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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.48 fair 1.52
Draw 5.00 fair 5.71
Away 5.50 fair 5.92
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 3.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Heerenveen Heracles
24 Shots 7
14 Shots on target 4
8 Corners 1
12 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (258 league matches this season so far).
Result Heerenveen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.52
Expected goals 2.55 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
HeerenveenDrawHeracles
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.1% 3–1 7.7% 2–0 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.46points / match
1.75scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 49:46
Heracles before this match, all matches
0.68points / match
1.18scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 33:70
Heerenveen all matches all matches Heracles

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.18
1.64 Goals conceded 2.50
3.39 Total goals 3.68
15.11 Shots 11.04
5.36 Shots on target 3.82
13.00 Shots faced 16.89
5.36 Corners 4.32
5.07 Corners against 6.00
10.96 Fouls 13.68
1.57 Yellow cards 2.04
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

39% Wins 18%
29% Draws 14%
32% Losses 68%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
96% Over 1.5 goals 93%
75% Over 2.5 goals 71%
43% Over 3.5 goals 43%
18% Over 4.5 goals 25%
7% Over 5.5 goals 18%
71% Both teams scored 54%
11% Clean sheets 7%
18% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 21%
29% Draws 21%
32% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 43%
18% Over 2.5 goals 32%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen all matches
Heracles all matches
Heerenveen before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.93scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:22
Heracles before this match, away
0.29points / match
0.79scored / match
2.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:41
Heerenveen at home away Heracles

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 0.79
1.57 Goals conceded 2.93
3.50 Total goals 3.71
15.79 Shots 8.50
5.29 Shots on target 2.64
10.79 Shots faced 17.79
5.43 Corners 4.29
4.64 Corners against 6.93
9.93 Fouls 14.64
1.64 Yellow cards 2.64
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 1.29

How often Full Time

43% Wins 7%
36% Draws 7%
21% Losses 86%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
71% Over 2.5 goals 79%
43% Over 3.5 goals 50%
21% Over 4.5 goals 21%
14% Over 5.5 goals 14%
79% Both teams scored 50%
7% Clean sheets 0%
14% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 14%
14% Draws 0%
36% Losses 86%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
36% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heerenveen at home
Heracles away

Last 10 matches before this match

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–2) 1.704.334.20 1.40 2.88
14.03.26 Heerenveen – Telstar 3–0 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.50
07.03.26 Excelsior – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.752.30 1.65 2.20
28.02.26 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.703.25 1.60 2.30
21.02.26 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.00 1.33 3.40
15.02.26 Heerenveen – Zwolle 4–2 (1–2) 1.534.336.00 1.53 2.40
11.02.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.752.50 1.60 2.30
07.02.26 Twente – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.33 1.62 2.25
01.02.26 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
18.01.26 Heerenveen – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 1.70 2.10

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.03.26 Heracles – Excelsior 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 1.73 2.08
15.03.26 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.425.006.50 1.53 2.40
06.03.26 Heracles – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.83 1.98
28.02.26 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–3) 8.006.501.29 1.30 3.50
22.02.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
14.02.26 Heracles – NAC Breda 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.502.50 1.85 1.95
07.02.26 Nijmegen – Heracles 4–1 (2–1) 1.444.756.25 1.40 2.88
01.02.26 Heracles – For Sittard 2–1 (2–1) 2.353.502.90 1.75 2.05
25.01.26 Feyenoord – Heracles 4–2 (2–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.33 3.40
18.01.26 Heracles – Twente 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.57 2.35

Heerenveen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Heerenveen – Telstar 3–0 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.50
28.02.26 Heerenveen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.053.703.25 1.60 2.30
15.02.26 Heerenveen – Zwolle 4–2 (1–2) 1.534.336.00 1.53 2.40
01.02.26 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
18.01.26 Heerenveen – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 1.70 2.10
11.01.26 Heerenveen – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–2) 3.103.802.15 1.53 2.40
06.12.25 Heerenveen – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–2) 4.505.001.57 1.30 3.50
23.11.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (2–0) 2.884.002.20 1.50 2.50
24.10.25 Heerenveen – NAC Breda 3–3 (1–0) 1.734.104.50 1.60 2.30
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40

Heracles away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 AZ Alkmaar – Heracles 4–0 (2–0) 1.425.006.50 1.53 2.40
22.02.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25
07.02.26 Nijmegen – Heracles 4–1 (2–1) 1.444.756.25 1.40 2.88
25.01.26 Feyenoord – Heracles 4–2 (2–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.33 3.40
11.01.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.10 1.57 2.35
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
29.11.25 For Sittard – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Volendam – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.903.10 1.65 2.20
05.10.25 Twente – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Heerenveen winsDrawsHeracles wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
43%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25N1 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–3 (0–0) 3.303.802.05 1.57 2.35
15.03.25N1 Heerenveen – Heracles 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.33 1.73 2.08
27.09.24N1 Heracles – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–0) 2.883.602.38 1.60 2.30
14.04.24N1 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–2 (0–1) 2.883.402.45 1.70 2.10
28.10.23N1 Heerenveen – Heracles 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.753.75 1.65 2.20
18.03.22N1 Heerenveen – Heracles 2–0 (0–0) 2.373.253.10 2.15 1.66
04.12.21N1 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 29 23 2 4 82 40 +42 71
2 Nijmegen 29 15 8 6 71 47 +24 53
3 Feyenoord 28 16 5 7 61 40 +21 53
4 Twente 29 13 11 5 49 31 +18 50
5 Ajax 29 12 12 5 54 37 +17 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 29 13 6 10 49 45 +4 45
7 Utrecht 29 11 8 10 45 35 +10 41
8 Groningen 29 12 5 12 42 37 +5 41
9 Heerenveen 28 11 8 9 49 46 +3 41
10 Sparta Rotterdam 28 12 5 11 35 47 -12 41
11 Go Ahead Eagles 29 8 11 10 50 45 +5 35
12 For Sittard 29 10 5 14 43 54 -11 35
13 Zwolle 29 8 9 12 38 58 -20 33
14 Telstar 29 6 9 14 38 48 -10 27
15 Volendam 28 7 6 15 30 48 -18 27
16 Excelsior 29 7 6 16 29 49 -20 27
17 NAC Breda 28 5 8 15 29 50 -21 23
18 Heracles 28 5 4 19 33 70 -37 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 11 2 2 47 24 +23 35
2 Feyenoord 15 10 2 3 35 21 +14 32
3 Ajax 15 9 3 3 29 13 +16 30
4 Nijmegen 14 8 3 3 37 22 +15 27
5 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 5 2 31 21 +10 26
6 Twente 14 7 4 3 22 14 +8 25
7 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 6 3 33 20 +13 24
8 Utrecht 14 7 3 4 23 12 +11 24
9 Zwolle 14 7 3 4 18 17 +1 24
10 Heerenveen 14 6 5 3 27 22 +5 23
11 Volendam 14 6 4 4 23 19 +4 22
12 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 4 4 17 20 -3 22
13 Groningen 14 6 3 5 23 14 +9 21
14 For Sittard 14 6 3 5 23 24 -1 21
15 NAC Breda 14 4 4 6 18 21 -3 16
16 Heracles 14 4 3 7 22 29 -7 15
17 Telstar 15 3 5 7 24 27 -3 14
18 Excelsior 15 4 2 9 14 21 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 12 0 2 35 16 +19 36
2 Nijmegen 15 7 5 3 34 25 +9 26
3 Twente 15 6 7 2 27 17 +10 25
4 Feyenoord 13 6 3 4 26 19 +7 21
5 Groningen 15 6 2 7 19 23 -4 20
6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 1 8 18 24 -6 19
7 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 1 7 18 27 -9 19
8 Ajax 14 3 9 2 25 24 +1 18
9 Heerenveen 14 5 3 6 22 24 -2 18
10 Utrecht 15 4 5 6 22 23 -1 17
11 For Sittard 15 4 2 9 20 30 -10 14
12 Telstar 14 3 4 7 14 21 -7 13
13 Excelsior 14 3 4 7 15 28 -13 13
14 Go Ahead Eagles 14 2 5 7 17 25 -8 11
15 Zwolle 15 1 6 8 20 41 -21 9
16 NAC Breda 14 1 4 9 11 29 -18 7
17 Volendam 14 1 2 11 7 29 -22 5
18 Heracles 14 1 1 12 11 41 -30 4

Heerenveen   Heracles

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 29 4 25 2.8 1.4 23 2 4 82 40 71
2 2 Nijmegen 29 6 23 2.4 1.6 15 8 6 71 47 53
3 9 Heerenveen 28 7 21 1.8 1.6 11 8 9 49 46 41
4 12 For Sittard 29 9 20 1.5 1.9 10 5 14 43 54 35
5 18 Heracles 28 8 20 1.2 2.5 5 4 19 33 70 19
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 29 10 19 1.7 1.6 13 6 10 49 45 45
7 3 Feyenoord 28 10 18 2.2 1.4 16 5 7 61 40 53
8 11 Go Ahead Eagles 29 11 18 1.7 1.6 8 11 10 50 45 35
9 13 Zwolle 29 11 18 1.3 2.0 8 9 12 38 58 33
10 15 Volendam 28 10 18 1.1 1.7 7 6 15 30 48 27
11 5 Ajax 29 12 17 1.9 1.3 12 12 5 54 37 48
12 16 Excelsior 29 12 17 1.0 1.7 7 6 16 29 49 27
13 14 Telstar 29 13 16 1.3 1.7 6 9 14 38 48 27
14 17 NAC Breda 28 12 16 1.0 1.8 5 8 15 29 50 23
15 8 Groningen 29 14 15 1.4 1.3 12 5 12 42 37 41
16 7 Utrecht 29 15 14 1.6 1.2 11 8 10 45 35 41
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 28 14 14 1.2 1.7 12 5 11 35 47 41
18 4 Twente 29 16 13 1.7 1.1 13 11 5 49 31 50
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 1 14 3.1 1.6 11 2 2 47 24 35
2 2 Nijmegen 14 1 13 2.6 1.6 8 3 3 37 22 27
3 11 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 11 2.2 1.3 6 6 3 33 20 24
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 4 10 2.2 1.5 7 5 2 31 21 26
5 9 Heerenveen 14 4 10 1.9 1.6 6 5 3 27 22 23
6 12 For Sittard 14 4 10 1.6 1.7 6 3 5 23 24 21
7 14 Telstar 15 5 10 1.6 1.8 3 5 7 24 27 14
8 15 Volendam 14 4 10 1.6 1.4 6 4 4 23 19 22
9 3 Feyenoord 15 6 9 2.3 1.4 10 2 3 35 21 32
10 8 Groningen 14 5 9 1.6 1.0 6 3 5 23 14 21
11 18 Heracles 14 5 9 1.6 2.1 4 3 7 22 29 15
12 16 Excelsior 15 7 8 0.9 1.4 4 2 9 14 21 14
13 5 Ajax 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 29 13 30
14 13 Zwolle 14 7 7 1.3 1.2 7 3 4 18 17 24
15 17 NAC Breda 14 7 7 1.3 1.5 4 4 6 18 21 16
16 4 Twente 14 8 6 1.6 1.0 7 4 3 22 14 25
17 7 Utrecht 14 8 6 1.6 0.9 7 3 4 23 12 24
18 10 Sparta Rotterdam 14 9 5 1.2 1.4 6 4 4 17 20 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 3 11 2.5 1.1 12 0 2 35 16 36
2 9 Heerenveen 14 3 11 1.6 1.7 5 3 6 22 24 18
3 13 Zwolle 15 4 11 1.3 2.7 1 6 8 20 41 9
4 18 Heracles 14 3 11 0.8 2.9 1 1 12 11 41 4
5 2 Nijmegen 15 5 10 2.3 1.7 7 5 3 34 25 26
6 5 Ajax 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 3 9 2 25 24 18
7 12 For Sittard 15 5 10 1.3 2.0 4 2 9 20 30 14
8 3 Feyenoord 13 4 9 2.0 1.5 6 3 4 26 19 21
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.2 1.6 6 1 8 18 24 19
10 10 Sparta Rotterdam 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 6 1 7 18 27 19
11 16 Excelsior 14 5 9 1.1 2.0 3 4 7 15 28 13
12 17 NAC Breda 14 5 9 0.8 2.1 1 4 9 11 29 7
13 7 Utrecht 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 4 5 6 22 23 17
14 15 Volendam 14 6 8 0.5 2.1 1 2 11 7 29 5
15 4 Twente 15 8 7 1.8 1.1 6 7 2 27 17 25
16 11 Go Ahead Eagles 14 7 7 1.2 1.8 2 5 7 17 25 11
17 8 Groningen 15 9 6 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 23 20
18 14 Telstar 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 3 4 7 14 21 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51