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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

PSV Eindhoven 5–1 AZ Alkmaar

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.68
Draw 4.75 fair 4.81
Away 6.50 fair 5.11
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 1.62

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 2.07 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.5% 2–0 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.68points / match
3.00scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 84:16
AZ Alkmaar before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.96scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 55:28
PSV Eindhoven all matches all matches AZ Alkmaar

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.96
0.57 Goals conceded 1.00
3.57 Total goals 2.96
23.64 Shots 14.39
9.04 Shots on target 5.21
8.14 Shots faced 10.25
7.57 Corners 6.18
2.82 Corners against 3.25
8.25 Fouls 8.89
1.07 Yellow cards 1.29
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

86% Wins 54%
11% Draws 25%
4% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
93% Over 1.5 goals 89%
68% Over 2.5 goals 61%
57% Over 3.5 goals 36%
14% Over 4.5 goals 11%
14% Over 5.5 goals 4%
43% Both teams scored 46%
57% Clean sheets 39%
0% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 50%
29% Draws 25%
7% Losses 25%
86% Over 0.5 goals 82%
43% Over 1.5 goals 32%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven all matches
AZ Alkmaar all matches
PSV Eindhoven before this match, at home
2.85points / match
2.77scored / match
0.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 36:7
AZ Alkmaar before this match, away
1.64points / match
1.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 22:16
PSV Eindhoven at home away AZ Alkmaar

Per match

2.77 Goals scored 1.57
0.54 Goals conceded 1.14
3.31 Total goals 2.71
24.92 Shots 13.93
9.69 Shots on target 4.64
6.85 Shots faced 11.79
8.46 Corners 5.79
2.08 Corners against 3.57
8.62 Fouls 9.93
1.00 Yellow cards 1.50
1.15 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

92% Wins 43%
8% Draws 36%
0% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
92% Over 1.5 goals 86%
62% Over 2.5 goals 57%
54% Over 3.5 goals 29%
8% Over 4.5 goals 7%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 57%
62% Clean sheets 29%
0% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

77% Wins 36%
15% Draws 36%
8% Losses 29%
92% Over 0.5 goals 79%
38% Over 1.5 goals 29%
8% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

PSV Eindhoven at home
AZ Alkmaar away

Last 10 matches before this match

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–1 (1–1) 6.005.001.44 1.48 2.60
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
08.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
03.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (1–2) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
16.02.24 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.20 4.33
11.02.24 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–1) 21.0010.001.10 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
27.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 1.0910.0023.00 1.25 4.00

AZ Alkmaar all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 5–0 (3–0) 6.505.001.44 1.65 2.20
30.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Vitesse 2–0 (0–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 0–4 (0–2) 12.006.001.25 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.93 1.93
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
17.02.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.85 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Almere City – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.75 2.05
04.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 1.73 2.08
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05

PSV Eindhoven at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.75 2.05
16.02.24 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.20 4.33
27.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 1.0910.0023.00 1.25 4.00
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
07.12.23 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.30 3.50
12.11.23 PSV Eindhoven – Zwolle 4–0 (2–0) 1.1011.0021.00 1.22 4.20
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
21.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – For Sittard 3–1 (1–0) 1.118.5021.00 1.25 4.00
30.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Volendam 3–1 (1–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.14 5.50

AZ Alkmaar away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24 Heracles – AZ Alkmaar 5–0 (3–0) 6.505.001.44 1.65 2.20
17.03.24 Volendam – AZ Alkmaar 0–4 (0–2) 12.006.001.25 1.48 2.60
02.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.801.85 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 For Sittard – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 4.333.601.85 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Almere City – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.70 1.75 2.05
28.01.24 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (1–1) 3.303.752.05 1.75 2.05
13.01.24 Twente – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.40 1.93 1.93
03.12.23 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–1) 4.003.751.83 1.85 2.00
12.11.23 Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.25 1.57 2.35
04.11.23 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

PSV Eindhoven winsDrawsAZ Alkmaar wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
80%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
28.05.23N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–0) 2.633.752.45 1.53 2.40
12.11.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.47 2.60
05.02.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–1) 1.604.205.25 1.70 2.10
11.09.21N1 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.60 2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 28 24 3 1 84 16 +68 75
2 Feyenoord 28 20 6 2 70 23 +47 66
3 Twente 28 17 6 5 53 28 +25 57
4 AZ Alkmaar 28 15 7 6 55 28 +27 52
5 Ajax 28 12 9 7 61 49 +12 45
6 Nijmegen 28 11 10 7 54 42 +12 43
7 Go Ahead Eagles 28 11 8 9 42 36 +6 41
8 Utrecht 28 10 9 9 38 38 0 39
9 Sparta Rotterdam 29 10 7 12 42 41 +1 37
10 For Sittard 28 9 8 11 34 49 -15 35
11 Heerenveen 28 9 6 13 46 53 -7 33
12 Almere City 28 7 11 10 27 44 -17 32
13 Heracles 29 9 5 15 40 60 -20 32
14 Zwolle 28 7 7 14 36 55 -19 28
15 Waalwijk 28 6 6 16 25 44 -19 24
16 Excelsior 28 4 10 14 39 62 -23 22
17 Vitesse 28 4 5 19 22 59 -37 17
18 Volendam 28 3 7 18 27 68 -41 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 1 0 36 7 +29 37
2 Twente 14 11 1 2 28 14 +14 34
3 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 36 10 +26 33
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 9 2 3 33 12 +21 29
5 Nijmegen 14 8 3 3 31 17 +14 27
6 Ajax 14 7 5 2 32 18 +14 26
7 For Sittard 14 7 4 3 26 18 +8 25
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 7 3 4 29 16 +13 24
9 Utrecht 14 6 5 3 26 21 +5 23
10 Heerenveen 14 6 3 5 27 22 +5 21
11 Heracles 14 6 3 5 25 28 -3 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 22 24 -2 17
13 Waalwijk 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
14 Almere City 14 3 6 5 14 22 -8 15
15 Excelsior 14 2 7 5 18 24 -6 13
16 Zwolle 14 3 3 8 13 27 -14 12
17 Vitesse 14 1 5 8 10 23 -13 8
18 Volendam 14 2 2 10 11 36 -25 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 12 2 1 48 9 +39 38
2 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 34 13 +21 33
3 Twente 14 6 5 3 25 14 +11 23
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 5 3 22 16 +6 23
5 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 2 6 20 17 +3 20
6 Ajax 14 5 4 5 29 31 -2 19
7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 4 5 5 13 20 -7 17
8 Almere City 14 4 5 5 13 22 -9 17
9 Nijmegen 14 3 7 4 23 25 -2 16
10 Zwolle 14 4 4 6 23 28 -5 16
11 Utrecht 14 4 4 6 12 17 -5 16
12 Heerenveen 14 3 3 8 19 31 -12 12
13 Heracles 15 3 2 10 15 32 -17 11
14 For Sittard 14 2 4 8 8 31 -23 10
15 Excelsior 14 2 3 9 21 38 -17 9
16 Vitesse 14 3 0 11 12 36 -24 9
17 Waalwijk 13 2 2 9 8 22 -14 8
18 Volendam 14 1 5 8 16 32 -16 8

PSV Eindhoven   AZ Alkmaar

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 28 6 22 2.2 1.8 12 9 7 61 49 45
2 13 Heracles 29 8 21 1.4 2.1 9 5 15 40 60 32
3 16 Excelsior 28 7 21 1.4 2.2 4 10 14 39 62 22
4 11 Heerenveen 28 8 20 1.6 1.9 9 6 13 46 53 33
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 28 9 19 3.0 0.6 24 3 1 84 16 75
6 2 Feyenoord 28 9 19 2.5 0.8 20 6 2 70 23 66
7 3 Twente 28 10 18 1.9 1.0 17 6 5 53 28 57
8 6 Nijmegen 28 10 18 1.9 1.5 11 10 7 54 42 43
9 10 For Sittard 28 10 18 1.2 1.8 9 8 11 34 49 35
10 18 Volendam 28 10 18 1.0 2.4 3 7 18 27 68 16
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 28 11 17 2.0 1.0 15 7 6 55 28 52
12 14 Zwolle 28 11 17 1.3 2.0 7 7 14 36 55 28
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 29 13 16 1.4 1.4 10 7 12 42 41 37
14 17 Vitesse 28 13 15 0.8 2.1 4 5 19 22 59 17
15 7 Go Ahead Eagles 28 15 13 1.5 1.3 11 8 9 42 36 41
16 12 Almere City 28 15 13 1.0 1.6 7 11 10 27 44 32
17 15 Waalwijk 28 15 13 0.9 1.6 6 6 16 25 44 24
18 8 Utrecht 28 18 10 1.4 1.4 10 9 9 38 38 39
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Heerenveen 14 3 11 1.9 1.6 6 3 5 27 22 21
2 13 Heracles 14 3 11 1.8 2.0 6 3 5 25 28 21
3 3 Twente 14 4 10 2.0 1.0 11 1 2 28 14 34
4 5 Ajax 14 4 10 2.3 1.3 7 5 2 32 18 26
5 2 Feyenoord 14 5 9 2.6 0.7 10 3 1 36 10 33
6 4 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 9 2.4 0.9 9 2 3 33 12 29
7 6 Nijmegen 14 5 9 2.2 1.2 8 3 3 31 17 27
8 7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 9 2.1 1.1 7 3 4 29 16 24
9 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 4 5 6 22 24 17
10 10 For Sittard 14 5 9 1.9 1.3 7 4 3 26 18 25
11 18 Volendam 14 5 9 0.8 2.6 2 2 10 11 36 8
12 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 5 8 2.8 0.5 12 1 0 36 7 37
13 15 Waalwijk 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
14 16 Excelsior 14 6 8 1.3 1.7 2 7 5 18 24 13
15 12 Almere City 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 3 6 5 14 22 15
16 14 Zwolle 14 7 7 0.9 1.9 3 3 8 13 27 12
17 8 Utrecht 14 8 6 1.9 1.5 6 5 3 26 21 23
18 17 Vitesse 14 9 5 0.7 1.6 1 5 8 10 23 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Excelsior 14 1 13 1.5 2.7 2 3 9 21 38 9
2 5 Ajax 14 2 12 2.1 2.2 5 4 5 29 31 19
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 3.2 0.6 12 2 1 48 9 38
4 2 Feyenoord 14 4 10 2.4 0.9 10 3 1 34 13 33
5 13 Heracles 15 5 10 1.0 2.1 3 2 10 15 32 11
6 14 Zwolle 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 4 6 23 28 16
7 17 Vitesse 14 4 10 0.9 2.6 3 0 11 12 36 9
8 6 Nijmegen 14 5 9 1.6 1.8 3 7 4 23 25 16
9 10 For Sittard 14 5 9 0.6 2.2 2 4 8 8 31 10
10 11 Heerenveen 14 5 9 1.4 2.2 3 3 8 19 31 12
11 18 Volendam 14 5 9 1.1 2.3 1 5 8 16 32 8
12 3 Twente 14 6 8 1.8 1.0 6 5 3 25 14 23
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 22 16 23
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 6 2 6 20 17 20
15 12 Almere City 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 5 13 22 17
16 15 Waalwijk 13 8 5 0.6 1.7 2 2 9 8 22 8
17 7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 10 4 0.9 1.4 4 5 5 13 20 17
18 8 Utrecht 14 10 4 0.9 1.2 4 4 6 12 17 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51