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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.00 fair 2.00
Draw 4.10 fair 4.82
Away 2.10 fair 3.43
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 3.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen AZ Alkmaar
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 4
14 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (59 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.41
Expected goals 2.15 – 1.61
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.7% 1–1 8.1% 2–2 7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
3.17scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 19:12
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.33scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:9
Nijmegen all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

3.17 Goals scored 2.33
2.00 Goals conceded 1.50
5.17 Total goals 3.83
17.00 Shots 19.33
8.17 Shots on target 6.33
11.83 Shots faced 12.67
5.83 Corners 6.50
3.17 Corners against 3.83
11.83 Fouls 11.00
1.50 Yellow cards 3.33
0.83 1st-half goals scored 1.33
1.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 83%
100% Over 2.5 goals 83%
83% Over 3.5 goals 67%
83% Over 4.5 goals 33%
17% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 83%
33% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
17% Draws 67%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
2.00points / match
3.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 11:5
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
2.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:3
Nijmegen at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

3.67 Goals scored 1.67
1.67 Goals conceded 1.00
5.33 Total goals 2.67
17.67 Shots 23.00
9.00 Shots on target 6.33
11.33 Shots faced 12.67
6.00 Corners 6.67
2.33 Corners against 3.33
12.67 Fouls 11.33
1.67 Yellow cards 4.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 67%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
100% Over 2.5 goals 67%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
67% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
67% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
31.08.25 For Sittard – Nijmegen 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.15
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
16.08.25 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.08
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
18.05.25 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.40
14.05.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.70 2.10
11.05.25 Ajax – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.48 2.60
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 3–3 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
14.09.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
31.08.25 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.57 2.35
17.08.25 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 5.004.501.57 1.44 2.70
10.08.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 4–1 (3–1) 1.534.336.00 1.73 2.08
18.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.70
14.05.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–3 (2–2) 2.383.502.90 1.70 2.10
11.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 1.75 2.05
04.05.25 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.602.50 1.60 2.30

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
14.05.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.70 2.10
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
11.04.25 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 2–1 (0–0) 1.674.004.75 1.57 2.35
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
09.03.25 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 (0–1) 2.153.503.30 1.69 2.07
16.02.25 Nijmegen – Almere City 2–2 (1–1) 1.504.007.00 1.90 1.95
01.02.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–3 (0–0) 5.755.001.48 1.44 2.70

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
31.08.25 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.57 2.35
17.08.25 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 5.004.501.57 1.44 2.70
14.05.25 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–3 (2–2) 2.383.502.90 1.70 2.10
04.05.25 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 2.703.602.50 1.60 2.30
13.04.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.501.90 1.90 1.95
29.03.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98
02.03.25 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 3–1 (1–0) 3.603.302.10 2.00 1.85
02.02.25 Willem II – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 5.003.501.73 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
8matches
3.00goals / match
63%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 3–3 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 1.90 1.95
17.08.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 1.484.506.25 1.57 2.35
28.04.24N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 3.204.002.05 1.70 2.10
06.12.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–2) 1.256.0010.00 1.53 2.40
21.05.23N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 4.333.801.80 1.60 2.30
01.09.22N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.66 2.15
06.03.22N1 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 (1–1) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.05
20.11.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.009.00 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 21 11 +10 16
2 Feyenoord 6 5 1 0 14 4 +10 16
3 Ajax 7 4 3 0 14 7 +7 15
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 0 14 9 +5 12
5 Groningen 6 4 0 2 12 9 +3 12
6 Twente 7 3 1 3 12 10 +2 10
7 For Sittard 7 3 1 3 12 12 0 10
8 Nijmegen 6 3 0 3 19 12 +7 9
9 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 11 5 +6 9
10 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 11 9 +2 9
11 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 0 4 8 19 -11 9
12 Volendam 7 1 4 2 9 12 -3 7
13 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 7 11 -4 7
14 NAC Breda 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
15 Excelsior 7 2 0 5 6 15 -9 6
16 Heerenveen 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
17 Telstar 6 1 1 4 5 11 -6 4
18 Heracles 7 1 0 6 6 18 -12 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ajax 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Groningen 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
3 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
4 PSV Eindhoven 4 2 1 1 12 7 +5 7
5 For Sittard 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
6 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 11 5 +6 6
7 Utrecht 3 2 0 1 8 2 +6 6
8 NAC Breda 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
9 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 0 9 6 +3 5
10 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 7 7 0 5
11 Volendam 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
13 Twente 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
14 Heracles 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
15 Excelsior 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 3
16 Zwolle 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
17 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 0 2 3 10 -7 3
18 Telstar 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 9 4 +5 9
2 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 9 4 +5 7
3 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
4 Twente 4 2 0 2 7 4 +3 6
5 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
6 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 2 0 6 4 +2 5
7 Zwolle 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
8 Nijmegen 3 1 0 2 8 7 +1 3
9 Ajax 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3
10 Utrecht 3 1 0 2 3 3 0 3
11 For Sittard 4 1 0 3 6 8 -2 3
12 Telstar 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
13 Groningen 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
14 Excelsior 3 1 0 2 3 10 -7 3
15 Volendam 3 0 2 1 3 6 -3 2
16 NAC Breda 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
17 Heerenveen 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
18 Heracles 4 0 0 4 1 12 -11 0

Nijmegen   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Nijmegen 6 0 6 3.2 2.0 3 0 3 19 12 9
2 11 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 6 1.1 2.7 3 0 4 8 19 9
3 18 Heracles 7 1 6 0.9 2.6 1 0 6 6 18 3
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 2 5 3.0 1.6 5 1 1 21 11 16
5 4 AZ Alkmaar 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 3 3 0 14 9 12
6 7 For Sittard 7 2 5 1.7 1.7 3 1 3 12 12 10
7 10 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 2 3 1 11 9 9
8 12 Volendam 7 2 5 1.3 1.7 1 4 2 9 12 7
9 14 NAC Breda 7 2 5 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
10 15 Excelsior 7 2 5 0.9 2.1 2 0 5 6 15 6
11 3 Ajax 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 3 0 14 7 15
12 5 Groningen 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 4 0 2 12 9 12
13 6 Twente 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 1 3 12 10 10
14 16 Heerenveen 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 1 2 3 8 10 5
15 2 Feyenoord 6 3 3 2.3 0.7 5 1 0 14 4 16
16 9 Utrecht 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 0 3 11 5 9
17 13 Zwolle 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 2 1 4 7 11 7
18 17 Telstar 6 4 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 4 5 11 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 4 1 3 3.0 1.8 2 1 1 12 7 7
2 4 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 3 3.0 2.0 1 2 0 9 6 5
3 8 Nijmegen 3 0 3 3.7 1.7 2 0 1 11 5 6
4 10 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
5 11 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 3 1.0 3.3 1 0 2 3 10 3
6 12 Volendam 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
7 16 Heerenveen 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 2 1 7 7 5
8 18 Heracles 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
9 3 Ajax 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
10 5 Groningen 3 1 2 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
11 6 Twente 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
12 7 For Sittard 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7
13 9 Utrecht 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 0 1 8 2 6
14 14 NAC Breda 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
15 15 Excelsior 4 2 2 0.8 1.2 1 0 3 3 5 3
16 17 Telstar 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
17 2 Feyenoord 3 3 0 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
18 13 Zwolle 3 3 0 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Feyenoord 3 0 3 3.0 1.3 2 1 0 9 4 7
2 7 For Sittard 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 1 0 3 6 8 3
3 8 Nijmegen 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 1 0 2 8 7 3
4 11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
5 13 Zwolle 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
6 14 NAC Breda 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
7 15 Excelsior 3 0 3 1.0 3.3 1 0 2 3 10 3
8 18 Heracles 4 1 3 0.2 3.0 0 0 4 1 12 0
9 1 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 3 0 0 9 4 9
10 3 Ajax 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
12 5 Groningen 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
13 6 Twente 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 0 2 7 4 6
14 10 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 2 0 6 4 5
15 12 Volendam 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 1 3 6 2
16 9 Utrecht 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 2 3 3 3
17 16 Heerenveen 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
18 17 Telstar 3 3 0 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40