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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Simpson

Middlesbrough 2–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 2.22
Draw 3.60 fair 3.80
Away 5.00 fair 3.50
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.86
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.16

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Luton
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (407 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.30scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 43:35
Luton before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.39scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 46:37
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 1.39
1.06 Goals conceded 1.12
2.36 Total goals 2.52
12.36 Shots 10.76
4.70 Shots on target 3.52
9.67 Shots faced 10.64
6.00 Corners 5.09
4.42 Corners against 5.09
10.58 Fouls 12.00
2.21 Yellow cards 1.82
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

45% Wins 45%
21% Draws 27%
33% Losses 27%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
79% Over 1.5 goals 73%
39% Over 2.5 goals 48%
15% Over 3.5 goals 24%
9% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
52% Both teams scored 39%
33% Clean sheets 42%
21% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 30%
45% Draws 33%
12% Losses 36%
64% Over 0.5 goals 70%
21% Over 1.5 goals 27%
3% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Luton all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.06points / match
1.59scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:15
Luton before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.19scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:20
Middlesbrough at home away Luton

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.19
0.88 Goals conceded 1.25
2.47 Total goals 2.44
12.59 Shots 10.69
5.35 Shots on target 3.38
9.12 Shots faced 11.56
6.35 Corners 4.75
4.41 Corners against 5.44
10.71 Fouls 12.06
1.65 Yellow cards 2.25
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

65% Wins 38%
12% Draws 25%
24% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
82% Over 1.5 goals 81%
41% Over 2.5 goals 44%
12% Over 3.5 goals 19%
12% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 38%
41% Clean sheets 38%
6% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 25%
41% Draws 31%
6% Losses 44%
71% Over 0.5 goals 69%
24% Over 1.5 goals 25%
6% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Barnsley – Middlesbrough 3–2 (2–0) 4.203.601.85 2.10 1.72
22.02.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.803.252.10 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
09.02.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
29.01.22 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
24.01.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66
15.01.22 Middlesbrough – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.21 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.80
26.12.21 Middlesbrough – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.203.75 2.20 1.66

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66
19.02.22 Luton – West Brom 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Birmingham – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 2.20 1.66
08.02.22 Luton – Barnsley 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.756.50 2.10 1.72
01.02.22 Swansea – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.37 1.57
29.01.22 Luton – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66
25.01.22 Luton – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.404.75 1.95 1.90
22.01.22 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.01.22 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
29.01.22 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
15.01.22 Middlesbrough – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.90 1.95
26.12.21 Middlesbrough – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.203.75 2.20 1.66
18.12.21 Middlesbrough – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.80 2.10 1.72
04.12.21 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.72
23.11.21 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.30 1.61
20.11.21 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.22 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Birmingham – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.302.45 2.20 1.66
01.02.22 Swansea – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.37 1.57
22.01.22 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.66
19.01.22 Reading – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 2.02 1.83
04.12.21 Blackpool – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.66
23.11.21 Nott'm Forest – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.87 2.30 1.61
19.11.21 QPR – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.95 1.90
30.10.21 Preston – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsLuton wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.21E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 34 22 7 5 84 29 +55 73
2 Huddersfield 36 17 11 8 49 36 +13 62
3 Bournemouth 31 18 7 6 51 27 +24 61
4 Blackburn 35 16 9 10 46 36 +10 57
5 QPR 34 16 8 10 49 39 +10 56
6 Sheffield United 34 15 9 10 45 35 +10 54
7 Luton 33 15 9 9 46 37 +9 54
8 Nott'm Forest 34 14 10 10 46 34 +12 52
9 Middlesbrough 33 15 7 11 43 35 +8 52
10 Coventry 33 14 9 10 43 38 +5 51
11 Millwall 33 13 10 10 36 34 +2 49
12 Preston 35 11 14 10 38 39 -1 47
13 West Brom 34 12 10 12 35 32 +3 46
14 Blackpool 34 12 9 13 40 41 -1 45
15 Stoke 33 12 8 13 42 38 +4 44
16 Derby 35 10 12 13 34 39 -5 42
17 Swansea 32 11 8 13 34 43 -9 41
18 Bristol City 35 11 7 17 45 63 -18 40
19 Cardiff 35 11 6 18 41 54 -13 39
20 Hull 35 10 7 18 30 39 -9 37
21 Birmingham 35 9 10 16 40 55 -15 37
22 Reading 34 10 5 19 42 67 -25 35
23 Barnsley 33 5 8 20 24 48 -24 23
24 Peterboro 34 5 6 23 24 69 -45 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 19 12 4 3 45 16 +29 40
2 Blackburn 17 11 3 3 32 19 +13 36
3 Middlesbrough 17 11 2 4 27 15 +12 35
4 Huddersfield 18 10 5 3 27 17 +10 35
5 QPR 18 9 6 3 26 15 +11 33
6 Luton 17 9 5 3 27 17 +10 32
7 Millwall 17 9 5 3 21 13 +8 32
8 Coventry 17 9 4 4 25 15 +10 31
9 Bournemouth 15 9 3 3 31 16 +15 30
10 West Brom 16 8 6 2 21 10 +11 30
11 Derby 17 8 6 3 23 16 +7 30
12 Blackpool 18 9 2 7 21 19 +2 29
13 Sheffield United 16 8 4 4 25 12 +13 28
14 Bristol City 18 7 5 6 23 23 0 26
15 Stoke 17 7 4 6 25 20 +5 25
16 Swansea 15 7 4 4 19 14 +5 25
17 Nott'm Forest 17 7 4 6 23 20 +3 25
18 Preston 17 5 9 3 22 20 +2 24
19 Birmingham 17 6 4 7 21 23 -2 22
20 Cardiff 18 6 2 10 19 22 -3 20
21 Reading 17 5 4 8 25 35 -10 19
22 Hull 17 5 3 9 15 20 -5 18
23 Peterboro 16 4 5 7 15 21 -6 17
24 Barnsley 16 4 4 8 12 19 -7 16
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 15 10 3 2 39 13 +26 33
2 Bournemouth 16 9 4 3 20 11 +9 31
3 Nott'm Forest 17 7 6 4 23 14 +9 27
4 Huddersfield 18 7 6 5 22 19 +3 27
5 Sheffield United 18 7 5 6 20 23 -3 26
6 QPR 16 7 2 7 23 24 -1 23
7 Preston 18 6 5 7 16 19 -3 23
8 Luton 16 6 4 6 19 20 -1 22
9 Blackburn 18 5 6 7 14 17 -3 21
10 Coventry 16 5 5 6 18 23 -5 20
11 Stoke 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
12 Hull 18 5 4 9 15 19 -4 19
13 Cardiff 17 5 4 8 22 32 -10 19
14 Middlesbrough 16 4 5 7 16 20 -4 17
15 Millwall 16 4 5 7 15 21 -6 17
16 Blackpool 16 3 7 6 19 22 -3 16
17 West Brom 18 4 4 10 14 22 -8 16
18 Swansea 17 4 4 9 15 29 -14 16
19 Reading 17 5 1 11 17 32 -15 16
20 Birmingham 18 3 6 9 19 32 -13 15
21 Bristol City 17 4 2 11 22 40 -18 14
22 Derby 18 2 6 10 11 23 -12 12
23 Barnsley 17 1 4 12 12 29 -17 7
24 Peterboro 18 1 1 16 9 48 -39 4

Middlesbrough   Luton

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Bristol City 35 12 23 1.3 1.8 11 7 17 45 63 40
2 22 Reading 34 13 21 1.2 2.0 10 5 19 42 67 35
3 24 Peterboro 34 13 21 0.7 2.0 5 6 23 24 69 21
4 21 Birmingham 35 15 20 1.1 1.6 9 10 16 40 55 37
5 1 Fulham 34 15 19 2.5 0.9 22 7 5 84 29 73
6 19 Cardiff 35 16 19 1.2 1.5 11 6 18 41 54 39
7 3 Bournemouth 31 14 17 1.6 0.9 18 7 6 51 27 61
8 5 QPR 34 17 17 1.4 1.1 16 8 10 49 39 56
9 7 Luton 33 17 16 1.4 1.1 15 9 9 46 37 54
10 8 Nott'm Forest 34 18 16 1.4 1.0 14 10 10 46 34 52
11 15 Stoke 33 17 16 1.3 1.2 12 8 13 42 38 44
12 17 Swansea 32 16 16 1.1 1.3 11 8 13 34 43 41
13 2 Huddersfield 36 21 15 1.4 1.0 17 11 8 49 36 62
14 10 Coventry 33 18 15 1.3 1.2 14 9 10 43 38 51
15 12 Preston 35 20 15 1.1 1.1 11 14 10 38 39 47
16 14 Blackpool 34 19 15 1.2 1.2 12 9 13 40 41 45
17 4 Blackburn 35 21 14 1.3 1.0 16 9 10 46 36 57
18 6 Sheffield United 34 20 14 1.3 1.0 15 9 10 45 35 54
19 16 Derby 35 21 14 1.0 1.1 10 12 13 34 39 42
20 9 Middlesbrough 33 20 13 1.3 1.1 15 7 11 43 35 52
21 23 Barnsley 33 20 13 0.7 1.5 5 8 20 24 48 23
22 11 Millwall 33 21 12 1.1 1.0 13 10 10 36 34 49
23 13 West Brom 34 22 12 1.0 0.9 12 10 12 35 32 46
24 20 Hull 35 26 9 0.9 1.1 10 7 18 30 39 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bournemouth 15 2 13 2.1 1.1 9 3 3 31 16 30
2 1 Fulham 19 8 11 2.4 0.8 12 4 3 45 16 40
3 21 Birmingham 17 6 11 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 21 23 22
4 4 Blackburn 17 7 10 1.9 1.1 11 3 3 32 19 36
5 8 Nott'm Forest 17 7 10 1.4 1.2 7 4 6 23 20 25
6 22 Reading 17 7 10 1.5 2.1 5 4 8 25 35 19
7 7 Luton 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 5 3 27 17 32
8 15 Stoke 17 8 9 1.5 1.2 7 4 6 25 20 25
9 18 Bristol City 18 9 9 1.3 1.3 7 5 6 23 23 26
10 10 Coventry 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 9 4 4 25 15 31
11 12 Preston 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 5 9 3 22 20 24
12 14 Blackpool 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 9 2 7 21 19 29
13 16 Derby 17 9 8 1.4 0.9 8 6 3 23 16 30
14 24 Peterboro 16 8 8 0.9 1.3 4 5 7 15 21 17
15 2 Huddersfield 18 11 7 1.5 0.9 10 5 3 27 17 35
16 9 Middlesbrough 17 10 7 1.6 0.9 11 2 4 27 15 35
17 17 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 7 4 4 19 14 25
18 19 Cardiff 18 11 7 1.1 1.2 6 2 10 19 22 20
19 5 QPR 18 12 6 1.4 0.8 9 6 3 26 15 33
20 6 Sheffield United 16 10 6 1.6 0.8 8 4 4 25 12 28
21 11 Millwall 17 12 5 1.2 0.8 9 5 3 21 13 32
22 13 West Brom 16 11 5 1.3 0.6 8 6 2 21 10 30
23 20 Hull 17 12 5 0.9 1.2 5 3 9 15 20 18
24 23 Barnsley 16 12 4 0.8 1.2 4 4 8 12 19 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Bristol City 17 3 14 1.3 2.4 4 2 11 22 40 14
2 24 Peterboro 18 5 13 0.5 2.7 1 1 16 9 48 4
3 19 Cardiff 17 5 12 1.3 1.9 5 4 8 22 32 19
4 5 QPR 16 5 11 1.4 1.5 7 2 7 23 24 23
5 22 Reading 17 6 11 1.0 1.9 5 1 11 17 32 16
6 17 Swansea 17 8 9 0.9 1.7 4 4 9 15 29 16
7 21 Birmingham 18 9 9 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 19 32 15
8 23 Barnsley 17 8 9 0.7 1.7 1 4 12 12 29 7
9 1 Fulham 15 7 8 2.6 0.9 10 3 2 39 13 33
10 2 Huddersfield 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 6 5 22 19 27
11 6 Sheffield United 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 7 5 6 20 23 26
12 7 Luton 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 6 4 6 19 20 22
13 10 Coventry 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 5 5 6 18 23 20
14 11 Millwall 16 9 7 0.9 1.3 4 5 7 15 21 17
15 12 Preston 18 11 7 0.9 1.1 6 5 7 16 19 23
16 13 West Brom 18 11 7 0.8 1.2 4 4 10 14 22 16
17 14 Blackpool 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 3 7 6 19 22 16
18 15 Stoke 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19
19 8 Nott'm Forest 17 11 6 1.4 0.8 7 6 4 23 14 27
20 9 Middlesbrough 16 10 6 1.0 1.2 4 5 7 16 20 17
21 16 Derby 18 12 6 0.6 1.3 2 6 10 11 23 12
22 3 Bournemouth 16 12 4 1.2 0.7 9 4 3 20 11 31
23 4 Blackburn 18 14 4 0.8 0.9 5 6 7 14 17 21
24 20 Hull 18 14 4 0.8 1.1 5 4 9 15 19 19

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51