Heracles 2–4 Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie, 27 Jan 2024

Match facts

Heracles Ajax

13 Shots 31

7 Shots on target 12

3 Corners 11

9 Fouls 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).

Result Ajax to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.37

Expected goals 1.79 – 2.10

Home / Draw / Away

33% 21% 46%

HeraclesDrawAjax

Under / Over 2.5 goals

26% 75%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

27% 73%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

2% 0

8% 1

16% 2

20% 3

20% 4

35% 5+

Most likely scores

1–2 8.1% 1–1 7.7% 2–2 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Heracles before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.28scored / match

2.28conceded / match

5 4 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:41

Ajax before this match, all matches

1.72points / match

2.33scored / match

1.83conceded / match

9 4 5

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 42:33

Heracles all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 2.33

2.28 Goals conceded 1.83

3.56 Total goals 4.17

11.44 Shots 16.89

3.78 Shots on target 7.00

17.61 Shots faced 12.94

4.67 Corners 6.83

6.83 Corners against 4.11

10.72 Fouls 8.50

1.94 Yellow cards 1.28

0.17 1st-half goals scored 1.00

1.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

28% Wins 50%

22% Draws 22%

50% Losses 28%

100% Over 0.5 goals 94%

94% Over 1.5 goals 94%

78% Over 2.5 goals 89%

56% Over 3.5 goals 72%

22% Over 4.5 goals 44%

6% Over 5.5 goals 11%

61% Both teams scored 78%

6% Clean sheets 17%

33% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 44%

22% Draws 33%

67% Losses 22%

83% Over 0.5 goals 78%

44% Over 1.5 goals 61%

6% Over 2.5 goals 39%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heracles all matches

2

D

3

L

6

L

1

4

L

5

W

1

L

2

L

4

L

2

1

W

1

D

Ajax all matches

2

W

4

1

W

2

D

5

W

2

1

W

3

2

W

2

1

W

2

D

3

2

W

4

1

W

Heracles before this match, at home

1.22points / match

1.22scored / match

2.22conceded / match

3 2 4

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:20

Ajax before this match, away

1.33points / match

2.00scored / match

2.33conceded / match

3 3 3

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 18:21

Heracles at home away Ajax

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 2.00

2.22 Goals conceded 2.33

3.44 Total goals 4.33

12.11 Shots 15.78

3.78 Shots on target 6.89

16.33 Shots faced 15.89

4.89 Corners 6.78

5.00 Corners against 4.78

10.78 Fouls 8.44

1.56 Yellow cards 1.33

0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.89

1.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%

22% Draws 33%

44% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

89% Over 1.5 goals 89%

78% Over 2.5 goals 89%

56% Over 3.5 goals 78%

11% Over 4.5 goals 44%

11% Over 5.5 goals 22%

67% Both teams scored 89%

0% Clean sheets 11%

33% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%

22% Draws 44%

78% Losses 22%

78% Over 0.5 goals 67%

44% Over 1.5 goals 56%

0% Over 2.5 goals 44%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Heracles at home

1

3

L

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

D

6

L

1

L

4

L

1

D

Ajax away

1

3

L

2

D

1

3

L

3

4

L

2

5

L

2

D

2

1

W

3

2

W

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Heracles all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.01.24	Heracles – Volendam	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	4.00	4.33	1.57	2.35
12.01.24	Waalwijk – Heracles	1–2 (0–1)	1.85	3.50	4.33	1.85	2.00
17.12.23	Heracles – Feyenoord	0–4 (0–2)	11.00	7.00	1.22	1.33	3.40
10.12.23	Vitesse – Heracles	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.67	2.15
02.12.23	Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
26.11.23	Almere City – Heracles	0–5 (0–1)	1.91	3.75	3.75	1.67	2.15
10.11.23	For Sittard – Heracles	4–1 (4–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.70	2.10
04.11.23	Heracles – PSV Eindhoven	0–6 (0–2)	13.00	7.00	1.20	1.25	4.00
28.10.23	Heerenveen – Heracles	3–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.75	3.75	1.65	2.20
22.10.23	Heracles – Twente	2–2 (0–2)	5.50	4.33	1.57	1.67	2.15

Ajax all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.01.24	Ajax – Waalwijk	4–1 (2–1)	1.25	6.50	10.00	1.33	3.40
14.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax	2–3 (1–2)	3.75	4.00	1.85	1.48	2.60
17.12.23	Ajax – Zwolle	2–2 (1–0)	1.29	6.50	8.00	1.36	3.10
09.12.23	Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam	2–1 (2–0)	1.40	4.75	7.50	1.44	2.70
06.12.23	Waalwijk – Ajax	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	4.33	1.60	1.44	2.70
03.12.23	Nijmegen – Ajax	1–2 (0–0)	4.33	4.33	1.70	1.44	2.70
25.11.23	Ajax – Vitesse	5–0 (2–0)	1.30	5.50	9.50	1.40	2.88
12.11.23	Almere City – Ajax	2–2 (0–0)	5.00	4.75	1.53	1.48	2.60
05.11.23	Ajax – Heerenveen	4–1 (2–1)	1.50	4.75	6.00	1.40	2.88
02.11.23	Ajax – Volendam	2–0 (0–0)	1.30	6.00	9.50	1.29	3.60

Heracles at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.01.24	Heracles – Volendam	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	4.00	4.33	1.57	2.35
17.12.23	Heracles – Feyenoord	0–4 (0–2)	11.00	7.00	1.22	1.33	3.40
02.12.23	Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam	0–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
04.11.23	Heracles – PSV Eindhoven	0–6 (0–2)	13.00	7.00	1.20	1.25	4.00
22.10.23	Heracles – Twente	2–2 (0–2)	5.50	4.33	1.57	1.67	2.15
01.10.23	Heracles – Zwolle	2–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.50	3.10	1.57	2.35
16.09.23	Heracles – Utrecht	1–3 (0–2)	2.60	3.50	2.63	1.67	2.15
02.09.23	Heracles – Excelsior	3–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.33	1.57	2.35
18.08.23	Heracles – Nijmegen	2–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.25
15.05.22	Heracles – Sparta Rotterdam	1–3 (0–1)	2.37	3.00	3.00	2.15	1.66

Ajax away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax	2–3 (1–2)	3.75	4.00	1.85	1.48	2.60
06.12.23	Waalwijk – Ajax	2–3 (1–2)	4.75	4.33	1.60	1.44	2.70
03.12.23	Nijmegen – Ajax	1–2 (0–0)	4.33	4.33	1.70	1.44	2.70
12.11.23	Almere City – Ajax	2–2 (0–0)	5.00	4.75	1.53	1.48	2.60
29.10.23	PSV Eindhoven – Ajax	5–2 (1–2)	1.30	5.75	9.00	1.33	3.40
22.10.23	Utrecht – Ajax	4–3 (1–0)	3.90	3.70	1.91	1.53	2.40
17.09.23	Twente – Ajax	3–1 (2–1)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.60	2.30
03.09.23	For Sittard – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	6.50	5.50	1.40	1.40	2.88
19.08.23	Excelsior – Ajax	2–2 (1–1)	10.00	6.50	1.25	1.29	3.60
28.05.23	Twente – Ajax	3–1 (0–1)	4.00	4.20	1.75	1.44	2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Heracles winsDrawsAjax wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

67%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.08.23N1	Ajax – Heracles	4–1 (1–1)	1.20	7.00	13.00	1.33	3.40
06.02.22N1	Ajax – Heracles	3–0 (1–0)	1.08	12.00	21.00	1.25	4.00
30.10.21N1	Heracles – Ajax	0–0 (0–0)	11.00	6.50	1.20	1.36	3.10

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	19	18	1	0	62	8	+54	55
2	Feyenoord	18	13	3	2	52	17	+35	42
3	Twente	18	11	4	3	36	21	+15	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	18	10	4	4	38	18	+20	34
5	Ajax	18	9	4	5	42	33	+9	31
6	Go Ahead Eagles	18	7	5	6	30	26	+4	26
7	Sparta Rotterdam	19	7	5	7	25	25	0	26
8	Nijmegen	18	6	7	5	34	30	+4	25
9	Zwolle	19	6	5	8	28	32	-4	23
10	Excelsior	18	4	8	6	31	35	-4	20
11	Heerenveen	18	6	2	10	26	35	-9	20
12	For Sittard	18	5	5	8	17	30	-13	20
13	Almere City	19	5	5	9	19	36	-17	20
14	Utrecht	18	4	7	7	18	27	-9	19
15	Heracles	18	5	4	9	23	41	-18	19
16	Waalwijk	19	4	3	12	18	35	-17	15
17	Volendam	18	3	3	12	19	42	-23	12
18	Vitesse	19	3	3	13	13	40	-27	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	31	5	+26	30
2	Twente	9	7	1	1	19	12	+7	22
3	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	26	8	+18	20
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	25	11	+14	20
5	Ajax	9	6	1	2	24	12	+12	19
6	For Sittard	9	5	2	2	13	9	+4	17
7	Go Ahead Eagles	9	5	1	3	22	12	+10	16
8	Nijmegen	10	4	3	3	21	15	+6	15
9	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	15	10	+5	13
10	Excelsior	9	2	5	2	15	15	0	11
11	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	10	15	-5	11
12	Heracles	9	3	2	4	11	20	-9	11
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	10	15	-5	9
14	Almere City	9	2	3	4	10	17	-7	9
15	Utrecht	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
16	Waalwijk	10	2	2	6	11	19	-8	8
17	Volendam	8	2	1	5	8	17	-9	7
18	Vitesse	9	1	3	5	6	13	-7	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	1	0	31	3	+28	25
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	26	9	+17	22
3	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	2	3	15	10	+5	17
4	Twente	9	4	3	2	17	9	+8	15
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	2	2	13	7	+6	14
6	Zwolle	9	3	3	3	18	17	+1	12
7	Ajax	9	3	3	3	18	21	-3	12
8	Utrecht	9	3	2	4	7	9	-2	11
9	Almere City	10	3	2	5	9	19	-10	11
10	Nijmegen	8	2	4	2	13	15	-2	10
11	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	4	3	8	14	-6	10
12	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	16	20	-4	9
13	Heracles	9	2	2	5	12	21	-9	8
14	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	7	16	-9	7
15	Heerenveen	10	2	1	7	11	25	-14	7
16	Vitesse	10	2	0	8	7	27	-20	6
17	Volendam	10	1	2	7	11	25	-14	5
18	For Sittard	9	0	3	6	4	21	-17	3

Heracles Ajax

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Ajax	18	2	16	2.3	1.8	9	4	5	42	33	31
2	1	PSV Eindhoven	19	4	15	3.3	0.4	18	1	0	62	8	55
3	2	Feyenoord	18	3	15	2.9	0.9	13	3	2	52	17	42
4	10	Excelsior	18	4	14	1.7	1.9	4	8	6	31	35	20
5	11	Heerenveen	18	4	14	1.4	1.9	6	2	10	26	35	20
6	15	Heracles	18	4	14	1.3	2.3	5	4	9	23	41	19
7	8	Nijmegen	18	5	13	1.9	1.7	6	7	5	34	30	25
8	9	Zwolle	19	6	13	1.5	1.7	6	5	8	28	32	23
9	17	Volendam	18	5	13	1.1	2.3	3	3	12	19	42	12
10	3	Twente	18	6	12	2.0	1.2	11	4	3	36	21	37
11	4	AZ Alkmaar	18	6	12	2.1	1.0	10	4	4	38	18	34
12	12	For Sittard	18	7	11	0.9	1.7	5	5	8	17	30	20
13	13	Almere City	19	8	11	1.0	1.9	5	5	9	19	36	20
14	16	Waalwijk	19	8	11	0.9	1.8	4	3	12	18	35	15
15	6	Go Ahead Eagles	18	8	10	1.7	1.4	7	5	6	30	26	26
16	7	Sparta Rotterdam	19	9	10	1.3	1.3	7	5	7	25	25	26
17	18	Vitesse	19	9	10	0.7	2.1	3	3	13	13	40	12
18	14	Utrecht	18	12	6	1.0	1.5	4	7	7	18	27	19

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	AZ Alkmaar	10	2	8	2.5	1.1	6	2	2	25	11	20
2	5	Ajax	9	1	8	2.7	1.3	6	1	2	24	12	19
3	1	PSV Eindhoven	10	3	7	3.1	0.5	10	0	0	31	5	30
4	2	Feyenoord	9	2	7	2.9	0.9	6	2	1	26	8	20
5	3	Twente	9	2	7	2.1	1.3	7	1	1	19	12	22
6	6	Go Ahead Eagles	9	2	7	2.4	1.3	5	1	3	22	12	16
7	8	Nijmegen	10	3	7	2.1	1.5	4	3	3	21	15	15
8	11	Heerenveen	8	1	7	1.9	1.2	4	1	3	15	10	13
9	15	Heracles	9	2	7	1.2	2.2	3	2	4	11	20	11
10	16	Waalwijk	10	3	7	1.1	1.9	2	2	6	11	19	8
11	10	Excelsior	9	3	6	1.7	1.7	2	5	2	15	15	11
12	13	Almere City	9	3	6	1.1	1.9	2	3	4	10	17	9
13	7	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	5	1.1	1.7	2	3	4	10	15	9
14	9	Zwolle	10	5	5	1.0	1.5	3	2	5	10	15	11
15	12	For Sittard	9	4	5	1.4	1.0	5	2	2	13	9	17
16	17	Volendam	8	3	5	1.0	2.1	2	1	5	8	17	7
17	14	Utrecht	9	6	3	1.2	2.0	1	5	3	11	18	8
18	18	Vitesse	9	6	3	0.7	1.4	1	3	5	6	13	6

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	9	1	8	3.4	0.3	8	1	0	31	3	25
2	2	Feyenoord	9	1	8	2.9	1.0	7	1	1	26	9	22
3	5	Ajax	9	1	8	2.0	2.3	3	3	3	18	21	12
4	9	Zwolle	9	1	8	2.0	1.9	3	3	3	18	17	12
5	10	Excelsior	9	1	8	1.8	2.2	2	3	4	16	20	9
6	17	Volendam	10	2	8	1.1	2.5	1	2	7	11	25	5
7	11	Heerenveen	10	3	7	1.1	2.5	2	1	7	11	25	7
8	15	Heracles	9	2	7	1.3	2.3	2	2	5	12	21	8
9	18	Vitesse	10	3	7	0.7	2.7	2	0	8	7	27	6
10	8	Nijmegen	8	2	6	1.6	1.9	2	4	2	13	15	10
11	12	For Sittard	9	3	6	0.4	2.3	0	3	6	4	21	3
12	3	Twente	9	4	5	1.9	1.0	4	3	2	17	9	15
13	7	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	5	1.5	1.0	5	2	3	15	10	17
14	13	Almere City	10	5	5	0.9	1.9	3	2	5	9	19	11
15	4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	4	1.6	0.9	4	2	2	13	7	14
16	16	Waalwijk	9	5	4	0.8	1.8	2	1	6	7	16	7
17	6	Go Ahead Eagles	9	6	3	0.9	1.6	2	4	3	8	14	10
18	14	Utrecht	9	6	3	0.8	1.0	3	2	4	7	9	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.