Burton 1–0 Cambridge – England League One, 3 May 2023

Match facts

Burton Cambridge

9 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 8

10 Fouls 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (539 league matches this season so far).

Result Burton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.78

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.19

Home / Draw / Away

48% 24% 28%

BurtonDrawCambridge

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches

1.18points / match

1.27scored / match

1.80conceded / match

14 10 20

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 56:79

Cambridge before this match, all matches

0.98points / match

0.89scored / match

1.52conceded / match

12 7 25

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 39:67

Burton all matches all matches Cambridge

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.89

1.80 Goals conceded 1.52

3.07 Total goals 2.41

11.57 Shots 10.80

3.84 Shots on target 3.48

14.50 Shots faced 12.27

5.32 Corners 4.39

5.52 Corners against 4.89

10.82 Fouls 9.41

1.48 Yellow cards 1.77

0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

32% Wins 27%

23% Draws 16%

45% Losses 57%

95% Over 0.5 goals 93%

77% Over 1.5 goals 70%

55% Over 2.5 goals 45%

34% Over 3.5 goals 14%

25% Over 4.5 goals 11%

11% Over 5.5 goals 5%

52% Both teams scored 48%

18% Clean sheets 18%

34% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 20%

43% Draws 41%

32% Losses 39%

64% Over 0.5 goals 70%

36% Over 1.5 goals 30%

20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches

2

5

L

3

2

W

D

2

1

W

2

3

L

3

2

W

1

D

1

L

1

W

1

L

Cambridge all matches

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

2

1

W

Burton before this match, at home

1.43points / match

1.29scored / match

1.57conceded / match

8 6 7

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:33

Cambridge before this match, away

0.68points / match

0.77scored / match

1.86conceded / match

4 3 15

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 17:41

Burton at home away Cambridge

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.77

1.57 Goals conceded 1.86

2.86 Total goals 2.64

12.19 Shots 10.09

4.24 Shots on target 3.18

13.33 Shots faced 13.64

5.95 Corners 3.55

5.71 Corners against 5.09

9.81 Fouls 9.68

1.19 Yellow cards 1.91

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.36

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

38% Wins 18%

29% Draws 14%

33% Losses 68%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

76% Over 1.5 goals 73%

48% Over 2.5 goals 50%

33% Over 3.5 goals 23%

19% Over 4.5 goals 18%

10% Over 5.5 goals 5%

48% Both teams scored 50%

24% Clean sheets 9%

33% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 14%

38% Draws 50%

29% Losses 36%

67% Over 0.5 goals 68%

33% Over 1.5 goals 32%

24% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home

3

W

4

L

2

W

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

5

L

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

Cambridge away

1

5

L

D

2

L

1

L

2

L

1

L

2

W

1

D

1

3

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.04.23	Plymouth – Burton	1–0 (1–0)	1.40	4.50	8.00	1.62	2.25
25.04.23	Lincoln – Burton	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.02	1.82
22.04.23	Derby – Burton	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.70	2.10
18.04.23	Burton – Bolton	1–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.05	1.80
15.04.23	Burton – Sheffield Weds	3–2 (3–1)	5.50	4.00	1.62	1.85	2.00
10.04.23	Charlton – Burton	3–2 (2–1)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.90	1.95
07.04.23	Burton – Barnsley	2–1 (0–0)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.95	1.90
01.04.23	Cheltenham – Burton	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	1.98	1.88
18.03.23	Port Vale – Burton	2–3 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.70
14.03.23	Burton – Peterboro	2–5 (1–3)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.00	1.85

Cambridge all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.04.23	Accrington – Cambridge	1–2 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	2.05	1.75
22.04.23	Plymouth – Cambridge	3–1 (1–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.90	1.95
18.04.23	Cambridge – Wycombe	1–2 (0–2)	2.60	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.65
15.04.23	Cambridge – Peterboro	2–0 (1–0)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.08	1.73
10.04.23	Bolton – Cambridge	1–1 (0–0)	1.57	3.75	7.00	2.02	1.83
07.04.23	Cambridge – Fleetwood Town	2–1 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.65
01.04.23	Port Vale – Cambridge	0–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.25	1.62
18.03.23	Cambridge – Charlton	1–2 (0–2)	2.60	3.50	2.63	2.20	1.65
11.03.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.25	1.62
07.03.23	Cambridge – Morecambe	1–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.40	4.00	2.40	1.53

Burton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.23	Burton – Bolton	1–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.05	1.80
15.04.23	Burton – Sheffield Weds	3–2 (3–1)	5.50	4.00	1.62	1.85	2.00
07.04.23	Burton – Barnsley	2–1 (0–0)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.95	1.90
14.03.23	Burton – Peterboro	2–5 (1–3)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.00	1.85
11.03.23	Burton – Wycombe	2–1 (2–0)	2.88	3.40	2.45	2.00	1.80
25.02.23	Burton – Accrington	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	4.00	4.00	1.90	1.95
11.02.23	Burton – Exeter	1–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.40	2.70	1.90	1.95
28.01.23	Burton – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	2.75	3.75	2.40	1.75	2.05
14.01.23	Burton – Shrewsbury	0–4 (0–2)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.10	1.70
26.12.22	Burton – Lincoln	3–0 (3–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.02	1.83

Cambridge away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
29.04.23	Accrington – Cambridge	1–2 (0–1)	2.60	3.40	2.70	2.05	1.75
22.04.23	Plymouth – Cambridge	3–1 (1–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.90	1.95
10.04.23	Bolton – Cambridge	1–1 (0–0)	1.57	3.75	7.00	2.02	1.83
01.04.23	Port Vale – Cambridge	0–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.25	1.62
11.03.23	Milton Keynes Dons – Cambridge	1–0 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.25	1.62
25.02.23	Exeter – Cambridge	2–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.40	4.50	2.15	1.67
21.02.23	Fleetwood Town – Cambridge	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.67
11.02.23	Barnsley – Cambridge	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.00	7.00	1.88	1.98
28.01.23	Lincoln – Cambridge	0–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.15	1.67
21.01.23	Shrewsbury – Cambridge	5–1 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.15	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Burton winsDrawsCambridge wins

3matches

4.67goals / match

100%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.08.22E2	Cambridge – Burton	4–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.85	2.00
12.02.22E2	Burton – Cambridge	2–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.60	3.80	1.95	1.90
21.08.21E2	Cambridge – Burton	3–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.37	1.95	1.85

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	45	30	8	7	79	46	+33	98
2	Ipswich	45	28	13	4	99	33	+66	97
3	Sheffield Weds	45	27	12	6	80	37	+43	93
4	Barnsley	45	26	8	11	80	45	+35	86
5	Bolton	45	22	12	11	59	34	+25	78
6	Derby	45	21	13	11	67	45	+22	76
7	Peterboro	45	23	5	17	73	54	+19	74
8	Portsmouth	45	17	18	10	59	48	+11	69
9	Wycombe	45	20	8	17	57	49	+8	68
10	Charlton	45	16	13	16	68	64	+4	61
11	Lincoln	45	13	20	12	46	47	-1	59
12	Shrewsbury	45	17	8	20	52	60	-8	59
13	Fleetwood Town	45	14	15	16	51	49	+2	57
14	Exeter	45	14	11	20	61	66	-5	53
15	Bristol Rvs	45	14	11	20	56	70	-14	53
16	Cheltenham	45	14	11	20	43	59	-16	53
17	Burton	44	14	10	20	56	79	-23	52
18	Port Vale	45	13	10	22	47	68	-21	49
19	Oxford	45	11	14	20	48	54	-6	47
20	Milton Keynes Dons	45	11	11	23	44	66	-22	44
21	Morecambe	45	10	14	21	45	75	-30	44
22	Cambridge	44	12	7	25	39	67	-28	43
23	Accrington	45	10	11	24	38	76	-38	41
24	Forest Green	45	6	9	30	31	87	-56	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Plymouth	23	20	1	2	44	16	+28	61
2	Ipswich	23	16	6	1	60	13	+47	54
3	Sheffield Weds	22	15	6	1	48	16	+32	51
4	Barnsley	22	16	1	5	45	22	+23	49
5	Bolton	23	14	5	4	32	13	+19	47
6	Derby	23	13	6	4	40	20	+20	45
7	Peterboro	23	13	4	6	38	25	+13	43
8	Wycombe	23	11	5	7	32	24	+8	38
9	Portsmouth	22	9	10	3	32	20	+12	37
10	Shrewsbury	23	11	3	9	32	32	0	36
11	Charlton	23	9	7	7	44	31	+13	34
12	Exeter	22	9	5	8	33	25	+8	32
13	Lincoln	22	6	14	2	21	17	+4	32
14	Morecambe	23	8	8	7	30	31	-1	32
15	Cheltenham	22	8	7	7	23	25	-2	31
16	Burton	21	8	6	7	27	33	-6	30
17	Port Vale	22	8	5	9	22	27	-5	29
18	Fleetwood Town	22	7	7	8	23	23	0	28
19	Cambridge	22	8	4	10	22	26	-4	28
20	Bristol Rvs	22	6	7	9	25	33	-8	25
21	Oxford	22	6	5	11	28	29	-1	23
22	Accrington	23	6	5	12	27	39	-12	23
23	Milton Keynes Dons	23	4	7	12	20	33	-13	19
24	Forest Green	23	5	2	16	15	42	-27	17

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ipswich	22	12	7	3	39	20	+19	43
2	Sheffield Weds	23	12	6	5	32	21	+11	42
3	Barnsley	23	10	7	6	35	23	+12	37
4	Plymouth	22	10	7	5	35	30	+5	37
5	Portsmouth	23	8	8	7	27	28	-1	32
6	Peterboro	22	10	1	11	35	29	+6	31
7	Bolton	22	8	7	7	27	21	+6	31
8	Derby	22	8	7	7	27	25	+2	31
9	Wycombe	22	9	3	10	25	25	0	30
10	Fleetwood Town	23	7	8	8	28	26	+2	29
11	Bristol Rvs	23	8	4	11	31	37	-6	28
12	Lincoln	23	7	6	10	25	30	-5	27
13	Charlton	22	7	6	9	24	33	-9	27
14	Milton Keynes Dons	22	7	4	11	24	33	-9	25
15	Oxford	23	5	9	9	20	25	-5	24
16	Shrewsbury	22	6	5	11	20	28	-8	23
17	Cheltenham	23	6	4	13	20	34	-14	22
18	Burton	23	6	4	13	29	46	-17	22
19	Exeter	23	5	6	12	28	41	-13	21
20	Port Vale	23	5	5	13	25	41	-16	20
21	Accrington	22	4	6	12	11	37	-26	18
22	Cambridge	22	4	3	15	17	41	-24	15
23	Morecambe	22	2	6	14	15	44	-29	12
24	Forest Green	22	1	7	14	16	45	-29	10

Burton Cambridge

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Peterboro	45	18	27	1.6	1.2	23	5	17	73	54	74
2	2	Ipswich	45	19	26	2.2	0.7	28	13	4	99	33	97
3	4	Barnsley	45	20	25	1.8	1.0	26	8	11	80	45	86
4	1	Plymouth	45	21	24	1.8	1.0	30	8	7	79	46	98
5	15	Bristol Rvs	45	21	24	1.2	1.6	14	11	20	56	70	53
6	17	Burton	44	20	24	1.3	1.8	14	10	20	56	79	52
7	12	Shrewsbury	45	22	23	1.2	1.3	17	8	20	52	60	59
8	18	Port Vale	45	22	23	1.0	1.5	13	10	22	47	68	49
9	21	Morecambe	45	22	23	1.0	1.7	10	14	21	45	75	44
10	10	Charlton	45	23	22	1.5	1.4	16	13	16	68	64	61
11	14	Exeter	45	23	22	1.4	1.5	14	11	20	61	66	53
12	24	Forest Green	45	23	22	0.7	1.9	6	9	30	31	87	27
13	23	Accrington	45	24	21	0.8	1.7	10	11	24	38	76	41
14	3	Sheffield Weds	45	25	20	1.8	0.8	27	12	6	80	37	93
15	6	Derby	45	25	20	1.5	1.0	21	13	11	67	45	76
16	16	Cheltenham	45	25	20	1.0	1.3	14	11	20	43	59	53
17	22	Cambridge	44	24	20	0.9	1.5	12	7	25	39	67	43
18	9	Wycombe	45	26	19	1.3	1.1	20	8	17	57	49	68
19	13	Fleetwood Town	45	26	19	1.1	1.1	14	15	16	51	49	57
20	19	Oxford	45	27	18	1.1	1.2	11	14	20	48	54	47
21	8	Portsmouth	45	28	17	1.3	1.1	17	18	10	59	48	69
22	20	Milton Keynes Dons	45	28	17	1.0	1.5	11	11	23	44	66	44
23	5	Bolton	45	30	15	1.3	0.8	22	12	11	59	34	78
24	11	Lincoln	45	32	13	1.0	1.0	13	20	12	46	47	59

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	23	8	15	2.6	0.6	16	6	1	60	13	54
2	4	Barnsley	22	8	14	2.0	1.0	16	1	5	45	22	49
3	7	Peterboro	23	9	14	1.7	1.1	13	4	6	38	25	43
4	12	Shrewsbury	23	9	14	1.4	1.4	11	3	9	32	32	36
5	10	Charlton	23	11	12	1.9	1.3	9	7	7	44	31	34
6	19	Oxford	22	10	12	1.3	1.3	6	5	11	28	29	23
7	23	Accrington	23	11	12	1.2	1.7	6	5	12	27	39	23
8	24	Forest Green	23	11	12	0.7	1.8	5	2	16	15	42	17
9	1	Plymouth	23	12	11	1.9	0.7	20	1	2	44	16	61
10	3	Sheffield Weds	22	11	11	2.2	0.7	15	6	1	48	16	51
11	6	Derby	23	12	11	1.7	0.9	13	6	4	40	20	45
12	14	Exeter	22	11	11	1.5	1.1	9	5	8	33	25	32
13	21	Morecambe	23	12	11	1.3	1.3	8	8	7	30	31	32
14	15	Bristol Rvs	22	12	10	1.1	1.5	6	7	9	25	33	25
15	17	Burton	21	11	10	1.3	1.6	8	6	7	27	33	30
16	8	Portsmouth	22	13	9	1.5	0.9	9	10	3	32	20	37
17	9	Wycombe	23	14	9	1.4	1.0	11	5	7	32	24	38
18	13	Fleetwood Town	22	13	9	1.0	1.0	7	7	8	23	23	28
19	16	Cheltenham	22	13	9	1.0	1.1	8	7	7	23	25	31
20	18	Port Vale	22	13	9	1.0	1.2	8	5	9	22	27	29
21	22	Cambridge	22	13	9	1.0	1.2	8	4	10	22	26	28
22	5	Bolton	23	16	7	1.4	0.6	14	5	4	32	13	47
23	20	Milton Keynes Dons	23	16	7	0.9	1.4	4	7	12	20	33	19
24	11	Lincoln	22	18	4	1.0	0.8	6	14	2	21	17	32

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	15	Bristol Rvs	23	9	14	1.3	1.6	8	4	11	31	37	28
2	17	Burton	23	9	14	1.3	2.0	6	4	13	29	46	22
3	18	Port Vale	23	9	14	1.1	1.8	5	5	13	25	41	20
4	1	Plymouth	22	9	13	1.6	1.4	10	7	5	35	30	37
5	7	Peterboro	22	9	13	1.6	1.3	10	1	11	35	29	31
6	21	Morecambe	22	10	12	0.7	2.0	2	6	14	15	44	12
7	2	Ipswich	22	11	11	1.8	0.9	12	7	3	39	20	43
8	4	Barnsley	23	12	11	1.5	1.0	10	7	6	35	23	37
9	14	Exeter	23	12	11	1.2	1.8	5	6	12	28	41	21
10	16	Cheltenham	23	12	11	0.9	1.5	6	4	13	20	34	22
11	22	Cambridge	22	11	11	0.8	1.9	4	3	15	17	41	15
12	9	Wycombe	22	12	10	1.1	1.1	9	3	10	25	25	30
13	10	Charlton	22	12	10	1.1	1.5	7	6	9	24	33	27
14	13	Fleetwood Town	23	13	10	1.2	1.1	7	8	8	28	26	29
15	20	Milton Keynes Dons	22	12	10	1.1	1.5	7	4	11	24	33	25
16	24	Forest Green	22	12	10	0.7	2.0	1	7	14	16	45	10
17	3	Sheffield Weds	23	14	9	1.4	0.9	12	6	5	32	21	42
18	6	Derby	22	13	9	1.2	1.1	8	7	7	27	25	31
19	11	Lincoln	23	14	9	1.1	1.3	7	6	10	25	30	27
20	12	Shrewsbury	22	13	9	0.9	1.3	6	5	11	20	28	23
21	23	Accrington	22	13	9	0.5	1.7	4	6	12	11	37	18
22	5	Bolton	22	14	8	1.2	1.0	8	7	7	27	21	31
23	8	Portsmouth	23	15	8	1.2	1.2	8	8	7	27	28	32
24	19	Oxford	23	17	6	0.9	1.1	5	9	9	20	25	24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.