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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Villarreal 4–0 Vallecano

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.70 fair 2.09
Draw 3.80 fair 4.00
Away 5.00 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Villarreal Vallecano
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 5
7 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (101 league matches this season so far).
Result Villarreal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
VillarrealDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 10.5% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Villarreal before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:10
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:10
Villarreal all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.20
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.80 Total goals 2.20
14.00 Shots 12.70
4.90 Shots on target 4.40
12.30 Shots faced 11.10
5.20 Corners 6.40
3.60 Corners against 5.40
11.90 Fouls 13.70
2.30 Yellow cards 2.30
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

60% Wins 40%
20% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 60%
50% Over 2.5 goals 30%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 20%
30% Draws 60%
20% Losses 20%
70% Over 0.5 goals 50%
20% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal all matches
Vallecano all matches
Villarreal before this match, at home
2.60points / match
2.40scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 12:3
Vallecano before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:7
Villarreal at home away Vallecano

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 1.50
0.60 Goals conceded 1.17
3.00 Total goals 2.67
18.20 Shots 11.17
6.60 Shots on target 3.67
9.60 Shots faced 12.33
7.20 Corners 5.17
2.60 Corners against 5.67
10.80 Fouls 14.67
1.40 Yellow cards 2.33
1.40 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

80% Wins 50%
20% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 67%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
40% Over 3.5 goals 33%
20% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 33%
60% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 33%
20% Draws 50%
20% Losses 17%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
20% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Valencia – Villarreal 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
18.10.25 Villarreal – Betis 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.67 2.20
04.10.25 Real Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00
27.09.25 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.00 1.85
23.09.25 Sevilla – Villarreal 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Villarreal – Osasuna 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Celta – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.502.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Villarreal – Girona 5–0 (4–0) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20
15.08.25 Villarreal – Oviedo 2–0 (2–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Vallecano – Alaves 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.103.90 2.63 1.50
19.10.25 Levante – Vallecano 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.50 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Sociedad – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 2.10 1.73
28.09.25 Vallecano – Sevilla 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
24.09.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.88 1.98
21.09.25 Vallecano – Celta 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.80
14.09.25 Osasuna – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.90 2.20 1.67
31.08.25 Vallecano – Barcelona 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.501.40 1.44 2.75
25.08.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.50 2.20 1.67
15.08.25 Girona – Vallecano 1–3 (0–3) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.67

Villarreal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Villarreal – Betis 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.67 2.20
27.09.25 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.00 1.85
20.09.25 Villarreal – Osasuna 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Villarreal – Girona 5–0 (4–0) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20
15.08.25 Villarreal – Oviedo 2–0 (2–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
25.05.25 Villarreal – Sevilla 4–2 (3–1) 1.485.006.00 1.53 2.50
14.05.25 Villarreal – Leganes 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.57 2.38
03.05.25 Villarreal – Osasuna 4–2 (3–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
27.04.25 Villarreal – Espanol 1–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.73 2.10
20.04.25 Villarreal – Sociedad 2–2 (1–1) 1.703.705.00 1.98 1.92

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25 Levante – Vallecano 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.50 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Sociedad – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 2.10 1.73
24.09.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.88 1.98
14.09.25 Osasuna – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.90 2.20 1.67
25.08.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.50 2.20 1.67
15.08.25 Girona – Vallecano 1–3 (0–3) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.67
18.05.25 Celta – Vallecano 1–2 (1–2) 1.753.904.33 1.73 2.10
09.05.25 Las Palmas – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.02 1.76
24.04.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.08 1.82
13.04.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 3–1 (0–1) 1.753.405.50 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Villarreal winsDrawsVallecano wins
8matches
2.50goals / match
38%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25SP1 Vallecano – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 1.80 2.00
18.12.24SP1 Villarreal – Vallecano 1–1 (1–1) 1.803.604.50 1.90 2.00
28.04.24SP1 Villarreal – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.80 2.00
24.09.23SP1 Vallecano – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.502.63 1.73 2.10
28.05.23SP1 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.67 2.20
30.01.23SP1 Villarreal – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 2.01 1.89
12.05.22SP1 Vallecano – Villarreal 1–5 (1–4) 4.203.801.80 2.02 1.88
12.12.21SP1 Villarreal – Vallecano 2–0 (2–0) 1.723.804.75 1.99 1.94

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 10 9 0 1 22 10 +12 27
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 25 12 +13 22
3 Villarreal 10 6 2 2 18 10 +8 20
4 Ath Madrid 10 5 4 1 18 10 +8 19
5 Espanol 10 5 3 2 14 11 +3 18
6 Getafe 11 5 2 4 12 13 -1 17
7 Betis 10 4 4 2 15 12 +3 16
8 Vallecano 10 4 2 4 12 10 +2 14
9 Elche 10 3 5 2 11 10 +1 14
10 Ath Bilbao 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
11 Sevilla 10 4 1 5 17 16 +1 13
12 Alaves 10 3 3 4 9 9 0 12
13 Celta 10 1 7 2 11 13 -2 10
14 Osasuna 10 3 1 6 9 12 -3 10
15 Levante 10 2 3 5 14 18 -4 9
16 Mallorca 10 2 3 5 11 15 -4 9
17 Sociedad 10 2 3 5 10 14 -4 9
18 Valencia 10 2 3 5 10 16 -6 9
19 Oviedo 10 2 1 7 7 19 -12 7
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 10 24 -14 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 5 5 0 0 10 3 +7 15
2 Villarreal 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13
3 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 0 12 5 +7 13
4 Espanol 6 4 1 1 10 7 +3 13
5 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 13 2 +11 12
6 Elche 5 3 2 0 6 2 +4 11
7 Osasuna 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
8 Ath Bilbao 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
9 Betis 5 3 0 2 7 5 +2 9
10 Alaves 5 2 2 1 7 5 +2 8
11 Getafe 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
12 Valencia 5 2 1 2 7 5 +2 7
13 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
14 Mallorca 5 1 3 1 4 6 -2 6
15 Vallecano 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
16 Celta 6 0 5 1 5 7 -2 5
17 Girona 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
18 Sevilla 5 1 1 3 9 10 -1 4
19 Oviedo 5 1 0 4 2 10 -8 3
20 Levante 4 0 1 3 5 12 -7 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 12 7 +5 12
2 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 12 10 +2 10
3 Vallecano 6 3 0 3 9 7 +2 9
4 Sevilla 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
5 Getafe 6 3 0 3 6 9 -3 9
6 Levante 6 2 2 2 9 6 +3 8
7 Betis 5 1 4 0 8 7 +1 7
8 Villarreal 5 2 1 2 6 7 -1 7
9 Ath Madrid 5 1 3 1 6 5 +1 6
10 Celta 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
11 Espanol 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
12 Alaves 5 1 1 3 2 4 -2 4
13 Ath Bilbao 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
14 Oviedo 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
15 Mallorca 5 1 0 4 7 9 -2 3
16 Elche 5 0 3 2 5 8 -3 3
17 Sociedad 5 0 2 3 4 8 -4 2
18 Girona 5 0 2 3 4 11 -7 2
19 Valencia 5 0 2 3 3 11 -8 2
20 Osasuna 5 0 0 5 1 7 -6 0

Villarreal   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Barcelona 10 1 9 2.5 1.2 7 1 2 25 12 22
2 11 Sevilla 10 2 8 1.7 1.6 4 1 5 17 16 13
3 1 Real Madrid 10 3 7 2.2 1.0 9 0 1 22 10 27
4 20 Girona 11 4 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 6 10 24 7
5 15 Levante 10 4 6 1.4 1.8 2 3 5 14 18 9
6 3 Villarreal 10 5 5 1.8 1.0 6 2 2 18 10 20
7 5 Espanol 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 5 3 2 14 11 18
8 6 Getafe 11 6 5 1.1 1.2 5 2 4 12 13 17
9 7 Betis 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 4 4 2 15 12 16
10 16 Mallorca 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 3 5 11 15 9
11 17 Sociedad 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 2 3 5 10 14 9
12 18 Valencia 10 5 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 5 10 16 9
13 19 Oviedo 10 6 4 0.7 1.9 2 1 7 7 19 7
14 4 Ath Madrid 10 7 3 1.8 1.0 5 4 1 18 10 19
15 8 Vallecano 10 7 3 1.2 1.0 4 2 4 12 10 14
16 9 Elche 10 7 3 1.1 1.0 3 5 2 11 10 14
17 10 Ath Bilbao 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14
18 12 Alaves 10 7 3 0.9 0.9 3 3 4 9 9 12
19 14 Osasuna 10 7 3 0.9 1.2 3 1 6 9 12 10
20 13 Celta 10 8 2 1.1 1.3 1 7 2 11 13 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Sevilla 5 0 5 1.8 2.0 1 1 3 9 10 4
2 2 Barcelona 4 0 4 3.2 0.5 4 0 0 13 2 12
3 5 Espanol 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 4 1 1 10 7 13
4 15 Levante 4 0 4 1.2 3.0 0 1 3 5 12 1
5 20 Girona 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
6 1 Real Madrid 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 5 0 0 10 3 15
7 3 Villarreal 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13
8 12 Alaves 5 2 3 1.4 1.0 2 2 1 7 5 8
9 17 Sociedad 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
10 4 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 2.4 1.0 4 1 0 12 5 13
11 7 Betis 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 0 2 7 5 9
12 10 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
13 14 Osasuna 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
14 18 Valencia 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 1 2 7 5 7
15 19 Oviedo 5 3 2 0.4 2.0 1 0 4 2 10 3
16 6 Getafe 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
17 9 Elche 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 3 2 0 6 2 11
18 16 Mallorca 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 1 4 6 6
19 8 Vallecano 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
20 13 Celta 6 6 0 0.8 1.2 0 5 1 5 7 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Barcelona 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 3 1 2 12 10 10
2 1 Real Madrid 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 4 0 1 12 7 12
3 6 Getafe 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 3 0 3 6 9 9
4 16 Mallorca 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 1 0 4 7 9 3
5 7 Betis 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 1 4 0 8 7 7
6 8 Vallecano 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 3 0 3 9 7 9
7 11 Sevilla 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
8 18 Valencia 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 2 3 3 11 2
9 20 Girona 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 2 3 4 11 2
10 3 Villarreal 5 3 2 1.2 1.4 2 1 2 6 7 7
11 9 Elche 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 0 3 2 5 8 3
12 13 Celta 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
13 15 Levante 6 4 2 1.5 1.0 2 2 2 9 6 8
14 17 Sociedad 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 0 2 3 4 8 2
15 19 Oviedo 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4
16 4 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 1 6 5 6
17 5 Espanol 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
18 10 Ath Bilbao 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
19 14 Osasuna 5 4 1 0.2 1.4 0 0 5 1 7 0
20 12 Alaves 5 5 0 0.4 0.8 1 1 3 2 4 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40