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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Roma 4–1 Lecce

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 2.14
Draw 4.00 fair 3.72
Away 6.25 fair 3.78
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Roma Lecce
23 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 1
5 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (142 league matches this season so far).
Result Roma to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.41 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
RomaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.8% 1–1 12.7% 0–0 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Roma before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
1.00scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:20
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
0.50scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 7:22
Roma all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.50
1.43 Goals conceded 1.57
2.43 Total goals 2.07
13.00 Shots 12.57
3.71 Shots on target 3.79
12.14 Shots faced 15.00
3.50 Corners 3.71
4.00 Corners against 6.71
11.71 Fouls 11.07
1.93 Yellow cards 1.57
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

21% Wins 21%
29% Draws 29%
50% Losses 50%
86% Over 0.5 goals 93%
64% Over 1.5 goals 50%
43% Over 2.5 goals 29%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
21% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
50% Both teams scored 21%
29% Clean sheets 29%
36% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 14%
43% Draws 50%
36% Losses 36%
57% Over 0.5 goals 50%
14% Over 1.5 goals 21%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma all matches
Lecce all matches
Roma before this match, at home
1.29points / match
1.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:9
Lecce before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.14scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 1:8
Roma at home away Lecce

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.14
1.29 Goals conceded 1.14
2.57 Total goals 1.29
13.86 Shots 11.29
4.14 Shots on target 3.43
12.14 Shots faced 14.86
4.00 Corners 4.00
3.43 Corners against 7.43
12.71 Fouls 12.29
1.57 Yellow cards 2.14
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%
0% Draws 14%
57% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
71% Over 1.5 goals 29%
57% Over 2.5 goals 14%
14% Over 3.5 goals 0%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 0%
29% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 86%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 0%
29% Draws 71%
43% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 29%
0% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Roma at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Roma all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.24 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
24.11.24 Napoli – Roma 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.00 1.80
10.11.24 Roma – Bologna 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.67
03.11.24 Verona – Roma 3–2 (2–1) 5.003.501.80 2.04 1.86
31.10.24 Roma – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.99 1.91
27.10.24 Fiorentina – Roma 5–1 (3–1) 2.553.402.75 2.07 1.83
20.10.24 Roma – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.701.85 1.73 2.10
06.10.24 Monza – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 2.10 1.73
29.09.24 Roma – Venezia 2–1 (0–1) 1.404.758.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Roma – Udinese 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.25 2.05 1.85

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 Lecce – Juventus 1–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.70 2.30 1.62
25.11.24 Venezia – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.73
08.11.24 Lecce – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 2.403.003.30 2.75 1.44
02.11.24 Bologna – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.506.50 2.20 1.67
29.10.24 Lecce – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10
20.10.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 0–6 (0–3) 3.203.302.30 2.04 1.86
05.10.24 Udinese – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99

Roma at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.24 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
10.11.24 Roma – Bologna 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.403.60 2.20 1.67
31.10.24 Roma – Torino 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.99 1.91
20.10.24 Roma – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.701.85 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Roma – Venezia 2–1 (0–1) 1.404.758.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Roma – Udinese 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.25 2.05 1.85
25.08.24 Roma – Empoli 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.336.50 1.87 2.03
19.05.24 Roma – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 1.484.207.00 1.80 2.00
05.05.24 Roma – Juventus 1–1 (1–1) 2.883.102.70 2.38 1.57
22.04.24 Roma – Bologna 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.103.20 2.38 1.57

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.24 Venezia – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.73
02.11.24 Bologna – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.506.50 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Napoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Udinese – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
15.09.24 Torino – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.30 1.62
24.08.24 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
26.05.24 Napoli – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
21.04.24 Sassuolo – Lecce 0–3 (0–2) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Roma winsDrawsLecce wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24I1 Lecce – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.07 1.83
05.11.23I1 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.70
11.02.23I1 Lecce – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 4.333.251.95 2.50 1.53
09.10.22I1 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.50 1.84 2.06

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 15 11 1 3 38 17 +21 34
2 Napoli 14 10 2 2 21 9 +12 32
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 34 15 +19 31
4 Fiorentina 13 8 4 1 27 10 +17 28
5 Lazio 14 9 1 4 29 17 +12 28
6 Juventus 15 6 9 0 24 10 +14 27
7 Milan 14 6 4 4 24 16 +8 22
8 Bologna 14 5 7 2 20 18 +2 22
9 Udinese 14 5 2 7 16 21 -5 17
10 Torino 15 4 4 7 16 20 -4 16
11 Empoli 14 3 7 4 10 14 -4 16
12 Parma 15 3 6 6 21 25 -4 15
13 Genoa 15 3 6 6 13 24 -11 15
14 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 15 24 -9 14
15 Roma 14 3 4 7 14 20 -6 13
16 Lecce 14 3 4 7 7 22 -15 13
17 Verona 14 4 0 10 17 33 -16 12
18 Como 14 2 5 7 14 26 -12 11
19 Monza 14 1 7 6 12 17 -5 10
20 Venezia 14 2 2 10 11 25 -14 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 7 6 1 0 17 6 +11 19
2 Atalanta 7 6 0 1 22 9 +13 18
3 Napoli 7 6 0 1 12 5 +7 18
4 Inter 8 5 2 1 19 10 +9 17
5 Milan 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
6 Fiorentina 6 4 2 0 14 6 +8 14
7 Juventus 8 3 5 0 11 5 +6 14
8 Udinese 7 4 0 3 8 8 0 12
9 Bologna 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
10 Roma 7 3 0 4 9 9 0 9
11 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 14 -6 9
12 Verona 7 3 0 4 10 17 -7 9
13 Lecce 7 2 3 2 6 14 -8 9
14 Torino 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
15 Parma 8 2 2 4 12 14 -2 8
16 Empoli 7 1 4 2 2 5 -3 7
17 Venezia 6 2 0 4 6 8 -2 6
18 Como 6 1 3 2 8 13 -5 6
19 Genoa 9 0 6 3 8 14 -6 6
20 Monza 7 0 3 4 5 9 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 8 5 1 2 16 8 +8 16
2 Inter 6 4 2 0 15 5 +10 14
3 Fiorentina 7 4 2 1 13 4 +9 14
4 Napoli 7 4 2 1 9 4 +5 14
5 Juventus 7 3 4 0 13 5 +8 13
6 Bologna 8 3 3 2 13 15 -2 12
7 Lazio 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
8 Empoli 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
9 Genoa 6 3 0 3 5 10 -5 9
10 Milan 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
11 Torino 8 2 2 4 10 13 -3 8
12 Monza 7 1 4 2 7 8 -1 7
13 Parma 7 1 4 2 9 11 -2 7
14 Cagliari 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
15 Udinese 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 5
16 Como 8 1 2 5 6 13 -7 5
17 Roma 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4
18 Lecce 7 1 1 5 1 8 -7 4
19 Verona 7 1 0 6 7 16 -9 3
20 Venezia 8 0 2 6 5 17 -12 2

Roma   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 14 2 12 2.1 1.2 9 1 4 29 17 28
2 1 Atalanta 15 4 11 2.5 1.1 11 1 3 38 17 34
3 17 Verona 14 3 11 1.2 2.4 4 0 10 17 33 12
4 7 Milan 14 4 10 1.7 1.1 6 4 4 24 16 22
5 12 Parma 15 5 10 1.4 1.7 3 6 6 21 25 15
6 3 Inter 14 5 9 2.4 1.1 9 4 1 34 15 31
7 8 Bologna 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 5 7 2 20 18 22
8 20 Venezia 14 6 8 0.8 1.8 2 2 10 11 25 8
9 4 Fiorentina 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 8 4 1 27 10 28
10 2 Napoli 14 8 6 1.5 0.6 10 2 2 21 9 32
11 6 Juventus 15 9 6 1.6 0.7 6 9 0 24 10 27
12 9 Udinese 14 8 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 7 16 21 17
13 10 Torino 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 16 20 16
14 13 Genoa 15 9 6 0.9 1.6 3 6 6 13 24 15
15 14 Cagliari 14 8 6 1.1 1.7 3 5 6 15 24 14
16 15 Roma 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 3 4 7 14 20 13
17 18 Como 14 8 6 1.0 1.9 2 5 7 14 26 11
18 11 Empoli 14 10 4 0.7 1.0 3 7 4 10 14 16
19 16 Lecce 14 10 4 0.5 1.6 3 4 7 7 22 13
20 19 Monza 14 10 4 0.9 1.2 1 7 6 12 17 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 7 0 7 2.4 0.9 6 1 0 17 6 19
2 17 Verona 7 0 7 1.4 2.4 3 0 4 10 17 9
3 1 Atalanta 7 1 6 3.1 1.3 6 0 1 22 9 18
4 3 Inter 8 3 5 2.4 1.2 5 2 1 19 10 17
5 4 Fiorentina 6 1 5 2.3 1.0 4 2 0 14 6 14
6 12 Parma 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 2 4 12 14 8
7 2 Napoli 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 6 0 1 12 5 18
8 7 Milan 7 3 4 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
9 13 Genoa 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 0 6 3 8 14 6
10 15 Roma 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 3 0 4 9 9 9
11 6 Juventus 8 5 3 1.4 0.6 3 5 0 11 5 14
12 14 Cagliari 8 5 3 1.0 1.8 2 3 3 8 14 9
13 16 Lecce 7 4 3 0.9 2.0 2 3 2 6 14 9
14 18 Como 6 3 3 1.3 2.2 1 3 2 8 13 6
15 9 Udinese 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 4 0 3 8 8 12
16 10 Torino 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
17 19 Monza 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 0 3 4 5 9 3
18 20 Venezia 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 0 4 6 8 6
19 8 Bologna 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
20 11 Empoli 7 6 1 0.3 0.7 1 4 2 2 5 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Bologna 8 1 7 1.6 1.9 3 3 2 13 15 12
2 7 Milan 7 1 6 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
3 20 Venezia 8 2 6 0.6 2.1 0 2 6 5 17 2
4 1 Atalanta 8 3 5 2.0 1.0 5 1 2 16 8 16
5 5 Lazio 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
6 12 Parma 7 2 5 1.3 1.6 1 4 2 9 11 7
7 3 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 2 0 15 5 14
8 9 Udinese 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 1 2 4 8 13 5
9 10 Torino 8 4 4 1.2 1.6 2 2 4 10 13 8
10 17 Verona 7 3 4 1.0 2.3 1 0 6 7 16 3
11 6 Juventus 7 4 3 1.9 0.7 3 4 0 13 5 13
12 11 Empoli 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
13 14 Cagliari 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
14 18 Como 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 1 2 5 6 13 5
15 2 Napoli 7 5 2 1.3 0.6 4 2 1 9 4 14
16 4 Fiorentina 7 5 2 1.9 0.6 4 2 1 13 4 14
17 13 Genoa 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 3 0 3 5 10 9
18 15 Roma 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4
19 19 Monza 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 2 7 8 7
20 16 Lecce 7 6 1 0.1 1.1 1 1 5 1 8 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51