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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Ath Madrid 2–4 Barcelona

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.10 fair 2.53
Draw 3.60 fair 4.05
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 2.79
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ath Madrid Barcelona
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 6
10 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).
Result Ath Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
Ath MadridDrawBarcelona
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 8.6% 1–2 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
1.63scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 44:18
Barcelona before this match, all matches
2.19points / match
2.73scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 71:25
Ath Madrid all matches all matches Barcelona

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 2.73
0.67 Goals conceded 0.96
2.30 Total goals 3.69
12.00 Shots 17.15
4.52 Shots on target 6.54
10.85 Shots faced 8.27
4.85 Corners 6.50
3.89 Corners against 4.35
10.52 Fouls 9.08
2.33 Yellow cards 1.73
0.52 1st-half goals scored 1.27
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

59% Wins 69%
30% Draws 12%
11% Losses 19%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 81%
37% Over 2.5 goals 73%
15% Over 3.5 goals 50%
7% Over 4.5 goals 31%
4% Over 5.5 goals 23%
44% Both teams scored 62%
48% Clean sheets 31%
11% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 50%
44% Draws 35%
26% Losses 15%
59% Over 0.5 goals 85%
15% Over 1.5 goals 54%
11% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid all matches
Barcelona all matches
Ath Madrid before this match, at home
2.43points / match
1.79scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:8
Barcelona before this match, away
2.14points / match
2.71scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 38:16
Ath Madrid at home away Barcelona

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 2.71
0.57 Goals conceded 1.14
2.36 Total goals 3.86
14.50 Shots 15.21
5.64 Shots on target 6.00
8.00 Shots faced 10.14
6.00 Corners 5.14
3.43 Corners against 5.36
10.64 Fouls 9.21
2.43 Yellow cards 2.29
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.93
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

71% Wins 64%
29% Draws 21%
0% Losses 14%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 93%
36% Over 2.5 goals 79%
14% Over 3.5 goals 57%
7% Over 4.5 goals 36%
7% Over 5.5 goals 21%
43% Both teams scored 71%
57% Clean sheets 21%
7% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 36%
43% Draws 43%
29% Losses 21%
57% Over 0.5 goals 86%
7% Over 1.5 goals 57%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ath Madrid at home
Barcelona away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.25 Getafe – Ath Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 4.503.101.95 2.70 1.41
01.03.25 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
22.02.25 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.203.401.91 2.20 1.67
15.02.25 Ath Madrid – Celta 1–1 (0–0) 1.394.508.00 1.78 2.00
08.02.25 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.25 Ath Madrid – Mallorca 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.338.50 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 1–1 (0–1) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
18.01.25 Leganes – Ath Madrid 1–0 (0–0) 7.004.001.50 2.10 1.73
12.01.25 Ath Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.80 2.00
21.12.24 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.803.90 1.57 2.38

Barcelona all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.25 Barcelona – Sociedad 4–0 (2–0) 1.255.7512.00 1.57 2.38
22.02.25 Las Palmas – Barcelona 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.30 3.50
17.02.25 Barcelona – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
09.02.25 Sevilla – Barcelona 1–4 (1–1) 5.254.501.55 1.44 2.75
02.02.25 Barcelona – Alaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.5013.00 1.36 3.20
26.01.25 Barcelona – Valencia 7–1 (5–0) 1.227.5010.00 1.40 3.00
18.01.25 Getafe – Barcelona 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.201.50 1.73 2.10
21.12.24 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.803.90 1.57 2.38
15.12.24 Barcelona – Leganes 0–1 (0–1) 1.138.0019.00 1.33 3.40
07.12.24 Betis – Barcelona 2–2 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63

Ath Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.25 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.67
15.02.25 Ath Madrid – Celta 1–1 (0–0) 1.394.508.00 1.78 2.00
01.02.25 Ath Madrid – Mallorca 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.338.50 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 1–1 (0–1) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
12.01.25 Ath Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.80 2.00
15.12.24 Ath Madrid – Getafe 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.339.00 2.30 1.62
08.12.24 Ath Madrid – Sevilla 4–3 (1–2) 1.384.758.50 1.85 2.05
23.11.24 Ath Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 2.03 1.87
03.11.24 Ath Madrid – Las Palmas 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.009.50 1.62 2.30
20.10.24 Ath Madrid – Leganes 3–1 (0–1) 1.334.7510.00 2.02 1.88

Barcelona away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Las Palmas – Barcelona 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.30 3.50
09.02.25 Sevilla – Barcelona 1–4 (1–1) 5.254.501.55 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Getafe – Barcelona 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.201.50 1.73 2.10
07.12.24 Betis – Barcelona 2–2 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
03.12.24 Mallorca – Barcelona 1–5 (1–1) 5.754.331.53 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Celta – Barcelona 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.331.65 1.44 2.75
10.11.24 Sociedad – Barcelona 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.101.65 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Real Madrid – Barcelona 0–4 (0–0) 2.004.103.25 1.40 3.00
06.10.24 Alaves – Barcelona 0–3 (0–3) 5.254.501.57 1.62 2.30
28.09.24 Osasuna – Barcelona 4–2 (2–0) 7.004.501.45 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ath Madrid winsDrawsBarcelona wins
7matches
2.43goals / match
43%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24SP1 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.803.90 1.57 2.38
17.03.24SP1 Ath Madrid – Barcelona 0–3 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.65 2.20
03.12.23SP1 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.753.50 1.73 2.08
23.04.23SP1 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.20 2.20 1.67
08.01.23SP1 Ath Madrid – Barcelona 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.97 1.93
06.02.22SP1 Barcelona – Ath Madrid 4–2 (3–1) 2.253.403.20 2.07 1.83
02.10.21SP1 Ath Madrid – Barcelona 2–0 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.80

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 59 27 +32 60
2 Barcelona 26 18 3 5 71 25 +46 57
3 Ath Madrid 27 16 8 3 44 18 +26 56
4 Ath Bilbao 28 14 10 4 46 24 +22 52
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 49 38 +11 44
6 Betis 28 12 8 8 38 35 +3 44
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 28 34 -6 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 41 41 0 39
9 Vallecano 28 9 10 9 31 31 0 37
10 Getafe 28 9 9 10 25 23 +2 36
11 Sevilla 28 9 9 10 32 37 -5 36
12 Sociedad 28 10 5 13 25 30 -5 35
13 Girona 28 9 7 12 36 41 -5 34
14 Osasuna 27 7 12 8 33 39 -6 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 26 39 -13 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 31 46 -15 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 32 42 -10 27
18 Leganes 28 6 9 13 26 43 -17 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 32 47 -15 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 18 63 -45 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 11 1 1 33 12 +21 34
2 Ath Madrid 14 10 4 0 25 8 +17 34
3 Ath Bilbao 14 8 5 1 27 9 +18 29
4 Celta 14 9 2 3 24 14 +10 29
5 Barcelona 12 9 0 3 33 9 +24 27
6 Betis 14 7 5 2 22 15 +7 26
7 Osasuna 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
8 Espanol 14 6 5 3 18 15 +3 23
9 Mallorca 15 6 5 4 16 16 0 23
10 Girona 14 6 3 5 25 21 +4 21
11 Valencia 14 6 3 5 20 18 +2 21
12 Villarreal 13 5 5 3 29 21 +8 20
13 Vallecano 14 5 5 4 20 19 +1 20
14 Sociedad 14 6 2 6 15 14 +1 20
15 Getafe 14 4 7 3 12 9 +3 19
16 Sevilla 14 5 4 5 12 16 -4 19
17 Leganes 14 5 2 7 15 22 -7 17
18 Alaves 13 4 4 5 11 13 -2 16
19 Las Palmas 14 3 5 6 17 21 -4 14
20 Valladolid 14 3 4 7 8 21 -13 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 14 9 3 2 38 16 +22 30
2 Real Madrid 15 7 5 3 26 15 +11 26
3 Villarreal 14 7 3 4 20 17 +3 24
4 Ath Bilbao 14 6 5 3 19 15 +4 23
5 Ath Madrid 13 6 4 3 19 10 +9 22
6 Betis 14 5 3 6 16 20 -4 18
7 Sevilla 14 4 5 5 20 21 -1 17
8 Getafe 14 5 2 7 13 14 -1 17
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 11 12 -1 17
10 Mallorca 13 5 2 6 12 18 -6 17
11 Sociedad 14 4 3 7 10 16 -6 15
12 Girona 14 3 4 7 11 20 -9 13
13 Alaves 15 2 5 8 21 29 -8 11
14 Las Palmas 14 3 2 9 15 26 -11 11
15 Celta 14 2 4 8 17 27 -10 10
16 Leganes 14 1 7 6 11 21 -10 10
17 Osasuna 12 1 6 5 7 17 -10 9
18 Valencia 14 0 7 7 11 28 -17 7
19 Espanol 13 1 2 10 8 24 -16 5
20 Valladolid 14 1 0 13 10 42 -32 3

Ath Madrid   Barcelona

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Barcelona 26 7 19 2.7 1.0 18 3 5 71 25 57
2 1 Real Madrid 28 11 17 2.1 1.0 18 6 4 59 27 60
3 5 Villarreal 27 10 17 1.8 1.4 12 8 7 49 38 44
4 8 Celta 28 11 17 1.5 1.5 11 6 11 41 41 39
5 20 Valladolid 28 11 17 0.6 2.2 4 4 20 18 63 16
6 13 Girona 28 12 16 1.3 1.5 9 7 12 36 41 34
7 19 Las Palmas 28 12 16 1.1 1.7 6 7 15 32 47 25
8 6 Betis 28 14 14 1.4 1.2 12 8 8 38 35 44
9 16 Valencia 28 14 14 1.1 1.6 6 10 12 31 46 28
10 17 Alaves 28 14 14 1.1 1.5 6 9 13 32 42 27
11 14 Osasuna 27 14 13 1.2 1.4 7 12 8 33 39 33
12 4 Ath Bilbao 28 16 12 1.6 0.9 14 10 4 46 24 52
13 9 Vallecano 28 16 12 1.1 1.1 9 10 9 31 31 37
14 15 Espanol 27 15 12 1.0 1.4 7 7 13 26 39 28
15 7 Mallorca 28 17 11 1.0 1.2 11 7 10 28 34 40
16 12 Sociedad 28 17 11 0.9 1.1 10 5 13 25 30 35
17 18 Leganes 28 17 11 0.9 1.5 6 9 13 26 43 27
18 3 Ath Madrid 27 17 10 1.6 0.7 16 8 3 44 18 56
19 11 Sevilla 28 18 10 1.1 1.3 9 9 10 32 37 36
20 10 Getafe 28 21 7 0.9 0.8 9 9 10 25 23 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Girona 14 3 11 1.8 1.5 6 3 5 25 21 21
2 5 Villarreal 13 3 10 2.2 1.6 5 5 3 29 21 20
3 14 Osasuna 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
4 1 Real Madrid 13 5 8 2.5 0.9 11 1 1 33 12 34
5 2 Barcelona 12 4 8 2.8 0.8 9 0 3 33 9 27
6 6 Betis 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 2 22 15 26
7 8 Celta 14 6 8 1.7 1.0 9 2 3 24 14 29
8 9 Vallecano 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 5 5 4 20 19 20
9 16 Valencia 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 6 3 5 20 18 21
10 18 Leganes 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 5 2 7 15 22 17
11 19 Las Palmas 14 7 7 1.2 1.5 3 5 6 17 21 14
12 7 Mallorca 15 9 6 1.1 1.1 6 5 4 16 16 23
13 12 Sociedad 14 8 6 1.1 1.0 6 2 6 15 14 20
14 15 Espanol 14 8 6 1.3 1.1 6 5 3 18 15 23
15 20 Valladolid 14 8 6 0.6 1.5 3 4 7 8 21 13
16 3 Ath Madrid 14 9 5 1.8 0.6 10 4 0 25 8 34
17 4 Ath Bilbao 14 9 5 1.9 0.6 8 5 1 27 9 29
18 11 Sevilla 14 11 3 0.9 1.1 5 4 5 12 16 19
19 17 Alaves 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 11 13 16
20 10 Getafe 14 12 2 0.9 0.6 4 7 3 12 9 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Barcelona 14 3 11 2.7 1.1 9 3 2 38 16 30
2 17 Alaves 15 4 11 1.4 1.9 2 5 8 21 29 11
3 20 Valladolid 14 3 11 0.7 3.0 1 0 13 10 42 3
4 1 Real Madrid 15 6 9 1.7 1.0 7 5 3 26 15 26
5 8 Celta 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 2 4 8 17 27 10
6 19 Las Palmas 14 5 9 1.1 1.9 3 2 9 15 26 11
7 4 Ath Bilbao 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 6 5 3 19 15 23
8 5 Villarreal 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 7 3 4 20 17 24
9 11 Sevilla 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 4 5 5 20 21 17
10 6 Betis 14 8 6 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 16 20 18
11 15 Espanol 13 7 6 0.6 1.8 1 2 10 8 24 5
12 16 Valencia 14 8 6 0.8 2.0 0 7 7 11 28 7
13 3 Ath Madrid 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 19 10 22
14 7 Mallorca 13 8 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 6 12 18 17
15 10 Getafe 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 5 2 7 13 14 17
16 12 Sociedad 14 9 5 0.7 1.1 4 3 7 10 16 15
17 13 Girona 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 3 4 7 11 20 13
18 9 Vallecano 14 10 4 0.8 0.9 4 5 5 11 12 17
19 18 Leganes 14 10 4 0.8 1.5 1 7 6 11 21 10
20 14 Osasuna 12 9 3 0.6 1.4 1 6 5 7 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40