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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 0–3 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.30 fair 2.91
Draw 3.40 fair 3.83
Away ✓ 2.20 fair 2.53
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 2.04

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Nijmegen
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 2
9 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (197 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 9.8% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
0.95scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 20:48
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 24:22
Excelsior all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.14
2.29 Goals conceded 1.05
3.24 Total goals 2.19
10.00 Shots 14.19
3.05 Shots on target 4.67
17.57 Shots faced 14.48
4.10 Corners 6.14
6.57 Corners against 5.71
9.38 Fouls 10.48
1.43 Yellow cards 1.52
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.38
1.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

29% Wins 19%
10% Draws 57%
62% Losses 24%
95% Over 0.5 goals 81%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
52% Over 2.5 goals 24%
43% Over 3.5 goals 19%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
19% Over 5.5 goals 10%
48% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 24%
38% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 14%
29% Draws 57%
48% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 52%
52% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:15
Nijmegen before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:10
Excelsior at home away Nijmegen

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 0.60
1.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.70 Total goals 1.60
12.40 Shots 11.20
3.40 Shots on target 4.00
16.10 Shots faced 17.40
5.50 Corners 4.60
6.30 Corners against 6.00
9.00 Fouls 10.80
1.00 Yellow cards 1.80
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
10% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 70%
60% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 20%
30% Over 3.5 goals 10%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 20%
30% Clean sheets 40%
30% Failed to score 70%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 20%
30% Draws 40%
40% Losses 40%
70% Over 0.5 goals 60%
40% Over 1.5 goals 30%
30% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.23 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 5–0 (5–0) 1.296.508.00 1.40 2.88
04.02.23 Excelsior – Waalwijk 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.55 1.73 2.08
29.01.23 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
25.01.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.48 2.60
20.01.23 Excelsior – Volendam 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.802.70 1.53 2.40
14.01.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
08.01.23 Excelsior – Groningen 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 1.60 2.30
13.11.22 Feyenoord – Excelsior 5–1 (2–1) 1.129.5015.00 1.28 3.60
05.11.22 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
29.10.22 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.724.004.50 1.60 2.30

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23 Nijmegen – Cambuur 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 2.00 1.85
05.02.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.70 2.00 1.85
28.01.23 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
25.01.23 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.23 Nijmegen – FC Emmen 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.404.00 2.15 1.67
15.01.23 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.75 2.05
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
13.11.22 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 6–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.50 1.72 2.07
04.11.22 Cambuur – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.402.62 1.98 1.88
30.10.22 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.36 3.10

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23 Excelsior – Waalwijk 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.602.55 1.73 2.08
29.01.23 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
20.01.23 Excelsior – Volendam 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.802.70 1.53 2.40
08.01.23 Excelsior – Groningen 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 1.60 2.30
05.11.22 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
23.10.22 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70
02.10.22 Excelsior – Utrecht 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.201.65 1.47 2.60
10.09.22 Excelsior – FC Emmen 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.66 2.15
28.08.22 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–6 (0–3) 9.006.501.28 1.30 3.50
12.08.22 Excelsior – Vitesse 3–1 (2–1) 3.753.751.90 1.57 2.35

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.70 2.00 1.85
25.01.23 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
15.01.23 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.75 2.05
04.11.22 Cambuur – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.402.62 1.98 1.88
30.10.22 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.36 3.10
16.10.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
16.09.22 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.70 2.10
04.09.22 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.75 2.05
01.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.66 2.15
14.08.22 Volendam – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–2) 2.603.502.62 1.61 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsNijmegen wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.22N1 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.53 2.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 22 14 7 1 49 20 +29 49
2 Ajax 22 13 7 2 63 22 +41 46
3 AZ Alkmaar 22 13 5 4 47 27 +20 44
4 PSV Eindhoven 22 13 4 5 57 27 +30 43
5 Twente 22 11 7 4 35 15 +20 40
6 Sparta Rotterdam 22 10 7 5 32 22 +10 37
7 Utrecht 22 9 7 6 35 35 0 34
8 Heerenveen 22 8 6 8 23 25 -2 30
9 Waalwijk 22 7 8 7 35 35 0 29
10 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 27 36 -9 26
11 Go Ahead Eagles 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
12 Nijmegen 21 4 12 5 24 22 +2 24
13 Vitesse 22 5 8 9 27 39 -12 23
14 Volendam 22 5 5 12 25 49 -24 20
15 Excelsior 21 6 2 13 20 48 -28 20
16 FC Emmen 22 3 8 11 18 38 -20 17
17 Groningen 22 3 5 14 22 48 -26 14
18 Cambuur 22 3 4 15 12 37 -25 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 11 9 2 0 27 3 +24 29
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 9 1 1 34 7 +27 28
3 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 23 6 +17 25
4 Sparta Rotterdam 11 7 2 2 20 9 +11 23
5 Ajax 11 6 4 1 34 9 +25 22
6 Waalwijk 11 6 3 2 26 15 +11 21
7 AZ Alkmaar 10 5 4 1 23 14 +9 19
8 Utrecht 11 5 4 2 12 9 +3 19
9 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 4 4 19 20 -1 16
10 Excelsior 10 5 1 4 12 15 -3 16
11 Nijmegen 11 2 8 1 18 12 +6 14
12 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
13 FC Emmen 11 2 7 2 11 13 -2 13
14 Volendam 11 4 1 6 15 24 -9 13
15 For Sittard 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
16 Vitesse 10 2 4 4 12 21 -9 10
17 Groningen 11 2 3 6 14 21 -7 9
18 Cambuur 12 1 0 11 5 24 -19 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 12 8 1 3 24 13 +11 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 29 13 +16 24
3 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 26 14 +12 24
4 Heerenveen 11 4 4 3 11 11 0 16
5 PSV Eindhoven 11 4 3 4 23 20 +3 15
6 Utrecht 11 4 3 4 23 26 -3 15
7 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
8 For Sittard 11 4 2 5 14 20 -6 14
9 Vitesse 12 3 4 5 15 18 -3 13
10 Twente 11 2 5 4 8 12 -4 11
11 Nijmegen 10 2 4 4 6 10 -4 10
12 Cambuur 10 2 4 4 7 13 -6 10
13 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 3 5 12 17 -5 9
14 Waalwijk 11 1 5 5 9 20 -11 8
15 Volendam 11 1 4 6 10 25 -15 7
16 Groningen 11 1 2 8 8 27 -19 5
17 FC Emmen 11 1 1 9 7 25 -18 4
18 Excelsior 11 1 1 9 8 33 -25 4

Excelsior   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ajax 22 7 15 2.9 1.0 13 7 2 63 22 46
2 4 PSV Eindhoven 22 7 15 2.6 1.2 13 4 5 57 27 43
3 3 AZ Alkmaar 22 8 14 2.1 1.2 13 5 4 47 27 44
4 9 Waalwijk 22 8 14 1.6 1.6 7 8 7 35 35 29
5 13 Vitesse 22 8 14 1.2 1.8 5 8 9 27 39 23
6 14 Volendam 22 9 13 1.1 2.2 5 5 12 25 49 20
7 17 Groningen 22 9 13 1.0 2.2 3 5 14 22 48 14
8 6 Sparta Rotterdam 22 10 12 1.5 1.0 10 7 5 32 22 37
9 7 Utrecht 22 10 12 1.6 1.6 9 7 6 35 35 34
10 10 For Sittard 22 10 12 1.2 1.6 7 5 10 27 36 26
11 1 Feyenoord 22 11 11 2.2 0.9 14 7 1 49 20 49
12 8 Heerenveen 22 11 11 1.0 1.1 8 6 8 23 25 30
13 15 Excelsior 21 10 11 1.0 2.3 6 2 13 20 48 20
14 18 Cambuur 22 11 11 0.5 1.7 3 4 15 12 37 13
15 11 Go Ahead Eagles 22 12 10 1.4 1.7 6 7 9 31 37 25
16 16 FC Emmen 22 12 10 0.8 1.7 3 8 11 18 38 17
17 5 Twente 22 13 9 1.6 0.7 11 7 4 35 15 40
18 12 Nijmegen 21 16 5 1.1 1.0 4 12 5 24 22 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ajax 11 3 8 3.1 0.8 6 4 1 34 9 22
2 9 Waalwijk 11 3 8 2.4 1.4 6 3 2 26 15 21
3 5 Twente 11 4 7 2.5 0.3 9 2 0 27 3 29
4 8 Heerenveen 11 4 7 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
5 13 Vitesse 10 3 7 1.2 2.1 2 4 4 12 21 10
6 14 Volendam 11 4 7 1.4 2.2 4 1 6 15 24 13
7 18 Cambuur 12 5 7 0.4 2.0 1 0 11 5 24 3
8 3 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 6 2.3 1.4 5 4 1 23 14 19
9 4 PSV Eindhoven 11 5 6 3.1 0.6 9 1 1 34 7 28
10 6 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 6 1.8 0.8 7 2 2 20 9 23
11 11 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 6 1.6 1.7 4 4 4 19 20 16
12 17 Groningen 11 5 6 1.3 1.9 2 3 6 14 21 9
13 1 Feyenoord 11 6 5 2.1 0.5 7 4 0 23 6 25
14 15 Excelsior 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 5 1 4 12 15 16
15 7 Utrecht 11 7 4 1.1 0.8 5 4 2 12 9 19
16 10 For Sittard 11 7 4 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
17 16 FC Emmen 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 2 7 2 11 13 13
18 12 Nijmegen 11 8 3 1.6 1.1 2 8 1 18 12 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 2.1 1.8 4 3 4 23 20 15
2 3 AZ Alkmaar 12 4 8 2.0 1.1 8 1 3 24 13 25
3 7 Utrecht 11 3 8 2.1 2.4 4 3 4 23 26 15
4 10 For Sittard 11 3 8 1.3 1.8 4 2 5 14 20 14
5 2 Ajax 11 4 7 2.6 1.2 7 3 1 29 13 24
6 13 Vitesse 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 3 4 5 15 18 13
7 17 Groningen 11 4 7 0.7 2.5 1 2 8 8 27 5
8 1 Feyenoord 11 5 6 2.4 1.3 7 3 1 26 14 24
9 6 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 6 1.1 1.2 3 5 3 12 13 14
10 9 Waalwijk 11 5 6 0.8 1.8 1 5 5 9 20 8
11 14 Volendam 11 5 6 0.9 2.3 1 4 6 10 25 7
12 15 Excelsior 11 5 6 0.7 3.0 1 1 9 8 33 4
13 16 FC Emmen 11 5 6 0.6 2.3 1 1 9 7 25 4
14 8 Heerenveen 11 7 4 1.0 1.0 4 4 3 11 11 16
15 11 Go Ahead Eagles 10 6 4 1.2 1.7 2 3 5 12 17 9
16 18 Cambuur 10 6 4 0.7 1.3 2 4 4 7 13 10
17 5 Twente 11 9 2 0.7 1.1 2 5 4 8 12 11
18 12 Nijmegen 10 8 2 0.6 1.0 2 4 4 6 10 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51