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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Attwell

Southampton 4–2 Sunderland

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.97
Draw 4.50 fair 4.25
Away 7.00 fair 3.88
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Sunderland
21 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 2
13 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawSunderland
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.97scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 69:45
Sunderland before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.28scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 46:41
Southampton all matches all matches Sunderland

Per match

1.97 Goals scored 1.28
1.29 Goals conceded 1.14
3.26 Total goals 2.42
15.77 Shots 14.89
5.94 Shots on target 4.92
11.11 Shots faced 11.06
8.00 Corners 6.44
4.26 Corners against 4.25
10.03 Fouls 9.92
2.37 Yellow cards 2.03
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

60% Wins 39%
20% Draws 14%
20% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
86% Over 1.5 goals 69%
63% Over 2.5 goals 53%
37% Over 3.5 goals 22%
17% Over 4.5 goals 3%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
66% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 22%
6% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 22%
31% Draws 50%
23% Losses 28%
77% Over 0.5 goals 69%
43% Over 1.5 goals 39%
20% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Sunderland all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
2.06points / match
2.41scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 41:22
Sunderland before this match, away
0.94points / match
0.94scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 17:19
Southampton at home away Sunderland

Per match

2.41 Goals scored 0.94
1.29 Goals conceded 1.06
3.71 Total goals 2.00
16.06 Shots 14.83
6.47 Shots on target 4.50
10.41 Shots faced 11.50
8.00 Corners 6.61
3.53 Corners against 4.00
9.65 Fouls 9.17
2.71 Yellow cards 2.39
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

65% Wins 22%
12% Draws 28%
24% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
88% Over 1.5 goals 61%
76% Over 2.5 goals 39%
47% Over 3.5 goals 11%
24% Over 4.5 goals 0%
12% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 22%
6% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 17%
18% Draws 56%
35% Losses 28%
88% Over 0.5 goals 67%
53% Over 1.5 goals 39%
24% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Sunderland away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Birmingham – Southampton 3–4 (2–1) 4.003.801.85 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
16.02.24 West Brom – Southampton 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.30 1.75 2.05
13.02.24 Bristol City – Southampton 3–1 (0–0) 4.203.601.80 1.93 1.93
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
03.02.24 Rotherham – Southampton 0–2 (0–2) 9.505.001.33 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Swansea – Southampton 1–3 (1–3) 5.004.001.67 1.65 2.20
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
01.01.24 Norwich – Southampton 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.70 2.10

Sunderland all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.24 Sunderland – Leicester 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Norwich – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.83 2.03
24.02.24 Sunderland – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.75 1.85 2.00
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
14.02.24 Huddersfield – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Sunderland – Plymouth 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.25
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
27.01.24 Sunderland – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.80 2.05 1.80
19.01.24 Sunderland – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 1.98 1.88
13.01.24 Ipswich – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 2.00 1.85

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Southampton – Huddersfield 5–3 (0–2) 1.305.5010.00 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Southampton – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.00 1.70 2.10
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88
26.12.23 Southampton – Swansea 5–0 (1–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
16.12.23 Southampton – Blackburn 4–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Southampton – Cardiff 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.005.25 1.80 2.00
29.11.23 Southampton – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.73 2.08
11.11.23 Southampton – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.90 1.95

Sunderland away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Norwich – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.83 2.03
17.02.24 Birmingham – Sunderland 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.03 1.83
14.02.24 Huddersfield – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.05 1.75
04.02.24 Middlesbrough – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.85 2.00
13.01.24 Ipswich – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 2.00 1.85
29.12.23 Rotherham – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 6.504.201.53 1.93 1.93
26.12.23 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.302.90 1.95 1.90
16.12.23 Bristol City – Sunderland 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.25 2.03 1.83
02.12.23 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 1.98 1.88
25.11.23 Plymouth – Sunderland 2–0 (2–0) 3.403.752.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsSunderland wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23E1 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 36 26 3 7 72 31 +41 81 WWLLLW
2 Leeds 37 24 7 6 68 28 +40 79 WWWDWW
3 Ipswich 37 23 9 5 74 49 +25 78 WWWWWL
4 Southampton 35 21 7 7 69 45 +24 70 WLWLLW
5 West Brom 36 17 9 10 53 35 +18 60 WLWDWD
6 Hull 36 16 9 11 51 44 +7 57 WWWDDD
7 Norwich 36 16 7 13 61 54 +7 55 DWWDWL
8 Coventry 36 14 12 10 57 42 +15 54 WDWLLW
9 Preston 35 15 8 12 47 52 -5 53 WWWDWD
10 Cardiff 37 16 5 16 43 49 -6 53 LDWWWW
11 Sunderland 36 14 5 17 46 41 +5 47 WLLLLL
12 Middlesbrough 35 14 5 16 50 52 -2 47 LLWLLW
13 Watford 36 11 12 13 51 49 +2 45 LLWLLD
14 Bristol City 36 12 8 16 41 43 -2 44 WWLLLL
15 Swansea 36 11 10 15 46 57 -11 43 WLLWWD
16 Plymouth 36 10 10 16 53 60 -7 40 DLLWLL
17 Blackburn 36 11 7 18 50 63 -13 40 LDDDLD
18 Millwall 36 10 10 16 35 48 -13 40 LLLWWD
19 QPR 36 10 9 17 36 48 -12 39 DLWWWD
20 Birmingham 35 10 9 16 42 56 -14 39 LWWLLD
21 Huddersfield 36 8 14 14 41 57 -16 38 LWLWDL
22 Stoke 36 10 8 18 33 49 -16 38 LWLLWL
23 Sheffield Weds 37 11 5 21 30 55 -25 38 LWWWWL
24 Rotherham 36 3 10 23 30 72 -42 19 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 18 14 4 0 39 12 +27 46 WWWWWW
2 Ipswich 18 13 4 1 47 29 +18 43 DWDWWW
3 Leicester 18 13 1 4 35 13 +22 40 WDWWLL
4 West Brom 18 12 3 3 29 14 +15 39 WWWWLW
5 Norwich 18 12 2 4 32 18 +14 38 DWWWWW
6 Southampton 17 11 2 4 41 22 +19 35 WWWWLL
7 Coventry 18 8 8 2 29 17 +12 32 DWDWLW
8 Preston 18 9 4 5 27 29 -2 31 LWWWDD
9 Sunderland 18 10 0 8 29 22 +7 30 WLWWLL
10 Cardiff 19 9 3 7 23 22 +1 30 LLDWWW
11 Plymouth 18 8 4 6 38 32 +6 28 DWDLLL
12 Hull 18 7 6 5 25 18 +7 27 WLWLDD
13 Birmingham 17 7 6 4 26 22 +4 27 LDDWWL
14 Sheffield Weds 19 7 4 8 20 23 -3 25 LDWWWL
15 Bristol City 18 7 3 8 21 20 +1 24 LDLWLL
16 Middlesbrough 18 7 3 8 20 21 -1 24 LDDLLW
17 Huddersfield 18 5 7 6 22 24 -2 22 LDWWLD
18 Blackburn 18 6 4 8 25 29 -4 22 DDLWDD
19 Stoke 18 6 4 8 14 21 -7 22 DLLWLW
20 Watford 18 5 6 7 28 24 +4 21 LDLLLD
21 Swansea 18 5 5 8 20 26 -6 20 WLLLLW
22 Millwall 18 5 4 9 15 27 -12 19 WLDLLW
23 QPR 18 4 6 8 21 27 -6 18 LWDDWD
24 Rotherham 18 3 6 9 17 24 -7 15 DLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 18 13 2 3 37 18 +19 41 WLWWLW
2 Ipswich 19 10 5 4 27 20 +7 35 DLWWWL
3 Southampton 18 10 5 3 28 23 +5 35 DWWLWW
4 Leeds 19 10 3 6 29 16 +13 33 WWWWDW
5 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30 LWWWWD
6 Watford 18 6 6 6 23 25 -2 24 WDDLWL
7 Middlesbrough 17 7 2 8 30 31 -1 23 LWWLWL
8 Swansea 18 6 5 7 26 31 -5 23 DDLWWD
9 Cardiff 18 7 2 9 20 27 -7 23 WLWLLW
10 Coventry 18 6 4 8 28 25 +3 22 WWLDWL
11 Preston 17 6 4 7 20 23 -3 22 LLLDWW
12 West Brom 18 5 6 7 24 21 +3 21 LLDWDD
13 Millwall 18 5 6 7 20 21 -1 21 WLLLWD
14 QPR 18 6 3 9 15 21 -6 21 LDWLWW
15 Bristol City 18 5 5 8 20 23 -3 20 DLDWLL
16 Blackburn 18 5 3 10 25 34 -9 18 LLLDDL
17 Sunderland 18 4 5 9 17 19 -2 17 DLDLLL
18 Norwich 18 4 5 9 29 36 -7 17 LWLDDL
19 Stoke 18 4 4 10 19 28 -9 16 DWLLLL
20 Huddersfield 18 3 7 8 19 33 -14 16 LDDLWL
21 Sheffield Weds 18 4 1 13 10 32 -22 13 WLLLWW
22 Plymouth 18 2 6 10 15 28 -13 12 LDWLWL
23 Birmingham 18 3 3 12 16 34 -18 12 LWLLLD
24 Rotherham 18 0 4 14 13 48 -35 4 DDLLLL

Southampton   Sunderland

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Blackburn 36 10 26 1.4 1.8 11 7 18 50 63 40 UOUUOU
2 3 Ipswich 37 13 24 2.0 1.3 23 9 5 74 49 78 OOOUOO
3 15 Swansea 36 13 23 1.3 1.6 11 10 15 46 57 43 UOOOOU
4 16 Plymouth 36 13 23 1.5 1.7 10 10 16 53 60 40 OUOUUU
5 4 Southampton 35 13 22 2.0 1.3 21 7 7 69 45 70 OOUOOO
6 7 Norwich 36 14 22 1.7 1.5 16 7 13 61 54 55 OOOUUO
7 1 Leicester 36 15 21 2.0 0.9 26 3 7 72 31 81 OUOOOU
8 9 Preston 35 14 21 1.3 1.5 15 8 12 47 52 53 OUOOOU
9 6 Hull 36 16 20 1.4 1.2 16 9 11 51 44 57 OOOUUU
10 8 Coventry 36 16 20 1.6 1.2 14 12 10 57 42 54 OOUOOO
11 12 Middlesbrough 35 15 20 1.4 1.5 14 5 16 50 52 47 OOOUUO
12 2 Leeds 37 18 19 1.8 0.8 24 7 6 68 28 79 OUOUUU
13 11 Sunderland 36 17 19 1.3 1.1 14 5 17 46 41 47 OUOOUU
14 24 Rotherham 36 17 19 0.8 2.0 3 10 23 30 72 19 OUOOUO
15 10 Cardiff 37 19 18 1.2 1.3 16 5 16 43 49 53 OUOUUO
16 13 Watford 36 18 18 1.4 1.4 11 12 13 51 49 45 OOUOUU
17 20 Birmingham 35 17 18 1.2 1.6 10 9 16 42 56 39 UUOOOU
18 19 QPR 36 19 17 1.0 1.3 10 9 17 36 48 39 OUUOOO
19 21 Huddersfield 36 19 17 1.1 1.6 8 14 14 41 57 38 OUOOUU
20 23 Sheffield Weds 37 20 17 0.8 1.5 11 5 21 30 55 38 UUOUUU
21 5 West Brom 36 20 16 1.5 1.0 17 9 10 53 35 60 UUOUOO
22 14 Bristol City 36 21 15 1.1 1.2 12 8 16 41 43 44 OOUOUO
23 18 Millwall 36 21 15 1.0 1.3 10 10 16 35 48 40 OOUOUU
24 22 Stoke 36 22 14 0.9 1.4 10 8 18 33 49 38 OUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Ipswich 18 3 15 2.6 1.6 13 4 1 47 29 43 UOOOOO
2 16 Plymouth 18 4 14 2.1 1.8 8 4 6 38 32 28 OOOUOU
3 4 Southampton 17 4 13 2.4 1.3 11 2 4 41 22 35 OOOOOO
4 9 Preston 18 5 13 1.5 1.6 9 4 5 27 29 31 UUOOOU
5 2 Leeds 18 6 12 2.2 0.7 14 4 0 39 12 46 OOUOOU
6 11 Sunderland 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 10 0 8 29 22 30 UUOOOU
7 17 Blackburn 18 6 12 1.4 1.6 6 4 8 25 29 22 OUOOUU
8 15 Swansea 18 7 11 1.1 1.4 5 5 8 20 26 20 UOUOOO
9 1 Leicester 18 8 10 1.9 0.7 13 1 4 35 13 40 OUOUOO
10 13 Watford 18 8 10 1.6 1.3 5 6 7 28 24 21 OUUOOU
11 19 QPR 18 8 10 1.2 1.5 4 6 8 21 27 18 OUUOOO
12 20 Birmingham 17 7 10 1.5 1.3 7 6 4 26 22 27 OUOUOO
13 7 Norwich 18 9 9 1.8 1.0 12 2 4 32 18 38 UUOOOU
14 21 Huddersfield 18 9 9 1.2 1.3 5 7 6 22 24 22 OUOUOU
15 23 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 1.1 1.2 7 4 8 20 23 25 OUUOUU
16 8 Coventry 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 8 8 2 29 17 32 OOOOOO
17 10 Cardiff 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 9 3 7 23 22 30 OUUOUO
18 18 Millwall 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 4 9 15 27 19 UOUOUU
19 5 West Brom 18 11 7 1.6 0.8 12 3 3 29 14 39 UOUUUO
20 6 Hull 18 11 7 1.4 1.0 7 6 5 25 18 27 OOUUUU
21 24 Rotherham 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 3 6 9 17 24 15 UUUOUU
22 12 Middlesbrough 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 7 3 8 20 21 24 OUUOUO
23 14 Bristol City 18 12 6 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 20 24 UUUOUU
24 22 Stoke 18 12 6 0.8 1.2 6 4 8 14 21 22 UOOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 12 Middlesbrough 17 3 14 1.8 1.8 7 2 8 30 31 23 UOOOOU
2 17 Blackburn 18 4 14 1.4 1.9 5 3 10 25 34 18 OOUOUO
3 6 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30 OUOOOU
4 7 Norwich 18 5 13 1.6 2.0 4 5 9 29 36 17 UOUOUO
5 8 Coventry 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 4 8 28 25 22 OOOOUO
6 15 Swansea 18 6 12 1.4 1.7 6 5 7 26 31 23 OOOUOU
7 24 Rotherham 18 6 12 0.7 2.7 0 4 14 13 48 4 OUOOOO
8 1 Leicester 18 7 11 2.1 1.0 13 2 3 37 18 41 UOOOOU
9 10 Cardiff 18 8 10 1.1 1.5 7 2 9 20 27 23 OOUUOU
10 3 Ipswich 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 4 27 20 35 UOOOUO
11 4 Southampton 18 9 9 1.6 1.3 10 5 3 28 23 35 UOUOUO
12 5 West Brom 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 5 6 7 24 21 21 UUOOUO
13 14 Bristol City 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 8 20 23 20 UUOOOO
14 16 Plymouth 18 9 9 0.8 1.6 2 6 10 15 28 12 OUUOUU
15 9 Preston 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 20 23 22 OUOUUO
16 13 Watford 18 10 8 1.3 1.4 6 6 6 23 25 24 OUUOUU
17 20 Birmingham 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 3 3 12 16 34 12 OOUUOU
18 21 Huddersfield 18 10 8 1.1 1.8 3 7 8 19 33 16 OUUOOU
19 22 Stoke 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 4 10 19 28 16 UUOOOU
20 23 Sheffield Weds 18 10 8 0.6 1.8 4 1 13 10 32 13 UOOUUU
21 2 Leeds 19 12 7 1.5 0.8 10 3 6 29 16 33 OUOUUU
22 11 Sunderland 18 11 7 0.9 1.1 4 5 9 17 19 17 UOUUOU
23 18 Millwall 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 20 21 21 UUUOOU
24 19 QPR 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 6 3 9 15 21 21 UUOUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10