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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Linington

Stoke 2–1 Oxford

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.79 fair 2.09
Draw 3.50 fair 3.60
Away 4.50 fair 4.12
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Oxford
21 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 7
11 Fouls 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (405 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.36 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawOxford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.5% 1–1 12.7% 0–0 10.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.09scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 36:31
Oxford before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
0.85scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 28:44
Stoke all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 0.85
0.94 Goals conceded 1.33
2.03 Total goals 2.18
11.00 Shots 11.79
3.76 Shots on target 3.21
12.30 Shots faced 14.30
5.67 Corners 3.64
4.73 Corners against 7.45
10.39 Fouls 10.94
2.00 Yellow cards 1.70
0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.76

How often Full Time

36% Wins 18%
24% Draws 33%
39% Losses 48%
88% Over 0.5 goals 85%
58% Over 1.5 goals 64%
39% Over 2.5 goals 48%
12% Over 3.5 goals 18%
3% Over 4.5 goals 3%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 52%
36% Clean sheets 18%
39% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 24%
42% Draws 36%
24% Losses 39%
58% Over 0.5 goals 76%
18% Over 1.5 goals 39%
9% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Oxford all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.38points / match
1.31scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:16
Oxford before this match, away
0.82points / match
0.88scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 15:22
Stoke at home away Oxford

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded 1.29
2.31 Total goals 2.18
11.88 Shots 9.76
4.19 Shots on target 2.65
10.44 Shots faced 17.12
6.13 Corners 3.12
4.19 Corners against 8.65
10.25 Fouls 11.18
1.94 Yellow cards 1.94
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.65
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

38% Wins 18%
25% Draws 29%
38% Losses 53%
88% Over 0.5 goals 82%
63% Over 1.5 goals 65%
50% Over 2.5 goals 47%
19% Over 3.5 goals 18%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 59%
31% Clean sheets 18%
31% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 24%
31% Draws 41%
19% Losses 35%
69% Over 0.5 goals 71%
13% Over 1.5 goals 41%
13% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Oxford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Stoke – Leicester 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
11.02.26 Charlton – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.573.102.70 2.30 1.62
07.02.26 West Brom – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.30 2.20 1.67
31.01.26 Stoke – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.853.402.30 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Birmingham – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 2.10 1.73
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 Hull – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.323.203.05 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.26 Oxford – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.202.30 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Coventry – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.757.00 1.62 2.30
03.02.26 Sheffield United – Oxford 3–1 (1–1) 1.334.508.50 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Oxford – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 3.403.402.05 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Leicester – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.91 1.91
20.01.26 Oxford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.202.75 2.30 1.62
17.01.26 Oxford – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.00 1.85
01.01.26 Ipswich – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.304.7511.00 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Oxford – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.052.55 2.10 1.73

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Stoke – Leicester 2–2 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
31.01.26 Stoke – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.853.402.30 1.90 1.95
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.252.50 2.05 1.80
26.12.25 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.40 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Stoke – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Stoke – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.623.805.00 1.80 2.00
25.11.25 Stoke – Charlton 3–0 (3–0) 1.683.704.75 2.00 1.80
08.11.25 Stoke – Coventry 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.602.25 1.80 2.00

Oxford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Coventry – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.757.00 1.62 2.30
03.02.26 Sheffield United – Oxford 3–1 (1–1) 1.334.508.50 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Leicester – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.91 1.91
01.01.26 Ipswich – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.304.7511.00 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Charlton – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.50 2.20 1.67
09.12.25 Blackburn – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 1.763.504.75 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Swansea – Oxford 2–0 (2–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.73
25.11.25 Norwich – Oxford 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.10 1.83 2.03
08.11.25 West Brom – Oxford 2–1 (0–0) 1.713.405.00 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsOxford wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25E1 Oxford – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 3.303.052.30 2.10 1.73
25.01.25E1 Stoke – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73
14.09.24E1 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 34 20 8 6 70 37 +33 68
2 Middlesbrough 34 18 9 7 51 34 +17 63
3 Millwall 34 17 8 9 45 40 +5 59
4 Ipswich 32 16 9 7 56 34 +22 57
5 Hull 33 17 6 10 55 48 +7 57
6 Wrexham 34 14 12 8 53 45 +8 54
7 Southampton 34 13 11 10 54 45 +9 50
8 Bristol City 34 14 8 12 47 42 +5 50
9 Preston 34 12 13 9 41 38 +3 49
10 Birmingham 34 13 10 11 45 43 +2 49
11 Derby 34 13 9 12 49 45 +4 48
12 Watford 34 12 12 10 43 40 +3 48
13 QPR 34 13 8 13 46 52 -6 47
14 Swansea 34 13 7 14 40 40 0 46
15 Sheffield United 34 14 3 17 48 48 0 45
16 Stoke 33 12 8 13 36 31 +5 44
17 Norwich 34 12 6 16 45 44 +1 42
18 Charlton 34 10 11 13 33 43 -10 41
19 Leicester 34 10 10 14 47 54 -7 40
20 Portsmouth 33 10 9 14 34 43 -9 39
21 Blackburn 34 10 8 16 32 43 -11 38
22 West Brom 34 9 8 17 33 50 -17 35
23 Oxford 33 6 11 16 28 44 -16 29
24 Sheffield Weds 34 1 8 25 20 68 -48 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 16 12 3 1 34 12 +22 39
2 Ipswich 16 10 5 1 30 12 +18 35
3 Middlesbrough 17 10 5 2 26 12 +14 35
4 Millwall 18 10 3 5 26 21 +5 33
5 Swansea 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
6 Watford 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
7 Birmingham 16 8 7 1 30 15 +15 31
8 Southampton 17 8 6 3 26 14 +12 30
9 Wrexham 18 8 6 4 33 28 +5 30
10 Hull 18 9 3 6 28 28 0 30
11 Preston 17 7 6 4 22 18 +4 27
12 Sheffield United 17 8 2 7 28 20 +8 26
13 QPR 16 8 2 6 29 24 +5 26
14 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 27 22 +5 25
15 Charlton 16 7 4 5 17 17 0 25
16 West Brom 17 6 6 5 19 22 -3 24
17 Stoke 16 6 4 6 21 16 +5 22
18 Portsmouth 16 6 4 6 18 16 +2 22
19 Leicester 16 6 4 6 23 23 0 22
20 Derby 17 5 6 6 21 23 -2 21
21 Norwich 17 6 1 10 19 22 -3 19
22 Blackburn 18 4 5 9 17 24 -7 17
23 Oxford 16 3 6 7 13 22 -9 15
24 Sheffield Weds 17 0 4 13 8 35 -27 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 18 8 5 5 36 25 +11 29
2 Middlesbrough 17 8 4 5 25 22 +3 28
3 Hull 15 8 3 4 27 20 +7 27
4 Derby 17 8 3 6 28 22 +6 27
5 Millwall 16 7 5 4 19 19 0 26
6 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 20 20 0 25
7 Wrexham 16 6 6 4 20 17 +3 24
8 Norwich 17 6 5 6 26 22 +4 23
9 Ipswich 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22
10 Stoke 17 6 4 7 15 15 0 22
11 Preston 17 5 7 5 19 20 -1 22
12 Blackburn 16 6 3 7 15 19 -4 21
13 QPR 18 5 6 7 17 28 -11 21
14 Southampton 17 5 5 7 28 31 -3 20
15 Sheffield United 17 6 1 10 20 28 -8 19
16 Leicester 18 4 6 8 24 31 -7 18
17 Birmingham 18 5 3 10 15 28 -13 18
18 Portsmouth 17 4 5 8 16 27 -11 17
19 Watford 16 3 7 6 17 21 -4 16
20 Charlton 18 3 7 8 16 26 -10 16
21 Oxford 17 3 5 9 15 22 -7 14
22 Swansea 16 4 2 10 14 21 -7 14
23 West Brom 17 3 2 12 14 28 -14 11
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 4 12 12 33 -21 7

Stoke   Oxford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 33 11 22 1.7 1.5 17 6 10 55 48 57
2 13 QPR 34 12 22 1.4 1.5 13 8 13 46 52 47
3 19 Leicester 34 12 22 1.4 1.6 10 10 14 47 54 40
4 1 Coventry 34 13 21 2.1 1.1 20 8 6 70 37 68
5 7 Southampton 34 14 20 1.6 1.3 13 11 10 54 45 50
6 15 Sheffield United 34 14 20 1.4 1.4 14 3 17 48 48 45
7 24 Sheffield Weds 34 15 19 0.6 2.0 1 8 25 20 68 11
8 2 Middlesbrough 34 16 18 1.5 1.0 18 9 7 51 34 63
9 3 Millwall 34 17 17 1.3 1.2 17 8 9 45 40 59
10 4 Ipswich 32 15 17 1.8 1.1 16 9 7 56 34 57
11 10 Birmingham 34 17 17 1.3 1.3 13 10 11 45 43 49
12 11 Derby 34 17 17 1.4 1.3 13 9 12 49 45 48
13 17 Norwich 34 17 17 1.3 1.3 12 6 16 45 44 42
14 6 Wrexham 34 18 16 1.6 1.3 14 12 8 53 45 54
15 8 Bristol City 34 18 16 1.4 1.2 14 8 12 47 42 50
16 22 West Brom 34 18 16 1.0 1.5 9 8 17 33 50 35
17 23 Oxford 33 17 16 0.8 1.3 6 11 16 28 44 29
18 12 Watford 34 19 15 1.3 1.2 12 12 10 43 40 48
19 14 Swansea 34 19 15 1.2 1.2 13 7 14 40 40 46
20 20 Portsmouth 33 18 15 1.0 1.3 10 9 14 34 43 39
21 9 Preston 34 20 14 1.2 1.1 12 13 9 41 38 49
22 21 Blackburn 34 20 14 0.9 1.3 10 8 16 32 43 38
23 16 Stoke 33 20 13 1.1 0.9 12 8 13 36 31 44
24 18 Charlton 34 21 13 1.0 1.3 10 11 13 33 43 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 QPR 16 3 13 1.8 1.5 8 2 6 29 24 26
2 15 Sheffield United 17 5 12 1.6 1.2 8 2 7 28 20 26
3 5 Hull 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 9 3 6 28 28 30
4 3 Millwall 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 10 3 5 26 21 33
5 6 Wrexham 18 8 10 1.8 1.6 8 6 4 33 28 30
6 1 Coventry 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 1 34 12 39
7 4 Ipswich 16 7 9 1.9 0.8 10 5 1 30 12 35
8 8 Bristol City 17 8 9 1.6 1.3 7 4 6 27 22 25
9 19 Leicester 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 4 6 23 23 22
10 24 Sheffield Weds 17 8 9 0.5 2.1 0 4 13 8 35 4
11 2 Middlesbrough 17 9 8 1.5 0.7 10 5 2 26 12 35
12 7 Southampton 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 6 3 26 14 30
13 9 Preston 17 9 8 1.3 1.1 7 6 4 22 18 27
14 10 Birmingham 16 8 8 1.9 0.9 8 7 1 30 15 31
15 12 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
16 14 Swansea 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
17 16 Stoke 16 8 8 1.3 1.0 6 4 6 21 16 22
18 17 Norwich 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 10 19 22 19
19 23 Oxford 16 8 8 0.8 1.4 3 6 7 13 22 15
20 20 Portsmouth 16 9 7 1.1 1.0 6 4 6 18 16 22
21 21 Blackburn 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 4 5 9 17 24 17
22 22 West Brom 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 19 22 24
23 11 Derby 17 11 6 1.2 1.4 5 6 6 21 23 21
24 18 Charlton 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 17 17 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leicester 18 5 13 1.3 1.7 4 6 8 24 31 18
2 1 Coventry 18 6 12 2.0 1.4 8 5 5 36 25 29
3 7 Southampton 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 5 7 28 31 20
4 5 Hull 15 4 11 1.8 1.3 8 3 4 27 20 27
5 11 Derby 17 6 11 1.6 1.3 8 3 6 28 22 27
6 2 Middlesbrough 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 8 4 5 25 22 28
7 24 Sheffield Weds 17 7 10 0.7 1.9 1 4 12 12 33 7
8 10 Birmingham 18 9 9 0.8 1.6 5 3 10 15 28 18
9 13 QPR 18 9 9 0.9 1.6 5 6 7 17 28 21
10 17 Norwich 17 8 9 1.5 1.3 6 5 6 26 22 23
11 22 West Brom 17 8 9 0.8 1.6 3 2 12 14 28 11
12 4 Ipswich 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22
13 15 Sheffield United 17 9 8 1.2 1.6 6 1 10 20 28 19
14 20 Portsmouth 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 4 5 8 16 27 17
15 23 Oxford 17 9 8 0.9 1.3 3 5 9 15 22 14
16 3 Millwall 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 5 4 19 19 26
17 8 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 4 6 20 20 25
18 12 Watford 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 3 7 6 17 21 16
19 14 Swansea 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 4 2 10 14 21 14
20 18 Charlton 18 11 7 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 16 26 16
21 21 Blackburn 16 9 7 0.9 1.2 6 3 7 15 19 21
22 6 Wrexham 16 10 6 1.2 1.1 6 6 4 20 17 24
23 9 Preston 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 7 5 19 20 22
24 16 Stoke 17 12 5 0.9 0.9 6 4 7 15 15 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40