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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Atkinson

Burton 1–2 Stevenage

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.10 fair 3.18
Draw 3.40 fair 3.72
Away ✓ 2.25 fair 2.40
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.21

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Stevenage
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 5
17 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (224 league matches this season so far).
Result Stevenage to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.14 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawStevenage
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 11.2% 1–0 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.84scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:27
Stevenage before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.45scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 29:19
Burton all matches all matches Stevenage

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.45
1.42 Goals conceded 0.95
2.26 Total goals 2.40
10.42 Shots 11.55
2.89 Shots on target 4.45
14.16 Shots faced 11.75
3.63 Corners 5.80
4.89 Corners against 5.70
11.37 Fouls 12.45
2.42 Yellow cards 2.15
0.37 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

26% Wins 50%
26% Draws 30%
47% Losses 20%
84% Over 0.5 goals 90%
74% Over 1.5 goals 70%
42% Over 2.5 goals 50%
16% Over 3.5 goals 25%
11% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
42% Both teams scored 40%
21% Clean sheets 50%
53% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 50%
47% Draws 40%
37% Losses 10%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
37% Over 1.5 goals 30%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Stevenage all matches
Burton before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.11scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:11
Stevenage before this match, away
1.90points / match
1.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:10
Burton at home away Stevenage

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.60
1.22 Goals conceded 1.00
2.33 Total goals 2.60
13.33 Shots 10.70
3.56 Shots on target 4.30
12.67 Shots faced 13.20
4.44 Corners 4.60
4.89 Corners against 6.00
11.78 Fouls 13.10
2.22 Yellow cards 2.20
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

33% Wins 60%
33% Draws 10%
33% Losses 30%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 80%
44% Over 2.5 goals 60%
11% Over 3.5 goals 10%
11% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 30%
11% Clean sheets 50%
44% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 60%
44% Draws 20%
33% Losses 20%
67% Over 0.5 goals 90%
33% Over 1.5 goals 20%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Stevenage away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.83 1.93 1.93
25.11.23 Peterboro – Burton 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.00 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Northampton – Burton 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.08 1.73
28.10.23 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.05 1.80
24.10.23 Carlisle – Burton 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.202.90 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
14.10.23 Lincoln – Burton 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.10 1.70
09.10.23 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.403.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88
30.09.23 Reading – Burton 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.75 2.00 1.85

Stevenage all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Stevenage – Peterboro 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.402.63 1.93 1.93
25.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.30 1.98 1.88
18.11.23 Stevenage – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Wycombe – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.03 1.83
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73
24.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.502.80 1.93 1.93
21.10.23 Stevenage – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.05 1.80
14.10.23 Blackpool – Stevenage 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.08 1.73
07.10.23 Stevenage – Wigan 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.85 2.00
03.10.23 Bolton – Stevenage 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.403.60 2.03 1.83

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.11.23 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.83 1.93 1.93
28.10.23 Burton – Leyton Orient 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Burton – Bristol Rvs 4–1 (2–1) 2.603.602.50 1.85 2.00
09.10.23 Burton – Cambridge 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.403.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Burton – Wigan 2–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.70 1.98 1.88
23.09.23 Burton – Fleetwood Town 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 1.93 1.93
02.09.23 Burton – Exeter 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Burton – Bolton 1–1 (0–0) 4.003.501.95 1.88 1.98
12.08.23 Burton – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 1.93 1.93
07.05.23 Burton – Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 1.88 1.98

Stevenage away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Fleetwood Town – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 3.003.402.30 1.98 1.88
11.11.23 Wycombe – Stevenage 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.03 1.83
24.10.23 Bristol Rvs – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.502.80 1.93 1.93
14.10.23 Blackpool – Stevenage 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.08 1.73
03.10.23 Bolton – Stevenage 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.403.60 2.03 1.83
23.09.23 Cheltenham – Stevenage 0–3 (0–1) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.70
02.09.23 Leyton Orient – Stevenage 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.55 2.05 1.75
19.08.23 Reading – Stevenage 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.252.80 2.10 1.70
15.08.23 Cambridge – Stevenage 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 2.05 1.80
05.08.23 Northampton – Stevenage 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.70 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 19 12 6 1 32 16 +16 42
2 Bolton 18 12 3 3 37 18 +19 39
3 Oxford 18 11 3 4 31 18 +13 36
4 Stevenage 20 10 6 4 29 19 +10 36
5 Peterboro 19 10 5 4 37 20 +17 35
6 Derby 18 10 3 5 31 16 +15 33
7 Barnsley 18 9 4 5 34 20 +14 31
8 Blackpool 20 8 6 6 33 25 +8 30
9 Wigan 19 9 3 7 30 23 +7 30
10 Lincoln 20 8 6 6 26 20 +6 30
11 Charlton 18 7 5 6 30 25 +5 26
12 Bristol Rvs 18 6 6 6 24 23 +1 24
13 Shrewsbury 20 7 3 10 12 27 -15 24
14 Northampton 19 7 2 10 21 26 -5 23
15 Wycombe 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
16 Leyton Orient 19 5 7 7 18 24 -6 22
17 Burton 19 5 5 9 16 27 -11 20
18 Cambridge 19 5 5 9 14 25 -11 20
19 Port Vale 18 5 4 9 14 27 -13 19
20 Exeter 18 5 3 10 12 29 -17 18
21 Reading 18 5 2 11 22 30 -8 17
22 Fleetwood Town 18 4 4 10 18 31 -13 16
23 Carlisle 19 3 6 10 15 26 -11 15
24 Cheltenham 18 3 3 12 10 27 -17 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bolton 10 7 1 2 23 13 +10 22
2 Portsmouth 10 6 3 1 14 10 +4 21
3 Peterboro 9 6 2 1 22 7 +15 20
4 Blackpool 11 6 2 3 22 13 +9 20
5 Charlton 10 6 1 3 21 13 +8 19
6 Shrewsbury 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19
7 Oxford 9 5 3 1 15 7 +8 18
8 Wigan 9 6 0 3 16 10 +6 18
9 Derby 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
10 Stevenage 10 4 5 1 13 9 +4 17
11 Lincoln 9 4 3 2 15 8 +7 15
12 Cambridge 10 4 3 3 9 11 -2 15
13 Reading 9 4 2 3 14 9 +5 14
14 Northampton 10 4 2 4 13 13 0 14
15 Barnsley 9 4 1 4 19 12 +7 13
16 Bristol Rvs 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
17 Burton 9 3 3 3 10 11 -1 12
18 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 10 12 -2 11
19 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
20 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 8 11 -3 10
21 Port Vale 8 3 0 5 6 8 -2 9
22 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5 9 -4 9
23 Cheltenham 9 2 2 5 5 13 -8 8
24 Fleetwood Town 9 2 1 6 8 17 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
2 Stevenage 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
3 Barnsley 9 5 3 1 15 8 +7 18
4 Oxford 9 6 0 3 16 11 +5 18
5 Bolton 8 5 2 1 14 5 +9 17
6 Derby 9 5 1 3 16 10 +6 16
7 Peterboro 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
8 Lincoln 11 4 3 4 11 12 -1 15
9 Wigan 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
10 Leyton Orient 10 2 5 3 9 10 -1 11
11 Wycombe 9 3 2 4 13 15 -2 11
12 Bristol Rvs 10 3 2 5 10 15 -5 11
13 Blackpool 9 2 4 3 11 12 -1 10
14 Port Vale 10 2 4 4 8 19 -11 10
15 Fleetwood Town 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
16 Northampton 9 3 0 6 8 13 -5 9
17 Exeter 9 3 0 6 7 20 -13 9
18 Burton 10 2 2 6 6 16 -10 8
19 Charlton 8 1 4 3 9 12 -3 7
20 Carlisle 9 1 2 6 7 15 -8 5
21 Cambridge 9 1 2 6 5 14 -9 5
22 Shrewsbury 10 1 2 7 2 18 -16 5
23 Cheltenham 9 1 1 7 5 14 -9 4
24 Reading 9 1 0 8 8 21 -13 3

Burton   Stevenage

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Blackpool 20 8 12 1.6 1.2 8 6 6 33 25 30
2 11 Charlton 18 6 12 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 30 25 26
3 2 Bolton 18 7 11 2.1 1.0 12 3 3 37 18 39
4 3 Oxford 18 7 11 1.7 1.0 11 3 4 31 18 36
5 9 Wigan 19 8 11 1.6 1.2 9 3 7 30 23 30
6 14 Northampton 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 7 2 10 21 26 23
7 15 Wycombe 18 7 11 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
8 21 Reading 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 5 2 11 22 30 17
9 1 Portsmouth 19 9 10 1.7 0.8 12 6 1 32 16 42
10 4 Stevenage 20 10 10 1.4 0.9 10 6 4 29 19 36
11 5 Peterboro 19 9 10 1.9 1.1 10 5 4 37 20 35
12 6 Derby 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 10 3 5 31 16 33
13 7 Barnsley 18 8 10 1.9 1.1 9 4 5 34 20 31
14 22 Fleetwood Town 18 8 10 1.0 1.7 4 4 10 18 31 16
15 10 Lincoln 20 12 8 1.3 1.0 8 6 6 26 20 30
16 12 Bristol Rvs 18 10 8 1.3 1.3 6 6 6 24 23 24
17 17 Burton 19 11 8 0.8 1.4 5 5 9 16 27 20
18 16 Leyton Orient 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 5 7 7 18 24 22
19 18 Cambridge 19 12 7 0.7 1.3 5 5 9 14 25 20
20 19 Port Vale 18 11 7 0.8 1.5 5 4 9 14 27 19
21 20 Exeter 18 11 7 0.7 1.6 5 3 10 12 29 18
22 13 Shrewsbury 20 14 6 0.6 1.4 7 3 10 12 27 24
23 24 Cheltenham 18 12 6 0.6 1.5 3 3 12 10 27 12
24 23 Carlisle 19 15 4 0.8 1.4 3 6 10 15 26 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bolton 10 2 8 2.3 1.3 7 1 2 23 13 22
2 8 Blackpool 11 3 8 2.0 1.2 6 2 3 22 13 20
3 11 Charlton 10 2 8 2.1 1.3 6 1 3 21 13 19
4 3 Oxford 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 5 3 1 15 7 18
5 7 Barnsley 9 3 6 2.1 1.3 4 1 4 19 12 13
6 9 Wigan 9 3 6 1.8 1.1 6 0 3 16 10 18
7 14 Northampton 10 4 6 1.3 1.3 4 2 4 13 13 14
8 1 Portsmouth 10 5 5 1.4 1.0 6 3 1 14 10 21
9 5 Peterboro 9 4 5 2.4 0.8 6 2 1 22 7 20
10 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
11 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 2 1 6 8 17 7
12 4 Stevenage 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 5 1 13 9 17
13 10 Lincoln 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 4 3 2 15 8 15
14 12 Bristol Rvs 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
15 15 Wycombe 9 5 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 4 10 12 11
16 16 Leyton Orient 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11
17 17 Burton 9 5 4 1.1 1.2 3 3 3 10 11 12
18 21 Reading 9 5 4 1.6 1.0 4 2 3 14 9 14
19 13 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19
20 18 Cambridge 10 7 3 0.9 1.1 4 3 3 9 11 15
21 19 Port Vale 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 5 6 8 9
22 20 Exeter 9 7 2 0.6 1.0 2 3 4 5 9 9
23 24 Cheltenham 9 7 2 0.6 1.4 2 2 5 5 13 8
24 23 Carlisle 10 9 1 0.8 1.1 2 4 4 8 11 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Wycombe 9 2 7 1.4 1.7 3 2 4 13 15 11
2 21 Reading 9 2 7 0.9 2.3 1 0 8 8 21 3
3 4 Stevenage 10 4 6 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
4 1 Portsmouth 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
5 3 Oxford 9 4 5 1.8 1.2 6 0 3 16 11 18
6 5 Peterboro 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
7 6 Derby 9 4 5 1.8 1.1 5 1 3 16 10 16
8 9 Wigan 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
9 14 Northampton 9 4 5 0.9 1.4 3 0 6 8 13 9
10 19 Port Vale 10 5 5 0.8 1.9 2 4 4 8 19 10
11 20 Exeter 9 4 5 0.8 2.2 3 0 6 7 20 9
12 22 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
13 7 Barnsley 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 3 1 15 8 18
14 8 Blackpool 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 2 4 3 11 12 10
15 10 Lincoln 11 7 4 1.0 1.1 4 3 4 11 12 15
16 11 Charlton 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 1 4 3 9 12 7
17 12 Bristol Rvs 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 3 2 5 10 15 11
18 17 Burton 10 6 4 0.6 1.6 2 2 6 6 16 8
19 18 Cambridge 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 1 2 6 5 14 5
20 24 Cheltenham 9 5 4 0.6 1.6 1 1 7 5 14 4
21 2 Bolton 8 5 3 1.8 0.6 5 2 1 14 5 17
22 13 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 0.2 1.8 1 2 7 2 18 5
23 16 Leyton Orient 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 3 9 10 11
24 23 Carlisle 9 6 3 0.8 1.7 1 2 6 7 15 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51