Cardiff 1–3 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 11 Feb 2023

Match facts

Cardiff Middlesbrough

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 4

9 Fouls 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (351 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

31% 28% 41%

CardiffDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

26% 2

21% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 0–1 12.2% 1–0 10.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

0.97points / match

0.70scored / match

1.10conceded / match

7 8 15

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 21:33

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.60points / match

1.57scored / match

1.17conceded / match

14 6 10

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 47:35

Cardiff all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

0.70 Goals scored 1.57

1.10 Goals conceded 1.17

1.80 Total goals 2.73

11.57 Shots 12.47

3.00 Shots on target 4.13

11.07 Shots faced 9.77

4.87 Corners 6.17

4.87 Corners against 4.03

9.63 Fouls 10.13

1.90 Yellow cards 2.10

0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

23% Wins 47%

27% Draws 20%

50% Losses 33%

87% Over 0.5 goals 93%

47% Over 1.5 goals 77%

27% Over 2.5 goals 60%

13% Over 3.5 goals 30%

7% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

33% Both teams scored 60%

30% Clean sheets 27%

50% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 30%

60% Draws 40%

27% Losses 30%

47% Over 0.5 goals 80%

17% Over 1.5 goals 37%

7% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

1

L

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

D

1

L

1

L

1

L

Middlesbrough all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

4

1

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

W

2

L

2

W

3

W

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.13points / match

0.73scored / match

0.87conceded / match

4 5 6

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 11:13

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.27points / match

1.60scored / match

1.53conceded / match

6 1 8

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:23

Cardiff at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

0.73 Goals scored 1.60

0.87 Goals conceded 1.53

1.60 Total goals 3.13

14.60 Shots 11.87

3.27 Shots on target 3.87

9.53 Shots faced 10.73

5.73 Corners 5.67

4.00 Corners against 3.67

9.13 Fouls 10.27

1.67 Yellow cards 2.07

0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

27% Wins 40%

33% Draws 7%

40% Losses 53%

87% Over 0.5 goals 100%

40% Over 1.5 goals 87%

20% Over 2.5 goals 73%

7% Over 3.5 goals 40%

7% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

40% Both teams scored 67%

40% Clean sheets 7%

33% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 13%

67% Draws 47%

20% Losses 40%

40% Over 0.5 goals 80%

7% Over 1.5 goals 33%

0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

1

W

1

L

1

W

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

1

L

Middlesbrough away

2

L

4

1

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

3

1

W

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.02.23	Hull – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Cardiff – Wigan	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.30	1.62
01.01.23	Blackburn – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Coventry – Cardiff	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Cardiff – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
17.12.22	Cardiff – Blackpool	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
10.12.22	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.02	1.83

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.02.23	Middlesbrough – Blackpool	3–0 (1–0)	1.53	4.00	6.50	1.80	2.00
28.01.23	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
22.01.23	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	2–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.50	2.02	1.83
14.01.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
02.01.23	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.20	2.38	2.10	1.73
26.12.22	Middlesbrough – Wigan	4–1 (1–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.02	1.83
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88
10.12.22	Middlesbrough – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.02	1.83
12.11.22	Norwich – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	1.95	1.90

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Cardiff – Wigan	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.30	1.62
26.12.22	Cardiff – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
17.12.22	Cardiff – Blackpool	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.02	1.83
08.11.22	Cardiff – Hull	2–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.25	3.80	2.20	1.66
02.11.22	Cardiff – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.72
29.10.22	Cardiff – Rotherham	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.25	4.33	2.20	1.66
15.10.22	Cardiff – Coventry	0–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.72
04.10.22	Cardiff – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.20	1.66

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.01.23	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	2–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.40	2.50	2.02	1.83
02.01.23	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.20	2.38	2.10	1.73
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88
12.11.22	Norwich – Middlesbrough	1–2 (1–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	1.95	1.90
08.11.22	Blackpool – Middlesbrough	0–3 (0–1)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.02	1.83
01.11.22	Hull – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–1)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.20	1.66
29.10.22	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.00	2.75	2.30	1.61
19.10.22	Wigan – Middlesbrough	1–4 (1–1)	2.80	3.25	2.60	2.30	1.61
08.10.22	Millwall – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.20	1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Cardiff winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.09.22E1	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–3 (0–3)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.10	1.72
27.04.22E1	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	2.05	1.80
23.10.21E1	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	29	19	8	2	58	26	+32	65
2	Sheffield United	29	17	7	5	48	24	+24	58
3	Middlesbrough	30	14	6	10	47	35	+12	48
4	Luton	29	13	9	7	37	29	+8	48
5	Watford	30	12	9	9	36	33	+3	45
6	West Brom	30	12	8	10	39	32	+7	44
7	Blackburn	29	14	2	13	31	35	-4	44
8	Millwall	28	12	7	9	34	28	+6	43
9	Sunderland	29	11	9	9	42	33	+9	42
10	Norwich	29	12	6	11	40	34	+6	42
11	Preston	29	11	7	11	27	33	-6	40
12	Hull	30	11	7	12	37	44	-7	40
13	Swansea	29	10	9	10	43	42	+1	39
14	QPR	30	10	9	11	32	38	-6	39
15	Coventry	29	10	8	11	31	32	-1	38
16	Birmingham	30	10	8	12	36	38	-2	38
17	Reading	29	11	5	13	33	44	-11	38
18	Bristol City	29	9	9	11	39	39	0	36
19	Stoke	29	9	6	14	33	38	-5	33
20	Rotherham	29	7	11	11	33	40	-7	32
21	Cardiff	30	7	8	15	21	33	-12	29
22	Huddersfield	29	7	7	15	28	38	-10	28
23	Blackpool	29	6	9	14	30	45	-15	27
24	Wigan	29	6	8	15	27	49	-22	26

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	15	11	4	0	32	12	+20	37
2	Sheffield United	14	9	3	2	30	13	+17	30
3	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	23	12	+11	29
4	Millwall	14	8	4	2	21	9	+12	28
5	Blackburn	14	9	1	4	20	13	+7	28
6	Reading	14	8	3	3	22	16	+6	27
7	West Brom	15	7	4	4	21	14	+7	25
8	Coventry	15	7	4	4	19	14	+5	25
9	Watford	14	7	3	4	20	13	+7	24
10	Luton	15	5	7	3	20	16	+4	22
11	Hull	16	6	3	7	18	23	-5	21
12	Rotherham	14	5	5	4	24	17	+7	20
13	Swansea	14	6	2	6	23	20	+3	20
14	Birmingham	16	5	5	6	20	18	+2	20
15	Sunderland	14	5	4	5	19	16	+3	19
16	Bristol City	15	5	4	6	19	17	+2	19
17	Norwich	15	5	4	6	19	19	0	19
18	QPR	14	5	4	5	17	18	-1	19
19	Huddersfield	15	5	3	7	14	15	-1	18
20	Cardiff	15	4	5	6	11	13	-2	17
21	Stoke	14	4	3	7	17	18	-1	15
22	Blackpool	14	3	4	7	16	21	-5	13
23	Preston	15	3	4	8	9	20	-11	13
24	Wigan	15	2	3	10	11	30	-19	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	14	8	4	2	26	14	+12	28
2	Sheffield United	15	8	4	3	18	11	+7	28
3	Preston	14	8	3	3	18	13	+5	27
4	Luton	14	8	2	4	17	13	+4	26
5	Sunderland	15	6	5	4	23	17	+6	23
6	Norwich	14	7	2	5	21	15	+6	23
7	Watford	16	5	6	5	16	20	-4	21
8	QPR	16	5	5	6	15	20	-5	20
9	Middlesbrough	15	6	1	8	24	23	+1	19
10	West Brom	15	5	4	6	18	18	0	19
11	Swansea	15	4	7	4	20	22	-2	19
12	Hull	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2	19
13	Birmingham	14	5	3	6	16	20	-4	18
14	Stoke	15	5	3	7	16	20	-4	18
15	Bristol City	14	4	5	5	20	22	-2	17
16	Wigan	14	4	5	5	16	19	-3	17
17	Blackburn	15	5	1	9	11	22	-11	16
18	Millwall	14	4	3	7	13	19	-6	15
19	Blackpool	15	3	5	7	14	24	-10	14
20	Coventry	14	3	4	7	12	18	-6	13
21	Cardiff	15	3	3	9	10	20	-10	12
22	Rotherham	15	2	6	7	9	23	-14	12
23	Reading	15	3	2	10	11	28	-17	11
24	Huddersfield	14	2	4	8	14	23	-9	10

Cardiff Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	30	12	18	1.6	1.2	14	6	10	47	35	48
2	13	Swansea	29	12	17	1.5	1.4	10	9	10	43	42	39
3	17	Reading	29	12	17	1.1	1.5	11	5	13	33	44	38
4	1	Burnley	29	14	15	2.0	0.9	19	8	2	58	26	65
5	9	Sunderland	29	14	15	1.4	1.1	11	9	9	42	33	42
6	10	Norwich	29	14	15	1.4	1.2	12	6	11	40	34	42
7	12	Hull	30	15	15	1.2	1.5	11	7	12	37	44	40
8	7	Blackburn	29	15	14	1.1	1.2	14	2	13	31	35	44
9	14	QPR	30	16	14	1.1	1.3	10	9	11	32	38	39
10	16	Birmingham	30	16	14	1.2	1.3	10	8	12	36	38	38
11	18	Bristol City	29	15	14	1.3	1.3	9	9	11	39	39	36
12	20	Rotherham	29	15	14	1.1	1.4	7	11	11	33	40	32
13	23	Blackpool	29	15	14	1.0	1.6	6	9	14	30	45	27
14	24	Wigan	29	15	14	0.9	1.7	6	8	15	27	49	26
15	19	Stoke	29	16	13	1.1	1.3	9	6	14	33	38	33
16	2	Sheffield United	29	17	12	1.7	0.8	17	7	5	48	24	58
17	5	Watford	30	18	12	1.2	1.1	12	9	9	36	33	45
18	22	Huddersfield	29	17	12	1.0	1.3	7	7	15	28	38	28
19	4	Luton	29	18	11	1.3	1.0	13	9	7	37	29	48
20	11	Preston	29	18	11	0.9	1.1	11	7	11	27	33	40
21	6	West Brom	30	20	10	1.3	1.1	12	8	10	39	32	44
22	8	Millwall	28	18	10	1.2	1.0	12	7	9	34	28	43
23	15	Coventry	29	20	9	1.1	1.1	10	8	11	31	32	38
24	21	Cardiff	30	22	8	0.7	1.1	7	8	15	21	33	29

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	15	6	9	2.1	0.8	11	4	0	32	12	37
2	13	Swansea	14	5	9	1.6	1.4	6	2	6	23	20	20
3	17	Reading	14	5	9	1.6	1.1	8	3	3	22	16	27
4	2	Sheffield United	14	6	8	2.1	0.9	9	3	2	30	13	30
5	9	Sunderland	14	6	8	1.4	1.1	5	4	5	19	16	19
6	12	Hull	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	18	23	21
7	14	QPR	14	6	8	1.2	1.3	5	4	5	17	18	19
8	16	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.2	1.1	5	5	6	20	18	20
9	20	Rotherham	14	6	8	1.7	1.2	5	5	4	24	17	20
10	3	Middlesbrough	15	8	7	1.5	0.8	8	5	2	23	12	29
11	7	Blackburn	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	9	1	4	20	13	28
12	10	Norwich	15	8	7	1.3	1.3	5	4	6	19	19	19
13	23	Blackpool	14	7	7	1.1	1.5	3	4	7	16	21	13
14	24	Wigan	15	8	7	0.7	2.0	2	3	10	11	30	9
15	4	Luton	15	9	6	1.3	1.1	5	7	3	20	16	22
16	5	Watford	14	8	6	1.4	0.9	7	3	4	20	13	24
17	18	Bristol City	15	9	6	1.3	1.1	5	4	6	19	17	19
18	19	Stoke	14	8	6	1.2	1.3	4	3	7	17	18	15
19	8	Millwall	14	9	5	1.5	0.6	8	4	2	21	9	28
20	11	Preston	15	10	5	0.6	1.3	3	4	8	9	20	13
21	6	West Brom	15	11	4	1.4	0.9	7	4	4	21	14	25
22	15	Coventry	15	11	4	1.3	0.9	7	4	4	19	14	25
23	22	Huddersfield	15	11	4	0.9	1.0	5	3	7	14	15	18
24	21	Cardiff	15	12	3	0.7	0.9	4	5	6	11	13	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	15	4	11	1.6	1.5	6	1	8	24	23	19
2	10	Norwich	14	6	8	1.5	1.1	7	2	5	21	15	23
3	13	Swansea	15	7	8	1.3	1.5	4	7	4	20	22	19
4	17	Reading	15	7	8	0.7	1.9	3	2	10	11	28	11
5	18	Bristol City	14	6	8	1.4	1.6	4	5	5	20	22	17
6	22	Huddersfield	14	6	8	1.0	1.6	2	4	8	14	23	10
7	7	Blackburn	15	8	7	0.7	1.5	5	1	9	11	22	16
8	9	Sunderland	15	8	7	1.5	1.1	6	5	4	23	17	23
9	12	Hull	14	7	7	1.4	1.5	5	4	5	19	21	19
10	19	Stoke	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	3	7	16	20	18
11	23	Blackpool	15	8	7	0.9	1.6	3	5	7	14	24	14
12	24	Wigan	14	7	7	1.1	1.4	4	5	5	16	19	17
13	1	Burnley	14	8	6	1.9	1.0	8	4	2	26	14	28
14	5	Watford	16	10	6	1.0	1.2	5	6	5	16	20	21
15	6	West Brom	15	9	6	1.2	1.2	5	4	6	18	18	19
16	11	Preston	14	8	6	1.3	0.9	8	3	3	18	13	27
17	14	QPR	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	5	5	6	15	20	20
18	16	Birmingham	14	8	6	1.1	1.4	5	3	6	16	20	18
19	20	Rotherham	15	9	6	0.6	1.5	2	6	7	9	23	12
20	4	Luton	14	9	5	1.2	0.9	8	2	4	17	13	26
21	8	Millwall	14	9	5	0.9	1.4	4	3	7	13	19	15
22	15	Coventry	14	9	5	0.9	1.3	3	4	7	12	18	13
23	21	Cardiff	15	10	5	0.7	1.3	3	3	9	10	20	12
24	2	Sheffield United	15	11	4	1.2	0.7	8	4	3	18	11	28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.