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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 5–1 Sampdoria

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.17 fair 1.50
Draw 7.50 fair 5.09
Away 17.00 fair 7.33
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Sampdoria
19 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
9 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (353 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 2.09 – 0.82
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawSampdoria
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.9% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.74points / match
1.57scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 55:41
Sampdoria before this match, all matches
0.51points / match
0.60scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 21:62
Milan all matches all matches Sampdoria

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 0.60
1.17 Goals conceded 1.77
2.74 Total goals 2.37
14.54 Shots 10.00
4.86 Shots on target 3.11
10.80 Shots faced 15.40
4.80 Corners 3.43
4.46 Corners against 5.74
12.14 Fouls 13.57
2.46 Yellow cards 2.97
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.34
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

49% Wins 9%
29% Draws 26%
23% Losses 66%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
83% Over 1.5 goals 77%
51% Over 2.5 goals 40%
29% Over 3.5 goals 17%
11% Over 4.5 goals 9%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
60% Both teams scored 40%
31% Clean sheets 11%
17% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 11%
43% Draws 34%
20% Losses 54%
71% Over 0.5 goals 77%
40% Over 1.5 goals 29%
9% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Sampdoria all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.18points / match
1.94scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 33:18
Sampdoria before this match, away
0.53points / match
0.65scored / match
2.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 11:36
Milan at home away Sampdoria

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 0.65
1.06 Goals conceded 2.12
3.00 Total goals 2.76
15.94 Shots 10.18
4.94 Shots on target 3.71
9.35 Shots faced 17.12
5.12 Corners 3.18
3.35 Corners against 6.82
12.59 Fouls 13.88
2.59 Yellow cards 3.24
0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

65% Wins 12%
24% Draws 18%
12% Losses 71%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 82%
47% Over 2.5 goals 53%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
24% Over 4.5 goals 12%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
59% Both teams scored 41%
41% Clean sheets 6%
6% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 6%
41% Draws 41%
6% Losses 53%
76% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 47%
12% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Sampdoria away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
03.05.23 Milan – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.85 2.05
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
23.04.23 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20

Sampdoria all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.23 Sampdoria – Empoli 1–1 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 1.97 1.93
08.05.23 Udinese – Sampdoria 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.86 2.04
03.05.23 Sampdoria – Torino 0–2 (0–1) 4.203.401.91 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Fiorentina – Sampdoria 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.62 2.30
22.04.23 Sampdoria – Spezia 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
16.04.23 Lecce – Sampdoria 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.38 1.57
08.04.23 Sampdoria – Cremonese 2–3 (1–1) 2.383.253.20 2.10 1.73
02.04.23 Roma – Sampdoria 3–0 (0–0) 1.444.209.00 2.08 1.82
19.03.23 Sampdoria – Verona 3–1 (2–0) 2.883.102.45 2.38 1.57
12.03.23 Juventus – Sampdoria 4–2 (2–2) 1.334.7510.00 2.05 1.88

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.05.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
03.05.23 Milan – Cremonese 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.85 2.05
23.04.23 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00

Sampdoria away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.23 Udinese – Sampdoria 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.86 2.04
30.04.23 Fiorentina – Sampdoria 5–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.62 2.30
16.04.23 Lecce – Sampdoria 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.38 1.57
02.04.23 Roma – Sampdoria 3–0 (0–0) 1.444.209.00 2.08 1.82
12.03.23 Juventus – Sampdoria 4–2 (2–2) 1.334.7510.00 2.05 1.88
27.02.23 Lazio – Sampdoria 1–0 (0–0) 1.444.338.00 1.99 1.91
06.02.23 Monza – Sampdoria 2–2 (1–1) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
28.01.23 Atalanta – Sampdoria 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.67 2.20
16.01.23 Empoli – Sampdoria 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.20 1.67
04.01.23 Sassuolo – Sampdoria 1–2 (0–2) 1.733.754.75 1.96 1.94

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsSampdoria wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.09.22I1 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
13.02.22I1 Milan – Sampdoria 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.66 2.20
23.08.21I1 Sampdoria – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.80 2.00

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 26 5 4 70 25 +45 83
2 Juventus 35 21 6 8 54 28 +26 69
3 Inter 35 21 3 11 66 37 +29 66
4 Lazio 35 19 8 8 54 28 +26 65
5 Atalanta 36 18 7 11 59 43 +16 61
6 Milan 35 17 10 8 55 41 +14 61
7 Roma 35 17 8 10 45 33 +12 59
8 Monza 36 14 10 12 46 46 0 52
9 Bologna 36 13 11 12 48 45 +3 50
10 Fiorentina 35 13 10 12 47 40 +7 49
11 Torino 35 13 10 12 37 39 -2 49
12 Udinese 35 11 13 11 45 43 +2 46
13 Sassuolo 36 12 8 16 44 56 -12 44
14 Empoli 35 9 12 14 32 45 -13 39
15 Salernitana 35 8 14 13 43 56 -13 38
16 Lecce 35 7 11 17 30 43 -13 32
17 Spezia 35 6 12 17 30 56 -26 30
18 Verona 36 7 9 20 29 55 -26 30
19 Cremonese 36 4 12 20 32 66 -34 24
20 Sampdoria 35 3 9 23 21 62 -41 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 18 13 3 2 38 14 +24 42
2 Inter 18 13 0 5 34 12 +22 39
3 Napoli 17 12 3 2 35 14 +21 39
4 Milan 17 11 4 2 33 18 +15 37
5 Lazio 18 10 4 4 29 16 +13 34
6 Roma 17 10 2 5 24 12 +12 32
7 Atalanta 18 9 3 6 33 24 +9 30
8 Fiorentina 18 8 6 4 28 21 +7 30
9 Bologna 18 7 8 3 22 12 +10 29
10 Sassuolo 18 8 4 6 23 20 +3 28
11 Udinese 17 6 9 2 30 18 +12 27
12 Monza 18 7 5 6 25 21 +4 26
13 Empoli 17 7 4 6 18 20 -2 25
14 Salernitana 18 6 6 6 27 24 +3 24
15 Torino 17 5 6 6 14 17 -3 21
16 Spezia 18 4 8 6 18 26 -8 20
17 Verona 18 6 2 10 19 31 -12 20
18 Lecce 17 3 7 7 16 21 -5 16
19 Cremonese 18 3 4 11 13 31 -18 13
20 Sampdoria 18 1 6 11 10 26 -16 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 18 14 2 2 35 11 +24 44
2 Lazio 17 9 4 4 25 12 +13 31
3 Atalanta 18 9 4 5 26 19 +7 31
4 Torino 18 8 4 6 23 22 +1 28
5 Inter 17 8 3 6 32 25 +7 27
6 Juventus 17 8 3 6 16 14 +2 27
7 Roma 18 7 6 5 21 21 0 27
8 Monza 18 7 5 6 21 25 -4 26
9 Milan 18 6 6 6 22 23 -1 24
10 Bologna 18 6 3 9 26 33 -7 21
11 Fiorentina 17 5 4 8 19 19 0 19
12 Udinese 18 5 4 9 15 25 -10 19
13 Lecce 18 4 4 10 14 22 -8 16
14 Sassuolo 18 4 4 10 21 36 -15 16
15 Empoli 18 2 8 8 14 25 -11 14
16 Salernitana 17 2 8 7 16 32 -16 14
17 Cremonese 18 1 8 9 19 35 -16 11
18 Verona 18 1 7 10 10 24 -14 10
19 Spezia 17 2 4 11 12 30 -18 10
20 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 11 36 -25 9

Milan   Sampdoria

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Inter 35 15 20 1.9 1.1 21 3 11 66 37 66
2 13 Sassuolo 36 16 20 1.2 1.6 12 8 16 44 56 44
3 15 Salernitana 35 16 19 1.2 1.6 8 14 13 43 56 38
4 6 Milan 35 17 18 1.6 1.2 17 10 8 55 41 61
5 9 Bologna 36 18 18 1.3 1.2 13 11 12 48 45 50
6 12 Udinese 35 17 18 1.3 1.2 11 13 11 45 43 46
7 1 Napoli 35 18 17 2.0 0.7 26 5 4 70 25 83
8 5 Atalanta 36 19 17 1.6 1.2 18 7 11 59 43 61
9 19 Cremonese 36 19 17 0.9 1.8 4 12 20 32 66 24
10 8 Monza 36 20 16 1.3 1.3 14 10 12 46 46 52
11 17 Spezia 35 19 16 0.9 1.6 6 12 17 30 56 30
12 4 Lazio 35 20 15 1.5 0.8 19 8 8 54 28 65
13 10 Fiorentina 35 21 14 1.3 1.1 13 10 12 47 40 49
14 18 Verona 36 22 14 0.8 1.5 7 9 20 29 55 30
15 20 Sampdoria 35 21 14 0.6 1.8 3 9 23 21 62 18
16 7 Roma 35 22 13 1.3 0.9 17 8 10 45 33 59
17 14 Empoli 35 22 13 0.9 1.3 9 12 14 32 45 39
18 2 Juventus 35 23 12 1.5 0.8 21 6 8 54 28 69
19 11 Torino 35 23 12 1.1 1.1 13 10 12 37 39 49
20 16 Lecce 35 24 11 0.9 1.2 7 11 17 30 43 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Salernitana 18 7 11 1.5 1.3 6 6 6 27 24 24
2 5 Atalanta 18 8 10 1.8 1.3 9 3 6 33 24 30
3 12 Udinese 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 6 9 2 30 18 27
4 18 Verona 18 8 10 1.1 1.7 6 2 10 19 31 20
5 1 Napoli 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 12 3 2 35 14 39
6 2 Juventus 18 9 9 2.1 0.8 13 3 2 38 14 42
7 4 Lazio 18 9 9 1.6 0.9 10 4 4 29 16 34
8 17 Spezia 18 9 9 1.0 1.4 4 8 6 18 26 20
9 3 Inter 18 10 8 1.9 0.7 13 0 5 34 12 39
10 6 Milan 17 9 8 1.9 1.1 11 4 2 33 18 37
11 8 Monza 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 7 5 6 25 21 26
12 10 Fiorentina 18 10 8 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 21 30
13 13 Sassuolo 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 8 4 6 23 20 28
14 19 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.7 3 4 11 13 31 13
15 14 Empoli 17 10 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 6 18 20 25
16 16 Lecce 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 3 7 7 16 21 16
17 7 Roma 17 12 5 1.4 0.7 10 2 5 24 12 32
18 9 Bologna 18 13 5 1.2 0.7 7 8 3 22 12 29
19 20 Sampdoria 18 13 5 0.6 1.4 1 6 11 10 26 9
20 11 Torino 17 13 4 0.8 1.0 5 6 6 14 17 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Bologna 18 5 13 1.4 1.8 6 3 9 26 33 21
2 3 Inter 17 5 12 1.9 1.5 8 3 6 32 25 27
3 13 Sassuolo 18 6 12 1.2 2.0 4 4 10 21 36 16
4 6 Milan 18 8 10 1.2 1.3 6 6 6 22 23 24
5 19 Cremonese 18 9 9 1.1 1.9 1 8 9 19 35 11
6 20 Sampdoria 17 8 9 0.6 2.1 2 3 12 11 36 9
7 1 Napoli 18 10 8 1.9 0.6 14 2 2 35 11 44
8 7 Roma 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 7 6 5 21 21 27
9 8 Monza 18 10 8 1.2 1.4 7 5 6 21 25 26
10 11 Torino 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 8 4 6 23 22 28
11 12 Udinese 18 10 8 0.8 1.4 5 4 9 15 25 19
12 15 Salernitana 17 9 8 0.9 1.9 2 8 7 16 32 14
13 5 Atalanta 18 11 7 1.4 1.1 9 4 5 26 19 31
14 17 Spezia 17 10 7 0.7 1.8 2 4 11 12 30 10
15 4 Lazio 17 11 6 1.5 0.7 9 4 4 25 12 31
16 10 Fiorentina 17 11 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 8 19 19 19
17 14 Empoli 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 2 8 8 14 25 14
18 16 Lecce 18 13 5 0.8 1.2 4 4 10 14 22 16
19 18 Verona 18 14 4 0.6 1.3 1 7 10 10 24 10
20 2 Juventus 17 14 3 0.9 0.8 8 3 6 16 14 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51