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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Birmingham 1–0 Preston

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.63
Draw 3.40 fair 3.92
Away 3.10 fair 2.74
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 2.08 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Preston
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
0 Corners 0
7 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (466 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawPreston
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 8.9% 0–1 8.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.10scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 43:61
Preston before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.37scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 52:54
Birmingham all matches all matches Preston

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.37
1.56 Goals conceded 1.42
2.67 Total goals 2.79
13.03 Shots 9.82
3.95 Shots on target 3.47
14.15 Shots faced 13.13
4.54 Corners 4.26
6.28 Corners against 5.50
12.72 Fouls 12.66
2.15 Yellow cards 2.29
0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

26% Wins 45%
23% Draws 21%
51% Losses 34%
92% Over 0.5 goals 95%
72% Over 1.5 goals 84%
49% Over 2.5 goals 61%
31% Over 3.5 goals 24%
13% Over 4.5 goals 11%
8% Over 5.5 goals 5%
54% Both teams scored 58%
18% Clean sheets 24%
36% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 26%
44% Draws 55%
31% Losses 18%
67% Over 0.5 goals 63%
31% Over 1.5 goals 47%
10% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Preston all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.42points / match
1.37scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:24
Preston before this match, away
1.39points / match
1.17scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:23
Birmingham at home away Preston

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.17
1.26 Goals conceded 1.28
2.63 Total goals 2.44
13.05 Shots 8.67
3.79 Shots on target 2.94
12.47 Shots faced 12.50
5.11 Corners 3.28
5.95 Corners against 5.33
12.79 Fouls 12.50
1.84 Yellow cards 2.28
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

37% Wins 39%
32% Draws 22%
32% Losses 39%
84% Over 0.5 goals 94%
63% Over 1.5 goals 78%
53% Over 2.5 goals 44%
37% Over 3.5 goals 17%
16% Over 4.5 goals 6%
5% Over 5.5 goals 6%
58% Both teams scored 44%
26% Clean sheets 33%
32% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 28%
37% Draws 56%
37% Losses 17%
74% Over 0.5 goals 61%
37% Over 1.5 goals 50%
16% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Preston away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Birmingham – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Ipswich – Birmingham 3–1 (1–1) 1.554.335.50 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
13.02.24 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.57 2.35
09.02.24 Sheffield Weds – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Preston – Rotherham 3–0 (3–0) 1.534.206.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Plymouth – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Preston – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.08 1.73
02.03.24 Preston – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.05 1.75
23.02.24 Coventry – Preston 0–3 (0–3) 1.733.504.75 2.00 1.85
17.02.24 Preston – Blackburn 2–2 (2–2) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93
14.02.24 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.35 1.57
03.02.24 Preston – Ipswich 3–2 (3–0) 3.603.602.00 2.03 1.83
27.01.24 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.40 1.53

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Birmingham – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
13.02.24 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.603.00 1.57 2.35
13.01.24 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Birmingham – Stoke 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.302.75 2.05 1.75
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05
02.12.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98

Preston away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Plymouth – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 1.98 1.88
23.02.24 Coventry – Preston 0–3 (0–3) 1.733.504.75 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–2) 2.303.203.30 2.35 1.57
27.01.24 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.40 1.53
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Sunderland – Preston 2–0 (2–0) 1.574.005.75 1.90 1.95
22.12.23 Swansea – Preston 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 2.05 1.75
12.12.23 Huddersfield – Preston 1–3 (0–2) 2.633.102.88 2.50 1.50
09.12.23 Norwich – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95
28.11.23 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.673.605.50 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsPreston wins
5matches
1.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.23E1 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
21.01.23E1 Birmingham – Preston 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.103.20 2.63 1.50
03.09.22E1 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.75 2.20 1.66
15.01.22E1 Preston – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
25.09.21E1 Birmingham – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 39 27 4 8 77 35 +42 85
2 Ipswich 39 25 9 5 81 49 +32 84
3 Leeds 39 25 8 6 72 30 +42 83
4 Southampton 37 22 8 7 74 48 +26 74
5 West Brom 39 19 10 10 60 37 +23 67
6 Norwich 40 19 7 14 72 58 +14 64
7 Coventry 38 16 12 10 62 44 +18 60
8 Preston 38 17 8 13 52 54 -2 59
9 Hull 38 16 10 12 53 48 +5 58
10 Middlesbrough 39 16 7 16 54 53 +1 55
11 Cardiff 39 16 5 18 43 53 -10 53
12 Sunderland 39 15 6 18 50 45 +5 51
13 Bristol City 39 14 8 17 43 45 -2 50
14 Watford 39 12 13 14 55 53 +2 49
15 Swansea 39 12 11 16 49 59 -10 47
16 Millwall 39 11 11 17 37 51 -14 44
17 Stoke 39 12 8 19 37 53 -16 44
18 QPR 39 11 10 18 38 51 -13 43
19 Blackburn 39 11 9 19 51 65 -14 42
20 Plymouth 39 10 11 18 55 64 -9 41
21 Birmingham 39 10 9 20 43 61 -18 39
22 Huddersfield 39 8 15 16 43 64 -21 39
23 Sheffield Weds 39 11 6 22 31 62 -31 39
24 Rotherham 39 3 11 25 30 80 -50 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 19 15 4 0 41 12 +29 49
2 Ipswich 19 14 4 1 53 29 +24 46
3 Norwich 20 14 2 4 39 19 +20 44
4 Leicester 19 14 1 4 38 14 +24 43
5 West Brom 19 13 3 3 31 14 +17 42
6 Southampton 19 12 3 4 46 25 +21 39
7 Preston 20 10 4 6 31 31 0 34
8 Coventry 18 8 8 2 29 17 +12 32
9 Sunderland 19 10 1 8 29 22 +7 31
10 Bristol City 20 9 3 8 23 20 +3 30
11 Cardiff 20 9 3 8 23 24 -1 30
12 Plymouth 19 8 4 7 38 33 +5 28
13 Hull 20 7 7 6 27 22 +5 28
14 Birmingham 19 7 6 6 26 24 +2 27
15 Sheffield Weds 20 7 5 8 21 24 -3 26
16 Middlesbrough 19 7 4 8 20 21 -1 25
17 Swansea 19 6 5 8 22 26 -4 23
18 Blackburn 20 6 5 9 26 31 -5 23
19 Millwall 20 6 5 9 17 28 -11 23
20 Watford 20 5 7 8 31 28 +3 22
21 Huddersfield 20 5 7 8 24 31 -7 22
22 Stoke 19 6 4 9 14 24 -10 22
23 QPR 20 5 6 9 23 30 -7 21
24 Rotherham 19 3 7 9 17 24 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 20 13 3 4 39 21 +18 42
2 Ipswich 20 11 5 4 28 20 +8 38
3 Southampton 18 10 5 3 28 23 +5 35
4 Leeds 20 10 4 6 31 18 +13 34
5 Middlesbrough 20 9 3 8 34 32 +2 30
6 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30
7 Coventry 20 8 4 8 33 27 +6 28
8 Watford 19 7 6 6 24 25 -1 27
9 West Brom 20 6 7 7 29 23 +6 25
10 Preston 18 7 4 7 21 23 -2 25
11 Swansea 20 6 6 8 27 33 -6 24
12 Cardiff 19 7 2 10 20 29 -9 23
13 Stoke 20 6 4 10 23 29 -6 22
14 QPR 19 6 4 9 15 21 -6 22
15 Millwall 19 5 6 8 20 23 -3 21
16 Sunderland 20 5 5 10 21 23 -2 20
17 Bristol City 19 5 5 9 20 25 -5 20
18 Norwich 20 5 5 10 33 39 -6 20
19 Blackburn 19 5 4 10 25 34 -9 19
20 Huddersfield 19 3 8 8 19 33 -14 17
21 Plymouth 20 2 7 11 17 31 -14 13
22 Sheffield Weds 19 4 1 14 10 38 -28 13
23 Birmingham 20 3 3 14 17 37 -20 12
24 Rotherham 20 0 4 16 13 56 -43 4

Birmingham   Preston

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 40 14 26 1.8 1.4 19 7 14 72 58 64
2 19 Blackburn 39 13 26 1.3 1.7 11 9 19 51 65 42
3 2 Ipswich 39 14 25 2.1 1.3 25 9 5 81 49 84
4 20 Plymouth 39 15 24 1.4 1.6 10 11 18 55 64 41
5 1 Leicester 39 16 23 2.0 0.9 27 4 8 77 35 85
6 4 Southampton 37 14 23 2.0 1.3 22 8 7 74 48 74
7 8 Preston 38 15 23 1.4 1.4 17 8 13 52 54 59
8 15 Swansea 39 16 23 1.3 1.5 12 11 16 49 59 47
9 7 Coventry 38 16 22 1.6 1.2 16 12 10 62 44 60
10 9 Hull 38 17 21 1.4 1.3 16 10 12 53 48 58
11 24 Rotherham 39 18 21 0.8 2.1 3 11 25 30 80 20
12 3 Leeds 39 19 20 1.8 0.8 25 8 6 72 30 83
13 10 Middlesbrough 39 19 20 1.4 1.4 16 7 16 54 53 55
14 12 Sunderland 39 19 20 1.3 1.2 15 6 18 50 45 51
15 14 Watford 39 19 20 1.4 1.4 12 13 14 55 53 49
16 21 Birmingham 39 20 19 1.1 1.6 10 9 20 43 61 39
17 22 Huddersfield 39 20 19 1.1 1.6 8 15 16 43 64 39
18 11 Cardiff 39 21 18 1.1 1.4 16 5 18 43 53 53
19 18 QPR 39 21 18 1.0 1.3 11 10 18 38 51 43
20 23 Sheffield Weds 39 21 18 0.8 1.6 11 6 22 31 62 39
21 5 West Brom 39 22 17 1.5 0.9 19 10 10 60 37 67
22 17 Stoke 39 23 16 0.9 1.4 12 8 19 37 53 44
23 13 Bristol City 39 24 15 1.1 1.2 14 8 17 43 45 50
24 16 Millwall 39 24 15 0.9 1.3 11 11 17 37 51 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 19 3 16 2.8 1.5 14 4 1 53 29 46
2 8 Preston 20 5 15 1.6 1.6 10 4 6 31 31 34
3 4 Southampton 19 5 14 2.4 1.3 12 3 4 46 25 39
4 20 Plymouth 19 5 14 2.0 1.7 8 4 7 38 33 28
5 3 Leeds 19 7 12 2.2 0.6 15 4 0 41 12 49
6 12 Sunderland 19 7 12 1.5 1.2 10 1 8 29 22 31
7 14 Watford 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 5 7 8 31 28 22
8 19 Blackburn 20 8 12 1.3 1.6 6 5 9 26 31 23
9 1 Leicester 19 8 11 2.0 0.7 14 1 4 38 14 43
10 6 Norwich 20 9 11 1.9 0.9 14 2 4 39 19 44
11 15 Swansea 19 8 11 1.2 1.4 6 5 8 22 26 23
12 18 QPR 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 9 23 30 21
13 22 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.2 1.6 5 7 8 24 31 22
14 21 Birmingham 19 9 10 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 26 24 27
15 23 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 7 5 8 21 24 26
16 7 Coventry 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 8 8 2 29 17 32
17 9 Hull 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 6 27 22 28
18 11 Cardiff 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 9 3 8 23 24 30
19 16 Millwall 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 6 5 9 17 28 23
20 5 West Brom 19 12 7 1.6 0.7 13 3 3 31 14 42
21 17 Stoke 19 12 7 0.7 1.3 6 4 9 14 24 22
22 24 Rotherham 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 3 7 9 17 24 16
23 10 Middlesbrough 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 8 20 21 25
24 13 Bristol City 20 14 6 1.1 1.0 9 3 8 23 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 20 5 15 1.6 1.9 5 5 10 33 39 20
2 7 Coventry 20 6 14 1.6 1.4 8 4 8 33 27 28
3 10 Middlesbrough 20 6 14 1.7 1.6 9 3 8 34 32 30
4 19 Blackburn 19 5 14 1.3 1.8 5 4 10 25 34 19
5 24 Rotherham 20 6 14 0.7 2.8 0 4 16 13 56 4
6 9 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30
7 1 Leicester 20 8 12 1.9 1.1 13 3 4 39 21 42
8 15 Swansea 20 8 12 1.4 1.6 6 6 8 27 33 24
9 5 West Brom 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 6 7 7 29 23 25
10 11 Cardiff 19 9 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 10 20 29 23
11 20 Plymouth 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 2 7 11 17 31 13
12 2 Ipswich 20 11 9 1.4 1.0 11 5 4 28 20 38
13 4 Southampton 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 10 5 3 28 23 35
14 13 Bristol City 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 9 20 25 20
15 17 Stoke 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 10 23 29 22
16 21 Birmingham 20 11 9 0.8 1.9 3 3 14 17 37 12
17 23 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 0.5 2.0 4 1 14 10 38 13
18 3 Leeds 20 12 8 1.6 0.9 10 4 6 31 18 34
19 8 Preston 18 10 8 1.2 1.3 7 4 7 21 23 25
20 12 Sunderland 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 5 5 10 21 23 20
21 14 Watford 19 11 8 1.3 1.3 7 6 6 24 25 27
22 22 Huddersfield 19 11 8 1.0 1.7 3 8 8 19 33 17
23 16 Millwall 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 8 20 23 21
24 18 QPR 19 12 7 0.8 1.1 6 4 9 15 21 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51