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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 3–1 PSV Eindhoven

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 6.00 fair 4.70
Draw 5.00 fair 5.05
Away 1.44 fair 1.70
Under 2.5 2.60 fair 3.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.48 fair 1.45

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven
8 Shots 27
4 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 7
7 Fouls 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (234 league matches this season so far).
Result PSV Eindhoven to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.54
Expected goals 1.30 – 2.25
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawPSV Eindhoven
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.5% 1–1 8.4% 0–2 7.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.92scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 50:40
PSV Eindhoven before this match, all matches
2.77points / match
3.12scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 81:13
Nijmegen all matches all matches PSV Eindhoven

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 3.12
1.54 Goals conceded 0.50
3.46 Total goals 3.62
13.15 Shots 23.62
5.85 Shots on target 9.31
15.54 Shots faced 8.46
4.42 Corners 7.42
6.58 Corners against 2.96
9.27 Fouls 8.54
1.54 Yellow cards 1.08
0.81 1st-half goals scored 1.15
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

38% Wins 88%
35% Draws 12%
27% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
65% Over 2.5 goals 69%
46% Over 3.5 goals 58%
19% Over 4.5 goals 15%
15% Over 5.5 goals 15%
69% Both teams scored 42%
19% Clean sheets 58%
12% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 69%
35% Draws 23%
27% Losses 8%
77% Over 0.5 goals 88%
46% Over 1.5 goals 42%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
PSV Eindhoven all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.85points / match
2.15scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 28:16
PSV Eindhoven before this match, away
2.69points / match
3.46scored / match
0.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 45:6
Nijmegen at home away PSV Eindhoven

Per match

2.15 Goals scored 3.46
1.23 Goals conceded 0.46
3.38 Total goals 3.92
14.23 Shots 22.31
6.31 Shots on target 8.92
12.38 Shots faced 10.08
4.77 Corners 6.38
6.00 Corners against 3.85
8.23 Fouls 8.46
1.23 Yellow cards 1.15
0.85 1st-half goals scored 1.15
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

54% Wins 85%
23% Draws 15%
23% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 92%
62% Over 2.5 goals 77%
38% Over 3.5 goals 62%
23% Over 4.5 goals 23%
15% Over 5.5 goals 23%
62% Both teams scored 46%
38% Clean sheets 54%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 62%
46% Draws 31%
15% Losses 8%
69% Over 0.5 goals 85%
46% Over 1.5 goals 46%
8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
PSV Eindhoven away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
10.03.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.40 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–5 (0–3) 5.254.501.55 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
09.02.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.803.752.40 1.73 2.08
03.02.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.25
28.01.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
14.01.24 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–2 (2–1) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40

PSV Eindhoven all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.57 2.35
08.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
03.03.24 PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord 2–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.75 2.05
24.02.24 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (1–2) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
16.02.24 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.20 4.33
11.02.24 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–1) 21.0010.001.10 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
27.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Almere City 2–0 (1–0) 1.0910.0023.00 1.25 4.00
21.01.24 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (0–1) 8.005.501.33 1.40 2.88
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.753.40 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.65 2.20
15.12.23 Nijmegen – For Sittard 4–1 (2–0) 1.913.603.80 1.95 1.90
03.12.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15
05.11.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–3 (1–1) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Nijmegen – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
01.10.23 Nijmegen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.25 1.70 2.10

PSV Eindhoven away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.001.40 1.40 2.88
24.02.24 Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven 1–7 (1–2) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
11.02.24 Volendam – PSV Eindhoven 1–5 (1–1) 21.0010.001.10 1.30 3.50
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
21.01.24 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (0–1) 8.005.501.33 1.40 2.88
17.12.23 AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–3) 4.203.751.83 1.70 2.10
03.12.23 Feyenoord – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–0) 2.203.603.00 1.57 2.35
25.11.23 Twente – PSV Eindhoven 0–3 (0–1) 3.803.601.91 1.60 2.30
04.11.23 Heracles – PSV Eindhoven 0–6 (0–2) 13.007.001.20 1.25 4.00
08.10.23 Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven 0–4 (0–0) 9.004.751.36 1.48 2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsPSV Eindhoven wins
5matches
4.20goals / match
100%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23N1 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 4–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.33 3.40
01.04.23N1 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 2–4 (0–3) 4.504.201.67 1.65 2.20
30.10.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.36 3.10
11.05.22N1 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 3–2 (2–0) 1.148.5016.00 1.30 3.50
12.12.21N1 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.251.36 1.53 2.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 23 3 0 81 13 +68 72
2 Feyenoord 26 19 5 2 66 21 +45 62
3 Twente 26 16 5 5 49 25 +24 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 26 14 7 5 53 23 +30 49
5 Ajax 26 11 8 7 57 47 +10 41
6 Nijmegen 26 10 9 7 50 40 +10 39
7 Go Ahead Eagles 26 10 7 9 38 35 +3 37
8 Utrecht 26 9 9 8 31 33 -2 36
9 For Sittard 26 9 7 10 33 44 -11 34
10 Sparta Rotterdam 26 8 7 11 33 38 -5 31
11 Heerenveen 26 9 4 13 42 49 -7 31
12 Almere City 26 7 9 10 26 43 -17 30
13 Zwolle 26 7 7 12 34 47 -13 28
14 Heracles 26 7 5 14 33 58 -25 26
15 Excelsior 26 4 10 12 39 57 -18 22
16 Waalwijk 26 6 4 16 24 43 -19 22
17 Vitesse 26 4 5 17 21 53 -32 17
18 Volendam 26 3 5 18 26 67 -41 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 1 0 36 7 +29 37
2 Twente 13 10 1 2 27 14 +13 31
3 Feyenoord 13 9 3 1 32 8 +24 30
4 AZ Alkmaar 13 8 2 3 31 12 +19 26
5 Ajax 13 7 4 2 31 17 +14 25
6 Nijmegen 13 7 3 3 28 16 +12 24
7 For Sittard 13 7 3 3 25 17 +8 24
8 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 3 4 26 16 +10 21
9 Heerenveen 13 6 2 5 24 19 +5 20
10 Utrecht 13 5 5 3 21 20 +1 20
11 Heracles 13 5 3 5 20 28 -8 18
12 Sparta Rotterdam 13 3 5 5 17 22 -5 14
13 Waalwijk 13 4 2 7 16 21 -5 14
14 Almere City 13 3 5 5 13 21 -8 14
15 Excelsior 13 2 7 4 18 22 -4 13
16 Zwolle 13 3 3 7 12 24 -12 12
17 Vitesse 13 1 5 7 9 19 -10 8
18 Volendam 13 2 1 10 11 36 -25 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 2 0 45 6 +39 35
2 Feyenoord 13 10 2 1 34 13 +21 32
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 5 2 22 11 +11 23
4 Twente 13 6 4 3 22 11 +11 22
5 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 16 16 0 17
6 Zwolle 13 4 4 5 22 23 -1 16
7 Utrecht 13 4 4 5 10 13 -3 16
8 Ajax 13 4 4 5 26 30 -4 16
9 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 4 5 12 19 -7 16
10 Almere City 13 4 4 5 13 22 -9 16
11 Nijmegen 13 3 6 4 22 24 -2 15
12 Heerenveen 13 3 2 8 18 30 -12 11
13 For Sittard 13 2 4 7 8 27 -19 10
14 Excelsior 13 2 3 8 21 35 -14 9
15 Vitesse 13 3 0 10 12 34 -22 9
16 Waalwijk 13 2 2 9 8 22 -14 8
17 Heracles 13 2 2 9 13 30 -17 8
18 Volendam 13 1 4 8 15 31 -16 7

Nijmegen   PSV Eindhoven

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 26 5 21 2.2 1.8 11 8 7 57 47 41
2 15 Excelsior 26 6 20 1.5 2.2 4 10 12 39 57 22
3 11 Heerenveen 26 7 19 1.6 1.9 9 4 13 42 49 31
4 14 Heracles 26 7 19 1.3 2.2 7 5 14 33 58 26
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 26 8 18 3.1 0.5 23 3 0 81 13 72
6 2 Feyenoord 26 8 18 2.5 0.8 19 5 2 66 21 62
7 18 Volendam 26 8 18 1.0 2.6 3 5 18 26 67 14
8 3 Twente 26 9 17 1.9 1.0 16 5 5 49 25 53
9 6 Nijmegen 26 9 17 1.9 1.5 10 9 7 50 40 39
10 9 For Sittard 26 9 17 1.3 1.7 9 7 10 33 44 34
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 26 10 16 2.0 0.9 14 7 5 53 23 49
12 13 Zwolle 26 11 15 1.3 1.8 7 7 12 34 47 28
13 17 Vitesse 26 12 14 0.8 2.0 4 5 17 21 53 17
14 10 Sparta Rotterdam 26 13 13 1.3 1.5 8 7 11 33 38 31
15 12 Almere City 26 13 13 1.0 1.7 7 9 10 26 43 30
16 16 Waalwijk 26 13 13 0.9 1.7 6 4 16 24 43 22
17 7 Go Ahead Eagles 26 14 12 1.5 1.3 10 7 9 38 35 37
18 8 Utrecht 26 18 8 1.2 1.3 9 9 8 31 33 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Twente 13 3 10 2.1 1.1 10 1 2 27 14 31
2 5 Ajax 13 3 10 2.4 1.3 7 4 2 31 17 25
3 11 Heerenveen 13 3 10 1.8 1.5 6 2 5 24 19 20
4 14 Heracles 13 3 10 1.5 2.2 5 3 5 20 28 18
5 4 AZ Alkmaar 13 4 9 2.4 0.9 8 2 3 31 12 26
6 9 For Sittard 13 4 9 1.9 1.3 7 3 3 25 17 24
7 18 Volendam 13 4 9 0.8 2.8 2 1 10 11 36 7
8 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 5 8 2.8 0.5 12 1 0 36 7 37
9 2 Feyenoord 13 5 8 2.5 0.6 9 3 1 32 8 30
10 6 Nijmegen 13 5 8 2.2 1.2 7 3 3 28 16 24
11 7 Go Ahead Eagles 13 5 8 2.0 1.2 6 3 4 26 16 21
12 15 Excelsior 13 5 8 1.4 1.7 2 7 4 18 22 13
13 16 Waalwijk 13 5 8 1.2 1.6 4 2 7 16 21 14
14 10 Sparta Rotterdam 13 6 7 1.3 1.7 3 5 5 17 22 14
15 12 Almere City 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 3 5 5 13 21 14
16 13 Zwolle 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 3 3 7 12 24 12
17 8 Utrecht 13 8 5 1.6 1.5 5 5 3 21 20 20
18 17 Vitesse 13 9 4 0.7 1.5 1 5 7 9 19 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 13 1 12 1.6 2.7 2 3 8 21 35 9
2 5 Ajax 13 2 11 2.0 2.3 4 4 5 26 30 16
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 3.5 0.5 11 2 0 45 6 35
4 2 Feyenoord 13 3 10 2.6 1.0 10 2 1 34 13 32
5 17 Vitesse 13 3 10 0.9 2.6 3 0 10 12 34 9
6 6 Nijmegen 13 4 9 1.7 1.8 3 6 4 22 24 15
7 11 Heerenveen 13 4 9 1.4 2.3 3 2 8 18 30 11
8 13 Zwolle 13 4 9 1.7 1.8 4 4 5 22 23 16
9 14 Heracles 13 4 9 1.0 2.3 2 2 9 13 30 8
10 18 Volendam 13 4 9 1.2 2.4 1 4 8 15 31 7
11 9 For Sittard 13 5 8 0.6 2.1 2 4 7 8 27 10
12 3 Twente 13 6 7 1.7 0.8 6 4 3 22 11 22
13 4 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 7 1.7 0.8 6 5 2 22 11 23
14 10 Sparta Rotterdam 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 2 6 16 16 17
15 12 Almere City 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 4 5 13 22 16
16 16 Waalwijk 13 8 5 0.6 1.7 2 2 9 8 22 8
17 7 Go Ahead Eagles 13 9 4 0.9 1.5 4 4 5 12 19 16
18 8 Utrecht 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 10 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51