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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Burnley 1–0 Swansea

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 2.04
Draw 3.50 fair 3.39
Away 3.90 fair 4.65
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.47
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 3.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Swansea
2 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 1
13 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (179 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.26 – 0.73
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 17.3% 0–0 13.8% 1–1 12.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.21scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:6
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
0.79scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:9
Burnley all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 0.79
0.43 Goals conceded 0.64
1.64 Total goals 1.43
11.79 Shots 10.93
3.21 Shots on target 3.14
9.64 Shots faced 11.36
5.43 Corners 5.79
3.50 Corners against 5.71
14.29 Fouls 9.57
2.29 Yellow cards 1.93
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

43% Wins 36%
43% Draws 29%
14% Losses 36%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 36%
21% Over 2.5 goals 21%
14% Over 3.5 goals 0%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 29%
57% Clean sheets 36%
43% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 50%
43% Draws 21%
21% Losses 29%
64% Over 0.5 goals 79%
21% Over 1.5 goals 7%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Swansea all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:2
Swansea before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.57scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:6
Burnley at home away Swansea

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.57
0.33 Goals conceded 0.86
1.83 Total goals 1.43
14.00 Shots 9.71
3.17 Shots on target 2.14
7.33 Shots faced 13.71
6.67 Corners 6.57
2.00 Corners against 5.14
13.33 Fouls 7.86
2.00 Yellow cards 2.43
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

50% Wins 29%
50% Draws 14%
0% Losses 57%
67% Over 0.5 goals 86%
50% Over 1.5 goals 29%
33% Over 2.5 goals 29%
17% Over 3.5 goals 0%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 29%
67% Clean sheets 14%
33% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 29%
50% Draws 14%
17% Losses 57%
67% Over 0.5 goals 86%
33% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.24 West Brom – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.25 2.38 1.57
03.11.24 Millwall – Burnley 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.75 1.44
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Burnley 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.20 1.67
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80
01.10.24 Burnley – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Burnley – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Swansea – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.88 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 2.03 1.83
19.10.24 Blackburn – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
02.10.24 Sheffield United – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.85 2.00
29.09.24 Swansea – Bristol City 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.702.80 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Coventry – Swansea 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.605.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Swansea – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.00 1.88 1.98

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80
01.10.24 Burnley – Plymouth 1–0 (1–0) 1.424.756.50 1.57 2.38
21.09.24 Burnley – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 Burnley – Blackburn 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.603.80 1.80 2.00
17.08.24 Burnley – Cardiff 5–0 (2–0) 1.454.207.00 1.73 2.08
19.05.24E0 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.53 2.50
04.05.24E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
13.04.24E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
02.04.24E0 Burnley – Wolves 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.602.75 1.84 2.06

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 2.03 1.83
19.10.24 Blackburn – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
02.10.24 Sheffield United – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.85 2.00
21.09.24 Coventry – Swansea 1–2 (1–2) 1.703.605.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.24 West Brom – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.50 1.98 1.88
10.08.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.504.33 1.73 2.08
27.04.24 Norwich – Swansea 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Huddersfield – Swansea 0–4 (0–0) 2.103.603.40 1.93 1.93
06.04.24 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsSwansea wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.23E1 Swansea – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.402.38 2.05 1.80
15.10.22E1 Burnley – Swansea 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.754.60 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 15 10 3 2 19 7 +12 33
2 Sunderland 15 9 4 2 25 11 +14 31
3 Leeds 15 8 5 2 24 9 +15 29
4 West Brom 15 6 7 2 16 9 +7 25
5 Watford 15 8 1 6 23 22 +1 25
6 Burnley 14 6 6 2 17 6 +11 24
7 Middlesbrough 15 7 3 5 23 17 +6 24
8 Millwall 15 6 5 4 18 13 +5 23
9 Blackburn 15 6 4 5 19 17 +2 22
10 Bristol City 15 5 7 3 20 19 +1 22
11 Swansea 14 5 4 5 11 9 +2 19
12 Derby 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
13 Stoke 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
14 Norwich 15 4 6 5 23 22 +1 18
15 Sheffield Weds 15 5 3 7 17 25 -8 18
16 Oxford 15 4 5 6 17 18 -1 17
17 Coventry 15 4 4 7 20 21 -1 16
18 Plymouth 15 4 4 7 15 26 -11 16
19 Hull 15 3 6 6 16 20 -4 15
20 Preston 15 3 6 6 15 23 -8 15
21 Luton 15 4 3 8 17 26 -9 15
22 Cardiff 15 4 3 8 14 23 -9 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 28 -12 12
24 QPR 15 1 7 7 12 25 -13 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 8 6 1 1 17 5 +12 19
2 Watford 7 6 1 0 12 4 +8 19
3 Sheffield United 7 6 1 0 10 2 +8 19
4 Sunderland 7 5 2 0 14 4 +10 17
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
8 Derby 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14
9 Plymouth 7 4 2 1 13 9 +4 14
10 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
11 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
12 Stoke 8 3 3 2 15 11 +4 12
13 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
14 Cardiff 8 4 0 4 11 10 +1 12
15 Preston 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
16 Luton 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
17 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 12 13 -1 11
18 Norwich 7 2 4 1 15 10 +5 10
19 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
20 West Brom 7 2 4 1 2 1 +1 10
21 Coventry 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
22 Hull 8 1 4 3 8 9 -1 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 8 4 3 1 14 8 +6 15
2 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
3 Sheffield United 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14
4 Burnley 8 3 3 2 8 4 +4 12
5 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
6 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
7 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Millwall 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7
11 Coventry 8 1 4 3 8 10 -2 7
12 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
13 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
14 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 5 12 -7 7
15 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
16 QPR 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
17 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 18 -7 6
18 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
19 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
20 Luton 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
21 Preston 7 0 3 4 7 16 -9 3
22 Cardiff 7 0 3 4 3 13 -10 3
23 Oxford 7 0 2 5 7 13 -6 2
24 Plymouth 8 0 2 6 2 17 -15 2

Burnley   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 8 1 6 23 22 25
2 17 Coventry 15 6 9 1.3 1.4 4 4 7 20 21 16
3 21 Luton 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 4 3 8 17 26 15
4 23 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 2 6 7 16 28 12
5 15 Sheffield Weds 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 5 3 7 17 25 18
6 20 Preston 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 6 6 15 23 15
7 2 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 9 4 2 25 11 31
8 9 Blackburn 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 19 17 22
9 10 Bristol City 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 7 3 20 19 22
10 14 Norwich 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 4 6 5 23 22 18
11 18 Plymouth 15 8 7 1.0 1.7 4 4 7 15 26 16
12 7 Middlesbrough 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 23 17 24
13 12 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
14 13 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
15 16 Oxford 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 6 17 18 17
16 24 QPR 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 1 7 7 12 25 10
17 3 Leeds 15 10 5 1.6 0.6 8 5 2 24 9 29
18 4 West Brom 15 10 5 1.1 0.6 6 7 2 16 9 25
19 19 Hull 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 6 16 20 15
20 22 Cardiff 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 4 3 8 14 23 15
21 8 Millwall 15 11 4 1.2 0.9 6 5 4 18 13 23
22 6 Burnley 14 11 3 1.2 0.4 6 6 2 17 6 24
23 11 Swansea 14 11 3 0.8 0.6 5 4 5 11 9 19
24 1 Sheffield United 15 13 2 1.3 0.5 10 3 2 19 7 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Coventry 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
2 21 Luton 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
3 13 Stoke 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 3 3 2 15 11 12
4 3 Leeds 8 4 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 1 17 5 19
5 5 Watford 7 3 4 1.7 0.6 6 1 0 12 4 19
6 14 Norwich 7 3 4 2.1 1.4 2 4 1 15 10 10
7 18 Plymouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 4 2 1 13 9 14
8 23 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
9 24 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
10 2 Sunderland 7 4 3 2.0 0.6 5 2 0 14 4 17
11 7 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
12 8 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
13 9 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
14 10 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
15 15 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 2 3 12 13 11
16 20 Preston 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
17 22 Cardiff 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 4 11 10 12
18 6 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
19 12 Derby 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14
20 16 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
21 19 Hull 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 3 8 9 7
22 1 Sheffield United 7 6 1 1.4 0.3 6 1 0 10 2 19
23 11 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
24 4 West Brom 7 7 0 0.3 0.1 2 4 1 2 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 8 2 6 1.4 2.2 2 0 6 11 18 6
2 4 West Brom 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 4 3 1 14 8 15
3 15 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 0.7 1.7 2 1 4 5 12 7
4 20 Preston 7 2 5 1.0 2.3 0 3 4 7 16 3
5 23 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
6 2 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
7 9 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 1 3 3 7 10 6
8 10 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 3 2 11 11 12
9 12 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
10 16 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 0 2 5 7 13 2
11 7 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
12 14 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 17 Coventry 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 1 4 3 8 10 7
14 18 Plymouth 8 5 3 0.2 2.1 0 2 6 2 17 2
15 19 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
16 21 Luton 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
17 11 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
18 22 Cardiff 7 5 2 0.4 1.9 0 3 4 3 13 3
19 24 QPR 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
20 1 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14
21 3 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
22 6 Burnley 8 7 1 1.0 0.5 3 3 2 8 4 12
23 8 Millwall 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 1 4 2 6 7 7
24 13 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06