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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Utrecht 4–3 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 3.90 fair 2.58
Draw 3.70 fair 4.22
Away 1.91 fair 2.66
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Utrecht Ajax
14 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 5
11 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (75 league matches this season so far).
Result Utrecht to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
UtrechtDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 8.4% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Utrecht before this match, all matches
0.38points / match
0.50scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:17
Ajax before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:12
Utrecht all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

0.50 Goals scored 1.33
2.13 Goals conceded 2.00
2.63 Total goals 3.33
10.00 Shots 14.00
3.13 Shots on target 5.00
14.63 Shots faced 13.67
4.50 Corners 8.17
4.50 Corners against 3.33
12.38 Fouls 9.33
2.00 Yellow cards 1.83
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

13% Wins 17%
0% Draws 33%
88% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
75% Over 1.5 goals 83%
38% Over 2.5 goals 83%
25% Over 3.5 goals 67%
13% Over 4.5 goals 17%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 17%
75% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
38% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 83%
38% Over 1.5 goals 67%
13% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht all matches
Ajax all matches
Utrecht before this match, at home
0.00points / match
0.33scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:9
Ajax before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:5
Utrecht at home away Ajax

Per match

0.33 Goals scored 1.00
3.00 Goals conceded 1.67
3.33 Total goals 2.67
9.33 Shots 12.67
3.00 Shots on target 4.67
16.67 Shots faced 16.33
6.00 Corners 8.67
5.33 Corners against 4.00
14.00 Fouls 7.67
1.67 Yellow cards 1.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
0% Draws 67%
100% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
0% Clean sheets 33%
67% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
67% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.23 Volendam – Utrecht 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.50 2.50
30.09.23 Utrecht – Almere City 0–2 (0–0) 1.554.006.00 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Nijmegen – Utrecht 3–0 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.62 2.25
16.09.23 Heracles – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 2.603.502.63 1.67 2.15
03.09.23 Utrecht – Feyenoord 1–5 (1–2) 4.754.501.62 1.48 2.60
27.08.23 Zwolle – Utrecht 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.752.38 1.62 2.25
20.08.23 Utrecht – Heerenveen 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.62 2.25
12.08.23 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.50 2.50
28.05.23 Utrecht – FC Emmen 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.505.75 1.53 2.40
21.05.23 Ajax – Utrecht 3–1 (1–0) 1.296.0010.00 1.36 3.10

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
27.09.23 Ajax – Feyenoord 0–4 (0–3) 2.803.752.38 1.53 2.40
17.09.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.502.60 1.60 2.30
03.09.23 For Sittard – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.40 2.88
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
12.08.23 Ajax – Heracles 4–1 (1–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.33 3.40
28.05.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.44 2.70
21.05.23 Ajax – Utrecht 3–1 (1–0) 1.296.0010.00 1.36 3.10
14.05.23 Groningen – Ajax 2–3 (1–1) 13.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
06.05.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.25 1.53 2.40

Utrecht at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Utrecht – Almere City 0–2 (0–0) 1.554.006.00 1.60 2.30
03.09.23 Utrecht – Feyenoord 1–5 (1–2) 4.754.501.62 1.48 2.60
20.08.23 Utrecht – Heerenveen 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 1.62 2.25
28.05.23 Utrecht – FC Emmen 3–2 (1–1) 1.534.505.75 1.53 2.40
13.05.23 Utrecht – Waalwijk 2–0 (0–0) 1.574.505.00 1.53 2.40
16.04.23 Utrecht – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.602.30 1.75 2.05
02.04.23 Utrecht – Volendam 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.006.50 1.44 2.70
18.03.23 Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles 1–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.50 1.73 2.08
03.03.23 Utrecht – For Sittard 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
19.02.23 Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 3.804.001.85 1.57 2.35

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.502.60 1.60 2.30
03.09.23 For Sittard – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.40 2.88
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
28.05.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.44 2.70
14.05.23 Groningen – Ajax 2–3 (1–1) 13.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
23.04.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.57 2.35
02.04.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 7.505.001.33 1.53 2.40
12.03.23 Heerenveen – Ajax 2–4 (1–3) 6.505.001.44 1.53 2.40
26.02.23 Vitesse – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.751.50 1.57 2.35
05.02.23 Cambuur – Ajax 0–5 (0–2) 9.005.751.22 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Utrecht winsDrawsAjax wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23N1 Ajax – Utrecht 3–1 (1–0) 1.296.0010.00 1.36 3.10
28.08.22N1 Utrecht – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.44 2.70
16.01.22N1 Utrecht – Ajax 0–3 (0–3) 6.255.001.44 1.44 2.70
03.10.21N1 Ajax – Utrecht 0–1 (0–0) 1.147.5017.00 1.25 4.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 30 3 +27 27
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 8 1 0 25 4 +21 25
3 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 32 6 +26 23
4 Twente 8 7 0 1 17 4 +13 21
5 Excelsior 8 3 4 1 14 11 +3 13
6 Go Ahead Eagles 8 4 1 3 17 15 +2 13
7 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 2 3 10 13 -3 11
8 Heracles 8 3 2 3 12 17 -5 11
9 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 14 16 -2 9
10 Waalwijk 8 3 0 5 7 15 -8 9
11 For Sittard 9 2 3 4 8 17 -9 9
12 Almere City 9 2 2 5 8 19 -11 8
13 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 7 14 -7 7
14 Vitesse 9 2 1 6 6 15 -9 7
15 Heerenveen 9 2 1 6 10 21 -11 7
16 Ajax 6 1 2 3 8 12 -4 5
17 Volendam 8 1 1 6 8 18 -10 4
18 Utrecht 8 1 0 7 4 17 -13 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 15 2 +13 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 19 3 +16 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 1 0 15 2 +13 13
4 Go Ahead Eagles 4 4 0 0 14 3 +11 12
5 Twente 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
6 Heracles 4 3 0 1 8 6 +2 9
7 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 11 8 +3 7
8 For Sittard 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
9 Excelsior 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
10 Waalwijk 4 2 0 2 4 8 -4 6
11 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
12 Volendam 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
13 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
14 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
15 Ajax 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
16 Almere City 4 1 0 3 3 10 -7 3
17 Vitesse 4 0 1 3 1 7 -6 1
18 Utrecht 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 15 1 +14 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 10 2 +8 12
3 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 13 3 +10 10
4 Twente 4 3 0 1 9 2 +7 9
5 Excelsior 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
6 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
7 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 5 8 -3 6
8 Almere City 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
9 Zwolle 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3
10 Waalwijk 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3
11 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
12 Heerenveen 5 1 0 4 5 13 -8 3
13 Ajax 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
14 Nijmegen 4 0 2 2 3 8 -5 2
15 Heracles 4 0 2 2 4 11 -7 2
16 For Sittard 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
17 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 1 3 3 12 -9 1
18 Volendam 4 0 0 4 4 12 -8 0

Utrecht   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 9 1 8 3.3 0.3 9 0 0 30 3 27
2 3 Feyenoord 9 2 7 3.6 0.7 7 2 0 32 6 23
3 6 Go Ahead Eagles 8 1 7 2.1 1.9 4 1 3 17 15 13
4 8 Heracles 8 1 7 1.5 2.1 3 2 3 12 17 11
5 11 For Sittard 9 2 7 0.9 1.9 2 3 4 8 17 9
6 2 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 6 2.8 0.4 8 1 0 25 4 25
7 5 Excelsior 8 2 6 1.8 1.4 3 4 1 14 11 13
8 9 Nijmegen 9 3 6 1.6 1.8 2 3 4 14 16 9
9 15 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.1 2.3 2 1 6 10 21 7
10 17 Volendam 8 2 6 1.0 2.2 1 1 6 8 18 4
11 7 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 3 2 3 10 13 11
12 10 Waalwijk 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 3 0 5 7 15 9
13 12 Almere City 9 4 5 0.9 2.1 2 2 5 8 19 8
14 13 Zwolle 8 3 5 0.9 1.8 2 1 5 7 14 7
15 16 Ajax 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 2 3 8 12 5
16 4 Twente 8 4 4 2.1 0.5 7 0 1 17 4 21
17 14 Vitesse 9 5 4 0.7 1.7 2 1 6 6 15 7
18 18 Utrecht 8 5 3 0.5 2.1 1 0 7 4 17 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.0 0.4 5 0 0 15 2 15
2 3 Feyenoord 5 1 4 3.8 0.6 4 1 0 19 3 13
3 6 Go Ahead Eagles 4 0 4 3.5 0.8 4 0 0 14 3 12
4 8 Heracles 4 0 4 2.0 1.5 3 0 1 8 6 9
5 9 Nijmegen 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 2 1 2 11 8 7
6 2 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 3 3.0 0.4 4 1 0 15 2 13
7 5 Excelsior 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
8 10 Waalwijk 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 2 0 2 4 8 6
9 11 For Sittard 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
10 12 Almere City 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 1 0 3 3 10 3
11 15 Heerenveen 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
12 16 Ajax 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
13 4 Twente 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
14 7 Sparta Rotterdam 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
15 13 Zwolle 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
16 17 Volendam 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
17 14 Vitesse 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 1 3 1 7 1
18 18 Utrecht 3 2 1 0.3 3.0 0 0 3 1 9 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 4 0 4 3.8 0.2 4 0 0 15 1 12
2 11 For Sittard 5 1 4 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
3 17 Volendam 4 0 4 1.0 3.0 0 0 4 4 12 0
4 2 AZ Alkmaar 4 1 3 2.5 0.5 4 0 0 10 2 12
5 3 Feyenoord 4 1 3 3.2 0.8 3 1 0 13 3 10
6 5 Excelsior 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
7 6 Go Ahead Eagles 4 1 3 0.8 3.0 0 1 3 3 12 1
8 7 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
9 8 Heracles 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 2 2 4 11 2
10 13 Zwolle 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3
11 14 Vitesse 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 2 0 3 5 8 6
12 15 Heerenveen 5 2 3 1.0 2.6 1 0 4 5 13 3
13 4 Twente 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 3 0 1 9 2 9
14 9 Nijmegen 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 2 2 3 8 2
15 10 Waalwijk 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 0 3 3 7 3
16 12 Almere City 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
17 16 Ajax 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
18 18 Utrecht 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51