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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

AZ Alkmaar 1–5 PSV Eindhoven

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.00 fair 2.31
Draw 4.00 fair 4.75
Away ✓ 2.10 fair 2.80
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 3.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AZ Alkmaar PSV Eindhoven
8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 6
9 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (106 league matches this season so far).
Result AZ Alkmaar to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.37
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.83
Home / Draw / Away
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 7.9% 1–1 7.9% 2–2 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
2.18points / match
2.18scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 24:13
PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.55points / match
3.18scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 35:16
AZ Alkmaar all matches all matches PSV Eindhoven

Per match

2.18 Goals scored 3.18
1.18 Goals conceded 1.45
3.36 Total goals 4.64
18.27 Shots 19.09
6.73 Shots on target 7.64
12.64 Shots faced 12.27
6.36 Corners 6.45
4.09 Corners against 4.36
11.27 Fouls 10.64
2.91 Yellow cards 1.36
1.27 1st-half goals scored 1.55
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

64% Wins 82%
27% Draws 9%
9% Losses 9%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 100%
73% Over 2.5 goals 82%
45% Over 3.5 goals 64%
27% Over 4.5 goals 45%
9% Over 5.5 goals 36%
73% Both teams scored 73%
27% Clean sheets 18%
0% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 64%
45% Draws 27%
9% Losses 9%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
18% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar all matches
PSV Eindhoven all matches
AZ Alkmaar before this match, at home
2.20points / match
3.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 15:8
PSV Eindhoven before this match, away
3.00points / match
3.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 16:6
AZ Alkmaar at home away PSV Eindhoven

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 3.20
1.60 Goals conceded 1.20
4.60 Total goals 4.40
18.40 Shots 16.20
7.20 Shots on target 7.60
12.00 Shots faced 14.60
6.60 Corners 5.00
3.80 Corners against 5.20
8.60 Fouls 11.20
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
2.00 1st-half goals scored 1.60
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

60% Wins 100%
40% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 80%
80% Over 3.5 goals 60%
60% Over 4.5 goals 40%
20% Over 5.5 goals 20%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 80%
20% Draws 20%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AZ Alkmaar at home
PSV Eindhoven away

Last 10 matches before this match

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Telstar 2–1 (2–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
24.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 3–3 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
14.09.25 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.35
31.08.25 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.57 2.35
17.08.25 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 5.004.501.57 1.44 2.70

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 5–2 (3–0) 1.148.0013.00 1.29 3.60
26.10.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (0–1) 2.453.802.60 1.44 2.70
18.10.25 PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 (1–0) 1.277.008.00 1.22 4.20
04.10.25 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
30.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Telstar 0–2 (0–1) 1.0812.0019.00 1.18 4.50
23.08.25 PSV Eindhoven – Groningen 4–2 (1–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.30 3.50
17.08.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.751.57 1.33 3.40

AZ Alkmaar at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Telstar 2–1 (2–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
24.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Zwolle 2–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 3–3 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
10.08.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 4–1 (3–1) 1.534.336.00 1.73 2.08
18.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.70
11.05.25 AZ Alkmaar – Groningen 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.205.00 1.75 2.05
24.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.73 2.08
05.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.602.80 1.80 2.00
01.04.25 AZ Alkmaar – Waalwijk 2–2 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.70

PSV Eindhoven away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (0–1) 2.453.802.60 1.44 2.70
04.10.25 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
17.08.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–1) 4.754.751.57 1.33 3.40
18.05.25 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (0–1) 8.006.501.29 1.22 4.20
11.05.25 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 2–3 (2–0) 2.553.902.40 1.40 2.88
24.04.25 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–1) 4.104.001.80 1.50 2.50
05.04.25 Groningen – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 7.005.001.40 1.57 2.35
15.03.25 Waalwijk – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–2) 10.007.001.22 1.30 3.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AZ Alkmaar winsDrawsPSV Eindhoven wins
8matches
3.38goals / match
88%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.25N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–1) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
19.10.24N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–2) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
06.04.24N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 5–1 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.60 2.30
17.12.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
28.05.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–0) 2.633.752.45 1.53 2.40
12.11.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.47 2.60
05.02.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 1.604.205.25 1.70 2.10
11.09.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 9 1 1 30 10 +20 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 9 1 1 35 16 +19 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 3 1 24 13 +11 24
4 Ajax 12 5 5 2 22 17 +5 20
5 Utrecht 12 6 1 5 22 16 +6 19
6 Groningen 12 6 1 5 17 17 0 19
7 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 29 20 +9 18
8 Twente 12 4 4 4 20 18 +2 16
9 For Sittard 12 5 1 6 18 20 -2 16
10 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 1 6 14 24 -10 16
11 Heerenveen 12 3 5 4 19 21 -2 14
12 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 4 4 17 17 0 13
13 Volendam 12 3 4 5 16 20 -4 13
14 NAC Breda 12 3 3 6 15 21 -6 12
15 Zwolle 12 3 3 6 14 27 -13 12
16 Excelsior 12 3 1 8 11 23 -12 10
17 Telstar 12 2 3 7 14 21 -7 9
18 Heracles 12 3 0 9 17 33 -16 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 7 5 1 1 16 6 +10 16
2 Feyenoord 6 5 0 1 13 6 +7 15
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 19 10 +9 13
4 Nijmegen 6 4 1 1 18 9 +9 13
5 Ajax 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
6 For Sittard 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13
7 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 2 0 15 8 +7 11
8 Volendam 6 3 2 1 11 7 +4 11
9 Groningen 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
10 NAC Breda 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
11 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 12 11 +1 9
12 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
13 Twente 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
14 Zwolle 6 2 1 3 4 10 -6 7
15 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 1 3 7 14 -7 7
16 Heracles 5 2 0 3 13 15 -2 6
17 Excelsior 6 2 0 4 5 7 -2 6
18 Telstar 6 1 2 3 11 14 -3 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 16 6 +10 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 17 4 +13 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13
4 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 7 10 -3 9
5 Groningen 6 3 0 3 8 12 -4 9
6 Twente 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
7 Ajax 6 1 4 1 12 12 0 7
8 Nijmegen 6 1 2 3 11 11 0 5
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 2 3 9 11 -2 5
10 Heerenveen 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
11 Zwolle 6 1 2 3 10 17 -7 5
12 Telstar 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
13 Excelsior 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
14 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
15 For Sittard 6 1 0 5 8 14 -6 3
16 Heracles 7 1 0 6 4 18 -14 3
17 NAC Breda 6 0 2 4 7 14 -7 2
18 Volendam 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

AZ Alkmaar   PSV Eindhoven

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Heracles 12 1 11 1.4 2.8 3 0 9 17 33 9
2 2 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 3.2 1.5 9 1 1 35 16 28
3 7 Nijmegen 12 3 9 2.4 1.7 5 3 4 29 20 18
4 13 Volendam 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 3 4 5 16 20 13
5 14 NAC Breda 12 3 9 1.2 1.8 3 3 6 15 21 12
6 3 AZ Alkmaar 11 3 8 2.2 1.2 7 3 1 24 13 24
7 5 Utrecht 12 4 8 1.8 1.3 6 1 5 22 16 19
8 11 Heerenveen 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 5 4 19 21 14
9 16 Excelsior 12 4 8 0.9 1.9 3 1 8 11 23 10
10 1 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.7 0.9 9 1 1 30 10 28
11 4 Ajax 12 5 7 1.8 1.4 5 5 2 22 17 20
12 8 Twente 12 5 7 1.7 1.5 4 4 4 20 18 16
13 9 For Sittard 12 5 7 1.5 1.7 5 1 6 18 20 16
14 10 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 7 1.2 2.0 5 1 6 14 24 16
15 12 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 4 4 17 17 13
16 15 Zwolle 12 5 7 1.2 2.2 3 3 6 14 27 12
17 6 Groningen 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 6 1 5 17 17 19
18 17 Telstar 12 6 6 1.2 1.8 2 3 7 14 21 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.2 1.7 4 1 1 19 10 13
2 3 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 3.0 1.6 3 2 0 15 8 11
3 5 Utrecht 7 2 5 2.3 0.9 5 1 1 16 6 16
4 7 Nijmegen 6 1 5 3.0 1.5 4 1 1 18 9 13
5 11 Heerenveen 6 1 5 2.0 1.8 2 3 1 12 11 9
6 13 Volendam 6 1 5 1.8 1.2 3 2 1 11 7 11
7 17 Telstar 6 1 5 1.8 2.3 1 2 3 11 14 5
8 18 Heracles 5 0 5 2.6 3.0 2 0 3 13 15 6
9 8 Twente 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
10 10 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 2 1 3 7 14 7
11 14 NAC Breda 6 2 4 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
12 1 Feyenoord 6 3 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 1 13 6 15
13 9 For Sittard 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13
14 12 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
15 16 Excelsior 6 3 3 0.8 1.2 2 0 4 5 7 6
16 4 Ajax 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
17 6 Groningen 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
18 15 Zwolle 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 2 1 3 4 10 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Heracles 7 1 6 0.6 2.6 1 0 6 4 18 3
2 4 Ajax 6 1 5 2.0 2.0 1 4 1 12 12 7
3 14 NAC Breda 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 0 2 4 7 14 2
4 15 Zwolle 6 1 5 1.7 2.8 1 2 3 10 17 5
5 16 Excelsior 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
6 1 Feyenoord 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 4 1 0 17 4 13
7 2 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.2 1.2 5 0 0 16 6 15
8 6 Groningen 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 3 0 3 8 12 9
9 7 Nijmegen 6 2 4 1.8 1.8 1 2 3 11 11 5
10 9 For Sittard 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 0 5 8 14 3
11 12 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 1 2 3 9 11 5
12 13 Volendam 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 0 2 4 5 13 2
13 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13
14 5 Utrecht 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
15 8 Twente 6 3 3 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
16 10 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 3 0 3 7 10 9
17 11 Heerenveen 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
18 17 Telstar 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51