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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Genoa 2–1 Lecce

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.18
Draw 2.90 fair 3.65
Away 4.20 fair 3.73
Under 2.5 1.50 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 2.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Genoa Lecce
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 3
12 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (280 league matches this season so far).
Result Genoa to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.36 – 0.97
Home / Draw / Away
GenoaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.2% 1–1 12.8% 0–0 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Genoa before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
0.93scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 26:36
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.71scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 20:46
Genoa all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 0.71
1.29 Goals conceded 1.64
2.21 Total goals 2.36
10.79 Shots 11.43
3.21 Shots on target 3.29
12.29 Shots faced 13.96
4.32 Corners 4.07
5.18 Corners against 6.04
12.64 Fouls 12.61
1.93 Yellow cards 1.57
0.18 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

25% Wins 21%
39% Draws 25%
36% Losses 54%
89% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 57%
36% Over 2.5 goals 43%
18% Over 3.5 goals 32%
4% Over 4.5 goals 14%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
46% Both teams scored 36%
32% Clean sheets 25%
32% Failed to score 54%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 21%
57% Draws 46%
36% Losses 32%
54% Over 0.5 goals 61%
18% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Genoa all matches
Lecce all matches
Genoa before this match, at home
1.14points / match
1.07scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:17
Lecce before this match, away
0.79points / match
0.64scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 9:21
Genoa at home away Lecce

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 0.64
1.21 Goals conceded 1.50
2.29 Total goals 2.14
11.93 Shots 10.50
3.93 Shots on target 3.21
11.50 Shots faced 15.21
4.50 Corners 3.36
5.21 Corners against 6.43
12.14 Fouls 13.57
1.86 Yellow cards 2.14
0.14 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

21% Wins 21%
50% Draws 14%
29% Losses 64%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
79% Over 1.5 goals 50%
36% Over 2.5 goals 36%
21% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 29%
29% Clean sheets 21%
29% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 14%
64% Draws 64%
36% Losses 21%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
21% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Genoa at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Genoa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.03.25 Cagliari – Genoa 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.003.20 2.50 1.53
02.03.25 Genoa – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.104.75 2.30 1.62
22.02.25 Inter – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 1.275.2513.00 1.67 2.20
17.02.25 Genoa – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.10 1.73
08.02.25 Torino – Genoa 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.103.60 2.63 1.50
02.02.25 Fiorentina – Genoa 2–1 (2–0) 1.653.905.25 2.00 1.80
27.01.25 Genoa – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
17.01.25 Roma – Genoa 3–1 (1–1) 1.504.106.50 2.02 1.88
12.01.25 Genoa – Parma 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.91 1.99
05.01.25 Lecce – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.38 1.57

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
21.02.25 Lecce – Udinese 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.002.60 2.30 1.62
16.02.25 Monza – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.30 1.62
09.02.25 Lecce – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67
31.01.25 Parma – Lecce 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.50 1.86 2.04
26.01.25 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–2) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
19.01.25 Cagliari – Lecce 4–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.05 1.85
11.01.25 Empoli – Lecce 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.104.33 2.50 1.53
05.01.25 Lecce – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.38 1.57

Genoa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.25 Genoa – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.104.75 2.30 1.62
17.02.25 Genoa – Venezia 2–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.50 2.10 1.73
27.01.25 Genoa – Monza 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.50 1.53
12.01.25 Genoa – Parma 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.91 1.99
21.12.24 Genoa – Napoli 1–2 (0–2) 5.253.601.70 2.20 1.67
07.12.24 Genoa – Torino 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.50 1.53
24.11.24 Genoa – Cagliari 2–2 (1–1) 2.633.102.90 2.20 1.67
07.11.24 Genoa – Como 1–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.45 2.20 1.67
31.10.24 Genoa – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.901.80 2.02 1.88
19.10.24 Genoa – Bologna 2–2 (0–1) 3.753.102.15 2.30 1.62

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
16.02.25 Monza – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.30 1.62
31.01.25 Parma – Lecce 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.50 1.86 2.04
19.01.25 Cagliari – Lecce 4–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.05 1.85
11.01.25 Empoli – Lecce 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.104.33 2.50 1.53
30.12.24 Como – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.705.00 2.00 1.80
07.12.24 Roma – Lecce 4–1 (1–1) 1.574.006.25 2.00 1.80
25.11.24 Venezia – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.73
02.11.24 Bologna – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.506.50 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Genoa winsDrawsLecce wins
3matches
1.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25I1 Lecce – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.38 1.57
28.01.24I1 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.104.00 2.60 1.48
22.09.23I1 Lecce – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.10 2.30 1.62

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 +36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 +22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 +37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 +20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 +14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 +10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 +13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 +13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 +10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 10 3 1 32 16 +16 33
2 Napoli 14 10 2 2 21 10 +11 32
3 Bologna 14 8 5 1 24 13 +11 29
4 Roma 14 9 1 4 30 13 +17 28
5 Juventus 15 7 7 1 24 14 +10 28
6 Fiorentina 14 8 3 3 23 15 +8 27
7 Lazio 14 7 5 2 28 20 +8 26
8 Atalanta 13 7 4 2 29 16 +13 25
9 Milan 14 6 6 2 21 11 +10 24
10 Udinese 14 7 2 5 19 17 +2 23
11 Como 14 5 4 5 22 22 0 19
12 Torino 13 4 5 4 12 12 0 17
13 Genoa 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
14 Parma 15 4 4 7 22 25 -3 16
15 Cagliari 15 4 4 7 16 24 -8 16
16 Lecce 14 3 5 6 11 25 -14 14
17 Venezia 13 3 4 6 12 15 -3 13
18 Verona 14 4 1 9 13 32 -19 13
19 Empoli 14 1 5 8 5 20 -15 8
20 Monza 14 1 4 9 10 19 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 15 10 3 2 34 10 +24 33
2 Inter 14 8 4 2 31 11 +20 28
3 Napoli 14 8 4 2 24 13 +11 28
4 Lazio 14 8 1 5 22 16 +6 25
5 Juventus 13 6 6 1 21 11 +10 24
6 Bologna 14 5 6 3 20 21 -1 21
7 Milan 14 6 2 6 21 21 0 20
8 Fiorentina 14 5 3 6 20 15 +5 18
9 Torino 15 4 6 5 21 22 -1 18
10 Roma 14 4 6 4 13 17 -4 18
11 Udinese 14 4 5 5 16 21 -5 17
12 Genoa 14 4 4 6 11 19 -8 16
13 Empoli 14 3 5 6 18 25 -7 14
14 Verona 14 4 1 9 15 26 -11 13
15 Lecce 14 3 2 9 9 21 -12 11
16 Cagliari 13 2 4 7 12 19 -7 10
17 Como 14 2 4 8 12 22 -10 10
18 Parma 13 1 5 7 12 23 -11 8
19 Monza 14 1 4 9 13 29 -16 7
20 Venezia 15 0 6 9 11 27 -16 6

Genoa   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 28 8 20 1.8 1.3 15 6 7 50 36 51
2 1 Inter 28 11 17 2.2 1.0 18 7 3 63 27 61
3 3 Atalanta 28 11 17 2.2 0.9 17 7 4 63 26 58
4 15 Verona 28 11 17 1.0 2.1 8 2 18 28 58 26
5 17 Parma 28 11 17 1.2 1.7 5 9 14 34 48 24
6 6 Bologna 28 12 16 1.6 1.2 13 11 4 44 34 50
7 8 Fiorentina 28 12 16 1.5 1.1 13 6 9 43 30 45
8 9 Milan 28 12 16 1.5 1.1 12 8 8 42 32 44
9 2 Napoli 28 14 14 1.6 0.8 18 6 4 45 23 60
10 10 Udinese 28 14 14 1.2 1.4 11 7 10 35 38 40
11 20 Monza 28 14 14 0.8 1.7 2 8 18 23 48 14
12 4 Juventus 28 15 13 1.6 0.9 13 13 2 45 25 52
13 7 Roma 28 15 13 1.5 1.1 13 7 8 43 30 46
14 13 Como 28 15 13 1.2 1.6 7 8 13 34 44 29
15 14 Cagliari 28 15 13 1.0 1.5 6 8 14 28 43 26
16 16 Lecce 28 16 12 0.7 1.6 6 7 15 20 46 25
17 18 Empoli 28 16 12 0.8 1.6 4 10 14 23 45 22
18 19 Venezia 28 16 12 0.8 1.5 3 10 15 23 42 19
19 11 Torino 28 18 10 1.2 1.2 8 11 9 33 34 35
20 12 Genoa 28 18 10 0.9 1.3 7 11 10 26 36 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 14 3 11 2.0 1.4 7 5 2 28 20 26
2 15 Verona 14 3 11 0.9 2.3 4 1 9 13 32 13
3 1 Inter 14 5 9 2.3 1.1 10 3 1 32 16 33
4 7 Roma 14 5 9 2.1 0.9 9 1 4 30 13 28
5 8 Fiorentina 14 5 9 1.6 1.1 8 3 3 23 15 27
6 17 Parma 15 6 9 1.5 1.7 4 4 7 22 25 16
7 3 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.2 1.2 7 4 2 29 16 25
8 13 Como 14 6 8 1.6 1.6 5 4 5 22 22 19
9 4 Juventus 15 8 7 1.6 0.9 7 7 1 24 14 28
10 6 Bologna 14 7 7 1.7 0.9 8 5 1 24 13 29
11 10 Udinese 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 7 2 5 19 17 23
12 14 Cagliari 15 8 7 1.1 1.6 4 4 7 16 24 16
13 16 Lecce 14 7 7 0.8 1.8 3 5 6 11 25 14
14 2 Napoli 14 8 6 1.5 0.7 10 2 2 21 10 32
15 9 Milan 14 8 6 1.5 0.8 6 6 2 21 11 24
16 20 Monza 14 8 6 0.7 1.4 1 4 9 10 19 7
17 12 Genoa 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 3 7 4 15 17 16
18 18 Empoli 14 10 4 0.4 1.4 1 5 8 5 20 8
19 19 Venezia 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 3 4 6 12 15 13
20 11 Torino 13 10 3 0.9 0.9 4 5 4 12 12 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milan 14 4 10 1.5 1.5 6 2 6 21 21 20
2 3 Atalanta 15 6 9 2.3 0.7 10 3 2 34 10 33
3 5 Lazio 14 5 9 1.6 1.1 8 1 5 22 16 25
4 6 Bologna 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 5 6 3 20 21 21
5 1 Inter 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 8 4 2 31 11 28
6 2 Napoli 14 6 8 1.7 0.9 8 4 2 24 13 28
7 17 Parma 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 1 5 7 12 23 8
8 18 Empoli 14 6 8 1.3 1.8 3 5 6 18 25 14
9 19 Venezia 15 7 8 0.7 1.8 0 6 9 11 27 6
10 20 Monza 14 6 8 0.9 2.1 1 4 9 13 29 7
11 8 Fiorentina 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 5 3 6 20 15 18
12 10 Udinese 14 7 7 1.1 1.5 4 5 5 16 21 17
13 11 Torino 15 8 7 1.4 1.5 4 6 5 21 22 18
14 4 Juventus 13 7 6 1.6 0.8 6 6 1 21 11 24
15 14 Cagliari 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 4 7 12 19 10
16 15 Verona 14 8 6 1.1 1.9 4 1 9 15 26 13
17 12 Genoa 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 4 4 6 11 19 16
18 13 Como 14 9 5 0.9 1.6 2 4 8 12 22 10
19 16 Lecce 14 9 5 0.6 1.5 3 2 9 9 21 11
20 7 Roma 14 10 4 0.9 1.2 4 6 4 13 17 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40