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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Madrid 3–2 Vallecano

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 2.16
Draw 4.50 fair 3.89
Away 6.00 fair 3.58
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Madrid Vallecano
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 6
6 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (56 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Madrid to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
Ath MadridDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:5
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:6
Ath Madrid all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.20
2.20 Total goals 2.20
12.60 Shots 13.60
5.20 Shots on target 4.60
7.40 Shots faced 9.60
6.60 Corners 6.00
2.00 Corners against 3.80
12.00 Fouls 12.20
1.60 Yellow cards 2.40
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 20%
60% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%
0% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
60% Draws 40%
0% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid all matches
Vallecano all matches
Ath Madrid before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:1
Vallecano before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:4
Ath Madrid at home away Vallecano

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 1.33
2.00 Total goals 2.33
10.50 Shots 13.67
4.50 Shots on target 4.00
7.00 Shots faced 9.00
9.00 Corners 5.33
2.50 Corners against 2.67
13.00 Fouls 12.33
1.00 Yellow cards 2.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 33%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Mallorca – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 5.003.601.75 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
30.08.25 Alaves – Ath Madrid 1–1 (1–1) 4.753.501.80 2.20 1.67
23.08.25 Ath Madrid – Elche 1–1 (1–1) 1.255.2515.00 1.80 2.00
17.08.25 Espanol – Ath Madrid 2–1 (0–1) 6.003.901.57 2.20 1.67
25.05.25 Girona – Ath Madrid 0–4 (0–0) 3.803.751.91 1.62 2.30
18.05.25 Ath Madrid – Betis 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.73 2.10
15.05.25 Osasuna – Ath Madrid 2–0 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.73
10.05.25 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 4–0 (4–0) 1.673.705.00 2.08 1.82
03.05.25 Alaves – Ath Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 3.703.102.15 2.50 1.53

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Vallecano – Celta 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.80
14.09.25 Osasuna – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.90 2.20 1.67
31.08.25 Vallecano – Barcelona 1–1 (0–1) 6.255.501.40 1.44 2.75
25.08.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.50 2.20 1.67
15.08.25 Girona – Vallecano 1–3 (0–3) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.67
24.05.25 Vallecano – Mallorca 0–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.25 2.10 1.73
18.05.25 Celta – Vallecano 1–2 (1–2) 1.753.904.33 1.73 2.10
15.05.25 Vallecano – Betis 2–2 (2–0) 3.003.202.40 2.07 1.83
09.05.25 Las Palmas – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.02 1.76
02.05.25 Vallecano – Getafe 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.003.40 2.63 1.50

Ath Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
23.08.25 Ath Madrid – Elche 1–1 (1–1) 1.255.2515.00 1.80 2.00
18.05.25 Ath Madrid – Betis 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Ath Madrid – Sociedad 4–0 (4–0) 1.673.705.00 2.08 1.82
24.04.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.08 1.82
14.04.25 Ath Madrid – Valladolid 4–2 (2–1) 1.148.0019.00 1.50 2.63
16.03.25 Ath Madrid – Barcelona 2–4 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.57 2.38
01.03.25 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
15.02.25 Ath Madrid – Celta 1–1 (0–0) 1.394.508.00 1.78 2.00
01.02.25 Ath Madrid – Mallorca 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.338.50 2.20 1.67

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Osasuna – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.90 2.20 1.67
25.08.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.50 2.20 1.67
15.08.25 Girona – Vallecano 1–3 (0–3) 2.253.253.30 2.20 1.67
18.05.25 Celta – Vallecano 1–2 (1–2) 1.753.904.33 1.73 2.10
09.05.25 Las Palmas – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.02 1.76
24.04.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.08 1.82
13.04.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 3–1 (0–1) 1.753.405.50 2.30 1.62
29.03.25 Alaves – Vallecano 0–2 (0–1) 2.152.904.10 2.75 1.44
09.03.25 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–1) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.32
17.02.25 Barcelona – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Madrid winsDrawsVallecano wins
8matches
2.88goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.25SP1 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.08 1.82
22.09.24SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 5.003.401.80 2.20 1.67
31.01.24SP1 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–1) 1.504.206.50 1.75 2.05
28.08.23SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 0–7 (0–3) 4.203.301.95 2.10 1.73
09.04.23SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 4.333.501.85 2.30 1.62
18.10.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 1–1 (1–0) 1.553.757.00 2.10 1.72
19.03.22SP1 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.252.00 2.30 1.61
02.01.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.509.50 1.95 1.95

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 14 3 +11 18
2 Barcelona 5 4 1 0 16 3 +13 13
3 Villarreal 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
4 Espanol 6 3 2 1 10 9 +1 11
5 Ath Bilbao 6 3 1 2 7 7 0 10
6 Getafe 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
7 Elche 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
8 Betis 6 2 3 1 9 7 +2 9
9 Alaves 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
10 Valencia 6 2 2 2 8 10 -2 8
11 Sevilla 6 2 1 3 10 10 0 7
12 Ath Madrid 5 1 3 1 6 5 +1 6
13 Osasuna 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
14 Vallecano 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
15 Celta 6 0 5 1 5 7 -2 5
16 Levante 6 1 1 4 10 13 -3 4
17 Oviedo 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
18 Sociedad 5 0 2 3 5 9 -4 2
19 Mallorca 5 0 2 3 5 10 -5 2
20 Girona 6 0 2 4 3 16 -13 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Espanol 4 3 1 0 8 5 +3 10
2 Villarreal 3 3 0 0 9 1 +8 9
3 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9
4 Valencia 3 2 1 0 6 1 +5 7
5 Elche 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
6 Ath Bilbao 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
7 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 9 0 +9 6
8 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
9 Betis 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
10 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
11 Getafe 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
12 Alaves 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
13 Celta 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
14 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
15 Vallecano 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
16 Mallorca 3 0 2 1 2 5 -3 2
17 Sociedad 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
18 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
19 Levante 3 0 1 2 5 9 -4 1
20 Girona 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 9 2 +7 9
2 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
3 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
4 Getafe 4 2 0 2 4 7 -3 6
5 Alaves 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
6 Villarreal 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
7 Levante 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
8 Betis 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
9 Vallecano 3 1 0 2 3 4 -1 3
10 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
11 Elche 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
12 Celta 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
13 Ath Madrid 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
14 Girona 3 0 2 1 2 7 -5 2
15 Espanol 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
16 Sociedad 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
17 Valencia 3 0 1 2 2 9 -7 1
18 Mallorca 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
19 Osasuna 3 0 0 3 1 4 -3 0
20 Oviedo 3 0 0 3 0 5 -5 0

Ath Madrid   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Sevilla 6 1 5 1.7 1.7 2 1 3 10 10 7
2 16 Levante 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 1 1 4 10 13 4
3 1 Real Madrid 6 2 4 2.3 0.5 6 0 0 14 3 18
4 2 Barcelona 5 1 4 3.2 0.6 4 1 0 16 3 13
5 4 Espanol 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 2 1 10 9 11
6 3 Villarreal 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
7 6 Getafe 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
8 8 Betis 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 3 1 9 7 9
9 10 Valencia 6 3 3 1.3 1.7 2 2 2 8 10 8
10 18 Sociedad 5 2 3 1.0 1.8 0 2 3 5 9 2
11 19 Mallorca 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 3 5 10 2
12 20 Girona 6 3 3 0.5 2.7 0 2 4 3 16 2
13 5 Ath Bilbao 6 4 2 1.2 1.2 3 1 2 7 7 10
14 9 Alaves 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
15 7 Elche 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
16 12 Ath Madrid 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 1 6 5 6
17 13 Osasuna 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
18 14 Vallecano 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
19 17 Oviedo 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3
20 15 Celta 6 6 0 0.8 1.2 0 5 1 5 7 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Espanol 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 1 0 8 5 10
2 11 Sevilla 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
3 16 Levante 3 0 3 1.7 3.0 0 1 2 5 9 1
4 2 Barcelona 2 0 2 4.5 0.0 2 0 0 9 0 6
5 3 Villarreal 3 1 2 3.0 0.3 3 0 0 9 1 9
6 8 Betis 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
7 9 Alaves 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
8 18 Sociedad 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
9 20 Girona 3 1 2 0.3 3.0 0 0 3 1 9 0
10 1 Real Madrid 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9
11 5 Ath Bilbao 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
12 10 Valencia 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 2 1 0 6 1 7
13 17 Oviedo 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
14 19 Mallorca 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 2 1 2 5 2
15 6 Getafe 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
16 7 Elche 3 3 0 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
17 12 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
18 13 Osasuna 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
19 14 Vallecano 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
20 15 Celta 4 4 0 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Real Madrid 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 3 0 0 9 2 9
2 6 Getafe 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 2 0 2 4 7 6
3 2 Barcelona 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
4 10 Valencia 3 1 2 0.7 3.0 0 1 2 2 9 1
5 11 Sevilla 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
6 16 Levante 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
7 19 Mallorca 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
8 3 Villarreal 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
9 4 Espanol 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
10 5 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
11 7 Elche 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
12 8 Betis 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
13 12 Ath Madrid 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
14 13 Osasuna 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 0 3 1 4 0
15 14 Vallecano 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 0 2 3 4 3
16 18 Sociedad 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
17 20 Girona 3 2 1 0.7 2.3 0 2 1 2 7 2
18 9 Alaves 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
19 15 Celta 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
20 17 Oviedo 3 3 0 0.0 1.7 0 0 3 0 5 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40