10 4 5 30 25 +5 34
5 Bolton 20 9 5 6 29 21 +8 32
6 Leyton Orient 20 8 6 6 24 19 +5 30
7 Stevenage 19 9 3 7 27 23 +4 30
8 Oxford 20 9 3 8 28 30 -2 30
9 Lincoln 19 7 6 6 22 20 +2 27
10 Bristol Rvs 20 7 3 10 22 34 -12 24
11 Blackpool 20 6 4 10 19 25 -6 22
12 Exeter 19 7 1 11 19 33 -14 22
13 Northampton 20 6 3 11 25 39 -14 21
14 Wycombe 18 5 5 8 21 24 -3 20
15 Wigan 19 5 5 9 26 31 -5 20
16 Charlton 20 3 10 7 25 31 -6 19
17 Shrewsbury 19 5 3 11 12 30 -18 18
18 Fleetwood Town 19 3 8 8 21 30 -9 17
19 Burton 20 4 5 11 14 29 -15 17
20 Port Vale 18 3 6 9 13 33 -20 15
21 Reading 19 3 5 11 21 36 -15 14
22 Cheltenham 19 3 4 12 11 24 -13 13
23 Cambridge 19 3 4 12 15 35 -20 13
24 Carlisle 19 2 3 14 16 34 -18 9

Carlisle   Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 39 13 26 1.6 1.3 18 9 12 62 52 63
2 4 Peterboro 38 13 25 1.9 1.2 21 8 9 74 46 71
3 5 Barnsley 38 14 24 1.8 1.3 20 11 7 70 48 71
4 2 Derby 39 16 23 1.8 0.9 24 6 9 69 34 78
5 13 Bristol Rvs 38 16 22 1.3 1.5 14 8 16 48 57 50
6 14 Northampton 39 17 22 1.3 1.5 14 8 17 50 60 50
7 17 Charlton 39 17 22 1.5 1.5 10 15 14 57 58 45
8 1 Portsmouth 39 18 21 1.6 0.8 24 11 4 63 32 83
9 3 Bolton 39 18 21 1.8 1.1 22 8 9 71 43 74
10 15 Reading 39 18 21 1.4 1.5 13 9 17 55 57 48
11 22 Fleetwood Town 39 19 20 1.1 1.6 7 13 19 41 61 34
12 9 Blackpool 39 20 19 1.5 1.1 17 9 13 57 42 60
13 8 Stevenage 38 20 18 1.3 1.0 17 10 11 49 38 61
14 12 Wycombe 38 20 18 1.3 1.3 13 11 14 50 49 50
15 23 Port Vale 37 19 18 0.9 1.6 8 9 20 35 61 33
16 10 Wigan 39 22 17 1.4 1.2 17 7 15 53 48 58
17 20 Cambridge 38 21 17 0.8 1.4 10 9 19 32 55 39
18 24 Carlisle 38 21 17 0.9 1.8 5 8 25 33 67 23
19 11 Leyton Orient 39 23 16 1.1 1.1 16 10 13 44 44 58
20 16 Exeter 39 23 16 0.8 1.3 13 8 18 33 52 47
21 7 Lincoln 39 24 15 1.4 0.8 16 13 10 56 33 61
22 18 Shrewsbury 39 24 15 0.7 1.4 13 5 21 29 55 44
23 19 Burton 38 23 15 0.8 1.3 10 9 19 31 50 39
24 21 Cheltenham 37 23 14 0.8 1.4 9 8 20 30 50 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 19 5 14 2.3 1.1 11 4 4 44 21 37
2 5 Barnsley 20 6 14 1.8 1.4 9 5 6 35 28 32
3 6 Oxford 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 9 6 4 34 22 33
4 3 Bolton 19 6 13 2.2 1.2 13 3 3 42 22 42
5 17 Charlton 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 7 5 7 32 27 26
6 1 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.8 1.1 13 4 2 34 20 43
7 2 Derby 20 8 12 1.8 0.9 12 4 4 35 18 40
8 9 Blackpool 19 8 11 2.0 0.9 11 5 3 38 17 38
9 13 Bristol Rvs 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 7 5 6 26 23 26
10 7 Lincoln 20 11 9 1.7 0.7 9 7 4 34 13 34
11 14 Northampton 19 10 9 1.3 1.1 8 5 6 25 21 29
12 15 Reading 20 11 9 1.7 1.1 10 4 6 34 21 34
13 22 Fleetwood Town 20 11 9 1.0 1.6 4 5 11 20 31 17
14 23 Port Vale 19 10 9 1.2 1.5 5 3 11 22 28 18
15 10 Wigan 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 12 2 6 27 17 38
16 11 Leyton Orient 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 8 4 7 20 25 28
17 12 Wycombe 20 12 8 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 29 25 30
18 18 Shrewsbury 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 8 2 10 17 25 26
19 21 Cheltenham 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 19 26 22
20 24 Carlisle 19 11 8 0.9 1.7 3 5 11 17 33 14
21 8 Stevenage 19 13 6 1.2 0.8 8 7 4 22 15 31
22 16 Exeter 20 14 6 0.7 0.9 6 7 7 14 19 25
23 19 Burton 18 12 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 8 17 21 22
24 20 Cambridge 19 13 6 0.9 1.1 7 5 7 17 20 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Northampton 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 6 3 11 25 39 21
2 6 Oxford 20 8 12 1.4 1.5 9 3 8 28 30 30
3 8 Stevenage 19 7 12 1.4 1.2 9 3 7 27 23 30
4 15 Reading 19 7 12 1.1 1.9 3 5 11 21 36 14
5 2 Derby 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 12 2 5 34 16 38
6 4 Peterboro 19 8 11 1.6 1.3 10 4 5 30 25 34
7 13 Bristol Rvs 20 9 11 1.1 1.7 7 3 10 22 34 24
8 20 Cambridge 19 8 11 0.8 1.8 3 4 12 15 35 13
9 22 Fleetwood Town 19 8 11 1.1 1.6 3 8 8 21 30 17
10 5 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 11 6 1 35 20 39
11 12 Wycombe 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 21 24 20
12 16 Exeter 19 9 10 1.0 1.7 7 1 11 19 33 22
13 1 Portsmouth 20 11 9 1.4 0.6 11 7 2 29 12 40
14 10 Wigan 19 10 9 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 26 31 20
15 17 Charlton 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 3 10 7 25 31 19
16 19 Burton 20 11 9 0.7 1.4 4 5 11 14 29 17
17 23 Port Vale 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 3 6 9 13 33 15
18 24 Carlisle 19 10 9 0.8 1.8 2 3 14 16 34 9
19 3 Bolton 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 6 29 21 32
20 9 Blackpool 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 6 4 10 19 25 22
21 11 Leyton Orient 20 12 8 1.2 0.9 8 6 6 24 19 30
22 18 Shrewsbury 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 5 3 11 12 30 18
23 7 Lincoln 19 13 6 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 20 27
24 21 Cheltenham 19 13 6 0.6 1.3 3 4 12 11 24 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51