Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Birmingham 1–1 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.60 fair 2.26
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.61
Away 2.00 fair 3.56
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Watford
7 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 5
12 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (35 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
0.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:2
Watford before this match, all matches
2.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:1
Birmingham all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 0.33
1.33 Total goals 1.33
11.33 Shots 6.67
3.00 Shots on target 2.67
13.00 Shots faced 12.00
4.67 Corners 2.67
6.33 Corners against 7.33
12.33 Fouls 13.00
2.67 Yellow cards 2.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 67%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 67%
33% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Watford all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 2:1
Watford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
Birmingham at home away Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
3.00 Total goals 2.00
18.00 Shots 5.00
6.00 Shots on target 3.00
9.00 Shots faced 19.00
6.00 Corners 0.00
7.00 Corners against 12.00
10.00 Fouls 13.00
1.00 Yellow cards 1.00
2.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.08.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.66
05.08.22 Birmingham – Huddersfield 2–1 (2–0) 2.373.253.10 2.20 1.66
30.07.22 Luton – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.33 2.00 1.80
07.05.22 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.502.40 1.66 2.20
30.04.22 Cardiff – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.75 2.05 1.80
23.04.22 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
18.04.22 Blackpool – Birmingham 6–1 (3–0) 2.153.403.40 2.10 1.72
15.04.22 Birmingham – Coventry 2–4 (2–2) 3.103.502.20 2.02 1.83
09.04.22 Nott'm Forest – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.006.50 2.05 1.80
03.04.22 Birmingham – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.72

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
01.08.22 Watford – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75
15.05.22E0 Watford – Leicester 1–5 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.72 2.10
11.05.22E0 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
07.05.22E0 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
23.04.22E0 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
16.04.22E0 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.08.22 Birmingham – Huddersfield 2–1 (2–0) 2.373.253.10 2.20 1.66
07.05.22 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.502.40 1.66 2.20
23.04.22 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
15.04.22 Birmingham – Coventry 2–4 (2–2) 3.103.502.20 2.02 1.83
03.04.22 Birmingham – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.72
15.03.22 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
12.03.22 Birmingham – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
26.02.22 Birmingham – Huddersfield 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.252.70 2.10 1.72
12.02.22 Birmingham – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 2.20 1.66
04.02.22 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.72

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75
07.05.22E0 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
23.04.22E0 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
02.04.22E0 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22E0 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22E0 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
26.02.22E0 Man United – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
19.02.22E0 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89
08.02.22E0 West Ham – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 Hull 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
3 Watford 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
4 Millwall 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
5 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
6 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
7 Preston 3 1 2 0 1 0 +1 5
8 Rotherham 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
9 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
10 QPR 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
11 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Burnley 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
13 Swansea 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4
14 Huddersfield 3 1 0 2 4 4 0 3
15 Wigan 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
16 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
17 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
18 Reading 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 3
19 Middlesbrough 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
20 West Brom 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
21 Luton 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
22 Coventry 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
23 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
24 Norwich 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
2 Hull 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
3 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Cardiff 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
5 Watford 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
6 Rotherham 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
7 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
8 Stoke 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
9 Huddersfield 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
10 QPR 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
11 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
12 Reading 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
13 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
14 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Sunderland 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
16 Wigan 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
17 Burnley 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Norwich 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
19 West Brom 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
20 Preston 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
21 Luton 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
22 Coventry 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
24 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
2 Preston 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
3 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Burnley 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
6 Luton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
7 Watford 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 Wigan 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
9 Hull 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
10 Coventry 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
11 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
12 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
13 Sheffield United 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
14 West Brom 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
15 Birmingham 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
16 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
18 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Norwich 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
21 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
22 Millwall 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Stoke 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
24 Reading 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0

Birmingham   Watford

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Blackburn 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
2 2 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
3 6 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
4 10 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
5 14 Huddersfield 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 0 2 4 4 3
6 18 Reading 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 1 0 2 2 6 3
7 19 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
8 23 Bristol City 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
9 4 Millwall 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
10 5 Cardiff 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
11 8 Rotherham 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
12 9 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
13 11 Birmingham 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
14 13 Swansea 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4
15 16 Stoke 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
16 20 West Brom 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
17 22 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
18 24 Norwich 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
19 3 Watford 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
20 7 Preston 3 3 0 0.3 0.0 1 2 0 1 0 5
21 12 Burnley 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
22 15 Wigan 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
23 17 Blackpool 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
24 21 Luton 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Hull 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
2 1 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
3 4 Millwall 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
4 6 Sunderland 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
5 8 Rotherham 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
6 10 QPR 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
7 11 Birmingham 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
8 13 Swansea 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
9 14 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
10 18 Reading 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
11 19 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
12 23 Bristol City 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
13 3 Watford 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
14 5 Cardiff 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
15 7 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
16 9 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
17 12 Burnley 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 15 Wigan 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
19 16 Stoke 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
20 17 Blackpool 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
21 20 West Brom 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
22 21 Luton 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
23 22 Coventry 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 24 Norwich 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Blackburn 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
2 5 Cardiff 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
3 6 Sunderland 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
4 9 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
5 10 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
6 14 Huddersfield 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
7 16 Stoke 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
8 18 Reading 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
9 19 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
10 20 West Brom 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
11 22 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
12 23 Bristol City 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
13 24 Norwich 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
14 2 Hull 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
15 3 Watford 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
16 4 Millwall 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
17 7 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
18 8 Rotherham 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 11 Birmingham 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 12 Burnley 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
21 13 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
22 15 Wigan 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 17 Blackpool 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
24 21 Luton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51